Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2025

Winter Storm Warning 7, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 17, 2025Antrim County, Kalkaska County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 17, 2025, 10:36 AM EST for Antrim County, Kalkaska County, Michigan. It was in force for 20 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 17, 2025, 10:36 AM EST (15:36 UTC)
Expired
Feb 18, 2025, 7:00 AM EST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2025-02-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2025-02-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
781 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

450 
WWUS43 KAPX 171536
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

MIZ021-180345-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0007.250217T1536Z-250218T1200Z/
Antrim-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 7 
  inches. Locally higher amounts possible. Wind gusts up to 30mph 
  will create considerable reductions in visibility, along with 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas.

* WHERE...Antrim County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, especially in open / prone 
  areas. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel 
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very 
  difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Monday evening 
  and Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter 
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, 
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. 
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help 
you survive in case you become stranded.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ016-180345-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0019.250217T1536Z-250218T1200Z/
Emmet-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 3 inches.

* WHERE...Emmet County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Reductions in visibility are anticipated due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. The hazardous conditions will likely 
  impact the Monday evening commute and potentially the Tuesday 
  morning commute as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ017-180345-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Cheboygan-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 3 inches.

* WHERE...Cheboygan County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Reductions in visibility are anticipated due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. The hazardous conditions could impact 
  the Monday evening and Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-180345-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 4 inches.

* WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow 
  will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  will impact commutes through Monday evening and into Tuesday 
  morning as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ022-028-099-180345-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Otsego-Crawford-Charlevoix-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 5 inches.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Crawford, and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Considerable 
  reductions in visibility are likely due to the combination of 
  falling and blowing snow, especially in open / prone areas. The 
  hazardous conditions will impact commutes through Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ027-180345-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Kalkaska-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches.

* WHERE...Kalkaska County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow 
  will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  will impact commutes through Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ095-180345-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Mackinac-
1036 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

Dippman
5 follow-up statements
343 
WWUS43 KAPX 171911
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

MIZ027-180715-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Kalkaska-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 to 6 
  inches, generally along / north of M-72. Lesser accumulations of 1 
  to 3 inches in southern Kalkaska County. Wind gusts up to 30mph 
  will create considerable reductions in visibility, along with 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas.

* WHERE...Kalkaska County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, particularly in open / prone 
  areas. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel 
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very 
  difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday 
  evening and Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter 
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, 
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. 
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help 
you survive in case you become stranded.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ021-180715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Antrim-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 5 
  inches. Locally higher amounts possible. Wind gusts up to 30mph 
  will create considerable reductions in visibility, along with 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas.

* WHERE...Antrim County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are 
  expected and will make travel treacherous and potentially 
  life-threatening. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely 
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter 
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, 
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. 
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help 
you survive in case you become stranded.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ018-180715-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Presque Isle-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 2 inches. Gusty 
  winds up to 30mph will cause considerable blowing and drifting 
  snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...Presque Isle County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday 
  evening and Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ086-180715-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Chippewa-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations between 3 to 6 inches 
  through Tuesday morning; heaviest along and west of M-123 and up 
  to Whitefish Point.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday 
  evening and Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ016-180715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Emmet-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 2 inches. Gusty 
  winds up to 30mph will cause considerable blowing and drifting 
  snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...Emmet County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Reductions in visibility are anticipated due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. The hazardous conditions will likely 
  impact the Monday evening commute and potentially the Tuesday 
  morning commute as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ017-180715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Cheboygan-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 2 inches through 
  Tuesday morning. Gusty winds up to 30mph will cause considerable 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...Cheboygan County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Reductions in visibility are anticipated due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. The hazardous conditions will impact 
  the Monday evening and Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-180715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 2 to 3 inches 
  through Tuesday morning. Gusty winds up to 30mph will cause 
  considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially in open / prone 
  areas.

* WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ022-028-099-180715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Otsego-Crawford-Charlevoix-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches 
  through Tuesday morning. Gusty winds up to 30mph will cause 
  considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially in open / prone 
  areas.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Crawford, and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ095-180715-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Mackinac-
211 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning 
  commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

Dippman
317 
WWUS43 KAPX 180235
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

MIZ021-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Antrim-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 
  inches. Locally higher amounts possible. Wind gusts up to 30mph 
  will create considerable reductions in visibility, along with 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas.

* WHERE...Antrim County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, especially in open / prone 
  areas. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel 
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very 
  difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ027-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Kalkaska-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 to 4 
  inches, generally along / north of M-72. Lesser accumulations of 1 
  to 2 inches in southern Kalkaska County. Wind gusts up to 30mph 
  will create considerable reductions in visibility, along with 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open areas.

* WHERE...Kalkaska County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, particularly in open / prone 
  areas. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel 
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very 
  difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ016-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Emmet-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch. Gusty 
  winds up to 30mph will cause considerable blowing and drifting 
  snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...Emmet County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Reductions in visibility are anticipated due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. The hazardous conditions will likely 
  impact the Monday evening commute and potentially the Tuesday 
  morning commute as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ017-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Cheboygan-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch. Gusty 
  winds up to 30mph will cause considerable blowing and drifting 
  snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...Cheboygan County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. Reductions in visibility are anticipated due to 
  blowing and drifting snow. The hazardous conditions will impact 
  the Tuesday morning commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ018-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Presque Isle-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to an inch. Gusty 
  winds up to 30mph will cause considerable blowing and drifting 
  snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...Presque Isle County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to 2 inches through 
  Tuesday morning. Gusty winds up to 30mph will cause considerable 
  blowing and drifting snow, especially in open / prone areas.

* WHERE...A portion of Northern Lower Michigan.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow 
  will significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions 
  will impact commutes into Tuesday morning as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.
During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ022-028-099-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Otsego-Crawford-Charlevoix-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches 
  through Tuesday morning. Gusty winds up to 30mph will cause 
  considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially in open / prone 
  areas.

* WHERE...Charlevoix, Crawford, and Otsego Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Considerable 
  reductions in visibility are likely due to the combination of 
  falling and blowing snow, especially in open / prone areas. The 
  hazardous conditions will impact commutes through Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ086-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Chippewa-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations between 2 to 4 inches 
  through Tuesday morning; heaviest along and west of M-123 and up 
  to Whitefish Point.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ095-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Mackinac-
935 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches, 
  locally higher amounts are possible. Brisk northwest winds with 
  some blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MSB
370 
WWUS43 KAPX 180828
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

MIZ021-182030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.250218T1200Z-250219T0000Z/
Antrim-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM 
EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Antrim County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ016-180930-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Emmet-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

MIZ017-018-022-028-033-180930-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Otsego-Crawford-Missaukee-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

MIZ027-182030-
/O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.250218T1200Z-250219T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Kalkaska-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM 
EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations up to one inch. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches.

* WHERE...Kalkaska County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. 
  For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM 
  EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. 
  Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become 
  slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to 
  falling and blowing snow. Whiteout conditions are expected and 
  will make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in 
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

MIZ086-182030-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250219T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Persons are urged to stay indoors until conditions improve. If you 
must go outside, dress in layers. Several layers of clothes will 
keep you warmer than a single heavy coat. Cover exposed skin to 
reduce your risk of frostbite or hypothermia. Gloves, a scarf, and a 
hat will keep you from losing your body heat.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, and Wexford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ095-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Mackinac-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ099-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Charlevoix-
328 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Charlevoix County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

ELD
222 
WWUS43 KAPX 180831
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

MIZ099-180945-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Charlevoix-
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

$$

MIZ027-182045-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.250218T1200Z-250219T0000Z/
Kalkaska-
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING 
TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow. Additional snow 
  accumulations up to one inch. For the Winter Weather Advisory, 
  snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Kalkaska County.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, until 7 AM EST this morning. 
  For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM 
  EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Visibilities may drop below 1/4 
  mile due to falling and blowing snow, particularly in open / prone 
  areas. Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel 
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel could be very 
  difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday 
  morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to two inches.

* WHERE...Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee, and Wexford 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ086-182045-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250219T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ095-181200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Western Mackinac-
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations up to one inch.

