Freeze Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

492 
WWUS71 KBUF 081648
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1248 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

NYZ007-008-090700-
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.251009T0400Z-251009T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
1248 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM 
EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures of around 30 expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ006-090700-
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.251009T0400Z-251009T1300Z/
Oswego-
Including the cities of Oswego
1248 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM 
EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the lower to mid 30s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Oswego County.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-090700-
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.251009T0500Z-251009T1300Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
1248 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the lower to mid 30s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

NYZ010>013-019-085-090700-
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.251009T0700Z-251009T1300Z/
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo,
Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
1248 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the mid 30s will result in patchy frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Chautauqua 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

EAJ

273 
WWUS71 KBUF 090525
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
125 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

NYZ007-008-091730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
125 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures in 
  the upper 20s to lower 30s. For the second Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures in the mid to upper 20s expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Freeze Warning, until 9 AM EDT this morning. 
  For the second Freeze Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT 
  Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ006-091730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
Oswego-
Including the cities of Oswego
125 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Frost Advisory, temperatures in the low to mid 30s 
  will result in frost formation. For the Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures in the 25 to 30 degree range expected.

* WHERE...Oswego County.

* WHEN...For the Frost Advisory, until 9 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-091730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
125 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Frost Advisory, temperatures in the low to mid 30s 
  will result in frost formation. For the Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s expected.

* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...For the Frost Advisory, until 9 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ010>013-019-085-091730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.251009T0700Z-251009T1300Z/
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo,
Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
125 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Frost Advisory, temperatures in the mid 30s 
  will result in frost formation. For the second Frost Advisory, 
  temperatures in the lower 30s will result in frost formation.

* WHERE...Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Chautauqua 
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Frost Advisory, until 9 AM EDT this morning. 
  For the second Frost Advisory, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT 
  Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-014-091730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Ontario-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, and Canandaigua
125 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the lower 30s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and 
  Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

989 
WWUS71 KBUF 090914
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

NYZ010>013-092115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-
Including the cities of Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, and Geneseo
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the low to mid 30s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Northern Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, and Livingston Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-092115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures in 
  the upper 20s to lower 30s. For the second Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures in the mid to upper 20s expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Freeze Warning, until 9 AM EDT this morning. 
  For the second Freeze Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT 
  Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ006-092115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
Oswego-
Including the cities of Oswego
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Frost Advisory, temperatures in the low to mid 30s 
  will result in frost formation. For the Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures in the 25 to 30 degree range expected.

* WHERE...Oswego County.

* WHEN...For the Frost Advisory, until 9 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-092115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Frost Advisory, temperatures in the low to mid 30s 
  will result in frost formation. For the Freeze Warning, 
  sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s expected.

* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...For the Frost Advisory, until 9 AM EDT this morning. For 
  the Freeze Warning, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing. Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ019-085-092115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Frost Advisory, temperatures in the mid 30s 
  will result in frost formation. For the second Frost Advisory, 
  temperatures in the lower 30s will result in frost formation.

* WHERE...Chautauqua and Southern Erie Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Frost Advisory, until 9 AM EDT this morning. 
  For the second Frost Advisory, from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT 
  Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-014-092115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Ontario-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, and Canandaigua
514 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the lower 30s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and 
  Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

136 
WWUS71 KBUF 091247
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
847 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

NYZ007-008-100100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
847 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the lower 20s expected.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ006-100100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Oswego-
Including the cities of Oswego
847 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the mid 20s expected.

* WHERE...Oswego County.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-100100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0003.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Olean and Wellsville
847 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s expected.

* WHERE...Cattaraugus and Allegany Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes 
they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those 
that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover 
above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NYZ019-085-100100-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
847 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the upper 20s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Chautauqua and Southern Erie Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-100100-
/O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0010.251010T0300Z-251010T1300Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Northern Erie-
Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Newark,
Fair Haven, Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Geneseo, and Canandaigua
847 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM 
EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures in the upper 20s will result in frost 
  formation.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Northern 
  Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Livingston, and Ontario Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left 
  unprotected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

EAJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
746 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A sharp cold front will drift south across our area this evening
with rain gradually ending from west to east tonight. Canadian high
pressure will build across our region Wednesday and Thursday and
providing dry weather, along with the coolest temperatures of the
fall so far. Expect highs mainly in the 50s both Wednesday and
Thursday, with Wednesday and Thursday nights both likely to feature
a frost or freeze across many areas away from the immediate
lakeshores. A gradual warming trend will follow for Friday and the
weekend as the high slides off the New England coast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Sharp cold front entering far western New York this evening.
Light to moderate showers will continue ahead of the front as
it drifts across the region this evening. Anafrontal light rain
will diminish overnight. Additional rainfall amounts tonight
generally a quarter to half inch, with less amounts closer to a
tenth of an inch across far western New York.

