Alert archive / Kentucky / Wind Advisories in 2025

Wind Advisory 5, NWS Jackson, KY

March 4, 20256 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this wind advisory at Mar 4, 2025, 8:03 PM EST for 6 counties in Kentucky. It took effect at Mar 5, 2025, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2025, 8:03 PM EST (01:03 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 5, 2025, 3:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 5, 2025, 7:00 PM EST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY

Counties Laurel County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-03-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2025-03-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 405 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1713 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
405 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
835 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

846 
WWUS73 KJKL 050103
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
803 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

KYZ068-079-080-083>085-050915-
/O.UPG.KJKL.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.250305T0800Z-250306T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KJKL.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250305T0800Z/
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Including the cities of Whitley City, Corbin, Brodhead, Mount
Vernon, Williamsburg, Somerset, London, Burnside, Stearns, and
Monticello
803 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 15 to 30 mph with 
  gusts up to 60 mph. For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 10 to 
  20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, and Whitley 
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 3 AM EST Wednesday. For 
  the Wind Advisory, from 3 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered to widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Gusty winds will 
  blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and 
  a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ088-118-050915-
/O.CON.KJKL.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250305T0900Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.250305T0900Z-250306T0000Z/
Harlan-Letcher-
Including the cities of Harlan, Jenkins, Cumberland, and
Whitesburg
803 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 15 to 30 mph with 
  gusts around 60 mph expected on or near Black and Pine Mountains, 
  with gusts of 40 to 55 mph elsewhere. For the Wind Advisory, 
  southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Harlan and Letcher Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 4 AM EST Wednesday. For 
  the Wind Advisory, from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty to damaging winds will blow around unsecured 
  objects and likely blow down tree limbs, trees, and power lines. 
  Scattered to widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts are expected on the 
  higher peaks of the Black Mountain area of Harlan County and Pine 
  Mountain as well as areas immediately downwind of these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution
if you must drive.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-086-087-104-106>117-119-120-050915-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-Knox-
Bell-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, Annville,
Campton, Irvine, Wheelwright, Flemingsburg, South Williamson,
Elkhorn City, Camargo, Coal Run, Booneville, Middlesboro, Clay
City, Paintsville, Jackson, McKee, Prestonsburg, Hindman, Hazard,
Owingsville, Manchester, Morehead, Beattyville, Jeffersonville,
Pikeville, Barbourville, Ravenna, Hyden, Salyersville, Inez,
Pineville, West Liberty, Pippa Passes, Stanton, and Mount
Sterling
803 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Isolated stronger wind gusts in excess of 50 
  mph are possible tonight, especially in the higher elevations of 
  Jackson, Bell, Clay, Leslie, Perry, and Pike Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

GEERTSON
4 follow-up statements
244 
WWUS73 KJKL 050805
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
305 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

KYZ068-079-080-083>085-051615-
/O.EXP.KJKL.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250305T0800Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Including the cities of Monticello, Mount Vernon, Williamsburg,
Whitley City, Corbin, Stearns, Brodhead, Burnside, Somerset, and
London
305 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, and Whitley 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ088-118-051615-
/O.CON.KJKL.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250305T0900Z/
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.250305T0900Z-250306T0000Z/
Harlan-Letcher-
Including the cities of Whitesburg, Jenkins, Harlan, and
Cumberland
305 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS 
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 15 to 30 mph with 
  gusts around 60 mph expected on or near Black and Pine Mountains, 
  with gusts of 40 to 55 mph elsewhere. For the Wind Advisory, 
  southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Harlan and Letcher Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 4 AM EST early this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty to damaging winds will blow around unsecured 
  objects and likely blow down tree limbs, trees, and power lines. 
  Scattered to widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution
if you must drive.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-086-087-104-106>117-119-120-051615-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-Knox-
Bell-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Hazard, South Williamson, Stanton,
Irvine, Coal Run, West Liberty, Campton, Beattyville, Pikeville,
Inez, Mount Sterling, Pineville, Owingsville, McKee, Wheelwright,
Paintsville, Jackson, Pippa Passes, Camargo, Flemingsburg, Hyden,
Middlesboro, Prestonsburg, Jeffersonville, Elkhorn City,
Salyersville, Hindman, Annville, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook,
Manchester, Booneville, Morehead, Ravenna, Barbourville, and Clay
City
305 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

JP
600 
WWUS73 KJKL 050852
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
352 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

