Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 3, 2025Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jun 3, 2025, 6:28 PM MST for Coconino County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2025, 6:28 PM MST (01:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 3, 2025, 9:30 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Coconino County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2025-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 173 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2025-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -26 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
173 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1512 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

433 
WGUS55 KFGZ 040128
FFWFGZ
AZC005-025-040430-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0003.250604T0128Z-250604T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
Issued by National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
628 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southern Coconino County in north central Arizona...
  Eastern Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 930 PM MST.

* At 628 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain along West Clear Creek and Wet Beaver Creek. Between 1 
  and 2 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up 
  to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Indian Maiden Falls, Wet Beaver Wilderness, Hanging Garden, Bell 
  Crossing/The Crack, Wet Beaver Creek Day Use Area, V Bar V 
  Heritage Site, Bullpen Day Use Area, V Bar V Visitors Center and 
  Wet Beaver Creek Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for flooding even in locations not receiving rain. 
Normally dry washes, slot canyons, and creeks can become raging 
killer currents in a matter of minutes, even from distant rainfall.

Get out of washes and creeks if you are camping or hiking! Flooding 
is occurring or imminent and will inundate creeks and washes.

&&

LAT...LON 3452 11164 3452 11169 3450 11176 3453 11176
      3455 11170 3455 11165 3459 11162 3465 11161
      3466 11166 3464 11175 3467 11175 3468 11170
      3469 11161 3472 11147 3471 11142 3465 11143
      3458 11148 3456 11151 3452 11159

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Humphreys
2 follow-up statements
716 
WGUS75 KFGZ 040227
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
Issued by National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
727 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

AZC005-025-040430-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250604T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coconino AZ-Yavapai AZ-
727 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM MST THIS 
EVENING FOR WET BEAVER CREEK AND WEST CLEAR CREEK...

At 724 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across over Cedar Flat. Between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain have 
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are possible in 
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
shortly.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water crossings,
         creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Indian Maiden Falls, Wet Beaver Wilderness, Hanging Garden, Bell 
  Crossing/The Crack, Wet Beaver Creek Day Use Area, V Bar V 
  Heritage Site, Bullpen Day Use Area, V Bar V Visitors Center and 
  Wet Beaver Creek Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for flooding even in locations not receiving rain. 
Normally dry washes, slot canyons, and creeks can become raging 
killer currents in a matter of minutes, even from distant rainfall.

Get out of washes and creeks if you are camping or hiking! Flooding 
is occurring or imminent and will inundate creeks and washes.

&&

LAT...LON 3452 11164 3452 11169 3450 11176 3453 11176
      3455 11170 3455 11165 3459 11162 3465 11161
      3466 11166 3464 11175 3467 11175 3468 11170
      3469 11161 3472 11147 3471 11142 3465 11143
      3458 11148 3456 11151 3452 11159

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Humphreys
560 
WGUS75 KFGZ 040426
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
Issued by National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
926 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

AZC005-025-040436-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250604T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coconino AZ-Yavapai AZ-
926 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 930 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR 
WEST CLEAR CREEK AND WET BEAVER CREEK IN SOUTHERN COCONINO AND 
EASTERN YAVAPAI COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended over Cedar Flat and flooding is no longer 
expected to pose a threat.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 500 PM MST Wednesday for 
portions of north central and west central Arizona.

&&

LAT...LON 3452 11164 3452 11169 3450 11176 3453 11176
      3455 11170 3455 11165 3459 11162 3465 11161
      3466 11166 3464 11175 3467 11175 3468 11170
      3469 11161 3472 11147 3471 11142 3465 11143
      3458 11148 3456 11151 3452 11159