Canadian high pressure will build into the eastern Great Lakes
region Wednesday. A cool, northerly flow will result in chilly air
across the region with daytime highs in the upper 50s to low 60s, an
abrupt change from our very warm weather early in the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Strong cold front that brought the much needed rainfall to western
and north-central NY will have shifted east into New England,
while an expansive area of Canadian-sourced high pressure
centered over the upper Great Lakes will be building southeast
across the lower Great Lakes region. This feature will bring a
return to dry, but notably MUCH cooler conditions for this
period, with potential for frost and freeze headlines being the
main item of interest for both Wednesday night and Thursday
night.

A secondary shot of even cooler air flowing into the eastern Great
Lakes behind it with 850mb temperatures plummeting to between -2C
and -5C (coldest North Country) for Wednesday night and
Thursday. There are two main factors that will keep temperatures
from tanking further Wednesday night: 1. Surface winds will
likely not completely decouple from flow aloft with the center
of the surface high still located well to our west over
Michigan. 2. This will be more localized, however despite the
plethora of dry air, the cool northerly flow may produce some
extra lake clouds south of Lake Ontario Wednesday night. Overall
frost coverage may be limited to some degree owed to these two
aforementioned factors, however there is potential that our
normal colder areas see a freeze.

Dry and cool weather continue Thursday with daytime highs averaging
5-10 degrees below normal, which will equate to the Tug Hill and
western Adirondacks not getting out of the mid/upper 40s under full
sunshine. Center of the cool Canadian high will then slowly drift
from western to eastern NY Thursday night. After an already chilly
day to start and IDEAL radiational cooling conditions setting up,
temperatures will quickly fall back through the evening hours, with
much of the forecast area dropping into the mid 30s and lower
(mid/upper 20s normally colder areas), possibly requiring
frost/freeze headlines areawide. WAA will begin aloft second half of
Thursday night, however with a stout radiational inversion in place,
this will have little impact on surface temperatures.

After a chilly start Friday morning, diurnal heating under near full
sunshine will eventually erode the radiational inversion allowing
the return flow of warmer air aloft to mix down to the surface, with
daytime highs returning to near average readings.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
There is low confidence in this forecast period as forecast models
diverge with the track of a coastal low off the southeast U.S.
coastline and the presence of a strong ridge over the Great Lakes
region and Northeast.

Guidance is in some agreement that a strong ridge and surface high
will be located across the forecast area for a good part of next
week bringing dry weather to the region. With that being said, the
latest deterministic guidance runs including the 12Z GFS and EC
bring a coastal low to the Mid-Atalntic region with moisture
streaming northward and the potential for showers to move into the
forecast area. Due to the lack of confidence, maintained consistency
in this forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Rounds of light to moderate rain will continue to move through
western and north-central NY through this evening. A cold front
will cross the region and winds will change to the northwest this
evening. A mix of flight conditions across the region this evening,
however IFR conditions are expected just ahead and behind the
frontal passage. Drier air will build into the region quickly
with flight conditions improving to VFR by Wednesday morning.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Mainly VFR.

Thursday through Sunday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A sharp cold front will ease across the lower Great Lakes this
evening. Behind the front, winds will freshen and veer to
northwesterly and then northerly tonight and early Wednesday. This
will bring advisory-worthy conditions as outlined below to areas
along the south shore of Lake Ontario much of the time between
tonight and Wednesday night, and to areas southwest of Dunkirk
on Lake Erie.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Wednesday for LEZ040.
         Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Thursday for
         LOZ042.
         Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LOZ043-
         044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR/TMA
NEAR TERM...HSK/TMA
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...HSK
AVIATION...HSK/TMA
MARINE...HSK/JJR/TMA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
318 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-081930-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
318 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-081930-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
318 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf