Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Atlanta, GA

109 
WWUS52 KFFC 312039 RRA
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
439 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

GAC279-312045-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-250331T2045Z/
Toombs GA-
439 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR TOOMBS COUNTY...

At 439 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Metter Municiple Airport to Grays Landing, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Lyons, Toombs Central, Ohoopee, New Branch, Ponderosa, Santa Claus,
McNatt Falls, South Thompson, English Eddy, Grays Landing, Rock
Springs, Cedar Crossing, and Johnson Corner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3194 8228 3193 8230 3195 8231 3193 8231
      3193 8232 3194 8238 3196 8238 3195 8239
      3197 8248 3229 8228 3232 8223 3230 8223
      3223 8221 3216 8218 3214 8220 3191 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 265DEG 40KT 3233 8207 3196 8243 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 238 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

 - A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to move
   across central GA through the afternoon. Damaging straight-
   line winds are the main hazard, with a secondary threat for
   brief tornadoes and large hail.

 - Chances for isolated strong to severe storms return Wednesday
   for portions of north Georgia.

 - Well above average, potentially record-breaking, temperatures
   expected Wednesday through Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 238 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

A line of strong to severe storms will continue to push across
north and central Georgia through the late afternoon hours,
capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and a brief
tornado. This QLCS formed out ahead of a mid-level shortwave and
associated cold front that will push across the area later on this
evening, ushering in a cooler and drier airmass behind it
overnight. While a few showers could develop along the cold front,
most areas will be dry once the QLCS passes this afternoon. Low
temperatures tonight will drop into the 40s across the area under
partly cloudy skies and breezy NW winds. Surface high pressure
building in behind the front on Tuesday will support dry
conditions with light winds, mostly sunny skies, and high
temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 70s.

Culver

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 238 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The extended range will be governed by the influence of the
strong, persistent Bermuda high progged to nose its way westward
throughout the day Wednesday, its center setting up residence
across the eastern Gulf to Carolina coast. As a result, expect a
multi-day southwesterly flow/warm air advection regime to develop,
lingering until a strong mid-level trough digging across the Four
Corners region nudges the high back out into the Atlantic late
weekend. Rain chances are likely to be relegated to areas on the
northwestern fringes of the ridge (portions of north and northwest
Georgia), where isentropically-forced showers and thunderstorms
are possible with any shortwaves traversing the mid-level flow,
and subsidence to dominate elsewhere. On Wednesday, one of these
ridge-riders may support the development of isolated strong to
severe convection, and a Marginal (level 1 out of 5) Risk is in
effect for much of north Georgia to capture this. Best kinematics
will remain well to the north of the forecast area, but given
increasing moisture and warming temperatures, the thermodynamic
support will be there if storms do form.

The big ticket item will be unseasonably warm high temperatures
under the influence of anomalously strong (2-3 standard deviations
above average) ridging. Beginning Wednesday, highs will be in the
80s for all but the terrain of northeast Georgia (remaining in
the in the upper-60s to 70s), as much as 10 to 15 degrees above
average. Temperatures will continue to warm by a degree or two
until Saturday, when we peak in the upper-80s to lower-90s (!), 15
to 20 degrees above average for early April. Notably, record high
temperatures for our climate sites (ATL, AHN, CSG, MCN) range
from 85 to 91 degrees between April 2nd (Wednesday) and April 5th
(Saturday) -- if trends continue, some of these may be broken or
even exceeded by several degrees. An important caveat to the
current temperature forecast: the official, deterministic NBM
forecast is currently utilizing the 25th percentile ensemble value
for Wednesday and Thursday, and a value that is actually below
the 25th percentile ensemble value (closer to the 10th percentile)
for Friday. It is possible (if not likely) that forecast highs
continue to creep upward toward the 50th percentile value, and
potentially higher given the magnitude of the features at play.
This would result in highs an additional 1-3 degrees warmer than
what is currently being messaged. Please see the CLIMATE section
below for additional information on current records relevant to
the long term forecast.