* WHERE...Western Mackinac County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ021-182045-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.250218T1200Z-250219T0000Z/
Antrim-
331 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING 
TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Antrim County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

ELD
303 
WWUS43 KAPX 181200
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
700 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

MIZ027-190000-
/O.EXP.KAPX.WS.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250219T0000Z/
Kalkaska-
700 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Kalkaska County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-095-181300-
/O.EXP.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250218T1200Z/
Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee-Wexford-Western Mackinac-
700 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

Lake effect snow will continue today with additional accumulations 
up to an inch.

$$

MIZ086-190000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250219T0000Z/
Western Chippewa-
700 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches.

* WHERE...Western Chippewa County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will 
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road 
  conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday 
  morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Persons are urged to stay indoors until conditions improve. If you 
must go outside, dress in layers. Several layers of clothes will 
keep you warmer than a single heavy coat. Cover exposed skin to 
reduce your risk of frostbite or hypothermia. Gloves, a scarf, and a 
hat will keep you from losing your body heat.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally 
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can 
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, 
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ021-190000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-250219T0000Z/
Antrim-
700 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Antrim County.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

&&

$$

ELD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 17, 6:44 AM EST, 3 hours 52 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Accumulating lake effect snow into Tuesday. Brisk winds will lead to some blowing snow and quick drops in visibility.
  • Bitter cold wind chills through the first half of the week.
  • Temperatures likely to rebound by the weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 6:44 AM EST, 3 hours 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
644 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Accumulating lake effect snow into Tuesday. Brisk winds will
  lead to some blowing snow and quick drops in visibility.

- Bitter cold wind chills through the first half of the week.

- Temperatures likely to rebound by the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 407 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

Pattern/synopsis: Deep low pressure will remain near New
Brunswick today, before exiting eastward tonight. Very cold air
continues to invade the northern lakes, resulting in lake
aggregate troffing over northern Lk Huron and se Superior.
Aloft, a 500mb closed will gradually fill crossing Superior
today, opening up into a sharp trof tonight.

Forecast: Cold advection continues today. By early evening, 850mb
temps reach -23/-24C, and remain there tonight. Abundant
instability for lake effect processes of course, and moderate to
at times heavy banding is already occurring in the northern
lakes. Some very skinny stronger bandlets are in place in
northern lower MI (eastern Charlevoix Co and ne Kalkaska Co, in
particular). A more northerly fetch on Superior is focusing
banding into eastern Alger Co (and is the ultimate origin of the
northern lower MI bands).

Moisture availability is sparse, in both a relative and
absolute sense. Outside of lake effect clouds, skies are largely
clear, though some colder clouds are seen north of Superior.
Models are showing a slight moisture increase late tonight in
eastern upper MI, associated with those colder cloud tops.
Another limiting factor: the DGZ will be very shallow and very
low to the ground. Stronger bands will still have ok dendrite
generation today, especially early. But otherwise snowflakes
will turn smaller/ powdery. That hurts SLRs and snow accums,
though the small flakes are easier to blow around in our brisk
nw winds.

Snow shower coverage will increase by late morning, as diurnal
'heating' further steepens low-level lapse rates. Accums will be
broadly 1-3" today in the snowbelts (wnw/nw in northern lower,
nw/nnw in eastern upper MI). Locally higher amounts remain
possible. Have extended the nw lower MI advisory into this
evening. Though the flow is a bit too northerly (and upstream
waters too icy) for western Chip Co to be hit hard, western Mack
Co will be impacted by the stronger banding coming onshore to
the west. Have issued an advisory for the western Mack Co zone.
Will also need to keep an eye on the Presque Isle Co coast
today.

Tonight, winds to veer somewhat on Superior, and lake effect
should make more of a push in western Chip Co. 2-5" forecast
there and in far nw Mack Co. Kalkaska Co and nearby counties
should be the main focus in nw lower MI, with 2-5" totals there
as well. Up to 2" in the broader snowbelts. Will let later
shifts evaluate trends further, and the potential need for
advisories tonight. Also: wind chills drops to mid minus teens
in n central and ne lower MI late tonight, and perhaps -20 at
the Sault. This reaches "cold weather advisory" thresholds in
both areas, and such headlines are distinctly possible later
on.

