Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2025

Winter Storm Warning 8, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 27, 2025Chippewa County, Mackinac County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 27, 2025, 2:53 PM EST for Chippewa County, Mackinac County, Michigan. It took effect at Feb 28, 2025, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2025, 2:53 PM EST (19:53 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 28, 2025, 4:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 1, 2025, 12:57 AM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Chippewa County, MI, Mackinac County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 28, 1:00 PM ESTSNOW 4.1Sault Ste. Marie, MI8 hour total thru 1 pm. snow depth 24 inches.
Feb 28, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 6.52 Ssw Kelden, MICO-OP Observer station PICM4 Pickford 3 NE. Does not include any additional snowfall that occurred after 6pm on February 28th.
Feb 28, 11:55 PM ESTSNOW 9.1Sault Ste. Marie, MIStorm total. Snow depth 29 inches.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2025-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2025-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

993 
WWUS43 KAPX 271953
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
253 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

MIZ086>088-096-280800-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.250228T0800Z-250301T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0008.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
253 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy, wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 
  6 and 8 inches, with localized amounts in excess of 10 inches 
  possible.

* WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Southeast Chippewa, 
  and Western Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow. The strong winds and weight 
  of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause 
  sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. The 
  hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Do not touch downed lines and report any power outages to your 
electric company. Travel is highly discouraged due to slick roadways 
and the possibility of downed trees and power lines.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-097-098-280800-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.250228T0800Z-250301T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
253 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations 
  between 4 and 6 inches, primarily in areas closer to the Straits. 
  Total snowfall of 2 to 4 inches expected along and south of M-68.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island and Beaver Island and 
  surrounding islands, and Cheboygan, Emmet, and Presque Isle 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute, 
  and potentially the Friday evening commute as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MIZ095-280800-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0002.250228T0800Z-250301T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0300Z/
Western Mackinac-
253 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations 
  between 5 and 7 inches.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and 
  evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

HAD
6 follow-up statements
891 
WWUS43 KAPX 280210
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
910 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

MIZ086>088-096-281415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0008.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
910 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM 
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy, wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 
  6 and 8 inches, with localized amounts in excess of 10 inches 
  possible.

* WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Southeast Chippewa, 
  and Western Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow. The strong winds and weight 
  of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause 
  sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. Areas of 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Do not touch downed lines and report any power outages to your 
electric company. Travel is highly discouraged due to slick roadways 
and the possibility of downed trees and power lines.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-097-098-281415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
910 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM FRIDAY TO 4 
AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations 
  between 4 and 6 inches, primarily in areas closer to the Straits. 
  Total snowfall of 2 to 4 inches expected along and south of M-68.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island and Beaver Island and 
  surrounding islands, and Cheboygan, Emmet, and Presque Isle 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Friday to 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute, 
  and potentially the Friday evening commute as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MIZ095-281415-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0300Z/
Western Mackinac-
910 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST 
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations 
  between 5 and 7 inches.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MLR
297 
WWUS43 KAPX 280743
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
243 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

MIZ098-280845-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-
243 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Latest trends support the most persistent snow falling to the north 
of Beaver Island, thus, the advisory is cancelled.

$$

MIZ086>088-096-281945-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0008.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
243 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy, wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 
  6 and 8 inches, with localized amounts in excess of 10 inches 
  possible. Wind gusts as high as 35 mph leading to blowing and 
  drifting snow.

* WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Southeast Chippewa, 
  and Western Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow. The strong winds and weight 
  of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause 
  sporadic power outages. Travel could be very difficult. Areas of 
  blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Do not touch downed lines and report any power outages to your 
electric company. Travel is highly discouraged due to slick roadways 
and the possibility of downed trees and power lines.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-097-281945-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
243 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Accumulating wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations 
  between 3 and 6 inches, primarily in areas closer to the Straits. 
  Lesser amounts south of M-68.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island, and Cheboygan, Emmet, 
  and Presque Isle Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult. 
  The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and 
  evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MIZ095-281945-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T0900Z-250301T0300Z/
Western Mackinac-
243 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Accumulating wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations 
  between 4 and 7 inches.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce 
  visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

JLD
061 
WWUS43 KAPX 281509
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1009 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...IMPACTS FROM A ROBUST CLIPPER SYSTEM CONTINUE THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON, WITH DETERIORATING TRAVEL CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS 
EVENING...

