Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2025

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI

March 29, 2025Wexford County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this river flood warning at Mar 29, 2025, 9:05 PM EDT for Wexford County, Michigan. It took effect at Mar 30, 2025, 5:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2025, 9:05 PM EDT (01:05 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 30, 2025, 5:00 PM EDT
Expired
Apr 5, 2025, 9:35 AM EDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manistee River near Sherman (SHRM4).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04124000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

524 
WGUS43 KAPX 300105
FLWAPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
905 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

...The National Weather Service in Gaylord MI has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 915 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-301315-
/O.NEW.KAPX.FL.W.0002.250330T2100Z-250402T0600Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.250330T2100Z.250331T1800Z.250402T0000Z.NR/
905 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon to early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins around the Wilderness 
  Canoe livery along left bank of river just downstream of M-37 
  bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 14.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 15.4 feet early Monday
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Tuesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.4 feet on 04/18/1960.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

JZ
16 follow-up statements
085 
WGUS83 KAPX 301623
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1223 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 1230 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-310430-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.250330T2100Z-250403T0000Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.250330T2100Z.250331T1800Z.250402T1800Z.NR/
1223 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...From this afternoon to Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:00 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this afternoon to a crest of 15.7 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.7 feet on 03/29/1976.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MSB
707 
WGUS43 KAPX 302345
FLWAPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
745 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning, sooner if 
needed.Monday morning at 745 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-311145-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250404T0600Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250331T1800Z.250404T0000Z.NR/
745 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM EDT Sunday was 15.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.1
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.0 feet on 03/18/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

JZ
793 
WGUS83 KAPX 311335
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
935 AM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning, sooner if 
needed.this evening at 945 PM EDT.

&&

MIC165-010145-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250404T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.250330T1715Z.250331T0530Z.250404T0600Z.NR/
935 AM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Monday the stage was 15.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EDT Monday was 15.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.6
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.6 feet on 10/28/2017.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MSB
675 
WGUS83 KAPX 311758
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
158 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 200 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-010600-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250404T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.250330T1715Z.250331T0530Z.250404T0600Z.NR/
158 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 15.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:30 PM EDT Monday was 15.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Friday morning and continue falling to 14.6 feet
    Monday, April 07.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.6 feet on 10/28/2017.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MSB
414 
WGUS83 KAPX 311947
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
347 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 400 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-010800-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250405T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.250330T1715Z.250401T0000Z.250405T0600Z.NR/
347 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:15 PM EDT Monday the stage was 15.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:15 PM EDT Monday was 15.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.7
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.7 feet on 03/29/1976.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MSB
009 
WGUS83 KAPX 312354
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
754 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning, or as 
needed.Tuesday morning at 800 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-011200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250407T1200Z/
/SHRM4.1.ER.250330T1715Z.250401T0600Z.250407T0600Z.NR/
754 PM EDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY, APRIL 07...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Monday, April 07.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 15.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 PM EDT Monday was 15.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to crest near 15.8 feet
    tonight. It will then fall below flood stage Monday, April
    07.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.7 feet on 03/29/1976.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

JZ
406 
WGUS43 KAPX 011416
FLWAPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1016 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1030 PM EDT.

&&

MIC165-020230-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250402T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1016 AM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM EDT Tuesday was 16.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 16.1 feet this evening. It
    will then fall Thursday evening. It will rise to 16.0 feet
    Friday evening. It will then fall again but remain above
    flood stage.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.0 feet on 03/18/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

PBB
487 
WGUS83 KAPX 020007
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
807 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning, or as 
needed.Wednesday morning at 815 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-021215-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250409T0000Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250402T0600Z.250408T1800Z.NR/
807 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY, APRIL 08...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast. This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday, April 08.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 PM EDT Tuesday was 16.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.0
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage Tuesday, April 08.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.0 feet on 03/18/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

JZ
541 
WGUS83 KAPX 021518
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1118 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1130 PM EDT.

&&

MIC165-030330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250402T1445Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1118 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:45 AM EDT Wednesday was 16.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 15.0 feet
    Wednesday, April 09.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.0 feet on 03/18/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MSB
219 
WGUS83 KAPX 030003
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
803 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Rifle River near Sterling affecting Arenac County.

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Rifle River...including Sterling...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 815 AM EDT.

&&

MIC011-031215-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250405T1500Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.250330T2307Z.250401T0315Z.250405T0824Z.NO/
803 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Rifle River near Sterling.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, High water begins to impact canoe livery at 
  River View Campground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 5.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 7.2 feet Friday morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.2 feet on 12/13/1965.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4406 8391 4406 8407 4416 8407 4411 8397
      4404 8379 4399 8381


$$

MIC165-031215-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
803 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 PM EDT Wednesday was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.2
    feet just after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.4 feet on 06/14/2008.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

JLD
303 
WGUS83 KAPX 031221
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
821 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Rifle River near Sterling affecting Arenac County.

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Rifle River...including Sterling...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 830 PM EDT.

&&

MIC011-040030-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250405T1330Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.250330T2307Z.250401T0315Z.250405T0730Z.NO/
821 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Rifle River near Sterling.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, High water begins to impact canoe livery at 
  River View Campground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 5.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 6.3 feet early
    tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    6.4 feet on 06/14/2010.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4406 8391 4406 8407 4416 8407 4411 8397
      4404 8379 4399 8381


$$

MIC165-040030-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250410T0600Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0115Z.250410T0000Z.NR/
821 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY, APRIL 10...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Thursday, April 10.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 AM EDT Thursday was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday evening and continue falling to 14.9 feet Thursday,
    April 10.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.0 feet on 03/18/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

NSC
021 
WGUS83 KAPX 031849
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
249 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Rifle River near Sterling affecting Arenac County.

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Rifle River...including Sterling...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 300 AM EDT.

&&

MIC011-040700-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250405T1330Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.250330T2307Z.250401T0315Z.250405T0730Z.NO/
249 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Rifle River near Sterling.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, High water begins to impact canoe livery at 
  River View Campground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 5.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 6.3 feet early
    tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    6.4 feet on 06/14/2010.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4406 8391 4406 8407 4416 8407 4411 8397
      4404 8379 4399 8381


$$

MIC165-040700-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250410T0600Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0115Z.250410T0000Z.NR/
249 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY, APRIL 10...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Thursday, April 10.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 2:15 PM EDT Thursday was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday evening and continue falling to 14.9 feet Thursday,
    April 10.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.0 feet on 03/18/1990.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

NSC
596 
WGUS83 KAPX 040108
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
908 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

  Rifle River near Sterling affecting Arenac County.

For the Rifle River...including Sterling...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 915 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-041315-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250409T1800Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0115Z.250409T1200Z.NR/
908 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 PM EDT Thursday was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 14.8 feet Thursday,
    April 10.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.7 feet on 03/29/1976.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MIC011-041315-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250405T1330Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.250330T2307Z.250401T0315Z.250405T0730Z.NO/
908 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Rifle River near Sterling.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 6.0 feet, High water begins to impact canoe livery at 
  River View Campground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 5.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tomorrow morning to a crest of 6.3 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    6.4 feet on 06/14/2010.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4406 8391 4406 8407 4416 8407 4411 8397
      4404 8379 4399 8381


$$

MLR
882 
WGUS83 KAPX 041313
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
913 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Rifle River near Sterling affecting Arenac County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this morning at 1015 AM EDT.

&&

MIC011-041415-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250404T1313Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.250330T2307Z.250401T0315Z.250402T1522Z.NO/
913 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Rifle River near Sterling.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Friday the stage was 5.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 5.4
    feet this afternoon.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4406 8391 4406 8407 4416 8407 4411 8397
      4404 8379 4399 8381


$$

MIC165-050115-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250408T1800Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0115Z.250408T1200Z.NR/
913 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of property and homes adjacent to 
  right bank of river along Ojibway Drive, Ottawa Drive, and 
  Chippewa Drive 1 mile north of Sherman.  Flooding of N11 Road 
  between W14 Road and W16 Road 1 mile northwest of Mesick.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM EDT Friday the stage was 15.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM EDT Friday was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Tuesday morning and continue falling to 14.5 feet Friday,
    April 11.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.5 feet on 03/29/1989.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

NSC
816 
WGUS83 KAPX 050116
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
916 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

For the Manistee River...including Sherman...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning at 930 AM EDT.

&&

MIC165-051330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250408T1200Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0115Z.250408T0600Z.NR/
916 PM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Manistee River near Sherman.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Flooding begins around the Wilderness 
  Canoe livery along left bank of river just downstream of M-37 
  bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EDT Friday the stage was 15.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 PM EDT Friday was 15.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning and continue falling to 14.4 feet
    Friday, April 11.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.1 feet on 06/17/2015.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MLR
384 
WGUS83 KAPX 051335
FLSAPX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
935 AM EDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Michigan...

  Manistee River near Sherman affecting Wexford County.

MIC165-051445-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250405T1335Z/
/SHRM4.2.ER.250330T1715Z.250403T0115Z.250405T0637Z.NR/
935 AM EDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Manistee River near Sherman.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet, which below
    the minor flood stage of 15.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 14.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 14.3 feet
    Saturday, April 12.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4437 8573 4443 8577 4447 8564 4442 8561


$$

MJG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 29, 7:34 PM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Significant ice storm continues into Sunday, with ice focus shifting gradually north with time.
  • Showers and storms departs northern lower as colder air returns to the region this Monday. Sleet and snow showers linger across the tip of the mitt and eastern upper through Monday.
  • Additional precipitation chances return this Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. Showers and storms expected across northern lower while mixed precip lingers north of the bridge.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 7:34 PM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
734 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Significant ice storm continues into Sunday, with ice focus
  shifting gradually north with time.

