Rivers in New York

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

Erie County, New YorkNWS EBZN6USGS 04215500Buffalo office

Below flood stage
2.34ftStage

Observed Wed, Sep 23, 4:00 AM EDT

Flood stage
10.00 ft
Forecast crest
2.30 ftWed, Sep 23, 8:00 AM EDT
Record crest
15.82 ft1955

Open the live map with the river flood outlook

Flood stages and impacts

CategoryStage
Major flood14.00 ft
Moderate flood12.00 ft
Minor flood10.00 ft
Action8.00 ft
  1. 14.00 ftMajor flood, widespread flooding in Cazenovia Park, Southgate Plaza, Mill Road and Seneca Streets in West Seneca, Parkside Drive, Willowdale Road, and Orchard Park Rd. May impact homes and commercial properties. Level near top of controls in South Buffalo downstream from Cazenovia Park. Localized flooding upstream in East Aurora.
  2. 12.00 ftModerate flood, localized flooding possible in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West Seneca.
  3. 10.00 ftFlood stage, minor flooding can be expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South Buffalo.
  4. 8.00 ftAction stage, high flows. No flooding.

Flood outlook

Chance of flooding, September to November

CategoryChance
Minor flooding5%
Moderate floodingUnder 5%
Major floodingUnder 5%

The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 21, 2026.

Crest history

34 crests on NOAA’s list since 1941.

#DateStage
1March 1, 195515.82 ft
2March 17, 194215.11 ft
3September 9, 200414.85 ft
4March 7, 195614.65 ft
5August 10, 200914.15 ft
6January 22, 195714.09 ft
7March 21, 197814.05 ft
8October 2, 194514.02 ft
9June 23, 197213.53 ft
10September 14, 197913.28 ft
11September 16, 200513.18 ft
12December 27, 200813.00 ft
13March 15, 200712.85 ft
14September 23, 200012.79 ft
15February 1, 200212.36 ft
16January 19, 199612.30 ft
17November 7, 201712.29 ft
18December 22, 201312.25 ft
19April 23, 197712.05 ft
20January 8, 199811.99 ft
21April 5, 194111.95 ft
22September 25, 197711.87 ft
23January 29, 197511.71 ft
24March 17, 200311.63 ft
25December 6, 197211.55 ft

Most recent crests

  • April 1, 2026: 10.20 ft
  • February 18, 2022: 10.21 ft
  • November 7, 2017: 12.29 ft
  • November 24, 2014: 10.94 ft
  • December 22, 2013: 12.25 ft
  • August 10, 2009: 14.15 ft
  • March 8, 2009: 11.51 ft
  • December 27, 2008: 13.00 ft
  • March 15, 2007: 12.85 ft
  • September 16, 2005: 13.18 ft

Nearby

Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.

What this means

Forecasts by the Northeast River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Impact statements listed below may not be representative during times of ice jam flooding. Gauge reading may be affected by ice. Forecast flows are unadjusted for ice.

Sources

Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.