Gale Warning 5, NWS Cleveland, OH

278 
WHUS71 KCLE 220158
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

LEZ144-221000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251022T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.251022T0200Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 25 
  knots and waves 2 to 5 feet. For the Low Water Advisory, 
  abnormally low water levels expected. For the Gale Warning, 
  west gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 3 
  to 6 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Wednesday. 
  For the Low Water Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 11 PM 
  EDT Wednesday. For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM to 11 PM EDT 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong west to southwest winds will cause
  water levels to fall below the critical mark of one inch below
  low water datum to around 12 inches below low water datum on
  Wednesday afternoon. Water levels will return to above the 
  critical mark on Wednesday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ164-221000-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.251022T0200Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels 
  expected. For the Gale Warning, west gales to 35 knots with 
  gusts up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 
  11 PM EDT Wednesday. For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM to 11 PM 
  EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong west to southwest winds will cause
  water levels to fall below the critical mark of one inch below
  low water datum to around 12 inches below low water datum on
  Wednesday afternoon. Water levels will return to above the 
  critical mark on Wednesday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-221000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251022T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 20 to 30 
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the 
  Gale Warning, southwest gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 
  knots and waves 6 to 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Wednesday. 
  For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM to 11 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ165>169-221000-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...West gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 9 to 13 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...From 8 AM to 11 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-221000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.251022T0200Z-251023T0300Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 knots 
  with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet. For the Low 
  Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM EDT Thursday. 
  For the Low Water Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 11 PM 
  EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong west to southwest winds will cause
  water levels to fall below the critical mark of one inch below
  low water datum to around 12 inches below low water datum on
  Wednesday afternoon. Water levels will return to above the 
  critical mark on Wednesday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162-163-221000-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.251022T0200Z-251023T0300Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
958 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The 
  Islands OH.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong west to southwest winds will cause
  water levels to fall below the critical mark of one inch below
  low water datum to around 12 inches below low water datum on
  Wednesday afternoon. Water levels will return to above the 
  critical mark on Wednesday night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

215 
WHUS71 KCLE 220750
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

LEZ144-221600-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251022T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels.
  For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 25 knots and
  waves 2 to 5 feet. For the Gale Warning, west gales to 35 knots
  with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM this morning to 11 PM 
  EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall below the critical mark for safe
  navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water levels
  are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water datum
  this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return above the
  critical mark on Wednesday night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ164-221600-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water levels.
  For the Gale Warning, west gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 
  40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM this morning to 11 PM 
  EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall below the critical mark for safe
  navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water levels
  are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water datum
  this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return above the
  critical mark on Wednesday night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-221600-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251022T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 20 to 30
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the
  Gale Warning, southwest gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 
  knots and waves 6 to 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH to 
  Ripley NY.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 8 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Gale Warning, from 8 AM this morning to 11 PM 
  EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ165>169-221600-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.251022T1200Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 9 to 14 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH to 
  Ripley NY.

* WHEN...From 8 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-221600-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall below the critical mark for safe
  navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water levels
  are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water datum
  this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return above the
  critical mark on Wednesday night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162-163-221600-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
350 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The 
  Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall below the critical mark for safe
  navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water levels
  are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water datum
  this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return above the
  critical mark on Wednesday night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

191 
WHUS71 KCLE 221352
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
952 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

LEZ144-164-222200-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
952 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west gales to 35 knots with gusts 
  up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Low Water 
  Advisory, abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from The 
  Islands to Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall back below the critical mark for 
  safe navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water 
  levels are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water 
  datum this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return 
  above the critical mark tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-165>169-222200-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
952 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH to 
  Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH 
  to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-222200-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
952 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall back below the critical mark for safe
  navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water levels
  are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water datum
  this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return above the
  critical mark tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162-163-222200-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
952 AM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The 
  Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall back below the critical mark for safe
  navigation which is one inch below low water datum. Water levels
  are expected to fall to a foot or more below low water datum
  this afternoon. Water levels are forecasted to return above the
  critical mark tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

630 
WHUS71 KCLE 221939
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
339 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

LEZ144-164-230300-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
339 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Gale Warning, west gales to 35 knots with gusts 
  up to 40 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Low Water 
  Advisory, abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from The 
  Islands to Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Below normal 
  water levels will result in hazardous navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall to as much as a foot below the
  critical mark for safe navigation this evening. The critical
  mark for safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-165>169-230300-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
339 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West gales to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH to 
  Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH 
  to Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-230345-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
339 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 4 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall to as much as a foot below the
  critical mark for safe navigation this evening. The critical
  mark for safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162-163-230300-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
339 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The 
  Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to fall to as much as a foot below the
  critical mark for safe navigation this evening. The critical
  mark for safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

