Severe Thunderstorm Warning 290, NWS Atlanta, GA

686 
WWUS52 KFFC 172356
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
756 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAC195-221-180006-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0290.000000T0000Z-250618T0000Z/
Oglethorpe GA-Madison GA-
756 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL OGLETHORPE AND
CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

&&

LAT...LON 3426 8312 3423 8308 3417 8310 3415 8306
      3412 8305 3411 8303 3410 8304 3408 8300
      3407 8300 3392 8313 3420 8323 3424 8334
      3427 8330 3425 8327 3425 8320 3424 8317
      3427 8311
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 270DEG 41KT 3430 8303 3416 8296 3403 8304 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
257 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 216 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Key Messages:

	- Scattered showers and thunderstorms peaking during the
      afternoon continue. A few may be strong with gusty winds,
	  localized heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.

	- Elevated, but not abnormal, apparent temperatures through the
      short term driven by moisture.

The western edge of the upper level ridge remains over the forecast
area through the short term period, keeping the near stationary
shortwave trapped just to our west. Vertically stacked SW flow will
continue to pump moisture into the area. Thunderstorm purgatory
continues with scattered to numerous afternoon and evening
thunderstorms. Many in the cwa will wonder "will I get thunderstorms
today?" and given the pattern the answer remains a lukewarm "maybe".
Chances increase as you move north and west. So if you have outside
activities this afternoon, just be weather aware and "when thunder
roars go indoors".

Temperatures through the short term will be warm and oppressive
(this forecaster is already done with Summer). Apparent temperatures
will be in the 90s for all but the mountains of north Georgia, be
aware of the time spent outdoors and take some breaks. The silver
lining is any brief relief thunderstorms may provide, though clear
conditions after thunderstorms may make sfc conditions even more
oppressive with evaporation from the surface.

SM

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 216 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Key Messages:

    - Rising temps and heat indices as storm coverage lessens.

    - Localized storms could still create flooding concerns through
      the long term.

By Thursday, The surface to upper level ridge centered just off the
FL/GA coast is keeping GA in moist Southwesterly flow to begin the
extended periods. There is also a weakening frontal boundary moving
SE out of the Mid MS river valley and its expected to move into NW
GA around 15z-18z. As the front enters the state it continues to
weaken as it moves into the the high pressure ridge. This ridge is
expected to strengthen slowly through the weekend and into next week
becoming the dominate weather feature controlling the pattern over
the southeastern U.S. This ridge will also help to cap convective
activity through day 7 but in turn we will also see temps and heat
indices increasing too. Looking at 60% to 80% PoPs at the beginning
of the forecast slowly decreasing to 20% to 40% by day 7. Also, by
the time we get towards the end of the work week we'll likely be
seeing triple digit heat indices for the first time this year as
temps rise into the mid 90s and dewpoints stay in the 70s. The
models don't show any sign of relief and the only chance we have of
seeing a temporary reprieve will come in the form of afternoon
showers and thunderstorms.

Continual SW flow out off the Gulf will fuel not just the humidity
but our diurnal pattern. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected
through the rest of the work week but by Saturday the Euro is
picking up on a bit of a pattern change. As the surface ridge
strengthens the upper level ridge moves a bit further north into the
Mid Atlantic states putting us in east upper level flow. This will
bring in Atlantic moisture instead of Gulf moisture which should be
a little less moisture latent.

One of the big concerns we have this week will be flooding. With
dewpoints this high, our afternoon storms are likely to be efficient
rain makers. Precipitable water values (PWs) remain in the 1.5" to
2.5" range through the periods. If storms line up over the same area
day after day, we could see some isolated flash flooding or some
rivers that go to flood stage.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 135 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Mostly VFR through day with sct to bkn cu field around 3-4kft.
Clusters of shra/tsra develop this afternoon generally out of the
west. Best timing 21z-02z timeframe, with isolated possible after
2z. SCT low clouds tomorrow morning, especially in areas that
receive rainfall this afternoon, could be BKN at times. TSRA
chances return Wednesday afternoon. Winds W to SW through period,
could gust to 20kts this afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High all elements.

