Flood Watch 9, NWS Buffalo, NY

981 
WGUS61 KBUF 271458
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
958 AM EST Sat Dec 27 2025

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-280700-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0009.251228T1800Z-251229T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
958 AM EST Sat Dec 27 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of western New York, including the following 
  counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Niagara, 
  Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  The greatest threat for flooding will be along the Buffalo area 
  creeks and rivers. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban 
  areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread rainfall totals of 1-1.5 inches are expected
    within the watch area. Locally higher amounts are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Thomas

543 
WGUS61 KBUF 280636
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
136 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-281445-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0009.251228T1800Z-251229T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
136 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of western New York, including the following 
  counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Niagara, 
  Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming.

* WHEN...From 1 PM EST this afternoon through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  The greatest threat for flooding will be along the Buffalo area 
  creeks and rivers. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban 
  areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread rainfall totals of 1-1.5 inches are expected
    within the watch area. Locally higher amounts are possible,
    especially across the Niagara Frontier.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

TMA

207 
WGUS61 KBUF 281424
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
924 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-290600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0009.251228T1800Z-251229T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
924 AM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of western New York, including the following 
  counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Niagara, 
  Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming.

* WHEN...Through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  The greatest threat for flooding will be along the Buffalo area 
  creeks and rivers. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban 
  areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread rainfall totals of 1-1.5 inches are expected
    within the watch area. Locally higher amounts are possible,
    especially across the Niagara Frontier.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Brothers

003 
WGUS61 KBUF 290631
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
131 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-292100-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-251229T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
131 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of western New York, including the following 
  counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Niagara, 
  Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  The greatest threat for flooding will be along the Buffalo area 
  creeks and rivers. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban 
  areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Rainfall has averaged between 0.50-1.5" in the watch area.
    Additional rainfall will average a quarter to a third of an
    inch. Runoff will continue this morning, but will sharply
    slow as colder temperatures move into the area.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

TMA

133 
WGUS61 KBUF 291703
FFABUF

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1203 PM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-291815-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-251229T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
1203 PM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch is cancelled for a portion of western New York, 
including the following counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, 
Genesee, Niagara, Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming.

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat as precipitation has 
changed over to snow for western NY and most area creeks and streams 
have crested.

$$

Brothers

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
212 AM EST Sat Dec 27 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will exit this morning ending any lingering snow
or mixed precipitation. High pressure building into the region
will bring a return to dry weather today through Sunday
morning. A moisture ladened low pressure system will cross the
eastern Great Lakes late Sunday through early Monday, with a
widespread soaking rain, which may start as some freezing rain,
especially east of Lake Ontario. A sharp cold front will cross
the region later Monday, followed by much colder air along with
the potential for strong winds and heavy lake effect snow early
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Inverted trough extending from departing surface wave
maintaining snow across eastern sections of the region early
this morning. Any additional snowfall will be minor and less
than two inches. Ridging builds in behind the departing low
and brings a return to dry weather today through tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
The next impactful storm system will arrive Sunday, this as a ridge
of high pressure exits to the east and phasing jets to our west
carve a longwave trough. As a deepening surface low tracks across
the Midwest there will be copious amount of moisture streaming from
So Cal today and towards our region by Sunday, with +4 SD PWATS of
1.25" within an area of deep isentropic lift. If observed PWAT
values top an inch, they would be pushing record territory for the
last week of December for KBUF sounding climatology which dates back
to 1948.

A deep southerly flow of warm air ahead of the low (850 hPa
temperatures near +5 - +8C) will spell a period of rain, midday
Sunday and through the night, and not until the arrival of a cold
front Monday morning will temperatures and the air column cool
enough to support a change over to snow from west to east. Northeast
flow through the Saint Lawrence Valley Sunday into Sunday evening
may support subfreezing temperatures lingering and an occurrence of
freezing rain before surface temperatures warm above freezing.

Flooding concern...

