River Flood Warning 22, NWS Cleveland, OH

587 
WGUS81 KCLE 061333
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
933 AM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/cle.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 745 PM EDT.

&&

OHC155-062345-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250507T0406Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.250506T0827Z.250506T1600Z.250506T2206Z.UU/
933 AM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek at Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and 
  Knowlton Roads will be flooded and impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.3
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

26

544 
WGUS81 KCLE 061808
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
208 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/cle.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 1215 AM EDT.

&&

OHC155-070415-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250508T0332Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.250506T0827Z.250507T0200Z.250507T2132Z.UU/
208 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek at Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Flooding begins on Braceville Robinson 
  Road. Portions of Barcley Messerly Road south of Eagle Creek Road 
  will be impassable. Some homes will be threatened.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 11.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.1
    feet late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

26

574 
WGUS81 KCLE 070239
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1039 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...Observed flooding changed to Minor severity and increased in 
duration for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria affecting Lorain County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck affecting Wayne and Holmes Counties.

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek Above Findlay affecting Hancock County.

For the Killbuck Creek...including Killbuck...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Hancock)...including Findlay...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/cle.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 500 AM EDT.

&&

OHC063-071245-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-250507T1330Z/
/FECO1.1.ER.250506T2150Z.250507T0300Z.250507T0717Z.UU/
1039 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek above Findlay.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Water from the Eagle Creek will impact 
  portions of South Blanchard Street, Brookside Drive, Fremont and 
  Graceland Streets. The intersections of Beechmont Drive with 
  Fairmont and Rosemont Drives flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.7
    feet late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8366 4104 8363 4087 8366 4087 8370


$$

OHC093-070900-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-250507T0900Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.250506T2345Z.250507T0215Z.250507T0249Z.NO/
1039 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Black River at Elyria.

* WHEN...Until late tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle 
  Township along Woodside Drive.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this evening and continue falling to 6.3 feet Thursday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212


$$

OHC155-071245-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250508T0330Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.250506T0827Z.250507T0145Z.250507T2132Z.UU/
1039 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek at Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Flooding begins on Braceville Robinson 
  Road. Portions of Barcley Messerly Road south of Eagle Creek Road 
  will be impassable. Some homes will be threatened.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 5.1 feet Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

OHC075-169-071245-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-250509T0600Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.250504T0705Z.250507T0600Z.250509T0000Z.NO/
1039 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Killbuck Creek near Killbuck.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooded roads in and near Killbuck include 
  Water Street, County Road 621, State Route 60 south, State Route 
  520, as well as local low lying roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.0
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202


$$

04

998 
WGUS81 KCLE 071124
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
724 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Portage River At Woodville affecting Wood and Sandusky Counties.

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck affecting Holmes and Wayne Counties.

For the Portage River...including Woodville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Killbuck Creek...including Killbuck...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/cle.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 300 PM EDT.

&&

OHC143-173-071900-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-250508T1200Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.250507T0525Z.250507T1800Z.250508T0600Z.NO/
724 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Portage River at Woodville.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, The river inundates lower portions of Trail 
  Marker Park and is out of banks in Pemberville.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:30 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.8
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4136 8354 4148 8334 4143 8334 4135 8349


$$

OHC155-071900-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250508T0332Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.250506T0827Z.250507T0145Z.250507T2132Z.UU/
724 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek at Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and 
  Knowlton Roads will be flooded and impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue falling to 5.1 feet Sunday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

OHC075-169-071900-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-250509T0600Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.250504T0705Z.250507T0930Z.250509T0000Z.NO/
724 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Killbuck Creek near Killbuck.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooded roads in and near Killbuck include 
  Water Street, County Road 621, State Route 60 south, State Route 
  520, as well as local low lying roads.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 12.1 feet Sunday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202


$$

15

079 
WGUS81 KCLE 071541 RRA
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1141 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

For the Eagle Creek (Trumbull)...including Phalanx Station...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/cle.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 945 PM EDT.

&&

OHC155-080145-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250508T0332Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.250506T0827Z.250507T0145Z.250507T2132Z.UU/
1141 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Eagle Creek at Phalanx Station.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Barclay Messerly Road, McConnell East, and 
  Knowlton Roads will be flooded and impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.3
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

23

534 
WGUS81 KCLE 071842
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
242 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station affecting Trumbull County.

