Alert archive / New York / Areal Flood Warnings in 2025

Areal Flood Warning 9, NWS Buffalo, NY

May 6, 2025Allegany County, Livingston County, Wyoming County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this areal flood warning at May 6, 2025, 12:31 AM EDT for Allegany County, Livingston County, Wyoming County, New York. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2025, 12:31 AM EDT (04:31 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2025, 10:30 AM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Allegany County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2025-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 183 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2025-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 179 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
183 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at May 5, 10:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 10:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 5, 4:37 AM EDT, 19 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

NYZ010-012-019>021-085-060845-
Northern Erie-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms will blossom this afternoon and evening, with a
southeast to northwest progression. A few storms may become severe
with damaging wind gusts, heavy rain and large hail the primary
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-007-008-011-060845-
Niagara-Orleans-Jefferson-Lewis-Genesee-
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-060845-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-060845-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>006-013-014-060845-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Livingston-Ontario-
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will blossom Tuesday afternoon and evening, with a
south-southeast to north-northwest progression. A few storms may
become severe with damaging wind gusts, heavy rain and large hail the
primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-060845-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
437 AM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today, tracking from
southeast to northwest across the waters. The primary threats from
these afternoon and early evening storms will be damaging winds and
large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 5, 9:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 5, 10:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 5, 10:05 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 5, 10:19 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 8:40 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Wyoming15 min
May 5, 8:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Genesee, Livingston, Wyoming4 hr
May 5, 10:51 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBUFLivingston6 hr
May 6, 10:45 AM EDTFlood WatchBUFAllegany, Cayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Livingston, Monroe and 3 more21 hr
May 6, 5:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFCayuga3 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in New York, 2025Every areal flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.