High Wind Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

379 
WWUS71 KBUF 270207
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
907 PM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
907 PM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected. The strongest gusts are most likely across Niagara, 
  Orleans, Genesee, and western Monroe counties.

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Monday to 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ007-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Watertown
907 PM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected. The strongest gusts will be closest to the Lake Ontario 
  shore.

* WHERE...Jefferson County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM Monday to 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

Apffel

751 
WWUS71 KBUF 270507
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1207 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-271315-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
1207 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 
AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. Dead 
  ash trees will be especially susceptible. Scattered power outages 
  are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high 
  profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ007-271315-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Watertown
1207 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 
AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ004-008-013-014-020-021-271315-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Wayne-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Newark, Lowville, Geneseo, Canandaigua,
Olean, and Wellsville
1207 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Wayne, Lewis, Livingston, Ontario, Cattaraugus, and 
  Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high 
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

RSH

704 
WWUS71 KBUF 271102
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
602 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
602 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. Dead 
  ash trees will be especially susceptible. Scattered power outages 
  are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high 
  profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ007-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Watertown
602 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ004-008-013-014-020-021-272000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0001.250127T1200Z-250128T1100Z/
Wayne-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Newark, Lowville, Geneseo, Canandaigua,
Olean, and Wellsville
602 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Wayne, Lewis, Livingston, Ontario, Cattaraugus, and 
  Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high 
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

RSH

727 
WWUS71 KBUF 271754
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1254 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-280400-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
1254 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. The 
  strongest winds are expected across Niagara, Orleans, and Genesee 
  counties, where isolated 70 mph gusts are possible.

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. Dead 
  ash trees will be especially susceptible. Scattered power outages 
  are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high 
  profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ007-280400-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Watertown
1254 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The 
  strongest winds will be near the Lake Ontario shore.

* WHERE...Jefferson County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible, 
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ004-008-013-014-020-021-280400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Wayne-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Newark, Lowville, Geneseo, Canandaigua,
Olean, and Wellsville
1254 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Wayne, Lewis, Livingston, Ontario, Cattaraugus, and 
  Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high 
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

JJR

940 
WWUS71 KBUF 280049
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
749 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
749 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. 

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, and 
  Chautauqua Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. Dead 
  ash trees will be especially susceptible. Scattered power outages 
  are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high 
  profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. Use caution 
if driving.

&&

$$

NYZ007-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Jefferson-
Including the cities of Watertown
749 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson County.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Scattered power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. Use caution 
if driving.

&&

$$

NYZ004-008-013-014-020-021-281100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Wayne-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Newark, Lowville, Geneseo, Canandaigua,
Olean, and Wellsville
749 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Wayne, Lewis, Livingston, Ontario, Cattaraugus, and 
  Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high 
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Apffel

696 
WWUS71 KBUF 280848
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
348 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

NYZ001>003-007-010>012-019-085-281000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Jefferson-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Watertown, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
348 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

While gusty winds to 30 mph will persist for at least part of today, 
the threat of damaging winds has ended Therefore the High Wind 
Warning has been cancelled.

$$

NYZ004-008-013-014-020-021-281000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250128T1100Z/
Wayne-Lewis-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Newark, Lowville, Geneseo, Canandaigua,
Olean, and Wellsville
348 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

While wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph will persist today, the threat of 
strong winds has ended. Therefore the Wind Advisory has been 
cancelled.

$$

RSH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Accumulating lake snows will be found east of Lake Ontario through
this evening...with the most significant snowfall found in the
vicinity of the Tug Hill Plateau. Meanwhile more scattered snow
showers will be found east of Lake Erie...while generally dry
conditions will be found elsewhere. Our attention will then turn a
powerful storm system that will track across eastern Canada. This
system will generate strong winds across much of our region Monday
and Monday night...especially over the lakes and across the Niagara
Frontier where 60 mph wind gusts will be possible. An arctic cold
front will plow thorugh the region Monday night...and a brief shot
of cold air behind this front will support more lake effect snows.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of late morning...the lake snows off Lake Erie have disintegrated
into some leftover scattered light snow showers and flurries east
of the lake. These will continue to slowly/steadily weaken through
the rest of the day as the capping inversion continues to steadily
lower...while also starting to lift northward again this afternoon
as winds back. The remnants of these will then fall apart altogether
over the Niagara Frontier tonight. Expect any additional accums out
of these to largely be on the order of an inch or less...with the
bulk of these across the Southern Tier/southern Erie and Wyoming
counties.

