Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS State College, PA

June 28, 2025Bedford County, Fulton County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 28, 2025, 2:21 PM EDT for Bedford County, Fulton County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2025, 2:21 PM EDT (18:21 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2025, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Bedford County, PA, Fulton County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 28, 11:48 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 325 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 413 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -25 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
413 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
718 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 28, 12:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 12:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1210 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
* Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with torrential
  downpours are possible this afternoon into the evening
* Sunday will be the best day of the last weekend of June with
  lower humidity and rain-free/dry conditions
* Stormy pattern resumes early next week with renewed risk of
  strong to severe storms and locally heavy rainfall

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
* The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued Severe
  Thunderstorm Watch #471 for most of Central Pennsylvania until
  800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
through the day across the watch area, ahead of an approaching cold
front.  The strongest cells will pose a risk of locally damaging
wind gusts.

Previous Discussion Issued: 1046 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Mid morning visible satellite and observational trends show low
clouds gradually eroding across the central and eastern portions
of CPA. The stratus deck will persist the longest over the mid
to lower Susquehanna Valley.

Important update in the near term is a categorical SWO upgrade
to SLGT risk from SPC along (50mi either side) of the US220/I99
corridor. Based on the 12Z discussion, the key driver behind the
increased severe tstm risk level (from 1 to 2 out of 5) was
more influence (forcing) from southern extent of weak mid level
trough crossing southern Ontario. The trailing cold front/wind
shift has not crossed Lake Erie as of 1430Z.

Hires models all generally agree in storm development
along/ahead of the weak cold front/wind shift or perhaps
prefrontal/lee trough. The longevity of low clouds could offset
diurnal heating and push back CI particularly across the
southeast zones. The other potential limiting factor in play in
terms of severe storm risk is the lack of deep layer vertical
shear <30kts. If enough instability can be realized to produce
steep low level lapse rates (with max temps projected to rebound
10-20 degrees vs. Friday) along with water loading from high PW
airmass -- that pulse to multi-cell environment would be
largely supportive of an isolated wind damage threat in the
strongest cores/storms. Overall, we are not super bullish on the
severe setup, but could easily see at least a couple of SVRs
being issued.

Last items is locally heavy rainfall: WPC has most of the area
in a MRGL risk ERO. With high pwats 1.5-2 inches, a few very
heavy/torrential downpours are likely. Storm motions are more
progressive than yesterday, so any isolated flooding concerns
would be in repeat heavy rain zones.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Sfc high pressure building into CPA behind the front provides a
dry period tonight through Sunday. Any clearing tonight could
result in a foggy start to the day tomorrow. Sunday will see a
return of sunshine, drying conditions, and warmer temperatures
once high pressure is in control. High temps on Sunday will
reach the low 80s across the northern tier of the commonwealth
to the low 90s near south central PA along the Mason Dixon line.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The stormy and unsettled pattern resumes early next week with a
shortwave trough progressing through the Great Lakes sending a
quasi stationary/warm and cold front through the region Monday
and Tuesday. For now, the signal is relatively weak for rainfall
leading up to the 4th of July. However, another northern stream
front will keep low POPs in the forecast for Independence Day.
Whether or not we see precipitation for the 4th will be
dependent on how quickly the upper level low lifts out of New
England and gets replaced by building region over the central
US. Temperatures by the middle of next week are progged to be
just above to near climo.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Aside from an isolated shower early on this morning, looking
at mainly low clouds over the region this morning.

A cold front over the central Great Lakes will move across
the region later this afternoon, and could linger into the
early evening across the southeast (MDT, LNS).

Overall looking at some potential for fog late tonight.

Looking at dry weather on Sunday.

The next cold front will in early next week. Some of the
storms could be on the strong side again.

Outlook...

Sun...AM fog then VFR.

Mon-Tue...Showers and t-storms with times of fog and low clouds
overnight.

Wed...AM fog then VFR.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Steinbugl
NEAR TERM...Steinbugl
SHORT TERM...Tyburski
LONG TERM...Steinbugl/Bowen
AVIATION...Martin
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 12:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

PAZ004-291645-
Warren-
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ005-291645-
McKean-
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 471 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ006-010>012-037-041-042-046-051-053-291645-
Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Southern Lycoming-Montour-Columbia-
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 471 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ059-064>066-291645-
Lebanon-Adams-York-Lancaster-
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater
and heavy rainfall are possible this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible Monday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ033>036-057-058-063-291645-
Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Cumberland-
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 471 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible Monday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ017>019-024>028-045-049-050-052-056-291645-
Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-
Mifflin-Juniata-Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Northumberland-Perry-
1233 PM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 471 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible Monday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 1:47 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 12:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield, Elk47 min
Jun 28, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clearfield39 min
Jun 28, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan, Tioga43 min
Jun 28, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Lycoming, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland and 2 more50 min
Jun 28, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster42 min
Jun 28, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York77 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2025Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.