Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Storm Warnings in 2025
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this winter storm warning at Dec 10, 2025, 12:45 AM EST for Erie County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Dec 10, 2025, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 49 hr. 20 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 10, 2025, 12:45 AM EST (05:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 10, 2025, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 12, 2025, 2:00 AM EST
- In force
- 49 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
County Erie County, PA
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 6:45 AM EST | SNOW 2 | 1 Ssw Elgin, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 2.3 | 4 W Colt Station, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 7:30 AM EST | SNOW 2.3 | 1 Nnw Corry, PA | 24-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 2 | 4 S Wesleyville, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 6:00 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 4 Se Harborcreek, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.4 | 4 W Colt Station, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 7:30 PM EST | SNOW 3.9 | 4 Nw Waterford, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 8:00 PM EST | SNOW 3 | 4 S Wesleyville, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 8:40 PM EST | SNOW 2 | 1 W Edinboro, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 10, 8:45 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 1 Ssw Elgin, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 5:00 AM EST | SNOW 3 | 2 Nw Edinboro, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 6:06 AM EST | SNOW 2 | 4 Se Harborcreek, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 6:30 AM EST | SNOW 3.5 | 1 Ssw Elgin, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Waterford, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 7:30 AM EST | SNOW 8.5 | 1 Nnw Corry, PA | 24-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 5:45 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 1 Ssw Elgin, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 7:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.2 | 2 Ese North East, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 7:20 PM EST | SNOW 2.5 | Waterford, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 7:33 PM EST | SNOW 3.2 | 4 Nw Waterford, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
| Dec 11, 8:35 PM EST | SNOW 2.1 | 1 W Edinboro, PA | 12-hour snowfall. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 820 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 77 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 399 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 496 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
103 WWUS41 KCLE 100545 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1245 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 PAZ002-101345- /O.UPG.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.251210T0600Z-251212T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.WS.W.0003.251210T0600Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Corry, Union City, and Edinboro 1245 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations 8 to 10 inches. Locally higher amounts up to 14 inches within the most persistent lake effect snow bands. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial period of snow is expected late tonight into early Wednesday, with peak snow rates of up to 1 inch per hour. After a break in the snow most of the day Wednesday, a period of snow and falling temperatures is expected Wednesday evening. Lake effect snow develops overnight Wednesday night and persists through Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-101345- /O.EXB.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.251210T0900Z-251212T0200Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Chardon, Middlefield, Jefferson, Chesterland, Burton, Bainbridge, Andover, South Russell, Roaming Shores, and Orwell 1245 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM early this morning to 9 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions with slower travel likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial period of snow is expected early Wednesday before a break in snow most of the day on Wednesday. A period of snow and falling temperatures is expected Wednesday evening. Lake effect snow develops overnight Wednesday night and persists through Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-101345- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.251210T0600Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville and Meadville 1245 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches through Wednesday evening. An additional 3 to 5 inches of snow late Wednesday night through Thursday night within the most persistent lake effect snow bands. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial period of snow is expected late tonight into early Wednesday, with peak snow rates of up to 1 inch per hour. After a break in the snow most of the day Wednesday, a period of snow and falling temperatures is expected Wednesday evening. Lake effect snow develops overnight Wednesday night and persists through Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ 13
8 follow-up statements
854 WWUS41 KCLE 101311 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 811 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 PAZ002-102115- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Edinboro, Corry, and Union City 811 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations 8 to 10 inches. Locally higher amounts up to 14 inches within the most persistent lake effect snow bands. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial period of snow is expected early Wednesday, with peak snow rates of up to 1 inch per hour. After a break in the snow most of the day Wednesday, a period of snow and falling temperatures is expected Wednesday evening. Lake effect snow develops overnight Wednesday night and persists through Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-102115- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0200Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Orwell, Andover, Roaming Shores, South Russell, Jefferson, Chardon, Middlefield, Burton, Bainbridge, and Chesterland 811 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 9 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial period of snow is expected early Wednesday before a break in snow most of the day on Wednesday. A period of snow and falling temperatures is expected Wednesday evening. Lake effect snow develops overnight Wednesday night and persists through Thursday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-102115- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville and Meadville 811 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches through Wednesday evening. An additional 3 to 5 inches of snow late Wednesday night through Thursday night within the most persistent lake effect snow bands. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial period of snow is expected early Wednesday, with peak snow rates of up to 1 inch per hour. After a break in the snow most of the day Wednesday, a period of snow and falling temperatures is expected Wednesday evening. Lake effect snow develops overnight Wednesday night and persists through Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ 23
045 WWUS41 KCLE 102050 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 350 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 PAZ002-110500- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Union City, Corry, and Edinboro 350 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. Locally higher amounts up to 12 inches within the most persistent lake effect snow bands. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial burst of snow will accompany a cold front this evening, with a quick coating of snow on roadways and visibilities dropping below one half mile at times. Wet roads will also become icy if left untreated. Lake effect snow showers will then develop late tonight and persist through Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-110500- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0200Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Chardon, Middlefield, Burton, Andover, Chesterland, Roaming Shores, Bainbridge, Orwell, South Russell, and Jefferson 350 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches, with locally up to 4 inches in the highest elevations. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 9 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial burst of snow will accompany a cold front this evening, with a quick coating of snow on roadways and visibilities dropping below one half mile at times. Wet roads will also become icy if left untreated. After a lull, lake effect snow showers will then develop Thursday and persist through Thursday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-110500- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Meadville and Titusville 350 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. Locally higher amounts up to 7 inches within the most persistent lake effect snow bands. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with slower travel likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An initial burst of snow will accompany a cold front this evening, with a quick coating of snow on roadways and visibilities dropping below one half mile at times. Wet roads will also become icy if left untreated. Lake effect snow showers will then develop late tonight and persist through Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ Garuckas
378 WWUS41 KCLE 110229 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 929 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 PAZ002-111030- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Union City, Corry, and Edinboro 929 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. The heaviest snow is expected tonight with lighter snow showers Thursday into Thursday night. Temperatures will fall to near 20 degrees overnight allowing wet snow or water on roads to freeze. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. If you must travel in the warned area, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-111030- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0200Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Middlefield, Burton, Andover, Orwell, Bainbridge, South Russell, Roaming Shores, Chardon, Chesterland, and Jefferson 929 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow showers. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph tonight. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 9 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall to near 20 degrees overnight allowing wet snow or water on roads to freeze. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-111030- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville and Meadville 929 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow showers. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches with locally higher amounts in the northeast. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with slower travel likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall to near 20 degrees overnight allowing wet snow or water on roads to freeze. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ 10
006 WWUS41 KCLE 110838 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 338 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 PAZ002-111645- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Corry, Edinboro, and Union City 338 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery conditions with with slower travel likely The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. The heaviest snow is expected through daybreak with lighter snow showers today into tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-111645- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0200Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Middlefield, Orwell, Bainbridge, Andover, Roaming Shores, Chesterland, South Russell, Jefferson, Burton, and Chardon 338 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations up to two inches. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 9 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-111645- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville and Meadville 338 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with slower travel likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ 13
357 WWUS41 KCLE 111607 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1107 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 PAZ002-120015- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Union City, Corry, and Edinboro 1107 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery conditions with with slower travel likely The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. The heaviest snow is expected through daybreak with lighter snow showers today into tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. If you must travel in the warned area, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-120015- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0200Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Burton, Orwell, Chardon, Middlefield, Jefferson, Andover, Roaming Shores, South Russell, Chesterland, and Bainbridge 1107 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow showers. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph tonight. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 9 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall to near 20 degrees overnight allowing wet snow or water on roads to freeze. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-120015- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Meadville and Titusville 1107 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow showers. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches with locally higher amounts in the northeast. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with slower travel likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will fall to near 20 degrees overnight allowing wet snow or water on roads to freeze. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ 23