High temps today near 10 above to the mid teens. Lows tonight
slightly above zero near Lake MI, to as cold as -10f near the
Sault.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 407 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast:

Cold arctic air will continue to advect into the Northwoods with the
core of coldest air reaching northern Michigan Monday/Tuesday.
Northwest winds look to persist as pressure gradients orient
northwest from a departing low pressure system and high pressure
trying to build in its wake. Cold air seeping into the region, along
with aformentioned persistent northwest flow, will potentially keep
lake effect snow showers lingering through mid-week. With moisture
slowly being eroded away by the aforementioned cold air and wrap
around moisture in shorter supply as the aformentioned low pressure
departs, this should keep snow amounts lighter. All this to say, the
typical NW flow snowbelts can probably expect a few more inches by
mid-week. Winds will continue to be breezy into Tuesday with gusts
20-25 mph, making blowing/drifting snow and lowered visibilities
likely during this timeframe, especailly given the nature of the
snow (fine, small flakes). An upper-level low looks to bring a
period of widespread light snow Wednesday night/Thursday with
perhaps some lingering light lake effect snow showers the later half
of the week into the weekend. However, overall a drying trend is
expected as heights build at the surface and aloft, which should
shut off lake effect showers.

Daytime high temperatures look to be in the teens with negative
teens for wind chill values, especially heading into Tuesday
morning. Temperatures look to moderate by mid-week with values
slowly creeping back into the mid to upper 20s, and potentially even
low 30s by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 640 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

Very cold air will generate lake effect clouds and snow.
Occasional IFR vsbys are possible today, with the best chance at
TVC/MBL. Otherwise a mix of VFR to MVFR cigs continues.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for
     MIZ020>022-025>028-031>033-095-099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Tuesday for LHZ346-347.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Tuesday for LMZ323-344>346.

&&

SHORT TERM...JZ
LONG TERM...NSC
AVIATION...JZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 17, 3:12 AM EST, 7 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
312 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-181200-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
312 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Accumulating lake effect snow will continue through tonight. Brisk
winds will produce some blowing and drifting snow. See ongoing
advisories for details.

Wind chills will be in the single digits and teens below zero,
coldest late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Additional accumulating lake effect snow is likely Tuesday.

Well below zero wind chills are likely through Wednesday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National
Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways:

Online:    weather.gov/gaylord
Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord
Twitter: x.com/nwsgaylord

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-181200-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
312 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Areas of freezing spray are possible across open Great Lakes
nearshore waters through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Areas of freezing spray likely into early next week as very cold
temperatures work into the Great lakes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

JZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 17, 8:21 AM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
821 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Snow             1 ESE Mancelona         44.90N 85.05W
02/17/2025  M9.8 Inch        Antrim             MI   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MI-AT-6 Mancelona 0.5 ESE.

0700 AM     Snow             2 SE Elmira             45.05N 84.82W
02/17/2025  M6.6 Inch        Otsego             MI   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MI-OT-19 Elmira 2.2 ESE.

0700 AM     Snow             2 N Suttons Bay         45.00N 85.65W
02/17/2025  M3.5 Inch        Leelanau           MI   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MI-LL-8 1 NNE Suttons Bay.

0700 AM     Snow             Lovells                 44.80N 84.46W
02/17/2025  M3.2 Inch        Crawford           MI   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MI-CF-9 Grayling 15.8 NE.

0700 AM     Snow             1 NNE Grawn             44.68N 85.68W
02/17/2025  M3.1 Inch        Grand Traverse     MI   Cocorahs

            Cocorahs station MI-GT-30 Traverse City 6.1
            SW.

&&
Local storm report, Feb 17, 8:22 AM EST, 2 hours 14 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
822 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Snow             Gaylord 9SSW            44.91N 84.72W
02/17/2025  M4.4 Inch        Otsego             MI   Official NWS Obs

            Official 24HR snowfall from NWS Gaylord.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 17, 10:36 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXEmmet17 hr
Feb 17, 2:32 PM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 19 more18 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2025Every winter storm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.