Models continue to trend wetter, especially across WNY with this
system. The 00Z NAEFS has increased QPF to range now 0.75 to 1.25
inches which is similar to the GEFS model output. This amount of
rain, on top of snowmelt from the Friday system could push several
creeks and rivers to near flood stage, with Ellicott Creek and Cayuga
Creeks highlighted for highest potential. The window for this
occurrence for the flasher Buffalo Creeks would be Sunday afternoon
through late Monday...when falling temperatures below freezing slows
runoff and allows creek and river levels to begin to fall. If this
trend of a wetter solution continues flood watches may be needed.
For now will highlight this potential in the HWO.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Impactful weather this period as temperatures aloft at 850 hPa drop
from +5-7C to the negative teens by Monday night behind a strong
cold front. Driving this cold front will be a -3SD surface low that
may reach sub 980 mb through Michigan and SE Ontario Canada. Rain
will change to snow later Monday behind a cold front, with the
deeper colder air triggering what may end being a prolonged period
of lake effect snow Monday night through the end of the period.

Wind concern...

The strong CAA Monday and Monday night with favorable momentum
transfer taping into a lingering 45 to 55 knot LLJ will bring
southwest to westerly winds gusting into 40 to 50 mph range, and
possibly higher northeast of Lake Erie. Southwest gusts early Monday
would not be great for trees, especially shallow rooted trees, that
may now be situated within a soggy ground. Additionally these winds,
combined with the lake effect snow will create blowing and drifting
snow, with very poor visibility expected within the lake effect snow
bands by Monday evening.

Lake effect snow...

A steady stream of arctic air over our region Monday afternoon
through the end of the week will maintain lake effect snow...perhaps
continuous right through the period. Several passing synoptic
features will oscillate these bands of snow, primarily east and
southeast of the Lakes (Lake Erie - Buffalo Southtowns/Ski Country/
and Lake Ontario- Tug Hill/SE of Lake Ontario) but there will be
times the snowbands lift northward across Buffalo and Watertown
through the week.

These synoptic features will enhance moisture which in turn will
increase the snowfall rates of the lake snow. The deformation
band/wrap around moisture behind the initial synoptic system will
linger over the lake effect snow Monday night. Shortwave troughs
Tuesday night and Wednesday night will again return deeper moisture
to our region which in addition to upstream connections at
times will add moisture to fuel these bands of oscillating snow.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Widespread IFR/LIFR will continue across the entire region
this morning. Some light snow and mist early this morning, then
dry weather is expected across the terminals through
tonight. Flight conditions will slowly improve across western NY
this afternoon into tonight.

Outlook...

Sunday...VFR in the morning, deteriorating to MVFR/IFR with rain
developing from southwest to northeast. Freezing rain possible
across the North Country.

Monday...MVFR/IFR. Rain changing to snow early from west to east.
Localized heavier lake effect snow developing east of the lakes late.

Tuesday through Wednesday...Areas of MVFR with scattered snow
showers. Localized heavier lake effect snow and IFR/LIFR possible
east/southeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.

&&

.MARINE...
Moderate easterlies continuing on Lake Ontario this morning,
gradually diminishing through the day.

A strong cold front will cross the lower great Lakes Sunday night
into Monday. Westerly gales are likely with possible storm force
gusts Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for
     NYZ001>003-007-008-010>014-019>021-085.
     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST early this morning for
     NYZ004>006.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
         LOZ042>044.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...Thomas
LONG TERM...Thomas
AVIATION...Hitchcock/HSK/TMA
MARINE...Hitchcock/TMA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

NYZ012-019>021-085-271830-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of moderate to heavy rain will pass across Western New York
Sunday and into Monday before changing to snow later Monday behind a
strong cold front. Temperatures ahead of the cold front will warm
sufficiently above freezing to allow for a good deal of higher
terrain snowmelt that when combined with potentially an inch or more
of rainfall will swell area creeks and rivers...with a small chance
that a few creeks or streams may exceed their banks. Additional low
lying ponding of water is likely.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through early
Tuesday.

As cold air deepens lake effect snow will become likely late Monday
afternoon and through much of next work week. Oscillating bands of
lake effect snow through the week will produce locally heavy
accumulations. Still windy conditions through Tuesday will allow for
the lake snows to blow and drift with very poor visibilities.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-010-011-271830-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of moderate to heavy rain will pass across Western New York
Sunday and into Monday before changing to snow later Monday behind a
strong cold front. Temperatures ahead of the cold front will warm
sufficiently above freezing to allow for recently fallen snow and
sleet to melt that when combined with potentially an inch or more of
rainfall will swell area creeks and rivers...with a small chance
that a few creeks or streams may exceed their banks, including a few
of the quick responding Buffalo Creeks. Additional low lying ponding
of water is likely.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through early
Tuesday.

As cold air deepens lake effect snow will become likely late Monday
afternoon and through much of next work week. Oscillating bands of
lake effect snow will primarily reside south of Buffalo and Batavia,
but several opportunities will exist for lake snows to lift northward
impacting the northern Niagara Frontier through the week with locally
moderate accumulations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ008-271830-
Lewis-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of rain is expected Sunday, with poor drainage flooding
possible before a cold front passes through Monday with rain changing
to snow.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through
Tuesday.

As cold air deepens lake effect snow will become likely Monday
evening and through much of next work week. Oscillating bands of
lake effect snow through the week will produce locally heavy
accumulations. Still windy conditions through Tuesday will allow for
the lake snows to blow and drift with very poor visibilities.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-271830-
Oswego-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of rain is expected Sunday, with poor drainage flooding
possible before a cold front passes through Monday with rain changing
to snow.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through
Tuesday.

As cold air deepens lake effect snow will become likely Monday
evening and through much of next work week. Oscillating bands of
lake effect snow through the week will produce locally heavy
accumulations. Still windy conditions through Tuesday will allow for
the lake snows to blow and drift with very poor visibilities.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-271830-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Gale force winds are likely very late Sunday night through Tuesday
on Lake Erie.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-271830-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Gale force winds are likely Monday through Tuesday on Lake Ontario.
Storm force gusts are possible during this timeframe, particularly on
the eastern end of the lake Monday and Monday evening. There is a
chance that gale force winds continue Wednesday and Thursday on the
Lake Ontario waters.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-271830-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-014-271830-
Monroe-Ontario-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of rain is expected Sunday, with poor drainage flooding
possible before a cold front passes through Monday with rain changing
to snow. Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become
strong, likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and
through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ013-271830-
Livingston-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through
Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-271830-
Jefferson-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of moderate to heavy rain will pass across Jefferson County
Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. Sub freezing air lingering
within the Saint Lawrence Valley may allow for a period of freezing
rain through Sunday night before the airmass warms above freeze to
allow for plain rain. A cold front will then pass across the County
mid-day Monday with rain changing to snow.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through
Tuesday.

As cold air deepens lake effect snow will become likely Monday
evening and through much of next work week. Oscillating bands of
lake effect snow through the week will produce locally heavy
accumulations. Still windy conditions through Tuesday will allow for
the lake snows to blow and drift with very poor visibilities.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-005-271830-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
124 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of rain is expected Sunday, with poor drainage flooding
possible before a cold front passes across Wayne and northern Cayuga
counties Monday, with rain changing to snow.

Behind the cold front southwest to west winds will become strong,
likely gusting into the advisory range later Monday and through
Tuesday.

As cold air deepens lake effect snow will become likely Monday
night and through much of next work week. Oscillating bands of lake
effect snow through the week (at times north of the counties) may
produce locally heavy accumulations. Still windy conditions through
Tuesday will allow for the lake snows to blow and drift.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Thomas

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
825 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     Snow             2 W Cleveland           43.24N 75.93W
12/26/2025  M5.5 Inch        Oswego             NY   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
840 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     Snow             Wolcott                 43.22N 76.81W
12/26/2025  M7.0 Inch        Wayne              NY   Mesonet

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1121 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1053 PM     Snow             2 NW Rochester          43.19N 77.65W
12/26/2025  M5.0 Inch        Monroe             NY   Trained Spotter

            Some freezing rain and sleet.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1136 PM EST Fri Dec 26 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     Snow             2 W Cleveland           43.24N 75.93W
12/26/2025  M8.5 Inch        Oswego             NY   Public

&&