OHC155-071945-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-250507T1842Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.250506T0827Z.250507T0145Z.250507T1725Z.UU/
242 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:00 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.2 feet early
    Sunday morning.

  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100


$$

23

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1053 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

...00z TAF Aviation and Near Term Forecast Update...

.SYNOPSIS...
Upper level low pressure will remain over the region on Tuesday then
depart to the east on Wednesday. A cold front will settle south
across the area Wednesday night. High pressure will build south
across the Great Lakes to the Ohio Valley Thursday through
Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
830 pm update...
We will keep this forecast update short due to ongoing strong
to severe convection ongoing in the area and over the lake. We
will let the Severe Storm Watch expire at 9 pm. The severe
weather threat has mostly come to an end for this evening. We
can't rule out an isolated strong storm through the rest of the
evening. The overall trend will be a gradual decrease in the
coverage and intensity of the showers and heavier convection
through the overnight hours. We may see additional fog
development

Previous discussion...
Upper level low continues to spin over the Ohio Valley with an
inverted surface trough extending from West Virginia to
Northeast Ohio. We had one round of thunderstorms already this
afternoon move out of Pennsylvania across northeast Ohio. A more
vigorous round of thunderstorms are possible through the
evening as a shortwave rotates north around the upper low and
cold pool pivots north. Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been
issued for a portion of Central and Eastern Ohio until 9 PM
tonight. Given the proximity to the cold pool aloft and low
freezing levels, large hail is the primary concern with
thunderstorms. Damaging winds remain a concern as well and some
storms have also exhibited some weak rotation. Temperatures are
in the low 70s across east central Ohio but drop off quickly to
the north and west. The watch does not extend to the lakeshore
given the lower instability and some CIN across the northern
tier. However dewpoints have also mixed out some across east
central Ohio and ML CAPE only peaks around 500 J/kg at 4 PM.
Effective bulk shear of 30-40 knots will help to make up for
what we lack in instability to maintain organized convection. So
far we have received just a couple hail reports ranging from
half inch to an inch. The other concern for this evening is
heavy rain as storms have been producing efficient rainfall with
training possible. Portions of Northeast Ohio and Northwest
Pennsylvania have had between 1 to 2 inches of rain between last
night and this afternoon.

Showers and thunderstorms will generally dissipate and exit north by
midnight. The exception to this will be in NW Ohio where moisture
continues to wrap back around the western side of upper level low.
Rain is expected overnight then wraps east across the area again
through the day on Tuesday. This will bring another quarter to a
half inch of rain especially across the southern half of the
forecast area but showers are likely everywhere. Tuesday will be
cooler given the coverage of showers and clouds. Finally on Tuesday
night the upper level low shifts east into New York and
Pennsylvania. Showers will end from west to east and
conditions will start to dry out.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
During Wednesday through Wednesday night, a nearly vertically-
stacked low at the surface and aloft is expected to move ENE'ward
from the Upper Saint Lawrence River Valley and vicinity toward the
Canadian Maritimes. In addition, a shortwave trough is expected to
approach our region as it moves SE'ward from northern ON to near the
southwestern and central Great Lakes. The aforementioned low track
is still expected to allow a surface cold front to sweep SE'ward
across our CWA on Wednesday. Behind the cold front, a surface ridge
builds from the Upper Midwest through Wednesday night. Low-level
convergence/moist ascent along the front and moist isentropic ascent
ahead of the shortwave trough axis may trigger isolated rain showers
in northern OH and NW PA on Wednesday through Wednesday night.
Intervals of sunshine and weak low-level WAA ahead of the cold front
should allow highs to reach the 60's to lower 70's late Wednesday
afternoon. Weak low-level CAA behind the cold front should
contribute to lows reaching the mid 40's to lower 50's around
daybreak Thursday.

