Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 48, NWS Jackson, KY

July 17, 2025Fleming County, Rowan County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 17, 2025, 3:44 PM EDT for Fleming County, Rowan County, Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 17, 2025, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
Expired: Jul 17, 2025, 6:45 PM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Fleming County, KY, Rowan County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 290 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -99 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 976 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 17, 3:23 PM EDT, 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 3:23 PM EDT, 21 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 17, 3:43 PM EDT, 1 minute before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
343 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-084>088-104-106>120-181200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-
Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
343 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected across the area through tonight. Heavy
rain and gusty to damaging winds are the main threats from these.
Heavy rain falling repeatedly over the same locations could lead to
flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms are expected at times from Friday through Wednesday,
especially during afternoon and evening hours. Some storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ083-181200-
Wayne-
343 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible through tonight. Some of these could
contain locally heavy rainfall and gusty to damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms are expected at times from Friday through Wednesday,
especially during afternoon and evening hours. Some storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GINNICK/GEERTSON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 17, 12:30 PM EDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
1230 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KYZ108-109-112-171700-
Breathitt KY-Magoffin KY-Wolfe KY-
1230 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN BREATHITT...WEST
CENTRAL MAGOFFIN AND SOUTHEASTERN WOLFE COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM
EDT...

At 1230 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Elkatawa, or over Jackson, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Simpson, Burkhart, Daisydell, Noctor, Rock Lick, Vancleve,
Moct, Wilhurst, War Creek, Elkatawa, Inverness, Bays, Lunah, Sewell,
Haddix, Taulbee, Guage, Dumont, and Netty.

THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 65
and 66.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3776 8322 3751 8309 3751 8310 3746 8344
      3761 8352 3773 8328 3771 8326 3775 8324
TIME...MOT...LOC 1630Z 247DEG 15KT 3756 8342

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

VORST

Special weather statement, Jul 17, 2:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
228 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KYZ044-052-104-171900-
Rowan KY-Elliott KY-Fleming KY-
228 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN FLEMING...NORTHERN
ROWAN AND NORTHWESTERN ELLIOTT COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

At 228 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Plummers Landing, or 7 miles northwest of Morehead, moving east at 30
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sharkey, Cranston, Muses Mills, Munson, Hays Crossing, Haldeman,
Plummers Landing, Triplett, Gates, Hilda, Waltz, and Ringos Mills.

THIS INCLUDES Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers
140 and 149.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3832 8336 3832 8334 3823 8330 3823 8322
      3827 8318 3823 8311 3822 8311 3822 8360
      3833 8367 3840 8347 3838 8345 3840 8341
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 256DEG 24KT 3829 8352

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JP

Special weather statement, Jul 17, 3:04 PM EDT, 40 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
304 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KYZ044-052-171930-
Rowan KY-Fleming KY-
304 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN FLEMING AND NORTH
CENTRAL ROWAN COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...

At 304 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Wallingford, or near Flemingsburg, moving east at
25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Flemingsburg, Muses Mills, Hillsboro, Mount Carmel, Wallingford,
Plummers Landing, Poplar Plains, Foxport, and Goddard.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8358 3843 8358 3841 8352 3840 8348
      3838 8345 3840 8341 3834 8336 3827 8373
      3829 8373 3829 8374 3845 8379 3851 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 254DEG 20KT 3839 8363

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JP

Special weather statement, Jul 17, 3:19 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
319 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

KYZ044-052-104-171945-
Rowan KY-Elliott KY-Fleming KY-
319 PM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN FLEMING...CENTRAL
ROWAN AND NORTHWESTERN ELLIOTT COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT...

At 319 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hilda, or near Morehead, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Morehead, Cranston, Ramey, Munson, Brandy, Bluestone, Haldeman,
Triplett, Clearfield, Christy, Rodburn, Hilda, Ringos Mills,
Freestone, Sharkey, Hillsboro, Hays Crossing, Grange City, Plummers
Landing, and Gates.

THIS INCLUDES Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers
131 and 149.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 8333 3821 8330 3821 8326 3822 8323
      3827 8318 3824 8314 3824 8316 3814 8349
      3817 8360 3818 8359 3819 8360 3818 8363
      3828 8371 3838 8340
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 247DEG 44KT 3826 8350

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

VORST

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 16, 9:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bell	47 min
Jul 16, 10:05 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Fleming	3 hr
Jul 17, 12:26 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bell, Harlan	8 hr
Jul 17, 12:56 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bell, Harlan	3 hr
Jul 17, 2:57 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bell, Harlan, Knox	84 min
Jul 17, 3:35 AM EDT	Flood Watch	JKL	Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 26 more	45 hr
Jul 17, 12:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt	30 min
Jul 17, 2:23 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Rowan	3 hr
Jul 17, 2:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Rowan	32 min
Jul 17, 3:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Fleming	26 min
Jul 17, 3:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Rowan	26 min
Jul 17, 3:28 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Fleming, Rowan	3 hr
Jul 17, 3:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Rowan	28 min
Jul 17, 3:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bath, Fleming	37 min
Jul 17, 4:02 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bath, Rowan	118 min
Jul 17, 4:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Elliott	32 min
Jul 17, 4:14 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Elliott	3 hr
Jul 17, 4:31 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Elliott, Rowan	119 min
Jul 17, 5:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Morgan, Powell, Wolfe	28 min
Jul 17, 5:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Martin, Wolfe	34 min
Jul 17, 6:10 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Estill, Powell	3 hr
Jul 17, 6:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Pike	38 min
Jul 17, 6:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Montgomery	41 min
Jul 17, 7:00 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Estill, Jackson, Lee, Powell, Wolfe	3 hr
Jul 17, 7:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Pike	44 min
Jul 17, 7:11 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Knox, Whitley	3 hr
Jul 17, 7:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Knox	47 min
Jul 17, 7:23 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Knox, Whitley	5 hr
Jul 17, 7:35 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	McCreary, Wayne	7 hr
Jul 17, 7:56 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Whitley	5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2025 Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.