$$

Humphreys

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 3, 5:10 PM MST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 5:10 PM MST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
Issued by National Weather Service Tucson AZ
510 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue the
rest of this afternoon and into tonight. A brief lull in shower
activity will occur Wednesday morning but showers and
thunderstorms will redevelop Wednesday afternoon. A slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms will continue along the Utah/Arizona
border on Thursday with the rest of the state beginning to dry
out.  Warmer and drier conditions return Friday through the
weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms are developing over the area
and will become more numerous this afternoon. These storms could
have more staying power than usual and last late into the night as
dynamics from the Low approaching from the California coast
provides extra lift that usually would be lost when we lose
daylight. A FLOOD WATCH for flash flooding is now in effect for
the northwestern part of the state and will continue until 5pm on
Wednesday. Reason for the long duration of the event being even
though we may see a brief lull in activity on Wednesday morning,
daytime heating along with the weakening Low moving across the
area providing extra lift will allow another round of showers and
storms to initiate around noon Wednesday and continue through the
evening. As with most convective events, rainfall amounts will be
locally heavy under storms that do develop.

By Thursday this Low will have opened up into a weak wave and
departed the area but another shortwave brushing by to the north
of us could trigger a few isolated showers or storms mainly along
the Arizona/Utah border, but potentially as far south as the Grand
Canyon, with the rest of Arizona drying out and beginning to warm
back up closer to early June averages.

By Friday and lasting through the weekend, high pressure begins to
rebuild from the south which will dry the rest of the state out
and allow temperatures to climb to seasonal or slightly above
seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 04/00Z through Thursday 05/00Z...SCT
to NMRS SHRA/TSRA this evening, decreasing after midnight. A few of
the stronger storms could produce MVFR/IFR in +RA, hail, and gusty
winds. Outside of storm activity, winds W-SW at 5-15 kts. SCT to
NMRS storms developing after 17Z on Wednesday with MVFR/IFR in +RA,
hail, and gusty winds with the stronger storms.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 05/00Z through Saturday 07/00Z...Scattered
SHRA/TSRA decreasing after 00Z on Thursday (Wed eve). Local MVFR/IFR
possible in stronger storms with otherwise mostly VFR. A 20-30%
chance of -TSRA continues from KGCN northward from 00Z Thurs - 00Z
Fri.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Wednesday and Thursday, scattered showers and
thunderstorms continue on Wednesday, with only a few isolated
showers or storms along the Utah/Arizona border Thursday. A few
stronger storms could produce hail, heavy rain and erratic wind
gusts. Otherwise, expect daytime winds from the west to southwest
at 10-20 mph.

Friday through Sunday...Dry and warmer weather returns Friday
into the weekend with decreasing humidity each day and
temperatures climbing above average by the end of the weekend.
Winds generally west to southwest at 10-15 mph.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for AZZ004-006>008-012-
015-016-037-038.

&&

PUBLIC...Bernhart
AVIATION...BAK
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 3, 1:15 PM MST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
Issued by National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
115 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

AZZ012-015-032045-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-Western Mogollon Rim-
115 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY
INCLUDING WINONA AND INTERSTATE 40 THROUGH 145 PM MST...

At 114 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Winona, or 11 miles east of Flagstaff, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Angell, Canyon Padre Bridge, Twin Arrows, and Winona.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3513 11146 3525 11143 3524 11120 3507 11122
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 280DEG 18KT 3520 11143

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JJ
Special weather statement, Jun 3, 1:57 PM MST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
Issued by National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
157 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

AZZ012-013-032130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-Little Colorado River
Valley in Coconino County-
157 PM MST Tue Jun 3 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT INTERSTATE 40 IN SOUTHWESTERN
NAVAJO AND SOUTHEASTERN COCONINO COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM MST...

At 153 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Winslow Airport, or near Winslow, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Winslow, Winslow Airport, Homolovi State Park, Clear Creek Reservoir,
Bushman Acres, and Homolovi State Park Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3500 11093 3515 11089 3514 11056 3491 11058
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 284DEG 21KT 3506 11082

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 7:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai29 min
Jun 3, 8:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jun 4, 1:34 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZNavajo26 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2025Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.