The aforementioned shortwave trough should continue to approach our
CWA from the northwest Thursday morning. Its axis should begin to
drift SE'ward across our region Thursday afternoon and near a Erie,
PA to Mount Vernon, OH line by daybreak Friday. Isolated showers
remain possible amidst moist isentropic ascent ahead of the trough
axis aloft. Behind the shortwave trough axis, a ridge aloft builds
slowly from the north-central United States. At the surface, the
aforementioned ridge will continue to build from the Upper Midwest
and western Great Lakes through daybreak Friday. Continued weak low-
level CAA will contribute to late afternoon highs reaching the mid
50's to lower 60's late Thursday afternoon, despite intervals of
sunshine, and overnight lows reaching the 40's around daybreak
Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
On Friday, the above-mentioned shortwave trough axis is expected to
exit SE'ward from the rest of our region by nightfall. Very isolated
rain showers remain possible amidst moist isentropic ascent ahead of
this shortwave trough axis aloft. Otherwise, the above-mentioned
ridge at the surface and aloft is expected to impact our region as
the core of the surface ridge moves from near the central Great
Lakes to near Lake Erie and the Delmarva Peninsula, and the core of
the ridge aloft moves from near the Upper MS Valley and northern
Great Lakes to near Lake Erie and the Delmarva Peninsula.
Stabilizing subsidence accompanying the ridge will promote mainly
fair weather in our region. However, on Saturday, a weakening
shortwave trough may ripple generally E'ward through the ridge aloft
and allow the attendant/weakening surface trough axis to reach NW OH
during the afternoon hours of Saturday before the surface trough
axis dissipates soon thereafter. Low-level convergence/moist ascent
along the surface trough axis may allow very isolated rain showers
to impact NW OH Saturday afternoon.

The expected weather pattern evolution at the surface and aloft
should allow weak low-level CAA on Friday to transition to WAA by
this upcoming weekend and Monday. Late afternoon highs in the mid
50's to mid 60's on Friday should moderate to late afternoon highs
in the upper 60's to upper 70's on Monday. A weak synoptic MSLP
gradient and sufficient daytime heating of surface air over land
surrounding relatively-cold Lake Erie should permit lake breeze
development during the late morning through early evening hours on
Saturday, and especially on Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
The overall message for aviation and this TAF update will be
more unsettled tonight lingering through tomorrow thanks to a
very slow moving cut off upper level low pressure system over
the Ohio Valley region. Conditions vary greatly this evening
across the area from VFR ceilings to IFR ceilings as well as
localized visibility reductions due to showers and isolated
storms. We are expecting the ongoing band of heavier showers and
isolated convection to gradually decrease in coverage and
weaken to scattered showers during overnight. Ceilings are
expect to drop to lower end MVFR and IFR late tonight into
Tuesday morning. Some areas of light fog and mist will redevelop
for much of the area later tonight into early Tuesday morning
with 3sm to 5sm vis reductions likely. THere could be some
pockets of thicker fog but we are not anticipating widespread
dense at this time. ceilings over NWOH and NEOH will likely
stay at IFR for most of Tuesday through the end of the TAF
period. The ceilings at YNG, ERI, and CAK may recover back to
MVFR by midday and afternoon on Tuesday. Winds will be light and
variable or from the southwest around 5 knots tonight. Winds
will be 5 to 10 knots from the west-southwest on Tuesday.

Outlook...Periodic showers with isolated thunderstorms and
non-VFR conditions are expected through Tuesday night. MVFR
ceilings may linger into Wednesday before scattering out. Non-
VFR ceilings will also accompany a cold front Wed night into
Thursday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
A trough lingers over Lake Erie for the time being. After meandering
in the Mid OH Valley, the parent low should wobble N'ward to near
southeastern Lower MI tonight through Tuesday. Primarily NE'erly to
E'erly winds around 5 to 15 knots through this evening are expected
to veer to S'erly to SW'erly and remain around 5 to 15 knots
overnight tonight into Tuesday as waves remain 3 feet or less.

Note: localized, lingering fog is present over southwestern and
central Lake Erie as of 4 PM EDT this afternoon. Fog should persist
and expand in coverage this evening as sufficient nocturnal cooling
allows a surface-based layer of air to cool to supersaturation over
a larger portion of the lake. During the predawn hours of Wednesday
morning, fog should dissipate as the aforementioned S'erly to
SW'erly winds freshen over Lake Erie and cause the fog to mix
significantly with unsaturated air. Given fog is localized as of 4
PM EDT this afternoon and the amount of fog expansion is uncertain,
refrained from reissuing a Marine Dense Fog Advisory, but trends in
observations and forecast model data will continue to be monitored.