Off Lake Ontario...the lake snows have edged a little bit further
south than forecast...with the core of the band currently draped
across south-central Oswego county. This being said...recent
satellite/radar imagery suggests that an upstream connection to
Georgian Bay may help this activity to reorient itself a bit further
to the north again in a couple hours...with the core of this
focusing back on the southern portion of the Tug Hill Plateau. A
higher cap in excess of 10kft will support both a deeper convective
depth and more impressive dendritic growth zone for more efficient
snow making...with SLR's expected to be in the range of 15-20:1.
While the cap will lower during the course of the afternoon...the
low sheared westerly flow is still expected to direct a moderate to
heavy lake effect towards the Tug Hill where as much as another 8 or
9 inches could accumulate by early this evening.

Elsewhere...expect partly to mostly cloudy skies and temperatures
that will be close to seasonal normals (low 30s lake plains/mid-up
20s in the higher terrain).

A west to southwest flow of chilly air tonight will precede a
relatively flat shortwave that will press through the region by
daybreak. This will scenario will maintain the lake snows east of
Lake Ontario...as an influx of synoptic moisture will help to
counter a cap that will lower to arnd 5kft. The band should remain
in the vcnty of the Tug Hill where another 5 to 8 inches of
accumulation can be expected. Off Lk Erie...a stifling cap of just
a few thousand feet should all but squelch any real organized lake
snows that will push their way northward toward Buffalo while
continually weakening.

Monday will then become quite windy...especially from Lake Erie and
the IAG Frontier to near Rochester. A strengthening storm system
will pass WELL to our north...moving across James Bay to northern
Quebec while deepening to under 970mb. Even for this storm prone
part of the continent...this will be quite impressive. The area of
low pressure will bottom out some 4 STD below normal values for late
January which places its return interval outside of climatology
(once in a lifetime time scale). H85 winds wrapping around the base
of the corresponding longwave trough will reach 60 to 70kts over the
Lower Great Lakes Monday afternoon and evening...and in a region of
weak temperature advection...we should anticipate that a large
percentage of these winds will be mixed to the sfc. The critical
time will come during the onset of the stronger winds aloft when the
last few hours of sun will help to diurnally mix winds. This
scenario is anything but typical for our high wind events...but one
cannot ignore the consistency of the guidance from the past three
days...including model to model and ensemble to ensemble
correlation.

Given the atypical nature of the winds...will maintain the current
high wind watch for one more for one more forecast cycle for wind
gusts that could reach 60 mph Monday afternoon...mainly from
near Lake Erie across the IAG frontier and the Rochester area to
parts of the North country. Current ensembles suggest that Niagara
and Orleans counties would stand the highest risk for these winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Monday night will continue to remain windy with gusts of 50+ mph
possible for areas east and northeast of Lake Erie, and for
Jefferson County. These areas remain under a High Wind Watch through
Monday night. These winds will max out ahead of a potent cold front
that will cross the area around ~7-10Z. Winds out ahead of the front
at 850 hPa look to peak around 70 to 75 kts, but the timing for
these winds is a few hours before the frontal passage, increasing
uncertainty some for the wind potential at the surface. This front
will extend south from a strong ~970 hPa sfc low crossing James Bay.
The front will drop from the NW to the SE during this time. Out
ahead of the front southwest flow over the area and large scale
forcing will bring an area of snow showers into the area. At least
some lake enhancement is possible northeast of the lakes with the
southwest flow. Guidance is also indicating the potential for snow
squalls with the frontal passage as well. Snowfall with the initial
frontal passage and burst of snow will range from 1 to 3 inches for
most areas, with up to 3 to 6 inches possible over the Tug Hill
where lake and terrain enhancement will increase amounts.
Temperatures for the night will be in the upper 20s to low 30s for
most of the night, before crashing behind the passing cold front to
the upper teens to mid 20s by daybreak.

Tuesday, snow showers will linger southeast of the lakes through mid
morning as the winds shift to the northwest. Drier air will move
into the region through the early afternoon, bringing most of the
lakes snows to an end. The break will be brief though as the earlier
passing cold front stalls just south of the area, and even briefly
pushes back north some as a warm front out ahead of a clipper system
tracking toward the region. Increasing moisture and the frontal
boundary will start to increase the potential for snow showers later
in the day on Tuesday. Snow should remain generally light and mainly
across far WNY with the system still over the Upper Great Lakes.
Temperatures on Tuesday will continue to cool into the early
afternoon, before a brief warmup later in the afternoon with daytime
heating. Afternoon temperatures in the teens to low 20s can be
expected for most areas. Snowfall for the day will around half to
one inch, with some higher amounts for the higher elevations.