.Following this morning's wave of snow, activity will be on a 
downward trend later this morning into the afternoon, with any 
lingering snowfall favoring the eastern U.P. after midday. As the 
backside of the system works into the region this evening, another 
wave of snow will lead to conditions deteriorating once again, and 
as temperatures plummet below freezing, (eventually reaching into 
the single digits by later tonight), any remaining wet road surfaces 
will quickly become icy this evening. In addition, strong wind gusts 
this evening may lead to power outage potential, especially in areas 
where snow load on trees is high.

MIZ086>088-096-010315-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
1009 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph this evening may 
  lead to significant blowing and drifting snow, along with whiteout 
  conditions.

* WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Southeast Chippewa, 
  and Western Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, especially this evening. 
  Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous 
  and potentially life-threatening.  The hazardous conditions will 
  impact the Friday evening commute. The strong winds and weight of 
  snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic 
  power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Do not touch downed lines and report any power outages to your 
electric company. Travel is highly discouraged due to slick roadways 
and the possibility of downed trees and power lines, especially this 
evening.

With temperatures falling to near zero tonight and only reaching the 
low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power outages may 
be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-097-010315-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
1009 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Following a break in snowfall this afternoon, an additional 
  1 to 3 inches of snow is expected. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 
  50 mph this evening will lead to instances of whiteout conditions 
  this evening. Falling temperatures will lead to any wet surfaces 
  rapidly refreezing after 5pm.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island, and Cheboygan, Emmet, 
  and Presque Isle Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and 
  result in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

With temperatures falling to the single digits tonight and only 
reaching the low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power 
outages may be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ095-010300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0300Z/
Western Mackinac-
1009 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Following a break in snowfall this afternoon, an additional 
  1 to 3 inches of snow is expected. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 
  50 mph this evening will lead to instances of whiteout conditions 
  this evening. Falling temperatures will lead to any wet surfaces 
  rapidly refreezing after 5pm.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and 
  result in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

With temperatures falling to the single digits tonight and only 
reaching the low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power 
outages may be amplified.

&&

$$

HAD
720 
WWUS43 KAPX 281954
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

MIZ086>088-096-010800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. Winds 
  gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph this evening may lead to 
  significant blowing and drifting snow, along with whiteout 
  conditions.

* WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Southeast Chippewa, 
  and Western Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, especially this evening. 
  Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous 
  and potentially life-threatening.  The hazardous conditions will 
  impact the Friday evening commute. The strong winds and weight of 
  snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic 
  power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Do not touch downed lines and report any power outages to your 
electric company. Travel is highly discouraged due to slick roadways 
and the possibility of downed trees and power lines, especially this 
evening.

With temperatures falling to near zero tonight and only reaching the 
low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power outages may 
be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ020-021-025>027-010800-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T2300Z-250301T1700Z/
Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON 
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Initial light rain showers will transition to all snow as 
  temperatures rapidly fall into the teens and 20s through the 
  evening. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting 
  as high as 45 to 55 mph, especially near the Lake Michigan 
  shoreline, can lead to occasional whiteout conditions, especially 
  in lake effect snow bands.

* WHERE...Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, and Leelanau 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Strong winds could cause tree damage.

Whiteout conditions will be possible, especially in open areas and 
in any lake effect snow bands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ022>024-099-010800-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250228T2300Z-250301T0900Z/
Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Charlevoix-
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM 
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Initial light rain showers will transition to all snow as 
  temperatures rapidly fall into the teens and 20s through the 
  evening, eventually bottoming out in the single digits by Saturday 
  morning. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting 
  as high as 45 mph may lead to occasional whiteout conditions 
  through the evening into early tonight.

* WHERE...Alpena, Charlevoix, Montmorency, and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

Occasional whiteout conditions are possible through the evening into 
early tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MIZ031-032-010800-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250301T0300Z-250301T1700Z/
Manistee-Wexford-
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON 
EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 
  3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph can lead to whiteout 
  conditions at times. Temperatures rapidly falling this evening may 
  lead to any wet areas refreezing quickly this evening.

* WHERE...Manistee and Wexford Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and result 
  in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ095-010600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0600Z/
Western Mackinac-
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Following a break in snowfall, an additional 1 to 2 inches 
  of snow is expected. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph this 
  evening will lead to instances of whiteout conditions this 
  evening. Falling temperatures will lead to any wet surfaces 
  rapidly refreezing after 5pm.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and 
  result in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

With temperatures falling to the single digits tonight and only 
reaching the low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power 
outages may be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-097-010800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
254 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Additional 1 to 3 inches of snow is expected. Winds gusting 
  as high as 45 to 50 mph this evening will lead to instances of 
  whiteout conditions this evening. Falling temperatures will lead 
  to any wet surfaces rapidly refreezing this evening.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island, and Cheboygan, Emmet, 
  and Presque Isle Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and 
  result in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

With temperatures falling to the single digits tonight and only 
reaching the low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power 
outages may be amplified.

&&

$$

HAD
090 
WWUS43 KAPX 010236
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

MIZ086>088-096-010900-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Winds 
  gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph this evening may lead to 
  significant blowing and drifting snow, along with whiteout 
  conditions.

* WHERE...Central Chippewa, Eastern Mackinac, Southeast Chippewa, 
  and Western Chippewa Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, especially this evening. 
  Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel treacherous 
  and potentially life-threatening.  The hazardous conditions will 
  impact the Friday evening commute. The strong winds and weight of 
  snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic 
  power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden 
changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the 
motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your 
destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially 
cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is 
winterized and in good working order.

Do not touch downed lines and report any power outages to your 
electric company. Travel is highly discouraged due to slick roadways 
and the possibility of downed trees and power lines, especially this 
evening.

With temperatures falling to near zero tonight and only reaching the 
low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power outages may 
be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ016>018-097-010900-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Additional 1 to 2 inches of snow is expected. Winds gusting 
  as high as 45 to 50 mph this evening will lead to instances of 
  whiteout conditions this evening. Falling temperatures will lead 
  to any wet surfaces rapidly refreezing this evening.

* WHERE...Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island, and Cheboygan, Emmet, 
  and Presque Isle Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and 
  result in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

With temperatures falling to the single digits tonight and only 
reaching the low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power 
outages may be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ020-021-025>027-011445-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T1700Z/
Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Initial light rain showers will transition to all snow as 
  temperatures rapidly fall into the teens and 20s through the 
  evening. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting 
  as high as 45 to 55 mph, especially near the Lake Michigan 
  shoreline, can lead to occasional whiteout conditions, especially 
  in lake effect snow bands.

* WHERE...Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, and Leelanau 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Strong winds could cause tree damage.

Whiteout conditions will be possible, especially in open areas and 
in any lake effect snow bands.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ022>024-099-010900-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Charlevoix-
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Initial light rain showers will transition to all snow as 
  temperatures rapidly fall into the teens and 20s through the 
  evening, eventually bottoming out in the single digits by Saturday 
  morning. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds gusting 
  as high as 45 mph may lead to occasional whiteout conditions 
  through the evening into early tonight.

* WHERE...Alpena, Charlevoix, Montmorency, and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

Occasional whiteout conditions are possible through the evening into 
early tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MIZ095-010600-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0600Z/
Western Mackinac-
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Following a break in snowfall, an additional 1 to 2 inches 
  of snow is expected. Winds gusting as high as 45 to 50 mph this 
  evening will lead to instances of whiteout conditions this 
  evening. Falling temperatures will lead to any wet surfaces 
  rapidly refreezing after 5pm.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday 
  evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and 
  result in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

With temperatures falling to the single digits tonight and only 
reaching the low-to-mid teens Saturday, impacts from prolonged power 
outages may be amplified.

&&

$$

MIZ031-032-011445-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.250301T0300Z-250301T1700Z/
Manistee-Wexford-
936 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST 
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 
  3 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph can lead to whiteout 
  conditions at times. Temperatures rapidly falling this evening may 
  lead to any wet areas refreezing quickly this evening.

