Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

116 
WWUS54 KCRP 020343
SVSCRP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1043 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

TXC479-020400-
/O.CON.KCRP.SV.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250502T0400Z/
Webb TX-
1043 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL WEBB COUNTY...

At 1042 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Las Tiendas,
or 19 miles west of Encinal, moving south at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Las Tiendas, La Esperanza Ranch Airport, Callaghan, and Botines.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 21 and 33.
 US Highway 83 between mile markers 668 and 696.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2820 9951 2780 9928 2773 9980 2778 9982
      2776 9982 2777 9983 2820 9987
TIME...MOT...LOC 0342Z 340DEG 24KT 2797 9966 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
627 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

Key Messages:

- Low to medium (20-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
  tonight, increasing to medium to high chance of showers and
  thunderstorms Friday night.

- Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall tonight

- Marginal Risk of Severe Weather tonight

A stationary front will coincide with a moisture axis to our
northeast will likely provide enough to fire some thunderstorms
off along that stationary front but, for now, it seems like these
storms will stay mostly to our north. Temperatures are continuing
to rise, with a dryline located to our northwest beginning to
move to the east. Expect that the dryline will be the most likely
cause of our low to medium (20-60%) chances for showers and
thunderstorms tonight. With high MUCAPE values (~3800 J/kg) and no
cap, expect thunderstorms could be strong to severe, particularly
over the Rio Grande Plains and Brush Country where higher
temperatures will lead to even greater instability. The Storm
Prediction Center has us in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather
tonight across these areas. Please pay attention to your weather
as any storms could quickly develop with large hail and gusty
winds as the primary threat. While we can only hope, there is
also a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall for these areas
tonight as well so we may even see as much as 0.7" inch of rain.

Chances for rainfall will increase Friday and Friday night ahead
of an approaching cold front/boundary. Moisture will remain in
place ahead of this front which could lead to a few efficient rain
makers. For now, expect a medium to high chance of showers and
thunderstorms across all of South Texas Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

Key Messages:

- Widespread rain in the southern Brush Country Saturday

- Daily widespread shower/thunderstorms Monday PM thru Thursday

Hi-res guidance shows that the previous day's line of storms will
generally meander in the RGV, bringing higher PoPs (50-70%) in the
southern Brush Country, but lower PoPs (25-50%) in our northern
zones and into the Victoria Crossroads. The latest NBM keeps this
PoP  trend (higher in the RGV and lower in our neck of the woods)
through Sunday afternoon. QPF totals haven't changed much, but as
mentioned previously, with high PWAT values, some higher rainfall
rates will be possible and thus locally higher rainfall totals.
Guidance currently still remains mainly 0.5 to 1", but with slightly
higher totals northwest where Thursday night rain is possible. GFS
ensemble probs of above 1" have decreased from last nights guidance,
but other ensembles still suggestion a medium chance.

Ridging builds by Sunday into Monday decreasing rain chances, but
high temperatures should remain in the 80s through Monday. Monday
afternoon, a closed low over the Four Corners will again bring upper-
level divergence supporting more widespread shower activity, but
with little movement of this upper-level feature, daily shower
activity persists through the latter-half of the upcoming week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

VFR conditions are expected to continue through 06z this evening
except for LRD and COT, who can see periodic MVFR conditions with
the possible thunderstorms form 02-06z. Any thunderstorm that
develops will have a medium to high chance to become severe with
large hail being the primary threat. All other sites will join
into the MVFR conditions around 06z until about 14-16z which is
when ceilings are expected to lift and return VFR conditions back
to the region. Winds will become light tonight and increase once
again tomorrow with gusts to 26-28 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

A moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) breeze will decrease to a gentle (BF
3) breeze Friday night. There is a low to medium chance of showers
and thunderstorms Friday night. Saturday, flow becomes more
gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) northwesterly flow with 3-4 ft seas.
By Sunday night, flow veers to be more southeasterly with 4 ft
seas through Monday. From Monday night, onshore flow persists
allowing seas to increase to 5-6 ft in the open waters. Chances
for showers and thunderstorms exists daily through the upcoming
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    74  88  71  83 /  20  10  50  50
Victoria          71  88  67  83 /  20  30  60  30
Laredo            73  96  70  82 /  40  20  70  60
Alice             72  92  70  84 /  20  20  60  50
Rockport          75  85  72  84 /  20  20  60  50
Cotulla           71  95  68  83 /  50  30  60  30
Kingsville        73  90  70  83 /  20  10  50  60
Navy Corpus       75  84  73  81 /  20  10  60  60

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...LS/77
LONG TERM....AE/82
AVIATION...JCP/84

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1017 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

TXZ239-020400-
Webb TX-
1017 PM CDT Thu May 1 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN WEBB COUNTY THROUGH
1100 PM CDT...

At 1016 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles west of La Esperanza Ranch Airport, or 23 miles west of
Encinal, moving south at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Las Tiendas, La Esperanza Ranch Airport, and Callaghan.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 26 and 34.
 US Highway 83 between mile markers 668 and 692.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
south central Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 2820 9991 2820 9947 2786 9932 2778 9985
      2780 9985 2779 9987 2784 9988 2788 9991
      2790 9989 2792 9991
TIME...MOT...LOC 0316Z 349DEG 26KT 2812 9973

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TE