842 
WHUS71 KCLE 230228
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

LEZ144-231030-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0054.251023T0228Z-251024T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 knots 
  and waves 3 to 6 feet. For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally 
  low water levels.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 PM EDT Thursday. 
  For the Low Water Advisory, until 4 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to remain below the critical mark for safe
  navigation through early Thursday morning. The critical mark 
  for safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ164-230800-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from The Islands to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to remain below the critical mark for safe
  navigation through early Thursday morning. The critical mark for
  safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-231030-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0054.251023T0228Z-251024T2000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and 
  waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion OH to 
  Ripley NY.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ165>169-230330-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-251023T0300Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Winds have fallen to 25 to 30 knots and therefore the Gale Warning
has been cancelled early.

$$

LEZ142-143-231030-
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-251023T1400Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 
  knots and waves 2 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  The Islands OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 4 AM EDT Thursday. 
  For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to remain below the critical mark for safe
  navigation through early Thursday morning. The critical mark for
  safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162-163-230800-
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-251023T0800Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1028 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to The 
  Islands OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong southwesterly to westerly winds will
  cause water levels to remain below the critical mark for safe
  navigation through early Thursday morning. The critical mark for
  safe navigation is one inch below low water datum.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
349 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A trough moves east across the area this evening, with another trough
crossing the area Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure
builds into the Ohio Valley and moves across the area this weekend. A
weak disturbance moves through the Ohio Valley Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A large closed low is moving east into the Great Lakes. A sharp
surface trough (really more of a secondary cold front) will move east
across the area through about midnight...it is near the Ohio/Indiana
border as of 3 PM. With assistance from the left-exit quadrant of a
jet streak rotating around the closed low and an embedded vort max, a
broken band of low-topped convective showers and some storms will
accompany the surface trough east across our forecast area. Activity
should exit to the east with the trough by midnight, with thunder
potentially gradually decreasing after 9 or 10 PM. The main focus
overnight will then turn towards a developing band of robust lake
effect rain, which may initially graze the eastern lakeshore as it
takes shape around midnight before lifting offshore and into western
New York overnight amid deep-layer west-southwest flow. It will be a
mostly cloudy but mainly dry rest of the night elsewhere, though as
various spokes of moisture and weak mid-level vorticity rotate around
the larger closed low a few passing sprinkles or light showers
continue to remain possible anywhere. Forecast rain amounts are
generally on either side of 0.10" with this evening's low-topped
convection, with amounts with any overnight activity very light. Lows
tonight will range from the upper 30s to mid 40s, with brisk west-
southwest winds gusting 20-30 MPH, driving "wind chills" into the 30s.

The SPC has placed a Marginal Risk for severe weather (level 1 of 5)
across a good portion of our area this evening. Relatively steep low
to mid-level lapse rates beneath the cold core aloft and deep low-
level inverted-v soundings suggest efficient momentum transfer, with
sub-cloud evaporational cooling supporting cold pool development with
any organized convection. With moderate flow aloft, it won't take a
ton of convective enhancement to get some strong (40MPH+) to perhaps
locally severe (58MPH+) wind gusts with this convection, along with
small/soft hail. Some convective allowing models suggest the
convection briefly congealing into a couple of more solid line
segments between about 5-8 PM, which would be the greatest potential
for locally severe wind gusts. So, will monitor this activity east
across the area for Special Wx Statements and perhaps a warning or two
through the evening. Expect the bite of any wind gusts (and any
severe threat) with the convection to start decreasing after 8 PM, as
nocturnal stabilization perhaps adds just enough of a near-surface
inversion to limit momentum transfer to the surface.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
The Great Lakes closed low will gradually shift east-northeast towards
Quebec and New England through Thursday night, with occasional surface
troughs and embedded weak shortwaves continuing to rotate around the
larger closed low. This will continue chilly, breezy, and showery
weather. Shower chances outside of the lake effect will largely be
tied to any surface trough and shortwave passages, with some
enhancement from Lake Michigan into Northwest Ohio at times. The main
focus for heavier precipitation will be with the lake effect off of
Lake Erie into the primary snowbelt region.

