Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
404 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

Remainder of the afternoon through Friday: The squall line and
associated severe weather threat will be exiting eastern portions
of the area by about nightfall. Any tornado threat seems to be
getting more confined to locations along and south of the Highway
84 corridor in the lower Pinebelt region where surface dewpoint
temperatures have reached the mid 60s. Behind the front, gradient
wind speeds are much tamer with a lull that should continue until
later tonight into early Wednesday morning when a strong cold
advection pattern will develop.

A limited wind threat graphic will be needed for Wednesday, and
considerable stratus will keep temperatures from climbing much
making for a chilly day, especially over northeast portions of the
area where readings will struggle to rise above 50. Wednesday
night will be the coldest of the week with lows dropping well into
the 30s at most locations, including the potential for a light
freeze over north central into northeast MS. Thereafter,
seasonably cool and dry conditions will continue Thu-Thu night
with significantly milder temperatures returning Friday in a
quickly developing warm advection pattern.

The weekend into early next week: The next significant shortwave
trough will approach the area as we begin the weekend and bring
our next rain chances Saturday/Saturday night. Given the increased
dominance from the polar stream, this system will not bring a
severe weather threat, and rainfall will be less than an a inch on
average. Temperatures will cool back down following the system,
but they shouldn't get much lower than climatological normals.
/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1149 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

The forecast remains on track with the biggest change to the
aviation forecast being the removal of wind shear. 850mb winds are
still forecast to be in the 65kt range, however; with surface
winds sustained of 25mph gusting to 45, we should remain just
outside the threshold for low-level wind shear. That being said
wind shear should warrant monitoring from aviators for the
daytime hours. Gusty south- southeast winds this morning will
shift to the south and increase to sustained around 25mph and
gusting upwards of 50 mph. Storms will move through the area from
west to east from around noon to 8 pm. Locally stronger wind gusts
are possible with storms./SAS/OAJ/

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       47  55  36  60 /  60   0   0   0
Meridian      49  55  35  60 / 100   0   0   0
Vicksburg     46  57  34  60 /  10   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   50  65  37  65 /  90   0   0   0
Natchez       47  60  36  63 /  10   0   0   0
Greenville    45  54  34  55 /  10   0   0   0
Greenwood     46  52  33  57 /  50   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ018-019-025>066-
     072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&

EC/OAJ

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
555 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 ESE Progress          31.51N 89.87W
03/04/2025                   Jefferson Davis    MS   Emergency Mngr

            A few trees down in the county.

&&

CE

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson MS
559 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 SE New Hebron         31.68N 89.92W
03/04/2025                   Jefferson Davis    MS   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down.

&&

CE