Wind Advisory 5, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

448 
WWUS72 KGSP 290303
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1003 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-291115-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.250129T0500Z-250129T2300Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell
Mountains-
Including the cities of Newland, Woodlawn, Banner Elk,
Burnsville, Swiss, Celo, Busick, Ramseytown, Poplar, Spruce Pine,
Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Old Fort, Ingalls, Patterson,
and Micaville
1003 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Avery, Mitchell, and Yancey Counties and the mountainous 
  northwest portions of Caldwell, Burke, and McDowell Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

RWH

983 
WWUS72 KGSP 291005
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
505 AM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-291815-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250129T2300Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell
Mountains-
Including the cities of Old Fort, Burnsville, Sugar Hill, Swiss,
Banner Elk, Busick, Jonas Ridge, Patterson, Woodlawn, Ramseytown,
Poplar, Ashford, Micaville, Ingalls, Celo, Newland, and Spruce
Pine
505 AM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Avery, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, McDowell 
  Mountains, Mitchell, and Yancey Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

Moore

666 
WWUS72 KGSP 291805
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
105 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-292300-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250129T2300Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell
Mountains-
Including the cities of Newland, Burnsville, Poplar, Ramseytown,
Ingalls, Spruce Pine, Sugar Hill, Micaville, Banner Elk,
Woodlawn, Patterson, Jonas Ridge, Swiss, Busick, Old Fort,
Ashford, and Celo
105 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Avery, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, McDowell 
  Mountains, Mitchell, and Yancey Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

JPT

932 
WWUS72 KGSP 292257
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
557 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-300000-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-250129T2300Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell
Mountains-
Including the cities of Busick, Ingalls, Old Fort, Sugar Hill,
Poplar, Micaville, Spruce Pine, Jonas Ridge, Swiss, Patterson,
Newland, Banner Elk, Burnsville, Celo, Ashford, Ramseytown, and
Woodlawn
557 PM EST Wed Jan 29 2025

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

Very gusty winds will diminish through the evening, but some very 
gusty winds will continue, especially across the higher elevations.

$$

RWH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1249 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds back in through most of the week with
much warmer temperatures. A system could cross the region Friday
into Friday night, bringing showers and possible thunderstorms.
Drier weather and warm temperatures stick around through the upcoming
weekend, behind Friday's storm system.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of noon: Upper troughing in place across the NE CONUS with
low-amplitude ridge and modestly strong sfc high both centered
north of the Gulf Coast. Brisk flow is occurring aloft across the
southern Appalachians between these features, resulting in gusts
of 40+ mph across higher elevations of our northern mountain
zones. Wind Advisory remains in effect until 3 PM for Yancey,
Mitchell, and Avery counties. By the same token, gusts of 15-20 mph
are occurring at times in the NW NC Piedmont, where RH will remain
low this afternoon in warm downslope flow. Wildfire danger may
be slightly elevated as a result; please see Fire Wx section for
details. These gusts are expected to subside in the mid afternoon
as gradient does briefly trend weaker.

