Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Dodge City, KS

590 
WWUS53 KDDC 172225
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
525 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSC007-172245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-250617T2245Z/
Barber KS-
525 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BARBER COUNTY...

At 525 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Medicine
Lodge, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Barber County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 9869 3733 9872 3744 9847 3739 9846
      3739 9841 3738 9835 3721 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 259DEG 21KT 3730 9855 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

BENNETT

515 
WWUS53 KDDC 172238
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
538 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSC007-172245-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-250617T2245Z/
Barber KS-
538 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BARBER COUNTY...

At 538 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Medicine Lodge,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Medicine Lodge and Sharon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3725 9862 3731 9864 3744 9847 3739 9846
      3739 9841 3738 9835 3725 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 255DEG 20KT 3733 9848 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

BENNETT

202 
WWUS53 KDDC 172244
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
544 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSC007-172254-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0121.000000T0000Z-250617T2245Z/
Barber KS-
544 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BARBER COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

&&

LAT...LON 3725 9862 3731 9864 3744 9847 3739 9846
      3739 9841 3738 9835 3725 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 259DEG 21KT 3734 9844 

$$

BENNETT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
202 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Reduced risk of severe weather tonight due to cool outflow from
the morning and early afternoon storms

- Flood watch in our eastern zones as potential heavy rain from
storms tonight could lead to isolated flash flooding

- Moderate to major heat risk Friday and Saturday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 201 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

19z surface and upper air observations show cool upslope east to
southeast winds across southwest Kansas.  These winds combining with
a stratus deck from the overnight and mid morning MCS that went
through central Kansas have kept our temperatures in the 70s through
midday.  The morning outflow boundary has made it well into the
Texas panhandle through northern Oklahoma.  A second outflow
boundary has led to convection along the K-96 corridor which is
moving east-southeast.

Tonight given the situation from the previous MCS and ongoing cloud
cover and convection combining with short term models showing the
boundary of warmer air staying mainly along and south of the
Oklahoma border the severe risk has lessened across southwest
Kansas.  With the cooler and stable air the instability values will
have a tough time increasing and any convection will be elevated
pretty much negating any tornado risk.  Short term models continue
to show the best opportunity for rain along the second outflow
boundary which sets up roughly south and east of Dodge City.  With
PWAT values ~1.5 inches we could certainly see some locally heavy
rainfall and some isolated areas of flooding.  Severe threat will be
generally limited to some strong gusty winds around 60 mph mainly
along the Oklahoma border.  With how the airmasses are setup it
looks like the MCS with the 80+ mph wind potential will be moreso in
the Texas panhandle into northern Oklahoma along the frontal
boundary.  A second area of convection will develop in northeast
Colorado and makes its way into western Kansas during the overnight
however as the MCS hits the more stable air we should just see
general thunderstorms with them weakening to ending shortly after
midnight.

Wednesday should stay cooler as north winds and 850 mb temperatures
warming to around 20 (C) should lead to highs in the 80s.

In the long term LREF upper air patterns show a building ridge in
the southeast CONUS with strong southwesterly flow in the central
plains.  This will allow hotter air from the desert southwest to
overspread the region on Friday and Saturday with highs reaching
into the mid to upper 90s. Given the recent rains we should still
have fairly moist dewpoints despite the southwest winds so humidity
values will be higher and could lead to heat index values greater
than 100 degrees especially east of highway 183.   Heat risk across
southwest Kansas is at moderate to major suggesting that any
prolonged exposure to the heat will lead to a higher risk of heat
exhaustion.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1158 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Low to mid level clouds continue across southwest Kansas after
an outflow boundary earlier this morning passed through central
Kansas. MVFR flight category for LBL, GCK, and DDC are expected
through 21Z.

For HYS...a second outflow boundary is moving through central
Kansas and could lead to VCTS between 18-21Z.

For DDC...as the outflow boundary moves south and east we could
see VCTS near the terminal between 21Z-03Z. The better
confidence of storms will be south and east of DDC.

Post storm clouds should continue through at least 03Z which
could lead to MVFR flight category for all terminals and then
after 03Z we should see VFR flight category for the rest of the
time period.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for KSZ066-079>081-089-
090.

&&

DISCUSSION...Tatro
AVIATION...Tatro

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
329 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-180830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
329 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 /229 AM MDT Tue Jun 17 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Significant severe potential exists as storms are expected to
develop on Tuesday. With these storms a strong MCS is forecasted
to move across Kansas producing very strong and damaging winds.
All hazards are possible with organized wind being the largest
threat. Some uncertainty still remains both spatially and due to
the previous overnight's storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected unless multiple discrete cells
are able to develop and maintain themselves.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1253 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSZ046-171845-
Rush KS-
1253 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY THROUGH
145 PM CDT...

At 1253 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near La Crosse, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Bison around 100 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Otis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 9903 3847 9904 3844 9935 3861 9940
      3870 9912 3870 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 1753Z 256DEG 25KT 3855 9929

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1258 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSZ046-171830-
Rush KS-
1258 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTY THROUGH
130 PM CDT...

At 1257 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Alexander, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Nekoma around 105 PM CDT.
  Rush Center around 110 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3835 9958 3848 9958 3854 9926 3836 9920
TIME...MOT...LOC 1757Z 253DEG 23KT 3842 9950

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
144 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSZ065-066-079-171915-
Stafford KS-Pawnee KS-Edwards KS-
144 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE...
SOUTHWESTERN STAFFORD AND EAST CENTRAL EDWARDS COUNTIES THROUGH 215
PM CDT...

At 144 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Belpre, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Macksville around 155 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3787 9915 3803 9919 3804 9891 3789 9887
TIME...MOT...LOC 1844Z 251DEG 10KT 3796 9909

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
453 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

KSZ090-172230-
Barber KS-
453 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN BARBER COUNTY THROUGH
530 PM CDT...

At 453 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lake City, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Medicine Lodge around 505 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 9881 3730 9890 3747 9855 3747 9847
      3739 9846 3739 9841 3738 9835 3731 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 244DEG 32KT 3729 9876

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

BENNETT