The low is then expected to wobble ENE'ward from southeastern Lower
MI toward the Canadian Maritimes on Tuesday night through Wednesday
and allow a cold front to sweep SE'ward across Lake Erie Tuesday
evening through Wednesday. The cold front passage will cause S'erly
to SW'erly winds around 5 to 15 knots to veer to NW'erly to N'erly.
Waves should remain 3 feet or less. However, occasional 4 footers
are possible behind the cold front. Following the cold front, a
ridge should build from the western Great Lakes and vicinity through
Saturday. Accordingly, NW'erly to NE'erly winds around 5 to 15 knots
and waves of 3 feet or less are expected through Friday night.
Occasional 4 footers are possible. On Saturday, winds around 5 to 15
knots are expected to become variable in direction as the MSLP
gradient weakens. These winds should trend onshore during the late
morning through early evening due to lake breeze development. Waves
of 3 feet or less are forecast.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...10
NEAR TERM...10/77
SHORT TERM...Jaszka
LONG TERM...Jaszka
AVIATION...77
MARINE...Jaszka

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1006 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-070215-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
1006 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Areas of fog are possible on Lake Erie tonight.

Thunderstorms will also produce locally heavy rainfall and minor
flooding is possible tonight, mainly where training occurs.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-070215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1006 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
850 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSW Mount Vernon      40.37N 82.48W
05/05/2025                   Knox               OH   911 Call Center

            Knox County 911 Dispatch received reports of
            numerous trees down in the city of Mount
            Vernon.

&&

Sefcovic

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
903 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

OHZ022-032-033-060145-
Portage OH-Stark OH-Mahoning OH-
903 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN MAHONING...
SOUTHEASTERN PORTAGE AND NORTHEASTERN STARK COUNTIES THROUGH 945 PM
EDT...

At 902 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Lisbon, or 8 miles southwest of Salem, moving northwest
at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Alliance, Louisville, Sebring, Minerva, Hartville, Randolph, Atwater,
Beloit, Deerfield, Limaville, Robertsville, Maple Ridge, Maximo,
Uniontown, and Greentown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4095 8142 4097 8142 4115 8104 4093 8089
      4090 8089 4090 8108 4073 8109 4073 8118
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 150DEG 26KT 4079 8094

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

04

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
918 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 S Orrville            40.82N 81.77W
05/05/2025                   Wayne              OH   911 Call Center

            Wayne County 911 Dispatch received a report
            of a tree down at Kansas Road and Church
            Road.

&&

Sefcovic

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
920 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SSE Burbank           40.96N 81.98W
05/05/2025                   Wayne              OH   911 Call Center

            Wayne County 911 Dispatch received a report
            of a tree down at Sterling Road and
            Parmenter Road.

&&

Sefcovic

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
953 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

OHZ023-033-060245-
Mahoning OH-Trumbull OH-
953 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT TRUMBULL AND NORTHERN MAHONING
COUNTIES THROUGH 1045 PM EDT...

At 952 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Leavittsburg to near Youngstown to 6 miles
southeast of Campbell. Movement was northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Youngstown, Warren, Boardman, Niles, Campbell, Hubbard, Cortland,
Newton Falls, Lordstown, Vienna Center, Hilltop, Maplewood Park,
Bristolville, Leavittsburg, Austintown, Struthers, Girard, Vienna,
McDonald, and Mecca.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4097 8054 4106 8076 4110 8100 4118 8100
      4150 8085 4150 8077 4142 8052 4099 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 210DEG 13KT 4121 8088 4114 8067 4100 8054

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

04

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1017 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

OHZ011>014-021>023-089-060315-
Summit OH-Geauga OH-Portage OH-Lake OH-Trumbull OH-
Ashtabula Lakeshore OH-Cuyahoga OH-Ashtabula Inland OH-
1017 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN TRUMBULL...NORTHERN
PORTAGE...GEAUGA...EASTERN CUYAHOGA...LAKE...NORTHEASTERN SUMMIT AND
SOUTHWESTERN ASHTABULA COUNTIES THROUGH 1115 PM EDT...

At 1017 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
West Farmington, or 11 miles northwest of Warren, moving north at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Painesville, Willowick, Ravenna, Chardon, Fairport Harbor,
Geneva-On-The-Lake, Cuyahoga Falls, Euclid, Mentor, Cleveland
Heights, Kent, Solon, Willoughby, Hudson, Twinsburg, Eastlake,
Tallmadge, Streetsboro, and Warrensville Heights.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4134 8082 4105 8139 4148 8173 4162 8150
      4170 8141 4176 8129 4176 8124 4185 8104
      4186 8095
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 163DEG 35KT 4135 8098

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

04