685 WWUS41 KCLE 111758 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1258 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 PAZ002-120200- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Corry, Edinboro, and Union City 1258 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 8 inches. The highest accumulations will be in southern and eastern portions of the county. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. The snow will gradually taper off tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. If you must travel in the warned area, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-120200- /O.EXT.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Jefferson, Andover, South Russell, Bainbridge, Middlefield, Orwell, Chesterland, Chardon, Roaming Shores, and Burton 1258 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow showers. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow showers will persist into tonight before tapering off late tonight. They will mainly be light, but bursts of moderate to briefly heavy snow will occur. Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-120200- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville and Meadville 1258 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow showers. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches with locally higher amounts in the northeast. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions with slower travel likely. The hazardous conditions could impact the Thursday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most persistent band of snow will impact northeast portions of Crawford County at times, so snow amounts will highly vary across the county. The snow will gradually taper off tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ Garuckas
031 WWUS41 KCLE 120156 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 856 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 PAZ002-120900- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Union City, Corry, and Edinboro 856 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to locally 4 inches. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. The snow will gradually taper off late tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. If you must travel in the warned area, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. && $$ OHZ013-014-120900- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland- Including the cities of Burton, Roaming Shores, Jefferson, Middlefield, Chardon, Chesterland, South Russell, Orwell, Andover, and Bainbridge 856 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional local snow accumulations up to two inches. * WHERE...Ashtabula Inland and Geauga Counties. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow showers will taper off late tonight. They will mainly be light, but bursts of moderate snow will occur. Snow totals will vary based on where lake effect bands persist. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ PAZ003-120900- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville and Meadville 856 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to locally 3 inches. * WHERE...Crawford County. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most persistent band of snow will impact northeast portions of Crawford County at times, so snow amounts will be variable across the county. The snow will gradually taper off tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions. && $$ 10
894 WWUS41 KCLE 120700 WSWCLE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 200 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 PAZ002-121700- /O.CAN.KCLE.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.WS.A.0007.251213T1200Z-251215T0600Z/ Southern Erie- Including the cities of Corry, Union City, and Edinboro 200 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or more possible in the most persistent snow. Winds could gust up to 30 mph and produce some blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...Southern Erie County. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ OHZ013-014-PAZ003-121700- /O.CAN.KCLE.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-251212T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.WS.A.0007.251213T1200Z-251215T0600Z/ Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Crawford- Including the cities of Titusville, Chesterland, Andover, Roaming Shores, South Russell, Orwell, Meadville, Jefferson, Chardon, Burton, Middlefield, and Bainbridge 200 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or more possible in the most persistent snow. Winds could gust up to 30 mph and produce some blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...In Ohio, inland Ashtabula and Geauga Counties. In Pennsylvania, Crawford County. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ OHZ011-012-089-PAZ001-121700- /O.NEW.KCLE.WS.A.0007.251213T1200Z-251215T0600Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- Including the cities of Willoughby, Cleveland, Geneva, Erie, Conneaut, Wickliffe, Ashtabula, Eastlake, Mentor, Willowick, and Painesville 200 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or more possible in the most persistent snow. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph and produce blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...In Ohio, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, and Lake Counties. In Pennsylvania, northern Erie County. * WHEN...From Saturday morning through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Jaszka
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 10, 12:29 AM EST, 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 10, 12:29 AM EST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1229 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front lifts through the area early Wednesday ahead of strong
low pressure tracking through the central Great Lakes. A strong cold
front crosses late Wednesday behind this low pressure. Weak low
pressure tracks through the Ohio Valley Friday, with a cold front
crossing the area on Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
-Accumulating wet snow across the higher terrain of Northeast OH and
Northwest PA late tonight into early Wednesday, with road impacts to
the Wednesday morning commute in the higher elevations. The rest of
the area will see a cold rain or rain/snow mix.
-Southwest wind gusts of 35 to 45 MPH late tonight and Wednesday.
-Strong cold front late Wednesday afternoon and evening brings snow
showers to much of the area and falling temperatures. Snow will be
enhanced along the front by Lake Erie, with lake effect snow showers
developing behind the front across Northeast OH and Northwest PA.
Lingering flurries and snow showers across far Northeast OH and
Northwest PA this afternoon will continue to exit. A few flurries or
a bit of freezing drizzle may linger into the evening in the higher
terrain of Northwest PA, but should not be impactful. This will leave
a brief period of quiet weather across the area.
