Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Lincoln, IL

883 
WWUS53 KILX 232131
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
431 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

ILC143-232141-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-250323T2200Z/
Peoria-
431 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PEORIA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area.  Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 8935 4110 8905 4087 8905 4092 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 272DEG 38KT 4100 8929 

$$

ILC123-203-232200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-250323T2200Z/
Marshall-Woodford-
431 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN MARSHALL AND NORTH CENTRAL WOODFORD COUNTIES...

At 431 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Varna, or near
Lacon, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Toluca and Varna around 435 PM CDT.
  Wenona around 445 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Lake
Wildwood and La Rose.

This includes Interstate 39 between mile markers 27 and 40.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 8935 4110 8905 4087 8905 4092 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 272DEG 38KT 4100 8929 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

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842 
WWUS53 KILX 232143
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
443 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

ILC123-203-232153-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-250323T2200Z/
Marshall-Woodford-
443 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MARSHALL AND NORTH
CENTRAL WOODFORD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Lincoln.

&&

LAT...LON 4110 8935 4110 8905 4087 8905 4092 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 272DEG 42KT 4099 8910 

$$

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
221 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Wind gusts will increase into the 40-50mph range this evening
  after the passage of a cold front.

- Quiet weather with seasonable temperatures will prevail for the
  next several days before a major pattern change brings unsettled
  weather and much warmer temperatures by the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

18z/1pm surface analysis shows a cold front just west of the
Mississippi River. Showers have developed along and ahead of the
front...and are most numerous across eastern Iowa into
northwestern Illinois. These showers will skirt across the
northern KILX CWA (mainly along/north of I-72) over the next few
hours, followed by a return to dry conditions across the board by
evening. Southwesterly winds have routinely been gusting 25-35mph
this afternoon ahead of the front, but will veer to the W/NW and
increase after FROPA. Upstream obs across Iowa have been showing
gusts in the 40-50mph range and the HRRR/RAP supports them
spreading eastward into central Illinois this evening. Think there
will be a brief period of gusts in excess of 40mph everywhere
north of the I-70 corridor before gradually decreasing toward
midnight. Brisk winds will persist through the night...and as
temperatures fall into the middle 30s, resulting wind-chills will
dip into the 20s. Gusty winds will continue into Monday, but will
slowly subside by late afternoon as high pressure builds eastward
toward the Mississippi River. High temperatures will be near
normal for this time of year in the middle 50s.

Barnes

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Next Sunday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

As high pressure shifts away from the region, a weak disturbance
will bring clouds and perhaps a few light showers Monday night
into Tuesday. Given a lack of deep-layer moisture and only weak
forcing associated with the upper short-wave trough, have
maintained just 20-30 PoPs through the period. Dry conditions will
return for Wednesday before things really start to change by the
end of the week. As has been advertised by the past several model
runs, a deep upper low is expected to push onshore across the
West Coast of the US by Thursday, resulting in downstream ridging
over the Plains into the Midwest. As a short-wave trough crosses
the Plains and interacts with increasing WAA, showers and a few
thunderstorms will be possible Thursday into Friday. Instability
parameters remain rather modest, so think severe weather chances
will be slim to none. Will need to keep an eye on next weekend
though as a warmer/more humid airmass takes hold and temperatures
climb into the 70s. The GFS has been consistently showing a cold
front pushing into Illinois by Sunday afternoon, interacting with
a modestly unstable/sheared environment to produce a better chance
for thunderstorms. The 00z Mar 23 Colorado State Machine Learning
algorithm highlights a 5-15% chance of severe weather across
central Illinois both Saturday and Sunday accordingly.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

A cold front will sweep across central Illinois this afternoon.
Moderate south to southwest winds gusting to around 25kt will be
in place ahead of the front along with variable ceilings but
primarily low MVFR. Scattered showers will accompany frontal
passage with the best coverage along I-74 and north. Winds will
turn northwesterly behind the front with gusts increasing into the
30-35kt range for a few hours. Ceilings will improve and should
eventually scatter back to VFR this evening and overnight.

Deubelbeiss

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
225 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-241930-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
225 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Winds will shift to the west-northwest behind a cold front today.
Occasional gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible this evening, with the
strongest gusts expected north of I-72.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for thunderstorms Friday. It is too early to
determine the threat for severe thunderstorms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

Deubelbeiss

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
340 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

ILZ027-028-232115-
Knox-Stark-
340 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT STARK AND NORTHEASTERN KNOX
COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 340 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Victoria, or 8 miles southwest of Toulon, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Castleton, Wyoming, Victoria, La Fayette, West Jersey, Toulon, and
Duncan.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4098 9011 4112 9010 4113 8965 4098 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 271DEG 41KT 4103 9000

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
411 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

ILZ029-030-232145-
Marshall-Peoria-
411 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT MARSHALL AND NORTHEASTERN PEORIA
COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...

At 410 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sparland, or near Lacon, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Lacon, La Rose, Sparland, Varna, Toluca, Lake Wildwood,
Marshall-Putnam County Fairgrounds, Hopewell, Wenona, Marshall County
Airport, Henry, and Chillicothe.

This includes Interstate 39 between mile markers 29 and 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 4112 8934 4111 8936 4110 8905 4093 8905
      4093 8937 4092 8954 4098 8963 4111 8963
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 271DEG 45KT 4102 8952

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

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