Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2025
Gale Warning 35, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this gale warning at Dec 15, 2025, 4:03 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 16, 2025, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 25 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2025, 4:03 PM EST (21:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 16, 2025, 11:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 17, 2025, 11:48 AM EST
- In force
- 25 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
The text
As transmitted.
143 WHUS73 KAPX 152103 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 LMZ323-160515- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0123.000000T0000Z-251216T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0021.251216T1800Z-251217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 6 feet expected. * WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ345-160515- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-251216T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0021.251216T1800Z-251217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 11 feet expected. * WHERE...Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ346-160515- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0125.000000T0000Z-251216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Manistee to Point Betsie MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ341-160515- /O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0123.000000T0000Z-251215T2100Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0021.251216T1800Z-251217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345-160515- /O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0124.000000T0000Z-251215T2100Z/ /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0021.251216T1800Z-251217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the west and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ346-160515- /O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0124.000000T0000Z-251215T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the west and highest waves around 8 feet expected. * WHERE...St Ignace to False Detour Channel. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ347>349-160515- /O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0123.000000T0000Z-251215T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 9 feet expected. * WHERE...5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island, Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary and Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ342-344-160515- /O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0021.251216T1800Z-251217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 11 feet expected. * WHERE...Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay and Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-160515- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1000Z-251217T2200Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...From 5 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ322-160515- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T0400Z/ St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest expected. * WHERE...St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From 11 AM to 11 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ JPB
8 follow-up statements
417 WHUS73 KAPX 160356 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1056 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-161200- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 1056 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 6 feet expected. * WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-161200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1000Z-251217T2200Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 1056 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...From 5 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ322-161200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T0400Z/ St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1056 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest expected. * WHERE...St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From 11 AM to 11 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>349-161200- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 1056 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the west and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
131 WHUS73 KAPX 160737 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 237 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 LHZ349-161545- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T2000Z-251217T1000Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 237 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 8 feet expected. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-161545- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 237 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 6 feet expected. * WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ322-161545- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 237 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest expected. * WHERE...St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-161545- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1000Z-251217T2200Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 237 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...From 5 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-161545- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 237 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the west and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
038 WHUS73 KAPX 161454 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 954 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-162300- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T1600Z-251217T1000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 954 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 6 feet expected. * WHERE...Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ349-162300- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251216T2000Z-251217T1000Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 954 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 8 feet expected. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-162300- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-251217T2200Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- 954 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI. * WHEN...From 5 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-LSZ322-162300- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.251216T1600Z-251217T2200Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 954 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the west and highest waves around 7 feet expected. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island. * WHEN...From 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
987 WHUS73 KAPX 162009 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 309 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 LSZ321-322-170415- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-251217T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251217T0600Z-251217T1500Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 309 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 6 feet. For the Gale Warning, Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the west and highest waves around 14 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Wednesday. For the Gale Warning, from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-170415- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-251217T2200Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1000Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 309 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 7 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-170415- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1000Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 309 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ349-170415- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1000Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 309 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$
364 WHUS73 KAPX 170313 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1013 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-170900- /O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T0900Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 1013 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 11 feet. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-171445- /O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1700Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 1013 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the west and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until noon EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ349-171400- /O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1400Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 1013 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...Until 9 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-322-171445- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-251217T0600Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.251217T0600Z-251217T1500Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1013 PM EST Tue Dec 16 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 5 feet. For the Gale Warning, Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the west and highest waves around 14 feet expected. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 1 AM EST Wednesday. For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$
198 WHUS73 KAPX 170848 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 348 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-171945- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0036.251218T0500Z-251219T1500Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 348 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 11 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will shift from the southwest to the northwest Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-171700- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1700Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 348 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the west and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ349-171400- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1400Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 348 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the west and highest waves around 5 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-322-171500- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1500Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 348 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the northwest and highest waves around 13 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$
212 WHUS73 KAPX 170905 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 405 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 LMZ323-341-342-344>346-171715- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.251217T0905Z-251217T1700Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.251218T0500Z-251219T1500Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 405 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the northwest and highest waves around 8 feet. For the Gale Warning, Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 11 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until noon EST today. For the Gale Warning, from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ345>348-171700- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1700Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 405 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the west and highest waves around 8 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ349-171400- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1400Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- 405 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the west and highest waves around 4 feet. * WHERE...Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. * WHEN...Until 9 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LSZ321-322-171500- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1500Z/ Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 405 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 35 kts from the northwest and highest waves around 13 feet. * WHERE...Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$
918 WHUS73 KAPX 171648 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1148 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 LHZ345>348-180100- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-251217T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0128.251218T0500Z-251219T1500Z/ Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary- 1148 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 10 feet expected. * WHERE...Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island, St Ignace to False Detour Channel, 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island and Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-180100- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.000000T0000Z-251217T1700Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0036.251218T0500Z-251219T1500Z/ Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- 1148 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 40 kts from the southwest and highest waves around 12 feet expected. * WHERE...Portions of Lake Michigan. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous highest waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions. && $$ LHZ349-LSZ321-322-180100- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0128.251218T0500Z-251219T1500Z/ Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1148 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2025 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Highest gusts up to 30 kts from the south and highest waves around 9 feet expected. * WHERE...In Lake Huron, Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI. In Lake Superior, Whitefish Bay (U. S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI and St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 15, 3:47 PM EST, 16 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Lingering light precip/drizzle/freezing drizzle issues tonight/ Tuesday.