- Showers and storms departs northern lower as colder air
  returns to the region this Monday. Sleet and snow showers
  linger across the tip of the mitt and eastern upper through
  Monday.

- Additional precipitation chances return this Wednesday afternoon
  through Thursday. Showers and storms expected across northern
  lower while mixed precip lingers north of the bridge.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast:

One impressive thermal gradient/baroclinic axis layed out across the
Great Lakes early this afternoon, as evident by temperatures well
into the 60s and 70s across the lower Lakes and Ohio Valley, with
readings stuck in the 30s across the northern Lakes. Showers
continue to regenerate along and north of this boundary, helped
along by persistent low level jet and deep layer moisture advection.
Unfortunately, for at least parts of our area, sustained northeast
winds on south side of southern Canada high pressure continues to
usher in those near surface cold temperatures, with sections of
north central and northeast lower Michigan still running at or a
touch below freezing. Warm nose aloft is now substantial (8C
measured at 2.4kft on our local 12z sounding), continuing the
freezing rain threat were those surface temperatures or still below
freezing.

Expect thermal gradient/baroclinic zone will ever so slowly bow
north tonight into Sunday in response to sharp shortwave trough and
attendant surface low rotating northeast out of the southern
Plains....with this low set to cut right across our area Sunday
evening. Rounds of rain/freezing rain/and sleet will continue, some
of which will continue to cause significant impacts.

Primary Forecast Concerns:

Mixed precipitation evolution (especially focused on freezing rain
potential) , amounts, and headline management concerns tonight and
Sunday.

Details:

Still just one unbelievably complicated and low confidence forecast,
all owning to ultra sensitive thermal profiles through the vertical.
Fully expect persistent east/northeast winds to continue to result
in surface temperatures remaining at or near freezing tonight across
the current ice storm warned areas. Elevated warm nose is going
nowhere, again setting up waves of freezing rain across the those
currently warned areas. Could easily see another quarter inch of ice
or so by morning, and giving what has already occurred, would fully
expect more widespread tree and powerline impacts. Will go ahead and
extended those warning right into Sunday morning. Precipitation will
expand north into eastern upper tonight as whole elevated baroclinic
axis begins to shift that direction. Elevated warm nose becomes less
aggressive the further north one goes as well, suggesting a myriad
of precipitation types north of the big bridge...with likely more
freezing rain/sleet on the south end of upper Michigan transitioning
to a more sleet and snow along and north of M-28. Additional mixed
precipitation will continue through Sunday across eastern upper
Michigan, with substantial amounts of all precipitation types
expected. Could easily see warning level freezing rain totals north
off the Mighty Mac, and while sleet/snow totals may not justify
warnings, impacts will likely be significant. Best course of action
is to go ahead with winter storm warns tonight through Sunday across
eastern upper to account for this myriad of precipitation types.
Current thought is near surface temperatures will gradually warm to
above freezing across northern Lower Michigan on Sunday to end any
freezing concerns. Will also need to watch for some afternoon
thunderstorms, although current southward drift of low passage in
guidance suggests any severe component will remain off to our south.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 311 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

Pattern Synopsis:

Active weather continues at the start of the long term period as a
midlevel shortwave trough with attached surface level low pressure
will be centered over the Wisconsin/Minnesota boarder. Ongoing
precipitation associated with the warm side of the system will
continue showers and even some thunderstorms across mainly northern
lower. Areas near the tip of the mitt and eastern upper however will
have a much cooler thermal profile along with surface temperatures
near/below 0, resulting in a quick burst of mixed precipitation.
Cold air eventually builds on the backside of the low as it tracks
northeasterly... delivering a quick shot of snow to a few areas of
northern lower.

Conditions stay dry as surface high pressure builds across the region
this Tuesday. At the same time, midlevel longwave troughing over
the west coast continues to push waves of energy to the midwest next
week. Another shortwave develops surface low pressure lee of the
Rockies and advects to the Great Lakes region, returning another
round of showers and storms along with some mixed precipitation
potential north of the bridge.