SM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  90  72  90 /  30  30  20  70
Atlanta         72  90  73  89 /  20  40  20  70
Blairsville     65  83  66  82 /  60  70  40  90
Cartersville    69  89  71  88 /  50  50  30  80
Columbus        72  92  72  92 /  10  30  10  60
Gainesville     70  88  72  87 /  40  50  30  80
Macon           72  92  73  91 /  10  20  10  50
Rome            70  87  71  86 /  50  60  30  90
Peachtree City  71  90  72  90 /  20  40  10  70
Vidalia         74  94  74  93 /  10  20  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...SM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
219 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-181830-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
219 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into the
evening. The main threats will be gusty winds and frequent
lightning. There also remains a chance for localized flooding with
any heavier rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Daily thunderstorm activity will occur through this week. Storm
chances will be highest during the afternoon and evening hours
each day. While the risk of severe weather is low, a couple of
stronger storms are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
636 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ050-051-060-061-172300-
Taliaferro GA-Putnam GA-Hancock GA-Greene GA-
636 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Putnam,
northwestern Hancock, southeastern Greene and southwestern Taliaferro
Counties through 700 PM EDT...

At 636 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Shoulderbone, or 10
miles northwest of Sparta, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Crawfordville, Union Point, White Plains, Siloam, Liberty,
Springfield, Rockville, Veazey, Robinson, Shoulderbone, and Alexander
Stephens Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3348 8285 3347 8287 3345 8286 3324 8309
      3335 8326 3363 8308 3360 8292 3350 8283
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 213DEG 31KT 3336 8313

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
639 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ006>009-014>016-172330-
Gilmer GA-Dawson GA-Union GA-Towns GA-White GA-Lumpkin GA-Fannin GA-
639 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Towns,
Lumpkin, southeastern Gilmer, western White, north central Dawson,
Union and eastern Fannin Counties through 730 PM EDT...

At 639 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Hot House to Juno, and moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dahlonega, Cleveland, Hiawassee, Blairsville, Young Harris, Helen,
Morganton, Suches, Amicalola Falls State Park, Robertstown, Blue
Mountain Shelter, Gumlog, Jones Creek, Loving, Woods Hole Shelter,
Low Gap Shelter, Len Foote Hike Inn, Mineral Bluff, Vogel State Park,
and Stover Creek Shelter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3458 8371 3449 8425 3499 8431 3499 8377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 273DEG 27KT 3497 8424 3449 8418

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
645 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ081-094-172315-
Peach GA-Crawford GA-
645 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Peach
and Crawford Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 645 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Horns, or near
Roberta, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Valley, Roberta, Byron, Knoxville, Nakomis, Lee Pope, Sandy
Point, Horns, and Powerville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3255 8401 3256 8403 3256 8405 3260 8407
      3263 8407 3263 8406 3264 8408 3269 8411
      3268 8413 3269 8414 3284 8394 3275 8383
      3263 8373 3252 8400
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 233DEG 25KT 3264 8402

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Culver

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
707 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ061-074-075-172345-
Washington GA-Glascock GA-Hancock GA-
707 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Hancock, southwestern Glascock and northwestern Washington Counties
through 745 PM EDT...

At 707 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Deepstep, or 9 miles
northwest of Sandersville, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mitchell, Deepstep, Hamburg State Park, Shoals, Agricola, Warthen,
and Linton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3312 8265 3313 8266 3312 8266 3293 8294
      3303 8306 3306 8304 3308 8305 3306 8307
      3306 8309 3333 8285 3326 8277 3326 8276
      3314 8262
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 225DEG 20KT 3305 8296

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
708 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ038-039-050-051-172345-
Taliaferro GA-Wilkes GA-Oglethorpe GA-Greene GA-
708 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Greene,
Taliaferro, southwestern Wilkes and southeastern Oglethorpe Counties
through 745 PM EDT...

At 708 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Robinson, or near
Crawfordville, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Washington, Crawfordville, Union Point, Woodville, Rayle, Sharon,
Ficklin, Lundberg, Robinson, Daniel Springs, Newtown, Aonia, Celeste,
Rocky Creek Fire Dept., Lyneville, Raytown, Philomath, Alexander
Stephens Park, Sandy Cross, and Carters Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3352 8281 3352 8282 3350 8282 3345 8289
      3363 8314 3391 8291 3367 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 225DEG 20KT 3359 8295

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
716 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

GAZ074-076-085-172345-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Johnson GA-
716 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Washington, northern Johnson and south central Jefferson Counties
through 745 PM EDT...

At 716 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Wrightsville, moving
northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wrightsville, Harrison, Riddleville, Spann, Donovan, New Home, and
Pringle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3262 8269 3265 8277 3266 8279 3269 8279
      3272 8286 3271 8287 3272 8288 3301 8269
      3284 8244
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 217DEG 18KT 3273 8275

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH