Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2025
Gale Warning 23, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Dec 20, 2025, 2:55 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 21, 2025, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 19 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 20, 2025, 2:55 AM EST (07:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 21, 2025, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 21, 2025, 8:24 PM EST
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
594 WHUS71 KBUF 200755 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 LOZ043>045-201600- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-251220T0800Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251221T0600Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0018.251221T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0023.251221T0600Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds becoming south to 30 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-201600- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-251220T0800Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251221T0600Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0018.251221T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0023.251221T0600Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds becoming southwest to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-201600- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-251220T0800Z/ /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0018.251221T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0023.251221T0600Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-201600- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251220T0800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.251220T2200Z-251222T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...West winds becoming south 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ SLZ022-024-200900- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251220T1200Z/ Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ LOZ030-200900- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251220T0800Z/ Lower Niagara River- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ LEZ040-041-201600- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251222T0600Z/ /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.A.0018.251220T2100Z-251221T1500Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 255 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Southwest winds becoming south to 30 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
4 follow-up statements
744 WHUS71 KBUF 201929 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 229 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 LOZ043>045-210900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251221T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.251221T0600Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 229 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds to 30 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ042-210900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251221T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.251221T0600Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 229 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet expected. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Sunday. For the Gale Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-210900- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.251221T0600Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 229 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet expected. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-210900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.251220T2200Z-251222T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 229 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-210900- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251222T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 229 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
390 WHUS71 KBUF 210600 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 100 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 LOZ042>045-211400- /O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251221T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 100 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-211400- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 100 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 14 to 18 feet. * WHERE...The open waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-211400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 100 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-211400- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251222T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 100 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 9 to 12 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ Reynolds
357 WHUS71 KBUF 211310 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 810 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 LOZ042>045-062>065-220300- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 810 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds to 35 knots and waves 12 to 16 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore and open waters of Lake Ontario. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ020-220300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 810 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-220300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251222T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 810 AM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
458 WHUS71 KBUF 220124 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 824 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 LOZ042-220900- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-251222T0900Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- 824 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds to 30 knots and waves 7 to 10 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ043>045-220930- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-251222T1200Z/ Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 824 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds to 30 knots and waves 10 to 14 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach to the Saint Lawrence River. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LOZ062>065-220230- /O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 824 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... Winds and waves will gradually sunbside overnight. $$ LEZ020-220300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0104.000000T0000Z-251222T0300Z/ Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 824 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. * WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LEZ040-041-220600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0103.000000T0000Z-251222T0600Z/ Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 824 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. * WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to Buffalo. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions that could capsize or damage small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 20, 2:15 AM EST, 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 2:15 AM EST, 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
215 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Lake effect snow showers will diminish early this morning. There
will be a brief period of dry weather and light winds across the
region, before a southerly wind increases this afternoon. A cold
front will move across the region tonight, and gusty winds are
expected. Lake effect snow showers will develop east of the Lakes
Sunday, and minor accumulations are expected east and southeast of
the Lakes through Sunday night.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Surface high pressure over the Ohio Valley and central Appalachians
will move towards the region this morning. Lake effect snow showers
will diminish across the area. Additional snowfall amounts of an
inch or less is expected across Lewis and Oswego counties this
morning.
A brief period of light winds is expected this morning, before the
pressure gradient tightens ahead of the next system. Southerly winds
will increase through the afternoon, as a 60kt low-level jet moves
overhead. An inversion will keep the strongest winds from mixing to
the surface, however wind gusts will increase to 25 to 35 mph across
far western NY by evening. Wind gusts will be weaker further east
today. A shortwave trough and cold front will move across the
forecast area tonight. A narrow plume of moisture will be co-located
with the front and very brief period of sprinkles or flurries is
possible along the front. The greater chance will be across the
North Country. The main story will be another round of gusty winds
behind the front tonight. A 40-50kt low-level jet is expected as the
front moves through the region overnight, and steeping lapse rates
will support a brief period of 35 to 45 mph winds immediately behind
the front overnight. Then winds gusts will average 25 to 35 mph into
Sunday morning. Due to the short time period and low confidence in
reaching 45 mph, no Advisory will be issued at this time.