A strong clipper (sub 990mb) will swing through the southern Great
Lakes on Wednesday. This will lift a warm front across the local area
early Wednesday. An initial cold front will cross late Wednesday
morning and early afternoon, with a trailing cold front late
Wednesday afternoon/evening that will usher much colder air back in.
The general progression remains an initial thump of cold rain and wet
snow late tonight into early Wednesday, a dry slot with more showery
and intermittent precipitation (mainly rain) for several hours during
the day Wednesday, followed by snow showers (enhanced by the lake)
along the strong cold front late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Lake
effect then takes over Wednesday night as the clipper exits.
Precipitation will quickly spread in from the west-northwest very late
this evening through the overnight. Surface temperatures will reach
their lows early tonight, in the upper 20s/lower 30s east of the I-71
corridor (low to mid 30s along the immediate lakeshore) and mid 30s to
the west. Temperatures will then hold steady or just slowly rise
tonight (a brief period of wet-bulb/dynamic cooling as steadier precip
spreads in may briefly interrupt the warming) into early Wednesday.
Temperatures aloft have trended slightly cooler across Northwest PA
per model forecast soundings, though a warm nose may still initially
exist farther west across Ohio. Overall, expect precipitation to
arrive as mainly or all snow in PA and a rain/snow mix in Ohio. There
could be brief pockets of freezing rain in Northeast OH where surface
temperatures will be coldest, but this should be spotty and not last
long. Precipitation should change to mainly snow as far west as
roughly the I-71 corridor for a time early Wednesday morning when
rates are heaviest, with mainly rain or just some brief mix with snow
to the west of that. Still am concerned that a period of strong lift,
with this lift intersecting the dendritic growth zone (DGZ), will
lead to a brief (3-6 hour) window of moderate to heavy snow between
3-11 AM from west to east across Northeast OH/Northwest PA, especially
in the higher elevations. As a dry slot spreads in Wednesday morning
and low-level warm advection continues we should see snow become
lighter and more intermittent and change to mainly rain.
The snowfall forecast through Wednesday morning has not changed much,
aside from a modest increase in the higher terrain of the snowbelt.
3-5" is expected across the higher terrain of Northwest PA with 1-3"
across Northeast OH east of I-77, with lighter amounts near the lake.
Some light (<1" of slushy snow) accumulations are in the forecast as
far west as the higher terrain near Mansfield. There is just not
enough snow in the forecast to expand the Winter Weather Advisory into
Ohio, though the peak snow rates will be coinciding with the Wednesday
morning commute and the ground is cold, meaning the near or slightly
above freezing surface temperatures may not matter much. Essentially,
those in the higher terrain of Northeast OH and Northwest PA should
plan on a snowy and slick commute Wednesday morning, with the greatest
amounts and impacts in the advisory. Surrounding areas (such as
Cleveland/Akron/Youngstown) may at least see a brief period of slushy
travel during the commute given the timing of the burst of west snow,
even if snow amounts in these cities are around or under an inch.
We get into a dry slot Wednesday morning and early afternoon behind
the initial slug of precip, though it won't be an especially clean dry
slot. Scattered showers (mainly rain) will continue off and on,
particularly along a cold front that will cross late morning into the
afternoon from west to east. A broken band of weak convective showers
(that may bring enhanced wind gusts and brief small hail or graupel)
is still likely along that front. Highs will reach the upper 30s and
low 40s around midday Wednesday before starting to slowly fall through
the afternoon behind the initial cold front. Wind gusts will still
ramp up out of the south-southwest beneath a strong low-level jet late
tonight into early Wednesday and remain gusty through the day while
gradually shifting more westerly. Gusts of 35 to 45 MPH are generally
expected to handle it, with the strongest flow aloft occurring early
Wednesday in a warm advection regime with ongoing precipitation (none
of which is favorable for efficiently mixing down stronger winds).
So, while forecast gusts do approach Wind Advisory criteria and one or
two such gusts can't be ruled out, continued to hold off on issuing a
Wind Advisory with this update. Wind gusts will remain elevated into
early Wednesday evening before gradually diminishing.