* WHERE...Manistee and Wexford Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches and result 
  in sporadic power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MLR
373 
WWUS43 KAPX 010557
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

MIZ086>088-096-010700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-Eastern
Mackinac-
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The threat for accumulating snow across the area has ended. However; 
snow covered roadways can still lead to hazardous travel. Please 
exercise caution while driving on untreated or unplowed roadways.

$$

MIZ016>018-097-010700-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The threat for accumulating snow across the area has ended. However; 
occasional snow showers and gusty winds will remain. Snow covered 
roadways can still lead to hazardous travel. Please exercise caution 
while driving on untreated or unplowed roadways.

$$

MIZ095-010700-
/O.EXP.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0600Z/
Western Mackinac-
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM EST EARLY THIS 
MORNING...

The threat for accumulating snow across the area has ended. However; 
snow covered roadways can still lead to hazardous travel. Please 
exercise caution while driving on untreated or unplowed roadways.

$$

MIZ020-021-025>027-011700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T1700Z/
Leelanau-Antrim-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, and Leelanau 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ022>024-099-010900-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T0900Z/
Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Charlevoix-
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY 
THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to two inches. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Alpena, Charlevoix, Montmorency, and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

&&

$$

MIZ031-032-011700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-250301T1700Z/
Manistee-Wexford-
1257 AM EST Sat Mar 1 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. 
  Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Manistee and Wexford Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while 
driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken 
on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and 
slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

JLD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 27, 2:27 PM EST, 26 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Intermittent rain/snow showers today through this evening.
  • Accumulating snow late tonight - Friday transitioning to lake effect into Friday night. Heaviest snow amounts across the Straits into the E UP.
  • Colder Saturday with diminishing lake effect snow chances.
  • Turning milder again next week.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 2:27 PM EST, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
227 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Intermittent rain/snow showers today through this evening.

- Accumulating snow late tonight - Friday transitioning to lake
  effect into Friday night. Heaviest snow amounts across the
  Straits into the E UP.

- Colder Saturday with diminishing lake effect snow chances.

- Turning milder again next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1056 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

Overall forecast theme remains the same. Anticipating some
recurring mixed rain / snow showers passing through the region
through the afternoon. Passing trough axis may yield some pretty
favorable dynamics for a borderline snow squall setup this
evening as well. Have increased PoPs for this afternoon to
account for heightened confidence in precip from this convective
element... not anticipating any headlines for this, will likely
be handled with an SPS at afternoon forecast issuance.
Otherwise, big story remains impressive clipper type system set
to bring a potent round of WAA / fronto induced snowfall to the
region tomorrow, because what would the last day of
meteorological winter be without a departing shot of snow? Winter
Storm Watches will remain intact at this juncture, but the
afternoon forecast cycle will be when Warnings and Advisories
are be distributed for this upcoming system.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 257 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Early this morning, mid-upper level
troughing is centered over the western Great Lakes and expected to
make eastward progress across the area today. Two areas of low
pressure at the moment -- one over the Ohio Valley and a second
centered just north of Lake Superior. These systems eventually merge
this afternoon over eastern Ontario/Quebec. Mid-level heights rise
this evening/tonight in advance of shortwave troughing upstream
that's expected to bring another clipper system to the region on
Friday (discussed in further detail in the long term forecast section
below).

Forecast Details: KAPX radar displaying plenty of virga at this
early hour, with very little to no evidence of precipitation
reaching the ground at this point. Lower cloud ceilings underway,
however, with at least some patchy/locally dense fog development
possible over the next several hours through mid-morning or so.
These fog chances favored in areas west of I-75 (already down to
1 mile or less at Big Rapids and Fremont as of 0730z). All this
ultimately yielding eventual saturation with isolated to
scattered rain/snow shower chances increasing this morning, and
at times through the remainder of the day into this evening.
Best chances for a rain/snow mix or all rain is generally focused
in the Great Lakes collar counties with snow probabilities maximized
over the interior higher terrain. Suppose some localized amounts
up to an inch will be possible today -- primarily focused in western
Otsego/Antrim counties -- lesser amounts anticipated elsewhere. High
temps today generally ranging form the mid- upper 30s area-wide.