KYZ088-118-052115-
/O.CAN.KJKL.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250305T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.250305T0852Z-250306T0000Z/
Harlan-Letcher-
Including the cities of Whitesburg, Jenkins, Harlan, and
Cumberland
352 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 
  50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Harlan and Letcher Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-086-087-104-106>117-119-120-052115-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-Knox-
Bell-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Hazard, South Williamson, Stanton,
Irvine, Coal Run, West Liberty, Campton, Beattyville, Pikeville,
Inez, Mount Sterling, Pineville, Owingsville, McKee, Wheelwright,
Paintsville, Jackson, Pippa Passes, Camargo, Flemingsburg, Hyden,
Middlesboro, Prestonsburg, Jeffersonville, Elkhorn City,
Salyersville, Hindman, Annville, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook,
Manchester, Booneville, Morehead, Ravenna, Barbourville, and Clay
City
352 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast 
  Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ068-079-080-083>085-052115-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Including the cities of Monticello, Mount Vernon, Williamsburg,
Whitley City, Corbin, Stearns, Brodhead, Burnside, Somerset, and
London
352 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 
  mph.

* WHERE...Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, and Whitley 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

JP
993 
WWUS73 KJKL 052106
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
406 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-086-087-104-106>117-119-120-060000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-Knox-
Bell-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Middlesboro, Clay City, Campton,
Morehead, Ravenna, Pippa Passes, Mount Sterling, Barbourville,
Coal Run, Sandy Hook, Frenchburg, Salyersville, Annville,
Booneville, Hyden, Manchester, Flemingsburg, Stanton,
Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Elkhorn City, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Pikeville, West Liberty, Paintsville, South Williamson,
Pineville, McKee, Hazard, Owingsville, Irvine, Hindman, Jackson,
Inez, and Beattyville
406 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Expect southwest winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph.

* WHERE...The wind advisory is for portions of east central, 
  northeast, and southeast Kentucky.

* WHEN...The Wind Advisory is valid until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ068-079-080-083>085-060000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Including the cities of Burnside, Monticello, Somerset, London,
Mount Vernon, Williamsburg, Brodhead, Whitley City, Stearns, and
Corbin
406 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Expect southwest winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph.

* WHERE...The Wind Advisory includes Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, 
  Rockcastle, Wayne, and Whitley counties.

* WHEN...The Wind Advisory id valid until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KYZ088-118-060000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Harlan-Letcher-
Including the cities of Cumberland, Whitesburg, Jenkins, and
Harlan
406 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Expect southwest winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph.

* WHERE...The Wind Advisory includes Harlan and Letcher Counties.

* WHEN...The Wind Advisory is valid until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

HAL
701 
WWUS73 KJKL 052347
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
647 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-086-087-104-106>117-119-120-060100-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-Knox-
Bell-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Sandy Hook, Pineville, Stanton, Morehead,
Wheelwright, Pippa Passes, McKee, Pikeville, Jackson, Paintsville,
Flemingsburg, Hazard, Hindman, South Williamson, Frenchburg,
Owingsville, Prestonsburg, West Liberty, Salyersville, Middlesboro,
Hyden, Annville, Irvine, Campton, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling,
Inez, Coal Run, Camargo, Booneville, Manchester, Elkhorn City,
Ravenna, Barbourville, Beattyville, and Clay City
647 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The wind gusts have slackened off into the 15-25 mph range this
evening. Therefore the wind advisory will be allowed to expire.

$$

KYZ068-079-080-083>085-060100-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Including the cities of Corbin, Mount Vernon, Brodhead, Whitley City,
Somerset, Monticello, Williamsburg, Burnside, London, and Stearns
647 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The wind gusts have slackened off into the 15-25 mph range this
evening. Therefore the wind advisory will be allowed to expire.

$$

KYZ088-118-060100-
/O.EXP.KJKL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Harlan-Letcher-
Including the cities of Harlan, Cumberland, Jenkins, and Whitesburg
647 PM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The wind gusts slackened off and are now in the 20-30 mph range.
Therefore the wind advisory will be allowed to expire.

$$

DJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 4, 6:49 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Windy late today into Wednesday.
  • Any remaining critical combinations of wind/relative humidity for fire weather conditions will ease early this evening.
  • A period of showers will occur near and in advance of a cold front tonight.
  • Additional showers should develop Wednesday, likely mixing with or changing to snow for Wednesday night and Thursday morning, with minor accumulations possible.
  • Milder temperatures return to finish the week, along with a good potential of more rain for most of the area.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 6:49 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
649 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Windy late today into Wednesday.

- Any remaining critical combinations of wind/relative humidity
  for fire weather conditions will ease early this evening.

- A period of showers will occur near and in advance of a cold
  front tonight.

- Additional showers should develop Wednesday, likely mixing with
  or changing to snow for Wednesday night and Thursday morning,
  with minor accumulations possible.

- Milder temperatures return to finish the week, along with a good
  potential of more rain for most of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 546 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2025

An extremely intense and very large low pressure system is over
the middle of the CONUS late this afternoon. The tightened
pressure gradient all the way east over our area is resulting in
increased winds. Dew points have also begun to climb with moisture
advection. However, this was only after some locations reached
critical fire wx conditions during the day. Although stronger
winds are expected tonight, relative humidity will have recovered
above critical levels.