Cold air will deepen across the forecast area Sunday. A westerly
flow with 850mb temperatures around -14C will support lake effect
snow showers east-southeast of the Lakes. Moisture is fairly
shallow, especially east of Lake Erie so minor accumulations are
expected. Slightly higher EQL southeast of Lake Ontario will support
a few inches of snowfall through Sunday afternoon.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure over the Ohio Valley will drift east to the Mid-
Atlantic Sunday night. Ongoing lake snows Sunday evening will begin
to weaken, especially the later portion of the night as inversion
heights begin to fall. Even so...there will still be some measure of
lake snows persisting southeast of the lakes into Monday morning.
Overall...accumulations overnight, mainly off Lake Ontario will be
light with 1-3" in the most persistent snows. Eventually drier
weather returns by Monday afternoon, as WAA processes and drier air
puts an end to any remaining lake effect.
The next system moves in Monday night as a weak area of low pressure
pushes a warm front across the region. We may see a bit of a wintry
mix across parts of the area (far Western NY) which then transitions
over to rain Tuesday as the lower levels warm. Low pressure quickly
exits off to our east by Tuesday evening with just some lingering
snow showers across the region overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Transient high pressure tries to dry things out for Christmas Eve
and much of Christmas Eve night. Medium range guidance then diverges
on the track and timing of the next low pressure system. This leaves
the door open for anything from mainly dry weather to a few showers
across the area for Christmas Day, and then possibly a very wet day
Friday. Higher confidence lies within the temperature forecast for
the later part of the period, with above average temperatures
favored for both Christmas Day and Friday, which would keep any
precipitation in the form of liquid...meaning minimal chances of
seeing snow on Christmas Day.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Lake effect snow showers will diminish early this morning. There
will be a brief period of dry weather today. Light winds this
morning will increase out of the south this afternoon. A cold front
will move across the region tonight, with a chance of rain and snow
showers and gusty winds. Strongest winds will be near the lakeshores
and across the Niagara Frontier and higher terrain across the
western Finger Lakes region.
Overall, MVFR conditions will improve to VFR this morning. A brief
period of MVFR will likely move through KART mid-day as lake clouds
move north. VFR conditions will continue across the region this
evening. MVFR conditions will develop east of Lake Ontario late
tonight.
Outlook...
Sunday...MVFR/VFR in scattered light snow showers.
Monday...VFR.
Tuesday...MVFR/VFR with scattered showers.
Wednesday...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
In the wake of a passing strong low pressure system, westerly winds
will gradually diminish overnight as the pressure gradient weakens.
The next low pressure system will quickly follow, supporting winds
to increase to high-end SCA on Lake Erie and gale force on Lake
Ontario tonight and lasting through Sunday night. This being said, a
Gale Watch is in effect for both Lakes for this time period.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for
NYZ006>008.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST early this morning for
LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for
LEZ040-041.
Gale Watch from this afternoon through Sunday morning for
LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST early this
morning for LOZ030.
Gale Warning until 3 AM EST early this morning for
LOZ042>045-062>065.
Gale Watch from this evening through Sunday evening for
LOZ042>045-062>065.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for
SLZ022-024.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HSK
NEAR TERM...HSK
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...AR/JM
AVIATION...HSK
MARINE...EAJ/HSK/TMAHazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 1:19 AM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-210630- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-Genesee- Livingston-Ontario-Allegany- 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ006>008-210630- Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LOZ042>045-062>065-210630- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Warning. Gale Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-210630- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ040-041-210630- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Gale Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ012-019-020-085-210630- Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- 119 AM EST Sat Dec 20 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2:55 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | BUF | 50 hr | |
| Dec 20, 12:21 PM EST | Wind Advisory | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie, Niagara | 16 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.