A stronger cold front, associated with a sharp low-mid level trough
axis behind the departing clipper, will cross late Wednesday afternoon
and evening. Scattered to numerous snow showers are still likely
area-wide with this feature, with a more coherent burst of lake
enhanced snow southeast of Lake Erie across Northeast OH and Northwest
PA. Most of the area will see minimal (under 1") accumulation with
this front, with a quick inch or two in the snowbelt with it. Not much
snow, but temperatures will quickly drop below freezing Wednesday
evening which along with even a light amount of snow could contribute
to slick or icy conditions across a good chunk of the area. Outside of
developing lake effect off of Lake Erie into the snowbelt and a few
flurries pushing off of Lake Michigan into our western counties
overnight, dry conditions are expected to take hold Wednesday night.
Lows will generally reach the low to mid 20s, with a few 10s west.
Lake effect snow will start developing quickly later Wednesday evening
and night as some lingering low-level synoptic moisture combines with
quickly cooling temperatures aloft. Forecast soundings depict marginal
instability and fairly dry low-levels back towards Cleveland, which
along with a more northwest flow (short fetch) will limit the
intensity of activity for most of the snowbelt...particularly in Ohio.
However, soundings are a bit more favorable towards Erie which could
allow for a more intense band of snow with connection to Lake Huron to
develop overnight across Northwest PA. While it won't be the most snow
ever for these areas, a few inches may occur overnight if an
organized band connected to Lake Huron can develop. With lake
accumulating lake effect then continuing in the forecast through
Thursday night, extended the end time of the advisories until 4 AM
Friday to cover the lake effect.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
-Lake effect snow continues across far Northeast OH and Northwest PA
Thursday into Thursday night.
-A clipper tracking through the Ohio Valley may spread light snow into
southwestern portions of the area late Thursday night into Friday.
The main story for Thursday and much of Thursday night will be cold
but mainly dry conditions across the area outside of continuing lake
effect snow across the primary snowbelt. It will still be mostly
cloudy across the area, with some (non-accumulating) flurries also a
possibility into Thursday across Northwest OH off of Lake Michigan.
Highs are expected to range from the mid 20s to near 30 on Thursday,
with lows Thursday night ranging from the mid 10s to mid 20s.
Into the primary snowbelt the focus will remain continuing lake effect
snow through a good portion of Thursday night, with enough ridging
expected to build in by early Friday to put a significant lid on any
remaining activity. A moderate to heavy band of snow with connection
to Lake Huron may still be impacting eastern Erie County PA early
Thursday, but then likely shifts into western NY. Am expecting fairly
disorganized and light activity outside of this Lake Huron connection
initially, though as winds gradually back more westerly (increasing
fetch) and bring moisture from Lake Michigan into play there should be
some uptick in organization and intensity Thursday afternoon and
evening, particularly across the higher terrain of inland Erie County
and northern Crawford County. Lowering inversion heights and a drier
airmass are shown by all guidance overnight Thursday night into early
Friday as high pressure builds in, meaning the main window for lake
effect in this forecast period will likely be Thursday afternoon
through the first half of Thursday night. Overall this is not the most
impressive lake effect setup, though favorable snow ratios may help
contribute to another few inches of fluffy snow across parts of inland
Northwest PA where organized banding is able to develop Thursday into
Thursday night. There will be some activity into Ohio as far west as
the Cleveland area as well though it will be on the lighter side, with
perhaps locally up to a couple inches of additional snow Thursday and
Thursday night where bands are able to develop east of Cleveland.
It will be mostly cloudy on Friday as a clipper drives through the
Ohio Valley. This clipper will be weakening and just graze our area,
but may bring some light snow to our southwestern counties in the
vicinity of Friday morning. Otherwise, continued backing flow should
gradually push any lingering lake effect in extreme Northeast OH and
Northwest PA out into Lake Erie through the day Friday. Highs on
Friday are expected to reach the upper 20s and lower 30s.