Few lingering snow showers possible through the evening with minor
additional accumulation. Attention then transitions to upstream with
additional snow chances expected to arrive from northwest to
southeast as early as 09-12z (this system discussed in further
detail below). Low temps tonight from the mid-upper teens far north
to the low-mid 20s elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 257 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:

Vigorous upper trough dives southeast on Friday with subsequent sfc
low following suit through the straits/northern portions of northern
lower. Most guidance points to a zesty band of WAA/frontogenetic
snow, with the best combination of colder air, lift, and moisture
(several kft of DGZ depth) across portions of the E UP/far northern
portions of northern lower. Thus, expect this area to feature the
heaviest snow (6"+) as hinted at by many of the available guidance
at this time. HREF is quite bullish with amounts, but there's plenty
of ingredients at play to deliver a significantly impactful band of
snow with high snowfall rates (1"/hr or greater), blowing and
drifting snow due to breezy conditions, and thus low visibilities
and hazardous to dangerous driving conditions. A couple pieces of
guidance have this band a little farther south, some a little
farther north, which realistically is one of the main concerns with
the forecast. That being said, a majority of the guidance have the
main band from ~the straits northward. Will elect to go with a
Winter Storm Watch for this reason from Emmet, Cheboygan, Presque
Isle, and points northward into the E UP. Thought being that if
there's some wiggle in the band placement, one area will likely get
warning, or at least close to, level snows and the other section
closer to advisory, or whatever the next shift decided. This will be
a quick moving system, thus by the late PM-evening-overnight hours,
a transition to lake effect snow is expected with generally light
additional accumulations within the snowbelts.

Much colder but generally quieter Saturday behind the vigorous upper
low and snow maker. Winds will be breezy though, making the
temperatures feel even colder. Highs will be in the teens with wind
chills hovering around zero. Light lake effect snow showers early
will be diminishing through the day as well.

Mostly quiet the second portion of the weekend, but could be a few
snow showers as energy continues to carve out across N MI. That
being said, ridging quickly takes hold into the early portions of
next week flooding milder air into the region, with highs well into
the 30s and lower 40s. Looks to be several pieces of energy and a
rather robust low pressure system in the vicinity of the Plains
moving northeastward perhaps impacting the Great Lakes region. Early
indications are that this could be a rain maker for N MI but we'll
have to see how this (warm/cold air) all evolves/interacts in the
coming days.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 221 PM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

Broken area of mixed rain and snow across northern Michigan at
early afternoon ahead of a short wave trough crossing
Wisconsin/Upper Michigan and ahead of a cold front making its
way into Upper Michigan. Occasional IFR conditions within the
area of precipitation with a weak instability profile
contributing. Short wave trough pushes through the forecast area
this evening...then watching the expected development of an
area of precipitation that spreads in from the west after 09Z...
mostly in the form of snow which will likely result in renewed
IFR flight conditions Friday morning.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through late Friday night
     for MIZ016>018-086>088-095>098.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LHZ346-
     347.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LMZ323-
     344>346.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LSZ321-
     322.

&&

UPDATE...HAD
SHORT TERM...MJG
LONG TERM...JLD
AVIATION...JPB
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 10:39 AM EST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1039 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-281545-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
1039 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Bursts of mixed precipitation are anticipated this afternoon into
the evening across all of northern Michigan. Locally heavy
snowfall can lead to rapid reductions in visibility at times
during the evening commute.

Accumulating snow is expected to arrive from northwest to
southeast late tonight with the greatest snow accumulation by
Friday morning across eastern upper Michigan. Please see the
ongoing Winter Storm Watch for additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is potential for several inches of snow accumulation Friday
into Friday evening across parts of the forecast area, especially
across eastern upper and far northern lower. Winds are expected to
become gusty through this timeframe, leading to areas of blowing/
drifting snow. Please see the ongoing Winter Storm Watch for
additional details.

Warmer weather and melting snow next week could lead to ice jams
resulting in localized flooding along area rivers.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-281545-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
1039 AM EST Thu Feb 27 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Occasional gale force wind gusts are possible on portions of Lake
Michigan Friday and Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 2:37 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAPXCharlevoix, Cheboygan, Chippewa, Emmet, Mackinac, Presque Isle12 hr
Feb 27, 2:59 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX19 hr
Feb 27, 2:53 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAlpena, Antrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Emmet and 9 more49 hr
Feb 27, 3:21 PM ESTGale WarningAPX37 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2025Every winter storm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.