The lake effect will be offshore and into western New York to start
the day Wednesday. A weak shortwave and surface trough move across the
area late Wednesday morning and early afternoon, bringing an uptick in
isolated to scattered showers elsewhere and pushing the lake effect
band southeast towards the shoreline between Lake County OH and Erie
County PA. Lake effect will struggle to really push inland late
Wednesday afternoon through much of Wednesday night (despite what some
convective allowing models show), given flow quickly wanting to back
southwest ahead of the next surface trough and shortwave, which will
approach Wednesday night and cross early Thursday morning. This idea
is further supported by the warmth of the lake, arguing for a strong
lake aggregate trough, a feature that notoriously causes strong,
single lake effect bands to remain tied closer to the shoreline than
modeled. For this forecast, heavily favored the RGEM for the general
placement of the lake effect band. The trough passage early Thursday
may bring a few sprinkles or showers anywhere, especially downwind of
Lake Michigan, and will veer the mean flow more substantially, pushing
the main lake effect band closer to the Cleveland area and farther
inland across the primary snowbelt. The lake effect will likely
transition from an organized single band to more disorganized multi-
bands at some point on Thursday as the mean flow over the lake goes
closer to northwest. From there, lake effect will continue to ebb and
flow in general west-northwest flow through Thursday night as any
addition troughs rotate through, with guidance hinting at another
trough Thursday evening. Passing sprinkle/shower chances diminish
outside of the lake effect Thursday night as the closed low gradually
exits, allowing high pressure to approach from the southwest.

Over lake water temperatures of 17-18C, 500mb temperatures bottoming
out around -26C, 700mb around -12C, and 850mb around -2C suggest very
strong and deep instability, which is validated by raw model forecast
soundings depicting CAPE extending to 20k feet or higher at times,
which is enough instability for charge separation/lightning and small
hail/graupel in the more intense lake effect band when it's cranking.
The thermodynamics are most favorable through Thursday morning before
temperatures aloft slowly start warming. There will be abundant
synoptic moisture into Thursday within the influence of the large
closed-low, with fairly minimal amounts of wind shear except for brief
periods of stronger shear near the trough passages. All this to say
that lake effect will be intense through Thursday morning, with heavy
rain, thunder/lightning, and some frozen hydrometeors at times near
the lake. A shorter fetch, somewhat more shear, and gradually
decreasing instability will lead to intensity gradually decreasing
Thursday afternoon, though not nearly to the point where it stops.

The main focus for heavy QPF is late Wednesday through early
Thursday, when activity may persist along the general I-90 corridor
between Lake County and Erie County PA while intense. The forecast
maintains 1-3" of rain between Lake, far northeast Cuyahoga, and
northern Geauga Counties northeast across northern Ashtabula and much
of Erie Counties through Thursday night. Some hi-res models suggest
locally up to 4-5" of rain is possible if the band is especially
intense/persistent in one spot, though those gaudier totals will be
more feasible just offshore of Erie County PA than on land. Still,
will monitor for localized flooding concerns if a period of focused
and persistent heavy rain can materialize. Rain amounts with the lake
effect dramatically drop off towards a CLE-YNG line, which is about as
far southwest as the organized band may get Thursday morning before
breaking up into multi-bands. Locations outside of the lake effect
should see less than 0.25" of rain during the short term period.

Highs both days will be stuck well down into the 50s, with the higher
terrain of far Northeast OH and Northwest PA in the 40s. Overnight
lows will range from the mid 30s to mid 40s, warmest in the primary
snowbelt and downwind of Lake Erie. Some frost is possible across our
western and southwestern counties Thursday night, as approaching high
pressure brings a somewhat weaker pressure gradient and clearer skies.
Wind gusts of 30-40 MPH are likely Wednesday afternoon across the area
in association with the expected trough passage.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure gradually builds in for Friday and Saturday. Lingering
lake effect continues Friday and perhaps even into Saturday across far
Northeast Ohio and Northwest PA, though will not be particularly
significant by then. Guidance has been gradually trended towards
stronger high pressure this weekend, which would keep a weak system
moving across the south out of our picture and lead to dry weather.
Some low POPs linger in the forecast for Sunday and Monday for now,
but are trending down. Temperatures gradually moderate to near or
slightly warmer than average to start next week. Some additional
frost/freeze concerns are possible Friday-Saturday nights.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
VFR will continue this afternoon, but showers and some embedded
thunderstorms will spread across the region from west to east
this evening ahead of the next cold front. This activity will
bring gusty winds of 30-40 knots and brief periods of MVFR or
lower. Timing looks to bring this line into KTOL and KFDY
after 20Z, KMFD, KCLE, and KCAK by 22 or 23Z, and through the
OH/PA border affecting KYNG and KERI by 23 to 00Z. Drier air
will move back in behind the line of showers/storms allowing for
a return to mainly VFR tonight, but a lake-effect pattern will
quickly set up as cold air deepens across Lake Erie and winds
become well-aligned from the west-southwest. This will lead to
lake-effect rain showers affecting KERI and the adjacent
lakeshore of extreme NE Ohio and NW PA at times late tonight
and Wednesday bringing periods of MVFR or lower. Yet another
cold front/trough could also bring a burst of rain showers to a
larger area of NE Ohio and NW PA mid to late Wednesday morning.
Periods of MVFR or lower will accompany any of these showers
too. Any terminal could see isolated showers during the day
Wednesday, but as mentioned, NE Ohio and NW PA will have the
best potential.