- Midweek warming trend ahead of a system expected to bring rain (!) to northern Michigan Thursday... -...then back to reality with another push of Arctic air Thursday night/Friday. Snow potential as well as flash freeze possibilities Thursday night.
- Additional precipitation chances for the weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 3:47 PM EST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
347 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Lingering light precip/drizzle/freezing drizzle issues tonight/
Tuesday.
- Midweek warming trend ahead of a system expected to bring rain (!)
to northern Michigan Thursday...
-...then back to reality with another push of Arctic air
Thursday night/Friday. Snow potential as well as flash freeze
possibilities Thursday night.
- Additional precipitation chances for the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 342 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Long wave trough is getting shunted
to the east today as Pacific air begins to flood into western
North America. Low amplitude ridging across the Pacific
Northwest/western Canada downstream of a Pacific-basin omega
block. Short wave trough zipping across the Great Lakes
today...assisting with the warm advection driven snow event
across the forecast area earlier today. Speaking of which: 850mb
0C isotherm pushing into Wisconsin... which is a harbinger of
what is to come later this week. Remnants of weekend Arctic high
(1038mb) centered along the Ohio River...weak low pressure
(1015mb) along the Minnesota/Dakotas border...surface
trough/shallow cold front extends northeast into northern
Ontario with a stubby warm front into southern Minnesota/Iowa.
Flow pattern expected to become a zonal Pacific-dominated one as the
week progresses with a couple of short wave troughs of note. First
quick moving wave passes by Wednesday...while a stronger wave digs
into the Plains Thursday and lifts across the region Friday. A
third system swings through for the coming weekend. Surface
trough/cold front across northwest Ontario drops into Lake Superior
tonight but that is probably as far south at it will get as deep
layer warm air advection and subsequent height rises continue across
the Great Lakes. 850mb temperatures warm above freezing for the
first time in what seems like forever by Tuesday morning...and surge
to +8C by evening. A true Alberta Clipper associated with
Wednesday's short wave trough will slide by well to the north of
Michigan...its associated cold front will try to edge its way into
the state from the north Wednesday. Probably won't make it very far
south given the low amplitude nature of its parent short wave
trough. More substantial system...really another Clipper but
developing farther south across the northern Plains...will take aim
on the Great Lakes in the Thursday time frame. This system looks
like it will whiplash from warm to cold...so definitely some impacts
to think about. Another weaker system may impact the state this
weekend.
Primary Forecast Concerns:
Lingering light precip/drizzle/freezing drizzle issues tonight/
Tuesday: Starting out this afternoon with some lingering west/
southwest flow light snow/flurries as mid level moisture strips
out...CBL depth is shallow given warm advection. What is
interesting however is bottom part of the inversion is
saturated...and at temperatures at or above -10C. So while it is
still cold enough for a bit of a lake response...some questions
about ice nucleation potential raise the question of whether we can
squeeze out some flurries and/or light freezing drizzle at least
this evening. Couple of recent PIREPS over northwest Lower
reporting riming...would prefer to see some reports of clear/mixed
icing to better corroborate this idea but at least the icing reports
indicating small supercooled cloud droplets.
During the day Tuesday a band of mostly mid level moisture crosses
the forecast area...along with steeper mid level lapse rates but
with a dry layer of air below that should preclude much in the way
of measurable precipitation. But there are indications of shallow
instability within southwest flow off Lake Michigan...and now
definitely at temperatures that should preclude ice nucleation. So
wondering if there is still a chance for some drizzle/freezing
drizzle along the Lake Michigan shoreline (surface temperatures will
be close to or maybe above freezing).
Midweek warming trend ahead of a system expected to bring rain (!)
to northern Michigan Thursday...: Rather remarkable stretch of cold
weather (unless you hate winter like myself): last time we saw a
high temperature above normal was the day before Thanksgiving (26
November)...and we haven't been close to a normal high temperature
since. But that is expected to change over the next several days
(normal highs for mid December range from 30 to 34 degrees);
consensus forecast highs for Wednesday are still in the 30s even
with a quick shot of colder air so have tempered those down a bit
especially across eastern Upper as highs may stay in the 20s.