Forecast uncertainty increases Friday night. It will probably be a
mainly dry night between systems. However, disagreement on whether the
next cold front (with a chance of snow showers and lake effect behind
it) will cross very late Friday night or on Saturday is enough that
blended model guidance (which is largely the basis of our forecast)
brought increased POPs for snow late Friday night, especially across
the primary snowbelt. Lows in the upper 10s to mid 20s are forecast.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
-High confidence in very cold weather this weekend, with highs
struggling to exceed 20 and lows in the single digits and 10s. Wind
chills may dip below 0 degrees at times.
-A strong cold front and passing clipper system may bring light snow
accumulations area-wide Saturday or Saturday evening, with lake
effect into the snowbelt Saturday night and Sunday.
A cold front is expected to cross late Friday night or Saturday
morning, bringing with it a chance for snow showers area-wide with
greater potential for snow across far Northeast OH and Northwest PA
due to contribution from Lake Erie. Models are in agreement that
another shortwave/clipper, with a tap to truly Arctic air behind it,
will cross late Saturday into Saturday night. However, there is some
disagreement regarding where a swath of fluffy accumulating snow will
track with that feature. Either way, there's increasing confidence in
west-northwest flow lake effect snow organizing/intensifying Saturday
night and Sunday as the deepest cold air moves through the region.
Lake effect looks to continue into at least Sunday night, though
should diminish or potentially even shut off on Monday as high
pressure slides through the region. Quieter weather is then expected
for early next week on the backside of the high pressure.
The highest-confidence and most widespread impact will be cold
temperatures Saturday through early Monday. Daytime highs may still
reach the mid-upper 20s on Saturday but will struggle to exceed 20 on
Sunday. Overnight lows in the single digits and 10s are expected
Saturday and Sunday nights with wind chills likely dipping below 0
across at least portions of the area. Temperatures should start to
gradually moderate on Monday and Tuesday, though are currently not
forecast to get above freezing through the end of the 7-day forecast.
What remains less confident is snow potential. Guidance is trying to
key in on a swath of fluffy accumulating snow impacting a good portion
of our forecast area Saturday afternoon and evening, though enough
variability exists among ensemble members still to keep confidence in
this affecting the area more in the "medium" range. We are not talking
a big snow, but a typical 1-3/2-4" fluffy clipper snow appears in
play wherever the swath of snow ends up tracking. Some lake effect may
be ongoing on Saturday, though is most favored late Saturday through
Sunday night. Variation remains on guidance regarding the exact wind
direction, depth of cold air, and amount of moisture to work with.
However, we seem to be trending towards a decent period of west-
northwest flow Saturday night through Sunday night with most guidance
showing 850mb temperatures dipping to -16 to -20C on Sunday. This
suggests potential for an impactful accumulation of fluffy lake
effect favoring inland portions of the snowbelt. However, still need
to allow details to become clearer before speculating more than that.
Those in the snowbelt region of Northeast OH and Northwest PA should
continue to monitor the forecast for the second half of this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Rapid deterioration in aviation conditions expected over the
next 4-8 hours. A strong clipper system approaching Lake
Michigan will pass north of Lake Erie today, lifting a warm
front north across the area into this morning. Precipitation
is expanding east across the area with rain at TOL/FDY and a mix
at MFD. Light snow has begun at CLE and will reach CAK/YNG/ERI
by 7-8Z. CLE/CAK will transition to a rain/snow mix, eventually
reaching YNG/ERI. IFR ceilings and low visibilities are
expected behind the warm front during the day on Wednesday and
can not rule out patchy fog, especially at CAK/YNG with
visibilities below one mile at times.
A cold front will arrive from northwest to southeast as the
clipper continues east into Quebec late today. The cold front
will cause a transition back to a rain/snow mix, except perhaps
all snow at terminals in the northeast after 21Z.
Winds will also be a concern through the TAF period. Winds will
increase overnight as the gradient tightens and as a 50+ knot
low level jet passes overhead. Most terminals will see wind
gusts of 25-35 knots by 12Z. Started off with a mention of low
level wind sheer at CLE/CAK/YNG where winds are not yet gusting
at the surface. Winds will peak in the 10-13 window in NW Ohio
and then behind the cold front for all locations with gusts of
30-35 knots.
Outlook...Non-VFR is expected to continue for portions of the
area Wednesday night in snow showers. Periods of snow showers
will continue in the snowbelt with a widespread snow possible
with another cold front Saturday evening.
