Wind Advisory 6, NWS Amarillo, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1216 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 347 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

High winds, extreme fire weather, and blowing dust hazards remain
in effect today. Said hazards continue into tomorrow for select
portions of the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

Fire weather conditions remain possible throughout the remainder
of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 347 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Products for the short term period have been issued accordingly
for the current extreme critical wildfire conditions, high winds,
and blowing dust. Blowing dust has begun to spread into the
combined Panhandles, but the worst plumes have not entered the CWA
as of the time of this writing. Once they finally arrive,
visibility down to a mile or less is expected for the western
half of the combined Panhandles. Portions of the Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandle have received extensions for the Red Flag and
High Wind Warning due to the increased strength of the front
expected tonight. Our highest wind gusts appear to occur overnight
alongside the passage of the front, according to the latest runs
of the CAMs. Winds should remain strong across the entire CWA as
the veer to become northwesterly. The pressure gradient of the
front aloft may also be enough to squeeze out some precipitation
in the Oklahoma Panhandle and northern Texas Panhandle.

Tomorrow, strong winds will continue; however, they should not be
high enough in the afternoon to warrant a further extension of
the High Wind Warning. Instead a Wind Advisory seems more suitable
for the CWA, and most of our area, barring the southwest, should
meet criteria. Cooler temperature and slightly higher RH values
should hamper critical wildfire conditions, especially in the
afternoon when our surface wind speed finally begin to die off.
Maximum RFTI values drop between 3-5 and they should be achieved
before noon. All hazards should expire by tomorrow evening, and
quiet weather conditions will follow into Thursday.

Rangel

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 347 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

A series of minor shortwaves will traverse across the CWA later
this week. The pressure gradient at the surface remains fairly
tight for the next several days given our active pattern. Winds at
the surface will be windy most days in the extended. The flow will
generally be southwesterly except for Friday and Sunday when the
fronts move through. At that point, the wind direction will be
northerly for those days. High temperatures will undergo marginal
oscillation in the long term period. 50's and 60's behind the
frontal passages, with 60's and 70's on the rest of the days due
to warm air advection. Fire weather concerns are present for the
next several days considering the prolonged dry conditions and
strong winds. RFTI values will vary each day since the lowest RH
values and maximum wind speeds will be set up in different parts
of the Panhandles as upper level dynamics evolve. Fire weather
products are plausible down the line, and we will continue to
monitor for changes.

Rangel

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

A pretty messy TAF period is in store still. Blowing dust should
settle down as winds turn to the NW behind a front. The front has
entered the far northwest combined Panhandles and will soon be
impacting KDHT and KGUY with KAMA coming a bit later near 08Z to
10Z. Some light showers of rain, maybe snow is likely to briefly
impact CIGs and VIS for KGUY through the overnight hours. Precip
amounts remain to look low at this time. High winds expected to
continue through the night period even well into 18Z for some with
gusts as high as 50 to 55 kts possible, with a 10 to 30 percent
chance of seeing gusts up to 60 kts just behind the front. Winds
eventually calm down towards 00Z Thursday.

36

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 347 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Extreme critical wildfire conditions remain in place for the rest of
the day. Strong winds are expected to continue overnight and into
Wednesday. RH values will not experience recovery until our next
front moves through later on tonight. Winds will shift out of the
northwest behind the front, and they have the potential to
strengthen even further than what we have forecast for today. Tomorrow,
critical fire weather conditions should continue in the east
where the strongest winds will be present. There is potential for
critical fire weather conditions to be met further west. However,
minimum RH values should increase to the upper teens and 20's due
to the lower temperatures expected behind the front. Therefore,
critical conditions may be more difficult to justify if wind
speeds tapper off.

Thursday onward, please refer to the long term discussion for
more details on the late week fire weather potential.

Rangel

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                51  26  64  39 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  51  22  65  39 /  10   0   0   0
Boise City OK              48  19  61  32 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  55  27  67  41 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              53  25  66  37 /  10   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  52  24  64  37 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               53  29  64  40 /  10   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 49  20  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  50  22  64  36 /  10   0   0   0
Hereford TX                52  23  64  36 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                51  26  65  42 /  10   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   51  27  64  40 /  10   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                54  29  64  40 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              55  29  65  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Wind Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for TXZ001>005-009-
     010-015.

     Red Flag Warning until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for TXZ001>020-
     317.

     High Wind Warning until 8 AM CDT this morning for TXZ006>008-
     012>014-018>020.

     High Wind Warning until 3 AM CDT early this morning for TXZ011-
     016-017-317.

OK...High Wind Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning for OKZ001>003.

     Red Flag Warning until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ001>003.

&&

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...36

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
310 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-190815-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
310 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

High Wind and Red Flag warnings are in places today across the
entire combined Panhandles. Potential is present to see wind gusts
upwards of 65 mph clear into the overnight hours.

A Blowing Dust Advisory is in affect for the western combined
Panhandles. It will last until 9 PM. Visibility at or less than
one mile is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Eastern portions of the Red Flag Warning have been extended to
Wednesday afternoon at 1 PM.

Also, northeastern portions of the High Wind Warning have been
extended until 9 AM. Wind speeds of 65 mph our greater remain
possible overnight and into Wednesday morning.

Critical fire weather remains possible each afternoon for the
rest of the week. Expectations are for dry and windy conditions
to hold into next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
225 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 WSW Hooker            36.86N 101.23W
03/19/2025  M61 MPH          Texas              OK   Mesonet

            First occurrence of a severe wind gust.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
229 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 S Black Mesa Park     36.83N 102.88W
03/19/2025  M61 MPH          Cimarron           OK   Mesonet

            First occurrence of a severe wind gust.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
238 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 N Spearman            36.22N 101.19W
03/19/2025  M86 MPH          Hansford           TX   AWOS

            Maximum wind gust. Frist occurrence of a
            severe wind gust was 1:35 am.

&&

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