96

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 145 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

A line of SHRA and TSRA with MVFR to IFR conditions and winds
VRBG35KT will continue to push east across the area through the
afternoon and early evening. Conditions temporarily improving to
VFR on the backside of the line of SHRA/TSRA, before potential
MVFR CIGs (020-030) return with a frontal passage around 00-06Z.
Outside of SHRA/TSRA, winds will be W/NW around 10kts, turning
NW/N overnight behind the frontal passage. Generally, VFR
conditions expected with 5-10 kt NW winds after 09Z across the
area.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on timing and impacts of line of TSRA and
improvement after. Low confidence on MVFR CIGs with evening-
overnight frontal passage.

Culver

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 238 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

Records for 04-02

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      89 1940     46 1915     62 1927     28 1924
   KATL      88 1940     42 1915     64 2012     25 1881
   KCSG      89 2017     50 1931     68 1927     34 1992
                1927                                1961
   KMCN      88 1940     48 1915     64 2012     30 2021
                1935

Records for 04-03

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      88 1934     47 1987     62 2007     26 1992
                                        1974
   KATL      87 2012     39 1987     65 1974     29 1992
   KCSG      89 1945     50 1915     70 1977     32 1962
   KMCN      89 2012     51 1901     69 1977     30 2021
                1957

Records for 04-04

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      89 1934     47 2013     66 1999     29 1915
                            1987
   KATL      85 1969     47 2013     66 1880     30 1987
                            1987                    1936
                                                    1891
   KCSG      89 1934     52 2013     65 2012     33 1987
                1918
   KMCN      88 1969     50 2013     69 1977     31 1992
                1954
                1934

Records for 04-05

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      88 2010     47 1964     62 1969     29 1944
                                                    1891
   KATL      89 1988     36 1891     66 1880     28 1881
   KCSG      91 1934     58 1962     65 1969     34 1987
   KMCN      91 1988     53 1944     63 2023     32 2000
                                        1969
                                        1922

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          47  75  54  79 /  20   0  10  30
Atlanta         47  77  58  83 /  10   0  10  20
Blairsville     38  72  49  69 /  10   0  10  30
Cartersville    42  75  54  83 /  10   0  10  20
Columbus        49  80  60  87 /  20   0   0   0
Gainesville     46  74  54  74 /  10   0  10  30
Macon           50  80  59  87 /  30   0  10  10
Rome            42  75  54  83 /   0   0  10  10
Peachtree City  44  78  56  84 /  10   0  10  10
Vidalia         60  83  62  88 /  50   0  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...Culver

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1048 AM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-011500-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1048 AM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

An ongoing line of storms will move across the forecast area
through the afternoon and will be capable of damaging wind gusts,
hail, and isolated tornadoes. Thunderstorms may redevelop behind
the line late in the afternoon to early evening, posing a second
threat for severe weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Storms will be possible across parts of north and central Georgia
from Wednesday through Friday.

Temperatures Wednesday onward will be well above normal with highs
reach near record levels.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested this morning through Monday
evening. Spotters are encouraged to report or relay severe weather
reports to the National Weather Service.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
326 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SE Middle Georgia Reg 32.68N 83.63W
03/31/2025                   Bibb               GA   Public

            Amateur radio operator reported a tree down
            on a powerline in the 9000 block of
            Hawkinsville Road. A few other trees were
            reported down in the area.

&&

LGB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
327 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 ENE Whitehall         33.92N 83.33W
03/31/2025                   Clarke             GA   Public

            Trees downed across roadway at intersection
            of Forest Rd and Lanier Ct.

&&

LNM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
337 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 SSE Hebron            32.91N 82.98W
03/31/2025                   Washington         GA   Emergency Mngr

            Emergency Manager reported a tree down
            across Highway 272 near Panther Branch Road.

&&

LGB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
343 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     Hail             1 SE Rentz              32.37N 82.98W
03/31/2025  E1.00 Inch       Laurens            GA   Public

            Amateur radio operator relayed report of
            dime to quarter size hail off Coleman Farm
            Road.

&&

LGB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
350 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     Hail             2 NNW Warner Robins     32.64N 83.65W
03/31/2025  E1.00 Inch       Houston            GA   Amateur Radio

            Amateur Radio operator relayed report of
            trees down on Gawin Road, badly damaging two
            vehicles.

&&

LGB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
354 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Eatonton                33.33N 83.39W
03/31/2025                   Putnam             GA   Public

            Portions of the roof of a warehouse building
            located on the 100 block of E Marion St were
            peeled back/damaged.

&&

LNM