Tornado Warning 40, NWS Amarillo, TX

935 
WWUS54 KAMA 082000
SVSAMA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
300 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

OKC025-TXC111-082015-
/O.CON.KAMA.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-250608T2015Z/
Cimarron OK-Dallam TX-
300 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CIMARRON AND NORTHWESTERN DALLAM COUNTIES...

At 300 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 8 miles southwest of
Felt, or 17 miles east of Clayton, moving south at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and two inch hail.

SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
south central Cimarron and northwestern Dallam Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 10292 3657 10281 3651 10258 3636 10284
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 353DEG 14KT 3647 10286 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00IN

$$

Vanden Bosch

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
218 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR EXPECTED SEVERE WEATHER...
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

Present analyses has show that current showers and thunderstorms
seen on radar are the result of short-wave disturbance present
just southwest Hereford, TX. The leading edge of this short-wave
is currently utilizing a present deep source of moisture present
in the NE, which has allowed these storms to form. What has been
interesting is that behind this wave is a pocket of drier and
more stable air that could hinder chances in the southwestern
Panhandles. Still the another short-wave is still expected to
force the present stalled cold front out of the NW and be the main
catalyst for the severe weather we have been expecting later this
afternoon. Latest from the 18Z sounding has suggest that high
CAPE values are play, greater than 4000 J/kg, with CAMs still
suggesting effective bulk shear reaching upwards of 50kt as storms
move southeast. Meanwhile, 0 to 1 km is still trending on a very
low end, which will make it hard for tornadoes to develop off of
discrete cells. However, there is good 0 to 3 km along the frontal
boundary which may create spin ups along the expected squall
line. Still current main threats remain on large and destructive
hail up to 5 inches for any discrete cells followed by strong
straight line winds upwards of 80 to 100 mph along the expect
formation of the line.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 248 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

- Potentially widespread strong to severe thunderstorm activity is
  favored this afternoon and through the evening, with all hazards
  in play once again. The primary hazards look to be damaging
  winds (75+ mph) and giant hail (3.0" - 5.0"). A tornado can't be
  ruled out (4-9% chance within 25 miles)

- Active weather looks to continue into next week with chances for
  shower and thunderstorms into Friday. However, the severe threat
  looks more limited compared to the last several days.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

Today continues to trend as another good set up for severe
weather as models see upper-level flow shift northwesterly with
the movement of a broad trough up in the Midwest. Meanwhile,
latest form the CAMs continues to see a trend of very high MLCAPE
values with some portions of the Panhandles possibly peaking at
over 4000 J/kg. This instability combine with effective bulk shear
pushing the 50 to 60 kt range could easily see large and
destructive hail up to 5 inches in diameter with any discrete
cells. Added to this destructive hail will also be the potential
for very strong straight line winds with many of the CAMs still
suggesting that cells will congeal into a line thanks to a
disturbance pushing in from the north. As for the tornado threat,
latest CAMs do still see certain ingredient in play for the day,
such as 3CAPE values above 100 J/kg, low LCL heights, and 0 to 3km
shear above 20 kt. However, the lack of 0 to 1 km shear has
confidence on the lower end when it comes to any discrete
supercells. Instead the threat may be more prevalent once storms
congeal in tow a line later this afternoon thanks to the present 0
to 3km shear. Meanwhile on the flooding side, models are
expecting for PWAT values to rebound with the all locations above
an inch. What will need be watch is the eastern half of the
Panhandles where values rise even further with some locations near
the Southeastern Panhandles nearing 2 inch mark. It should also
be noted that, grounds are already decently saturated from the
prior week of activity that could make it much more prone to
flooding.

As for the uncertainties for today, one of the biggest continues
ride on the movement cold front following the trough to our north.
Prior model runs have suggested that this front may stall in
Kansas, however, the latest CAMS have also seen it push into the
Panhandles sometime Sunday. If the front does pass then severe
weather will heavily degrade with activity quick to fall off for
the overnight. However if it does stall, then there is potential
to see similar conditions to last night where we see thunderstorms
present clear into Monday morning. Other factors that seem to
already be coming into play is the presence of a secondary short-
wave. The leading edge of this short-wave is currently utilizing a
present deep source of moisture present in the NE, which has
allowed these storms to form. What has been interesting is that
behind this wave is a pocket of drier and more stable air that
could hinder chances in the southwestern Panhandles. Still the
another short-wave is still expected to force the present stalled
cold front out of the NW and be the main catalyst for the severe
weather we have been expecting later this afternoon.

