Gale Watch 13, NWS Cleveland, OH

145 
WHUS71 KCLE 192050
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

LEZ144-164-200300-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west gales to 35 knots with gusts 
  up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 9 feet. For the Low Water 
  Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from The 
  Islands to Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 330 PM the water level at Toledo was 23
  inches below low water datum. The critical mark for safe
  navigation is 8 inches below low water datum. Water levels are
  expected to rise above the critical mark through the evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ061-200500-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0500Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.A.0013.251220T2100Z-251221T1500Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west gales to 40 knots with gusts 
  up to 45 knots and waves 11 to 16 feet. For the Gale Watch, west
  winds to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and waves 6 to 11 
  feet possible.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo NY.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until midnight EST tonight. For 
  the Gale Watch, from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145>147-165>167-200300-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West gales to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  waves 9 to 14 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from 
  Vermilion to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ148-149-168-169-200500-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0500Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* WHAT...West gales to 40 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  waves 10 to 15 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the-Lake 
  OH to Buffalo NY.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-200300-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds to 30 knots 
  with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet. For the Low 
  Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 330 PM the water level at Toledo was 23
  inches below low water datum. The critical mark for safe
  navigation is 8 inches below low water datum. Water levels are
  expected to rise above the critical mark through the evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162-163-200300-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The 
  Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 330 PM the water level at Toledo was 23
  inches below low water datum. The critical mark for safe
  navigation is 8 inches below low water datum. Water levels are
  expected to rise above the critical mark through the evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

006 
WHUS71 KCLE 200307
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

LEZ148-149-200900-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0080.251220T0307Z-251220T0900Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Geneva-on-the- 
  Lake OH to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ168-169-200415-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0500Z/
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Winds will gradually decrease overnight.

$$

LEZ144-200900-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.EXP.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0080.251220T0307Z-251220T0900Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds to 20 knots and waves up to 3 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ164-200415-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.EXP.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Water levels will continue to rise overnight as winds shift
towards the southwest and decrease.

$$

LEZ145>147-200900-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0080.251220T0307Z-251220T0900Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Geneva-on-the-Lake OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ165>167-200415-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Winds will gradually decrease overnight.

$$

LEZ142-143-200415-
/O.EXP.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Water levels will continue to rise overnight as winds shift
towards the southwest and decrease.

$$

LEZ162-163-200415-
/O.EXP.KCLE.LO.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-251220T0300Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Water levels will continue to rise overnight as winds shift
towards the southwest and decrease.

$$

LEZ061-201115-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-251220T0500Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.A.0013.251220T2100Z-251221T1500Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1007 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west winds 30 to 35 knots with 
  gusts up to 40 knots and waves 10 to 12 feet. For the Gale 
  Watch, west winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  waves 8 to 13 feet possible.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo NY.

* WHEN...For the Gale Warning, until midnight EST tonight. For 
  the Gale Watch, from Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

566 
WHUS71 KCLE 200807
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
307 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

LEZ144-145-201615-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-251220T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.251220T1400Z-251221T2100Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
307 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots
  and waves 4 to 8 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Avon Point OH.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 4 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will be out of the south today before
  shifting west tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ146>148-201615-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-251220T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.251220T1400Z-251222T0000Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
307 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots
  and waves 6 to 10 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will be out of the south today before
  shifting west tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ149-201615-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-251220T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.251220T1400Z-251222T0300Z/
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
307 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and
  waves 7 to 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH to 
  Ripley NY.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 10 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will be out of the south today before
  shifting west overnight tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ061-200915-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.A.0013.251220T2100Z-251221T1500Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
307 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

Southwest winds will increase to 30kt late this afternoon and
evening before shifting west tonight. Gusts up to 40 knots are 
possible this evening, with waves peaking at 8 to 12 feet tonight
into early Sunday. 

$$

LEZ142-143-201615-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.251220T1400Z-251221T1200Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
307 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 1 to 3 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...From 9 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will be out of the south today before
  shifting west tonight. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
914 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Sharply colder and windy today. Briefly warmer Saturday,
followed by another cold front Saturday night, and back to
chillier conditions again Sunday. Milder heading into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
9am Update...
A wind advisory has been issued for the eastern lakeshore due to
strong onshore flow with wind gusts up to 50 mph possible.
Strongest gusts will be along the immediate lakeshore. Gusts
will diminish west to east this evening into tonight. These
gusty winds may also result in blowing lake effect snow and
reduced visibilities.