WSW winds of 10-15 knots will gust to 20-25 knots at times
through tonight before increasing to 15-25 knots with gusts of
30-35 knots late Wednesday morning into the afternoon.

Outlook...Periods of non-VFR are expected through Saturday as
scattered to widespread rain showers and isolated thunderstorms
accompany disturbances. In addition, localized lake-effect rain
showers and perhaps occasional lake-effect thunderstorms will
impact the Snowbelt of NE OH/NW PA and vicinity and result in
periodic non-VFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
A closed upper level low pinwheeling over the northern Great Lakes
tonight and Wednesday will gradually lift across Quebec Thursday and
Friday. This will support a period of active marine conditions on
Lake Erie for the rest of the week as a series of reinforcing
troughs rotate through the region, keeping gusty west and eventually
northwest winds in place as well as lake-effect showers and
waterspouts.

WSW winds will increase to 20-30 knots tonight behind a secondary
cold front/trough that crosses this evening. These WSW winds will
further increase to 35 knots gales on much of the lake Wednesday,
with gusts up to 45 knots during the afternoon. This will build wave
heights to 7-10 feet on the central and eastern basins tonight and 9-
14 feet Wednesday. Upgraded to Gale Warnings from the Islands to
Ripley, NY from 12Z Wednesday through 03Z Thursday for these high
winds and waves, with Small Craft Advisories continuing on the far
western basin. Additionally, the favorable WSW direction will cause
water levels to drop below the critical mark of -1 inches above low
water datum tonight through Wednesday, so issued a Low Water
Advisory. Winds will gradually lessen Wednesday night, but W winds
of 15-25 knots are likely to continue through at least Thursday
night and possibly into Friday while turning more NW by then, so
Small Craft headlines will eventually be extended through the end of
the week. High pressure will finally build across the Great Lakes
over the weekend supporting much calmer conditions.

Waterspouts will accompany lake-effect rain bands tonight into
Friday, so Special Marine Warnings and statements will be issued as
needed for this activity.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Thursday for LEZ142>144.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Wednesday for LEZ145>148.
     Gale Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening
     for LEZ145>148-165>168.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Friday for LEZ149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Sullivan
NEAR TERM...Sullivan
SHORT TERM...Sullivan
LONG TERM...Sullivan
AVIATION...Garuckas
MARINE...Garuckas

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
453 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-220900-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
453 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers with isolated thunderstorms will move
east across the area late this afternoon through this evening. Winds
gusts of 35 to 45 mph and small hail are possible with the stronger
showers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Winds gusts of 35 to 40 mph are possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>144-149-162>164-169-220900-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
453 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There will be a chance of waterspouts on Lake Erie tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Low water conditions are possible on the western basin of Lake Erie
on Wednesday due to strong southwesterly winds. At the same time,
winds may approach gale force on the eastern basin of Lake Erie.
Waterspouts are also possible on Lake Erie from Wednesday into
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ145>148-165>168-220900-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
453 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There will be a chance of waterspouts on Lake Erie tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

Waterspouts are possible on Lake Erie from Wednesday into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
341 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-212030-
Seneca OH-Wood OH-Hancock OH-Ottawa OH-Sandusky OH-Lucas OH-
341 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT OTTAWA...WESTERN SENECA...WESTERN
SANDUSKY...WOOD...HANCOCK AND LUCAS COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sylvania to 6 miles southwest of Holgate
to near Continental. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Toledo, Findlay, Bowling Green, Fremont, Fostoria, Bluffton, Swanton,
Perrysburg, Oregon, Sylvania, Rossford, Waterville, Northwood,
Whitehouse, North Baltimore, Oak Harbor, Gibsonburg, Genoa,
Woodville, and Holland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4172 8388 4173 8346 4173 8345 4172 8347
      4169 8343 4169 8335 4171 8334 4164 8323
      4161 8311 4126 8314 4099 8339 4099 8346
      4091 8348 4090 8351 4082 8352 4082 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 239DEG 36KT 4168 8379 4117 8420 4107 8432

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Sefcovic