Primary Forecast Concerns:

Focus for the long term primarily remains within the 24 hours of
the forecast period. Ongoing precipitation from the stationary
boundary transitions to a more classic set up of low pressure
tacking across the state Sunday night. warm air advection will keep
most areas of northern lower in the 40s (possibly 50s) while the
deformation zone will hover north of the bridge. Precipitation will
remain mostly as ugly sleet and snow across eastern upper through
the morning hours of Monday. Accumulations will be minor with an
inch or less expected after 00Z Monday, but roadway conditions will
still remain poor with icy/slushy buildup across the U.P for the
morning commute. Meanwhile; ongoing scattered showers and storms
will quickly switch to snow Monday morning for northern lower, with
only a few locations west of I-75 expected to see accumulations of a
few tenths. Temperatures will drop to near freezing across the CWA
this Monday, meaning any residual water on roadways shouldn't be
much of a concern in term of freezing.

Next chance of precipitation is as early as Wednesday afternoon
through Thursday as a second wave of energy moves across the
northwoods. At this time, long range ensembles are tracking the
surface low directly over northern lower; meaning weak frontal
forcing compared to areas southward should keep convective forcing
of showers and storms low. Areas to the north have the potential of
seeing some more mixed precipitation as surface temperatures remain
around freezing and cold air aloft in the low levels. QPF is low as
well compared to the ongoing boundary today, with roughly a third to
half inch expected, but amounts will likely change as storm track
shifting will produce a different outcome with future guidance.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 734 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

Mostly IFR. Ugly mixed precip event continues. Mostly just rain
for TVC/MBL, though mainly IFR to LIFR cigs. Mostly FZRA
tonight at APN/PLN, though APN should become mainly RA Sunday.
IFR/LIFR cigs there too. No precip at CIU now, but it will push
back north into that area this evening. SN initially, then
turning to PL and then FZRA by daybreak. Current VFR cigs will
become IFR tonight.

Brisk east winds persist.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Ice Storm Warning until noon EDT Sunday for MIZ016>018-022>024-
     097>099.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for MIZ028>030.
     Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT Sunday
     for MIZ086-087.
     Winter Storm Warning until 8 PM EDT Sunday for MIZ088-095-096.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for LHZ345>349.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for LMZ323-341-342-
     344>346.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for LSZ321-322.

&&

SHORT TERM...MSB
LONG TERM...SJC
AVIATION...JZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 3:26 PM EDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
326 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-301930-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
326 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Significant ice and sleet/snow accumulations expected through
tonight across Eastern Upper and parts of Northern Lower Michigan.
Please see the latest winter weather headlines for additional
details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A wintry mix and icing is anticipated to continue through Sunday
night across parts of the area. Hazardous travel is likely, and
infrastructural impacts are possible. Please see the latest winter
weather headlines for additional details.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across much of northern lower
Michigan Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

All spotters are encouraged to report icing amounts and
snowfall accumulations to the National Weather Service.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-301930-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
326 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 29, 4:09 PM EDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
409 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     East Jordan             45.16N 85.13W
03/28/2025                   Charlevoix         MI   Emergency Mngr

            Large tree downed onto home. Roof blown off
            of campground building. Time approximated
            from radar and other nearby wind reports.

&&

JZ
Local storm report, Mar 29, 5:57 PM EDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
557 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     Freezing Rain    2 NE Luzerne            44.64N 84.24W
03/29/2025  M0.25 Inch       Oscoda             MI   Trained Spotter

            Trained spotter reported about a quarter
            inch of ice on guy-wires and tree branches.
            Lost power approximately 10 mins prior to
            calling.

&&

FEF
Local storm report, Mar 29, 6:35 PM EDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
635 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     Freezing Rain    2 SW Gaylord            45.01N 84.70W
03/29/2025  M0.55 Inch       Otsego             MI   ASOS

            24 hour/event total at Gaylord Regional
            Airport.

&&

JZ
Local storm report, Mar 29, 7:05 PM EDT, 2 hours before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
705 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     Freezing Rain    2 N Otsego Lake State P 44.95N 84.70W
03/29/2025  E0.40 Inch       Otsego             MI   NWS Employee

            West shore of Otsego Lake. Accumulation on
            branches. Neighborhood trees are audibly
            cracking/breaking multiple times per minute.

&&

JZ
Local storm report, Mar 29, 8:53 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
853 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 PM     Freezing Rain    6 WNW Vanderbilt        45.19N 84.76W
03/29/2025  E0.50 Inch       Charlevoix         MI   Trained Spotter

            Boyne Falls COOP observer reported his
            father in the Thumb Lake area has received
            about a half inch of ice today. Additional
            reports of icing-related damage in the Thumb
            Lake on social media.

&&

FEF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 11:06 AM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Crawford and 6 more21 hr
Mar 30, 2:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXOgemaw42 min
Mar 30, 3:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXAlcona, Iosco52 min
Mar 30, 6:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXGrand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau, Missaukee, Wexford45 min
Mar 30, 6:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXGladwin49 min
Mar 30, 7:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXArenac44 min
Mar 30, 7:50 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningAPXArenac5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2025Every river flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.