Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
144 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 107 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2025

- There is a 2 out of 5 risk of severe thunderstorms across
  Central Alabama through the afternoon hours. The threats
  include isolated tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and large hail.

- Heavy rainfall is expected and may lead to localized flooding as
  this storm system slows its movement as it pushes southeast
  across the area. A Flood Watch is in effect 6 pm Monday
  evening.

- Frost and freeze conditions expected for the northern half of
  the area Tuesday morning and all of Central Alabama Wednesday
  morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 107 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2025

The severe weather threat will continue to linger through this
evening, with damaging winds and a tornado or two remaining the
convective threats. The largest threat now appears to be flooding
and flash flooding, as some locations have already reported 5+
inches of rain. The Flood Watch will remain in effect through
Monday, as this steady rainfall still appears to be quite slow
exiting the region. An additional 4-5 inches of rainfall appears
possible, especially with the heavier convective banding in our SE
zones.

The main front will finally move through the region by tomorrow,
giving the rest of the lingering rain the final push it needs.
From there, look for cool and quiet conditions to start the long-
term.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 107 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2025

Strong cold air advection will quickly work in behind the cold
front, allowing for lows Monday night to drop into the upper-30s
and low-40s. By Tuesday night, some of our higher elevation
locations could be below freezing, with pockets of frost possible
into Wednesday morning. Highs during this timeframe still look to
be quite nice, with highs generally ranging in the upper-50s to
upper-60s by Wednesday.

Things will briefly warm up into Thursday, before another
reinforcing trough begins drop south through the Midwest. This
trough and cold front should increase rain chances into Thursday
night, but thankfully severe weather does not look likely right
now. This cold will will also bring with it another reinforcing
shot of cooler air, as highs Friday and Saturday drop back into
the mid and upper-60s.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2025

MVFR conditions will expand over the area ahead of the line of
storms. At this time the showers and storms are in TCL and will be
moving into BHM by 12z. EET/ASN/ANB by 12 to 13z. MGM will likely
see the line work in by 15 to 16z. This will be an extremely slow
system and will provide showers and storms for a prolonged time
through the afternoon. Flooding may develop as well and could
impact a few locations.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain chances will remain in the forecast through Monday, before
cool and dry air finally works back into the region. By Tuesday,
MinRH values will drop back into the mid-30% range, where they
will remain through Thursday. Elsewhere, look for Mixing Heights
to rebound as well, back to nearly 5.0kft by Tuesday as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     50  59  38  60 /  60  30   0   0
Anniston    53  62  40  62 /  80  40   0   0
Birmingham  52  59  42  61 /  60  30   0   0
Tuscaloosa  51  62  42  66 /  40  20   0   0
Calera      53  60  43  63 /  70  40   0   0
Auburn      59  64  44  65 /  90  80   0   0
Montgomery  55  62  42  66 /  90  60   0   0
Troy        57  64  43  66 /  80  80   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday evening for the following counties:
Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-
Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-
Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-
Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-
Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.

&&

SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION...16

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
147 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

ALZ011>015-017>050-072200-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
147 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms across all of central
Alabama through this evening. Storms will be capable of producing
damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Heavy rainfall with this slow moving line may produce 2 to 4 inches
of rain. Flash flooding may develop as the line moves east.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Heavy rainfall will continue through Monday afternoon, especially in
the southeast. An additional 1-3 inches of rainfall is expected,
with locally higher amounts possible in the heavier banding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
through Sunday afternoon for severe and Monday afternoon for
flooding.

44

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1235 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 AM     Flash Flood      2 E Hubbertville        33.83N 87.70W
04/06/2025                   Fayette            AL   Public

            A swollen creek washed out part of Victor
            Road.

&&

GMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1240 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Roanoke                 33.15N 85.38W
04/06/2025                   Randolph           AL   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Roanoke for new info. A few trees were
            downed at various locations across the
            southern part of Randolph County. Highway 22
            was reported as blocked by fallen trees.

&&

GMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1254 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1054 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Newell             33.46N 85.42W
04/06/2025                   Randolph           AL   Emergency Mngr

            Trees down and blocking both lanes of County
            Road 92.

&&

GMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1259 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1229 PM     Flash Flood      Montgomery              32.37N 86.30W
04/06/2025                   Montgomery         AL   911 Call Center

            Flooding at various locations across the
            city of Montgomery.

&&

GMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
131 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1146 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 S Santuck             32.59N 86.13W
04/06/2025                   Elmore             AL   Emergency Mngr

            A storage building was blown apart.

&&

GMS

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