&&
.MARINE...
A series of systems will cross Lake Erie over the next several days,
resulting in a prolonged period of hazardous marine conditions.
Southwest winds to 20 to 30 knots are expected this afternoon
through tonight with winds increasing further by early Wednesday
morning as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Marginal
gales are likely primarily east of the Islands Wednesday morning
through early Wednesday evening with the highest winds anticipated
in the open waters of the central basin. Gale Warnings remain in
effect for the open and nearshore waters from Reno Beach east from
09Z/4 AM to 00Z/7 PM Wednesday with a Small Craft Advisory in effect
from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach through Wednesday night.
Confidence in the potential for low water in the western basin has
decreased. Favorable conditions for low water scenarios typically
involve more west-southwest to west winds (starting at 240 to 250
degrees) and the window for favorable winds will only be for a brief
period Wednesday morning. The critical mark for safe navigation at
Toledo is currently 8 inches below low water datum and latest LEOFS
guidance places the minimum water level near that level Wednesday
morning, which suggests a relatively low confidence forecast. Will
need to keep an eye on guidance and observations though; a Low Water
Advisory may need to be issued at some point late tonight or early
Wednesday morning, especially if the wind takes on a more westerly
component longer than currently anticipated.
Winds will shift to the northwest behind the cold front late
Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening and Small Craft
Advisories will be needed after the Gale Warning ends and as winds
remain in the 20 to 30 knot range through much of Thursday. Winds
will gradually diminish Thursday night into Friday morning and
headlines will likely end as south/southwest winds to 10 to 15 knots
develop during the day Friday. Headlines will likely return to the
lake as an Arctic front moves across the lake late Friday into
Saturday with stronger winds persisting into Sunday.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST Friday for PAZ002-003.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for LEZ142.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for
LEZ143>149.
Gale Warning from 4 AM early this morning to 7 PM EST this
evening for LEZ143>149-163>169.
&&
SYNOPSIS...Sullivan
NEAR TERM...Sullivan
SHORT TERM...Sullivan
LONG TERM...Sullivan
AVIATION...10
MARINE...15Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 9, 1:41 PM EST, 11 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 141 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>033-036>038-047-101845- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina- Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox- 141 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Southwest winds may gust to 40 mph late tonight and Wednesday. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A period of cold weather is expected this weekend, with highs struggling to get into the 20s with lows in the single digits and 10s. Wind chills may dip below 0 Saturday and Sunday nights. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. OHZ011>014-021>023-089-PAZ001-101845- Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie- 141 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Southwest winds may gust to 40 mph late tonight and Wednesday. A period of wet snow is expected across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania late tonight into early Wednesday. Accumulating snow will likely impact the Wednesday morning commute in the higher elevations of the snowbelt, with lesser impacts near Lake Erie and outside of the higher elevations. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A burst of lake enhanced snow and falling temperatures will accompany a cold front late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Roads may quickly turn icy and slick as temperatures drop Wednesday evening. A clipper and strong cold front will progress through the area Saturday into Saturday night, with lingering lake effect snow across the snowbelt through Sunday. Impactful snow accumulations are possible this weekend, but confidence in the details is low. A period of cold weather is expected this weekend, with highs struggling to get into the 20s with lows in the single digits and 10s. Wind chills may dip below 0 Saturday and Sunday nights. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ002-003-101845- Southern Erie-Crawford- 141 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. A clipper and strong cold front will progress through the area Saturday into Saturday night, with lingering lake effect snow across the snowbelt through Sunday. Impactful snow accumulations are possible this weekend, but confidence in the details is low. A period of cold weather is expected this weekend, with highs struggle to get into the 20s with lows in the single digits and 10s. Wind chills may dip below 0 Saturday and Sunday nights. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ061-143>149-163>169-101845- Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Reno Beach to The Islands OH- The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH- Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva- on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the- Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 141 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. Low water conditions are possible across the western basin Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LEZ142-162-101845- Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH- Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- 141 PM EST Tue Dec 9 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Low water conditions are possible across the western basin Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2025Every winter storm warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.