Little change is seen in the configuration of the upper features
through Wednesday; heights however will rise over the south-central
region, and sfc low will cross the northern Great Lakes tonight,
reaching New England by late morning and pulling a dry cold front
through our CWA by early Wed evening. These developments will
reinforce gradient flow across the Appalachians and lead to still
windier conditions in our mountains late tonight and much of the
day Wednesday. Another Wind Advisory is being considered for the
area currently in one, and possibly some adjacent zones; will issue
when current one expires, more or less. Mins tonight will be a few
degrees warmer than what was observed this morning. With enhanced
drying and downsloping, temperatures still look to rise into the
mid to upper 60s over much of the Piedmont Wed afternoon. Can't
rule out need for an Increased Fire Danger Statement for part of
NC, again noted in Fire Wx section below.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 AM EST Tuesday: Winds lighten up by Wednesday night
as the phased streams, turned upper trough and stout surface low
shifts into the northwest Atlantic and weak high pressure sets
up shop over the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic around daybreak
Thursday. The other part of the forecast that will impact the
region later in the forecast period will be a closed upper low
that will be center over the Four Corners region at the start of
the short term and is expected to propagate eastward and settle
over the MS Valley by daybreak Friday. In response, the surface
high will slide offshore the Mid-Atlantic Coast during the day
Thursday and allow for a return flow to filter in. A relatively
dynamic system will encroach the area from the west and warm
frontal activation is shown lifting north of the area by
Thursday evening as the parent low lifts north into the Midwest
and the trailing cold front marches across the Central and
Southern Plains through the Lower/Mid-MS Valley. Some of the
guidance show the potential for showers to develop along the
warm front, so can't rule out showers chances Thursday
afternoon/evening, mainly across the mountains and I-40
corridor, but chances are low. A screaming south-southwesterly
LLJ will begin to nose in across the Southeast, following the
warm frontal passage. Speeds will pick up steam Thursday night
as as the 40-50+ kt LLJ enters the region, owing to the
potential of strong wind gusts once again across the higher
elevations (>3500'), ahead of the main frontal zone. Shortwave
ridging ahead of the alluded closed upper low allow heights to
continue rising, but the downslope component will weaken and the
upper/mid-levels become saturated, leading to an increase in
mid/high clouds during the daytime Thursday, so afternoon highs
likely fall off, but remain 4-8 degrees above normal. Overnight
lows on Wednesday are forecast to run a few ticks above normal
as decent radiational cooling conditions prevail, while
overnight lows on Thursday end up ~10 degrees above normal due
to cloud cover and WAA south of the warm front.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 320 AM EST Monday: The aforementioned closed upper low from
the short-term will be in the midst of opening up and shifting
across the OH Valley and Great Lakes region as the trailing cold
front enters the region during the daytime period Friday. Deep layer
shear will be substantial, including a 50+ LLJ ahead and along the
frontal zone. The forcing for ascent and available moisture will
be enough for a good QPF response across the area as widespread
moderate to heavy rainfall moves across the area form west to
east and the timing amongst model guidance is great. The lacking
component with this system is available instability. A mid-level
subsidence layer evident in vertical profiles will cap any real
CAPE from developing and the extensive cloud cover ahead of the
front won't help either. The latest LREF cycle struggles to push
instability =>50 J/kg into the CFWA as the front slips across
the area. Otherwise, we would be in the midst of a High Shear,
Low CAPE event. Will need to monitor trends over the next few days
to see if any instability can get underway, but that is currently
not the case between deterministic and ensemble guidance. Expect
the front to make a full fropa by Friday evening as drier air
quickly filters in and a post-frontal regime will be in store for
the upcoming weekend. Without any real height falls due to the
flow aloft flattening out behind the system, any CAA will be weak
and temperatures will remain 4-8 degrees above normal for Saturday
and Sunday afternoon and potentially even warmer for Monday. The
sensible weather remains dry as weak surface high remains in
control across the southeastern CONUS through the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR with only cirrus expected this period
when not SKC. Mostly WSW winds this aftn with gusts likely at
the NC sites. KCLT may see a crosswind at times but WSW is more
likely. Brisk flow across the Appalachians is producing a mountain
wave and LLWS conditions at KAVL and KHKY. Winds and LLWS should
subside for a time this evening. LLWS likely will return in the
early morning at those sites, and potentially KCLT also, as gradient
is reinforced by shortwave crossing the Great Lakes; gusts are
expected to quickly develop after daybreak as a result of the strong
flow above the PBL. Passage of dry cold front associated with that
shortwave looks to induce shift to WNW winds Wed afternoon at KCLT.

Outlook: Dry/VFR thru Thursday. Restrictions may return as soon
as Thursday night ahead of an approaching frontal system, which is
likely to bring periodic restrictions on Friday. Although a return
to VFR is likely in the immediate wake of that system Saturday,
restrictions can't be completely ruled out over the weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Some areas of the foothills and NW NC Piedmont, along/north of
I-40, are seeing gusts on the order of 15-20 mph as a result of
gap wind effect. These windier locations also have seen dewpoints
drop into the teens, which combined with temps in the 50s will keep
RH below 30 percent much of this afternoon. These conditions will
end up close, but just below, NC state criteria for an Increased
Fire Danger Statement. Fuel moistures still remain a bit high
and no Statement is currently being issued given conditions being
too marginal.

On Wednesday, somewhat windier and still warmer conditions are
expected, and criteria appear more likely to be met. Fuels will
have had another day to dry. Pending coordination with NC land
management agencies, a Statement may be issued at some point
between this afternoon and Wed morning.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for NCZ033-049-050.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CAC
NEAR TERM...Wimberley
SHORT TERM...CAC
LONG TERM...CAC
AVIATION...Wimberley
FIRE WEATHER...Wimberley

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
438 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ008>014-019-101>109-290945-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-
Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-
Union-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-Eastern McDowell-
Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-York-Anderson-Abbeville-
Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-
Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-
Central Greenville-Southern Greenville-Northern Spartanburg-
Southern Spartanburg-
438 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, Piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-290945-
Madison-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-
Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-
Polk Mountains-
438 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gusty northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph are
expected late Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon, especially
at elevations at and above 3500 feet.

Be sure to store or secure loose items before strong winds arrive.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ033-049-050-290945-
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
438 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gusty northwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph are
expected late Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon, especially
at elevations at and above 3500 feet.

Be sure to store or secure loose items before strong winds arrive.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.