Thursday looks to be the warmest day for certain with strong
southerly flow ahead of the approaching upstream system...
temperatures expected to be within several degrees either side
of 40. Nice surge of moisture with precipitable water values at
or above 0.75 inch which is a +2 to +3 sigma standardized
anomaly for mid December. So a widespread rain-on-snow event
will unfold Thursday...there is a non-zero probability that
precipitation could start as freezing rain in the race between
above freezing surface temperatures and precipitation starting.
This is not expected to be hydrologically significant given the
next bullet in the long term section below...
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 342 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025
Primary Forecast Concerns:
...back to reality with another push of Arctic air Thursday night/
Friday. Snow potential as well as flash freeze possibilities
Thursday night: The return to cold weather is forecast to arrive
Thursday night...cold frontal passage will be accompanied by
strong north/northwest winds and temperatures plummeting quickly
through 20s and into the teens by Friday morning. This brings
up a real concern for a flash freeze event with wet roads icing
up as temperatures drop...and add in some windblown snow to help
polish things up. Wind gusts 20-30mph inland and 30-40mph along
the Lake Michigan shoreline look likely at this point. Have
already dropped this mention into the Hazardous Weather Outlook
this morning. Snow/snow showers continue into Friday with
temperatures back in the upper teens/ 20s.
The short nature of the rainfall and the cold air "locking up" any
snowmelt/runoff should preclude a sharp hydrologic response to this
event. But with ice already on area river and the thaw-freeze cycle
will continue to present a threat for backwater flooding where ice
jams do develop.
Additional precipitation chances for the weekend: Temperatures should
moderate Saturday but as usual the push of warm air will be
accompaniedby some precipitation (snow). Colder air likely
makes a comeback on Sunday along with lake convection.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1214 PM EST Mon Dec 15 2025
Most sites continue seeing SHSN into this afternoon as a system
departs. Largely MVFR prevailing for the time being... but as
snow stops, moisture will be slow to leave. Flurries and DZ /
FZDZ will be possible this evening into tonight. With this comes
further complications on flight categories, as conditions will
worsen after snow stops. Lots of firm MVFR to borderline IFR
conditions to prevail tonight as winds trend variable and
calmer. Heading into Tuesday, winds pick up considerably as a
warmer and more moist air begins to spill into the region. Thus,
gusty S to SSE winds build through the morning, with potential
for advection fog / BR to carry through the morning.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday
for LHZ345>349.
Gale Warning from 11 AM Tuesday to 5 AM EST Wednesday for
LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Tuesday to 5 PM EST Wednesday
for LSZ321.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM to 11 PM EST Tuesday for
LSZ322.
&&
SHORT TERM...JPB
LONG TERM...JPB
AVIATION...HADHazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 11:21 AM EST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1121 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-161100- Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona- Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa- Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix- 1121 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and Northern Lower Michigan. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A burst of heavy snowfall is expected across far northwest Lower Michigan...through the Straits of Mackinac and into far eastern Upper Michigan through early afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Above freezing temperatures and rain Thursday will give way to rapidly falling temperatures and a transition to snow Thursday evening. A flash freeze may occur Thursday evening as temperatures plummet below freezing...which could lead to a layer of ice developing on wet roadways. This combined with snowfall Thursday night into Friday and gusty winds from the northwest will likely add up to hazardous driving conditions. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways: Online: weather.gov/gaylord Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord. LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-161100- Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay- 1121 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Gale force winds will continue north of Grand Traverse Light on Lake Michigan through mid afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Gale force gusts are possible Tuesday through Tuesday night over northern Lake Michigan. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord. JPB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 15, 10:58 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1058 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 AM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 W Beaver Island 45.70N 85.57W
12/15/2025 M40 MPH Charlevoix MI AWOS
AWOS station KSJX Beaver Island.
0940 AM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 7 NNE Northport 45.21N 85.55W
12/15/2025 M38 MPH LMZ344 MI Mesonet
Mesonet station GTLM4 6 NE Northport.
&&Special weather statement, Dec 15, 11:27 AM EST, 4 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1127 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 MIZ016-017-022-042-088-097-099-151900- Emmet-Cheboygan-Otsego-Arenac-Southeast Chippewa- Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-Charlevoix- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Gaylord, Standish, Detour Village, Goetzville, Drummond Island, Mackinac Island, and Charlevoix 1127 AM EST Mon Dec 15 2025 ...Burst of Heavy Snow to Impact Straits Region Through Early Afternoon... A band of heavy lake effect snowfall will impact far northern Lower Michigan and the eastern end of the Upper Peninsula through early afternoon. Snowfall rates exceeding one inch per hour and a rapid reduction in visibility can be expected. Travelers driving north on I-75 in Cheboygan county need to be aware of rapidly changing driving conditions. Snowfall intensity is expected to let up after 200pm. JPB
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 3:14 AM EST | Gale Watch | APX | 13 hr | |
| Dec 15, 11:15 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 5 hr | |
| Dec 15, 4:03 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 33 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.