The biggest concern in this forecast is just how strong winds will
get. Strongest low level winds aloft will be tonight. However,
loss of heating will reduce mixing ability and what the gustiness
would otherwise be. Forecast soundings suggest the best shot at
mixing might be as precip moves in and a sharp inversion aloft is
eroded. Have maintained the existing wind advisory/warning for
gusts reaching at least 40 mph/58 mph, but did not expand to the
remaining counties due to uncertainty. The rain which moves
through tonight along and in advance of the storm system's
occluded front will exit to the east overnight and early Wednesday
morning. Winds will remain brisk, but subside somewhat for a time
after the rain.

On Wednesday, cold air advection and steepening lapse rates will
again promote mixing. The storm system's pressure gradient over
our area will still be tight with strong winds fields. Winds
which mix down look marginally strong enough for an advisory, with
the strongest winds in our western counties with more open
terrain. Although it will remain breezy, wind gusts will finally
slacken for good on Wednesday night.

Low-mid level moisture in the system's comma head, behind the dry
slot, will wrap southeast over us on Wednesday and Wednesday
night. Showers should initially develop on Wednesday, but probably
hybridize with stratiform precip as moisture extends upward into
the stable air of an inversion. Our air eventually becomes cold
enough for remaining precip to mix with and change to snow
WEdnesday night. While it looks like cloud temperatures will be
cold enough for ice production, the moisture does not look like it
extends deep into the dendritic growth zone, and snow production
would not be terribly efficient. Along with warm ground, this
would keep any accumulations mostly negligible.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 513 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

When the long term forecast period opens on Thursday morning, the
low pressure system responsible for the previous day's activity will
be ejecting off to the northeast. The cold air wrapping around the
backside of this low may combine with gusty WNW flow to produce a
few more hours of snow showers. In far eastern Kentucky, orographic
enhancements may yield light snow accumulations through midday, but
anything that falls is poised to melt off later that afternoon.
Upper level ridging and its associated surface high pressure quickly
build into the area in the wake of this low. Skies are expected to
correspondingly clear, and winds will steadily decrease throughout
the day as the pressure gradient expands. This will allow Thursday's
afternoon highs to recover into the 40s, which, in turn, mitigates
the potential for widespread travel impacts from the aforementioned
snow.

The upper level ridging flattens out on Friday, placing the forecast
area in a regime of quasi-zonal flow aloft. A weakening shortwave
disturbance and its associated surface low pressure system will
approach the region during this time frame, but the lack of well-
defined upper level support leads to relatively high levels of
forecast uncertainty. The various members of the guidance suite
continue to resolve a couple of distinct model solutions during the
Friday night-Saturday morning time frame. The northern group of
solutions tracks this low closer to the Ohio River, with stronger
southwesterly surface flow out ahead of an approaching frontal
boundary. This set of solutions is warmer, windier, and wetter,
whereas the southern group of solutions would keep temperatures
milder and precipitation lighter. The uncertainty continues into
Sunday, as a closed-upper level low ejects out of the Desert
Southwest. Guidance has collectively trended this feature towards a
southerly passage, but continues to resolve the timing and magnitude
of this feature quite differently. If the southerly trend continues,
the precipitation chances currently in the forecast for Sunday would
generally decrease. The 12z deterministic model runs portray this
downward trend, but the time-lagged NBM ensemble does not explicitly
account for that yet.

Due to the cumulative effects of this model uncertainty, this
particular forecast package does not deviate much from the NBM. As
of the time of issuance, Friday afternoon looks warmer and windier,
with increasing overnight rain chances and then a cooler and drier
Saturday afternoon. Light precipitation chances return on Sunday,
especially across our Southeastern Counties, and the cooler airmass
lingers through the end of the weekend. A quieter pattern and a
warming trend is poised to emerge by early next week. Mid-level
height rises signal the return of ridging, but the magnitude of this
feature will depend on the evolution of the weekend systems. Mostly
clear skies will favor efficient diurnal warming and overnight ridge-
valley temperature splits on Monday. Thus, highs are forecast to
progressively increase through the end of the long term forecast
period, and perhaps into the 70s beyond then. These sensible weather
details are likely to be refined as we work to analyze the latest
model data for trends and/or a consensus, so stay tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
ISSUED AT 649 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2025

VFR conditions are forecast through at least 06Z in all areas,
with MVFR conditions possible from west-to-east as a frontal line
of showers and perhaps isolated thunderstorms move east across
the area overnight into early Wednesday morning. Some locations
may see surface winds diminish for a time this evening, and where
that occurs LLWS can be expected. However, for the vast majority
of locations, wind gusts will continue into the overnight and
could be strong to damaging immediately ahead of the line of
convection. A brief period of somewhat lighter winds will occur
behind the line of showers and first frontal passage late tonight
into Wednesday morning before strong southwesterly winds and wind
gusts redevelop and continue through the remainder of the TAF
period. Some gusts may reach 40+ kt overnight and re-developing
by midday Wednesday at the end the TAF period.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-106-108-109-111.

Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST Wednesday for KYZ044-050-051-
058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-107>117-119-120.

High Wind Warning until 4 AM EST Wednesday for KYZ088-118.

Wind Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday for KYZ088-118.

&&

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...MARCUS
AVIATION...GEERTSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 12:21 PM EST, 7 hours 42 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

KYZ088-118-051200-
Harlan-Letcher-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity around 20% is expected this
afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the combination will result
in dangerous fire weather conditions. The strongest winds are
expected after relative humidity begins to climb late this afternoon
and evening. Most locations are expected to experience times of wind
gusts to around 40 to 50 mph late this evening and tonight. Localized
stronger gusts of 50 to 65 mph are forecast to occur along and
immediately downwind of the tallest ridges near the Virginia border.
An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible late tonight,
with strong to damaging wind gusts the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

An isolated thunderstorm with gusty winds early on Wednesday morning
will be possible generally for locations near and east of U.S.
Highway 23. Otherwise, wind gusts are forecast to reach the 40 to 50
mph range during the day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KYZ068-079-080-083>085-051200-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity around 20% is expected this
afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the combination will result
in dangerous fire weather conditions. South winds will increase,
with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected at times this evening and into
the overnight hours. An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is
possible late tonight, with strong to damaging wind gusts the
primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

After a lull early Wednesday morning, wind gusts are forecast to
reach the 40 to 50 mph range during the day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KYZ044-050-051-058>060-069-086-087-108-109-111-112-114>117-051200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-Knox-Bell-
Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity around 20 percent is expected
this afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the combination will
result in dangerous fire weather conditions. The strongest winds are
expected after relative humidity begins to climb late in the
afternoon and evening. Many places are expected to experience times
of wind gusts of 40 mph or more late this evening and tonight. An
isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible late tonight with
strong to damaging wind gusts the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts are forecast to reach the 40 to 50 mph range during the
day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KYZ107-110-119-120-051200-
Johnson-Floyd-Martin-Pike-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity 19 to 25 percent is expected
this afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the combination will
result in elevated fire danger today. The strongest winds are
expected after relative humidity begins to climb late in the
afternoon and evening. Many places are expected to experience times
of wind gusts of 40 mph or more late this evening and tonight. In
addition, an isolated strong thunderstorm is possible late tonight
with locally stronger wind gusts the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

An isolated thunderstorm with gusty winds will be possible early on
Wednesday morning generally for locations near and east of U.S.
Highway 23. Otherwise, wind gusts are forecast to reach the 40 to 50
mph range during the day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KYZ113-051200-
Knott-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity around 20 percent is expected
this afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the combination will
result in dangerous fire weather conditions. The strongest winds are
expected after relative humidity begins to climb late in the
afternoon and evening. Many places are expected to experience times
of wind gusts of 40 mph or more late this evening and tonight. In
addition, an isolated strong thunderstorm is possible late tonight
with locally stronger wind gusts the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

An isolated thunderstorm with gusty winds will be possible early on
Wednesday morning generally for locations near and east of U.S.
Highway 23. Otherwise, wind gusts are forecast to reach the 40 to 50
mph range during the day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KYZ052-106-051200-
Rowan-Morgan-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity of 20 to 25 percent is
expected this afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the
combination will result in dangerous fire weather conditions. The
strongest winds are expected after relative humidity begins to climb
late in the afternoon and evening. Many places are expected to
experience times of wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph late this evening and
tonight. In addition, an isolated strong thunderstorm is possible
late tonight with locally stronger wind gusts the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

After a lull early Wednesday morning, wind gusts could exceed 40 mph
during the day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KYZ104-051200-
Elliott-
1221 PM EST Tue Mar 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Dry air with minimum relative humidity 20 to 25 percent is expected
this afternoon. Winds will also increase, and the combination will
result in elevated fire danger today. The strongest winds are
expected after relative humidity begins to climb late in the
afternoon and evening. Many places are expected to experience times
of wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph late this evening and tonight. In
addition, an isolated strong thunderstorm is possible late tonight
with locally stronger wind gusts the primary threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

After a lull early Wednesday morning, wind gusts could exceed 40 mph
during the day on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

HAL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 3:46 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKLHarlan, Letcher30 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Kentucky, 2025Every wind advisory in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.