Previous Discussion...
Cold front is currently cutting through the CWA this early
morning, and with it, moderate to briefly heavy shower activity,
plummeting temperatures, and a wind shift to a more west
southwesterly direction. As of 2am, no transition to snow just
yet in the western CWA with temperatures in the upper 30s, while
ahead of the cold front, low to mid 50s continue to prevail.
Wind gusts in the wake of the cold front are generally 30-40mph
in cold air advection. Primary driver of the winds is the
pressure gradient that has been significantly strong for the
past 24 hours or so. Winds off the surface in the lower levels
will be decreasing to around 40-45kts at 850mb, and will not
translate completely to the surface despite an unstable boundary
layer. Meanwhile, the upper level system will track east
northeastward through the Great Lakes towards Quebec, taking the
main energy of the system with it. These factors, plus ensemble
probabilities that are low for advisory criteria wind gusts
today will result in a wind forecast, that while still gusty,
will be 30-45mph. Now the impacts of these winds will still be
significant. Expecting wind chills today in the single digits as
temperatures basically fall through the day, and flash freeze
conditions this morning into the early afternoon are a distinct
possibility due to the rapid nature of the temperature drop and
temperatures ending up 5-15 degrees below freezing. Also in the
wake of the cold front, surface and low level winds will orient
themselves along a significant fetch of Lake Erie, and we will
get a fairly short window of lake effect snow developing around
16Z. Parameters for snow squalls are setting up along the
lakeshore areas generally east of Cleveland. Surface convergence
will set up just off shore along the shoreline, and the best
instability and 925mb f- gen will be near the same locations.
Ultimately, a quick hitter of 3- 6 inches of snow is expected in
the Erie PA County area, with lesser amounts near the lakeshore
and further west with a slight maximum in Geauga County of
around 2-3 inches. Continuing with an advisory for Erie County
PA as the bulk of the county will be closer to 2-4 inches with 6
inches in a small area in the eastern portion. The progressive
synoptic scale pattern will change things up pretty quickly for
the area with low level warm air advection moving in after 03Z
Saturday. This will shut down the short lived lake effect event
around 06Z, and warm air advection at the surface gets
temperatures back above freezing for the day on Saturday. Dry
forecast for Saturday as well.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High pressure influences quickly exit to the east as another cold
front rapidly descends on the CWA, pushing through in the Saturday
night time frame and forcing temperatures back down just below
freezing for Sunday. This is expected to be a largely dry system
with only low end POPs for the far northeastern portion of the CWA.
High pressure Sunday night, but back into a warm air advection
regime for Monday with a few warm front overrunning type showers
late Monday and temperatures back above freezing.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A continental scale ridge over the western Gulf Coast
and centered over the Mississippi Valley will bring a milder pattern
through mid week. This will not completely inhibit systems from
tracking through the Great Lakes, but the magnitude and impacts of
them should overall be on the lower side. Currently looking fairly
mild for the 25th.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
As of 12z, a surface trough axis extends from near CLE to VTA
and is quickly pushing east. A band of rain and snow showers
accompanies this trough, along with winds shifting westerly with
gusts increasing to 30-35kt. Expect these conditions to reach
CAK, YNG, and ERI within the next 1-2 hours. Behind this trough,
mainly MVFR ceilings will prevail with scattered snow showers
persisting. Based on latest models and upstream trends, much of
the area may see some brief non-VFR vsby in snow showers later
this morning into this afternoon, though the most prolonged and
significant impacts will be at ERI due to lake effect snow.
Mainly handled the potential for lower visibility with snow
showers with TEMPOs, though do have several hours of IFR
prevailing at ERI. Lake effect shifts northeast and ends tonight
as high pressure builds rather quickly, with MVFR ceilings
gradually lifting/scattering out fro the west tonight.

Winds will remain elevated out of the west-southwest today, with
15-25kt sustained and 30-35kt gusts common. A few gusts to 40kt
may occur along the eastern lakeshore (including near CLE and
ERI) this afternoon. Winds shift more southerly and lose their
gustiness tonight while subsiding to 5-10kt.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in low ceilings behind a cold front
on Sunday. Non-VFR possible in rain and/or snow showers on
Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong cold air advection and sharp pressure rises behind a cold
front and strong low pressure will lead to very rough conditions on
Lake Erie through this evening. West-southwest winds will quickly
ramp up this morning, peaking late this morning through this evening
while veering closer to due west. Expect winds to peak at up to 30kt
west of the Islands (with 35kt gusts) and at 35-40kt (with 40-45kt
gusts) east of the Islands in that window. Waves will peak at 10-14
feet in the central and eastern basins this afternoon and early
evening, up to 16 feet in the NY open waters. Gale Warnings remain
as posted east of the Islands through today and into tonight. A Low
Water Advisory also remains in effect for the western basin today,
with water levels expected to bottom out at around a foot below low
water datum (critical mark is 8 inches below datum) between the late
morning and mid-afternoon hours. Winds and waves diminish pretty
quickly this evening and tonight as a narrow wedge of high pressure
builds in, shifting winds to a southerly direction by Saturday.

Another cold front crosses the lake Saturday night into early
Sunday. South-southwest pick up to 15-25kt on Saturday, then veer
west Saturday night into Sunday at 20-30kt with the frontal passage.
A round of higher-end Small Craft Advisories will be needed, with
winds perhaps getting close to gale for a brief window Saturday
night in closest proximity to the frontal passage.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for OHZ011-012-089.
PA...Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Saturday for PAZ001.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Saturday for PAZ001-002.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LEZ142-
     143.
     Low Water Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     LEZ142>144-162>164.
     Gale Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for LEZ144>147-
     164>167.
     Gale Warning until midnight EST tonight for LEZ148-149-168-169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26
NEAR TERM...26/27
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...Sullivan
MARINE...Sullivan

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

PAZ001-002-200745-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Gusty winds could reach 35-45 mph at times this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ144-164-200745-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Low Water Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ145>147-165>167-200745-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142-143-162-163-200745-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Low Water Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-148-149-168-169-200745-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ003-200745-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
245 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Gusty winds could reach 35-45 mph at times this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.