Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2025

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 28, 2025Erie County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Dec 28, 2025, 1:34 PM EST for Erie County, New York. It took effect at Dec 29, 2025, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 28, 2025, 1:34 PM EST (18:34 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 29, 2025, 1:00 AM EST
Expired: Dec 29, 2025, 12:01 PM EST
In force: 11 hr
Issued by: NWS Buffalo, NY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Erie County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer (EBZN6). The gauge peaked at 9.33 ft at Dec 29, 2025, 9:00 AM EST.

Action stage: 8 ft
Minor stage: 10 ft
Moderate stage: 12 ft
Major stage: 14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04215500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

839 
WGUS41 KBUF 281834
FLWBUF

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
134 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...The National Weather Service in Buffalo NY has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in New York...

  Cazenovia Creek Near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer affecting Erie 
  County.

For the Cazenovia Creek...including Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight by 200 AM EST.

&&

NYC029-290700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0002.251229T0600Z-251229T2100Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.251229T0916Z.251229T1200Z.251229T1310Z.UU/
134 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cazenovia Creek near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer.

* WHEN...From late tonight to tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Flood stage, minor flooding can be 
  expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of 
  Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in 
  South Buffalo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 3.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 10.5 feet tomorrow morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    10.2 feet on 02/18/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870


$$

Brothers

3 follow-up statements

983 
WGUS81 KBUF 290343
FLSBUF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1043 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Cazenovia Creek Near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer affecting Erie 
  County.

For the Cazenovia Creek...including Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning by 1100 AM EST.

&&

NYC029-291600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.251229T1146Z-251230T0024Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.251229T1146Z.251229T1800Z.251229T1824Z.UU/
1043 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING TO MONDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cazenovia Creek near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer.

* WHEN...From Monday morning to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Flood stage, minor flooding can be 
  expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of 
  Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in 
  South Buffalo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 6.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Monday morning to a crest of 10.2 feet early Monday
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage by mid to late
    Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    10.2 feet on 02/18/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870


$$

PP

623 
WGUS81 KBUF 291555
FLSBUF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1055 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Cazenovia Creek Near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer affecting Erie 
  County.

For the Cazenovia Creek...including Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon by 500 PM EST.

&&

NYC029-292200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-251229T2200Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.251229T1756Z.251229T1800Z.251229T1824Z.UU/
1055 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cazenovia Creek near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer.

* WHEN...Until late this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Flood stage, minor flooding can be 
  expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of 
  Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in 
  South Buffalo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 9.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this afternoon to a crest of 10.2 feet this afternoon. It
    will then fall below flood stage this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    10.2 feet on 02/18/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870


$$

Brothers

666 
WGUS81 KBUF 291701
FLSBUF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1201 PM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Cazenovia Creek Near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer affecting Erie 
  County.

NYC029-291815-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-251229T1701Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1201 PM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cazenovia Creek Near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 11:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 9.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to crest at 9.2 ft and
    gradual decrease through Monday night.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870


$$

Brothers

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 28, 1:44 AM EST	High Wind Warning	BUF	Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Monroe, Niagara and 2 more	41 hr
Dec 28, 1:50 AM EST	Lakeshore Flood Warning	BUF	Chautauqua, Erie, Niagara	38 hr
Dec 28, 2:22 AM EST	Winter Storm Watch	BUF	Cayuga, Wayne	11 hr
Dec 28, 2:22 AM EST	Winter Storm Warning	BUF	Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson and 4 more	7 days
Dec 28, 3:23 AM EST	Gale Warning	BUF		40 hr
Dec 28, 3:23 AM EST	Storm Warning	BUF		40 hr
Dec 28, 12:41 PM EST	Wind Advisory	BUF	Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more	41 hr
Dec 28, 12:56 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	BUF	Allegany, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara and 2 more	4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2025 Every river flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.