Moving into Monday will see the present northwesterly upper-level
flow continue with another chance at showers and thunderstorms to
follow for the afternoon and evening. However, latest analysis of
the current CAMs are not presence are very strong ingredient most
likely from the expected cold frontal passage and activity
expected today. Still there is enough CAPE and wind shear present
that isolated strong to severe thunderstorms can still be present
for the day. Otherwise look for slightly cooler temperatures to
follow for Monday with highs in the 70s to low 80s.

Scoleri

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

Northwesterly flow looks to stay present as we move into the new
week with model agreement seeing the upper-level trough push into
the Great Lakes Region with a ridge continuing to build over the
Western United States. This upper-level flow is generally
beneficial for the Panhandles to receive active weather as it
allow for quick short-wave disturbances to move across the area
that will produce showers and thunderstorms. Currently, model
agreement looks to agree to the active pattern continuing as we
see short-waves move across each day which will prompt 20 to 40%
chances of precipitation clear into Friday. Of course chances like
these for this time of year with always come with the threat of
severe weather. Regardless, this active pattern does look like it
might have an end with latest models seeing the ridge move over by
this weekend. For now, look for temperatures to stay below our
normal with afternoon highs in the 70s to 80s.

Scoleri

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

Current radar has seen thunderstorm developing off a weak short
wave boundary that has seen showers and thunderstorms just a
little out of the vicinity of KGUY and KAMA. Meanwhile in the NW
Panhandles, the stalled cold front that is expected to bring much
of the severe weather tonight is starting develop thunderstorms as
well. The front is expected to eventually drift down SE across
the Panhandles over the course of the afternoon and evening hours
and potentially impact terminals with very strong winds, larger
hail, and heavy rainfall. There has been uncertainty on how much
of an impact each terminal received, with currently KGUY having
best chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                59  78  59  81 /  60  10  10  10
Beaver OK                  56  83  58  88 /  20   0   0   0
Boise City OK              54  79  54  84 /  30  20  10  10
Borger TX                  60  81  60  86 /  50  10  10  10
Boys Ranch TX              59  80  59  83 /  50  20  10  20
Canyon TX                  58  78  58  81 /  60  20  20  20
Clarendon TX               60  78  60  81 /  80  20  10  10
Dalhart TX                 55  77  55  81 /  40  20  10  10
Guymon OK                  56  81  57  86 /  30   0   0   0
Hereford TX                59  78  58  81 /  50  30  20  20
Lipscomb TX                58  81  59  86 /  50   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   59  78  59  82 /  60  10  10  10
Shamrock TX                60  81  60  84 /  80  10  10   0
Wellington TX              62  81  62  84 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Flood Watch from 6 PM this evening to midnight CDT tonight for
     TXZ014-015-018>020.

OK...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
223 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-090730-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
223 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

High end severe potential is expected to be present across the
Panhandles Sunday with all hazards expected to be in play for the
afternoon and evening hours. Giant hail up to grapefruit size and
straight line winds over 80 mph could occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Chances for shower and thunderstorms are expected to continue
through next week with potential to see strong to severe
thunderstorms each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1113 AM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

TXZ004-005-081645-
Ochiltree TX-Lipscomb TX-
1113 AM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL LIPSCOMB AND
CENTRAL OCHILTREE COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 AM CDT...

At 1113 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Farnsworth, or 8 miles southwest of Perryton, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Wolf Creek Park and Farnsworth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3606 10055 3606 10057 3624 10101 3638 10095
      3628 10048
TIME...MOT...LOC 1613Z 278DEG 27KT 3630 10090

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
109 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

OKZ001-002-081845-
Cimarron OK-Texas OK-
109 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN CIMARRON COUNTIES THROUGH 145 PM CDT...

At 109 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles west of Elkhart, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sturgis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3684 10178 3687 10211 3699 10209 3699 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 1809Z 273DEG 20KT 3698 10199

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Vanden Bosch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
118 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

OKZ001-081845-
Cimarron OK-
118 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN CIMARRON COUNTY THROUGH
145 PM CDT...

At 118 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Black Mesa Park to 5 miles northwest of
Seneca. Movement was east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Black Mesa Park, Felt, and Wheeless.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3685 10300 3689 10294 3691 10248 3663 10259
      3650 10296 3650 10300
TIME...MOT...LOC 1818Z 287DEG 9KT 3683 10293 3670 10316

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Vanden Bosch