Tuesday night, the clipper system will continue to track toward the
area, centering over or just north of WNY by daybreak on Wednesday.
This will continue to cause snow to increase in coverage across most
of the areas with fairly widespread 2 to 4 inches of snow possible,
except for the downslope areas of the Genesee Valley and the
Northern Finger Lakes, where only an inch or two is expected. There
is some uncertainty still with the track of the system, with some
guidance tracking it directly into WNY, and other guidance tracking
it farther north. The southwest flow out ahead of the system will
raise temperatures through the night, starting out in the low teens
to low 20s, warming to the low 20s to low 30s by daybreak on
Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The long term period will remain active with the passing clipper
system and cold front on Wednesday followed by another quick
passing system for Thursday night with some lake enhancement also
possible.

Guidance is still split for Friday and Saturday as high pressure
moves into and across the region, followed by an incoming area of
low pressure that will track across the Ohio Valley.

Guidance that is slower with the incoming sfc low (Euro & Canadian)
have a larger area of high pressure over the region before the sfc
low approaches the region. Where as the quicker GFS brings the sfc
high through much quicker, resulting in the sfc low tracking into
the region by late Friday vs. mid-morning Saturday for the slower
guidance. Temperatures with this system should be warm enough for
mostly rain for Saturday, but the GFS does have a farther south
track that would result in colder temperatures and more toward snow
for the precipitation.

Temperatures for the period will be mostly near to above normal,
expect for on Thursday behind the passing cold front on Wednesday.
Thursdays afternoon highs should be in the mid-teens to upper 20s
with the coldest temperatures expected east of Lake Ontario.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Expect moderate to heavy lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario
today...with LIFR/VLIFR conditions across Oswego county lifting back
north to the vicinity of the Tug Hill Plateau. Meanwhile east of
Lake Erie...scattered lighter lake effect snow showers may produce
localized IFR/MVFR across the higher terrain late this morning...
before weakening further and starting to lift back northward this
afternoon. Outside of the above areas...a mix of VFR/MVFR ceilings
and mainly dry weather should prevail.

Tonight...weakening disorganized lake snow showers off Lk Erie will
push north and likely produce MVFR conditions at KBUF. Meanwhile...
IFR conditions in moderate to heavy lake snow will persist east of
Lake Ontario. VFR weather will be found elsewhere.

Outlook...

Monday...VFR/MVFR, with a chance of snow showers east of Lake
Ontario. Windy.
Monday Night...Local LIFR/IFR in lake enhanced snow and blowing snow
east of both lakes, IFR/MVFR with snow showers
likely elsewhere. Windy.
Tuesday...IFR with snow showers likely south of Lake Ontario with a
chance of snow showers elsewhere. Diminishing winds.
Wednesday...IFR with snow showers likely.
Thursday...MVFR/VFR with a chance of snow showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong west to southwest winds will be in place today in the wake of
a cold front with an occasional gale force wind gust possible on
Lake Ontario. This will support ongoing high end small craft
advisories that will continue through tonight A strong
southwesterlies will persist.

A powerful storm system crossing James Bay to northern Quebec on
Monday will then generate gale force winds across the entire region.
Gusts will reach well into the mid and upper 40 knot range over Lake
Erie later Monday into Monday night...with gusts over 50 kts
possible over Lake Ontario. Will maintain a widespread gale watch
from this range...but expect an upgrade to warnings by the end of
the day.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...High Wind Watch from Monday morning through late Monday night
     for NYZ001>003-007-010>012-019-085.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 AM EST Monday for NYZ006>008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for LEZ020-040-041.
         Gale Watch from Monday morning through late Monday night
         for LEZ020-040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for
         LOZ042>045.
         Gale Watch from Monday morning through late Monday night
         for LOZ042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR/RSH
NEAR TERM...JJR/RSH
SHORT TERM...SW
LONG TERM...SW
AVIATION...JJR/RSH
MARINE...RSH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

NYZ001>003-010-011-271015-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-019-085-271015-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Watch.

A period of lake enhanced snow is possible Monday night through
Tuesday east of Lake Erie, with light to moderate accumulations
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ020-271015-
Cattaraugus-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A period of lake enhanced snow is possible Monday night through
Tuesday east of Lake Erie, with light to moderate accumulations
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-013-014-021-271015-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-008-271015-
Oswego-Lewis-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-271015-
Jefferson-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ030-SLZ022-024-271015-
Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario and
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-271015-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-271015-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
504 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
940 AM EST Sun Jan 26 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Snow             5 W Constableville      43.58N 75.52W
01/26/2025  M5.6 Inch        Lewis              NY   CO-OP Observer

            CO-OP Observer station HGHN6 Highmarket 2W.

&&