Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2025

Wind Advisory 8, NWS Albany, NY

February 18, 2025Berkshire County, Massachusetts; Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont; 4 counties in New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at Feb 18, 2025, 3:19 AM EST for Berkshire County, Massachusetts; Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont; 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 18, 2025, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2025, 3:19 AM EST (08:19 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 18, 2025, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 18, 2025, 5:00 PM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 31 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2025-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2025-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1515 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
87 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

785 
WWUS71 KALY 180819
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
319 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

MAZ001-025-181630-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0008.250218T1200Z-250218T2200Z/
/O.CON.KALY.CW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250218T1600Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Florida, Great Barrington, North Adams,
Sandisfield, South Egremont, Hancock, Dalton, and Pittsfield
319 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low 
  as 20 below. For the Wind Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Berkshire County.

* WHEN...For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 11 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM EST 
  this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

VTZ013-014-181630-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0008.250218T1200Z-250218T2200Z/
/O.CON.KALY.CW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250218T1600Z/
Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Stamford, Woodford State Park,
Bennington, Pownal, Londonderry, and Stratton
319 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low 
  as 25 below. For the Wind Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 mph with 
  gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Bennington and Western Windham Counties.

* WHEN...For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 11 AM EST this 
  morning. For the Wind Advisory, from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM EST 
  this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. The 
  dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause 
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

NYZ048>054-VTZ015-181630-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0008.250218T1200Z-250218T2200Z/
Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western
Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Guilford Center, Schenectady, Hoosick
Falls, Altamont, Preston Hollow, Eagle Bridge, Knox, Ballston
Spa, West Brattleboro, Westerlo, Mechanicville, Troy, Clifton
Park, Berne, Berlin, Rotterdam, Mariaville, Bellows Falls, Burnt
Hills, Waterford, Albany, Delanson, Duanesburg, Stephentown, and
Brattleboro
319 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...In New York, Albany, Rensselaer, Schenectady, and Southern 
  Saratoga Counties. In Vermont, Eastern Windham County.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-042-058-063-181600-
/O.CON.KALY.CW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250218T1600Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Northern Warren-Western Greene-Western
Ulster-
Including the cities of Sundown, Old Forge, Windham, Long Lake,
Northwood, North Creek, North River, West Shokan, Atwell, Hunter,
Nobleboro, Eagle Bay, West Hurley, Kerhonkson, McKeever,
Hoffmeister, Ellenville, Tannersville, Prattsville, Wells,
Sabattis, Woodstock, Warrensburg, Big Moose, Napanoch, Johnsburg,
Bolton Landing, and Hague
319 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 25 below.

* WHERE...Northern Warren, Western Greene, Western Ulster, Hamilton, 
  and Northern Herkimer Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

NYZ047-082-181600-
/O.CON.KALY.CW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250218T1600Z/
Schoharie-Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Cobleskill, Caroga Lake, North Blenheim,
Breakabeen, Jefferson, Middleburgh, Livingstonville, and Gilboa
319 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 20 below.

* WHERE...Schoharie and Northern Fulton Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

JPV
3 follow-up statements
787 
WWUS71 KALY 181603
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

MAZ001-025-VTZ013-014-182200-
/O.EXP.KALY.CW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250218T1600Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250218T2200Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Bennington-Western Windham-
Including the cities of Pittsfield, Pownal, Sandisfield, Hancock,
Stratton, North Adams, South Egremont, Bennington, Londonderry,
Florida, Stamford, Dalton, Great Barrington, and Woodford State
Park
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Massachusetts, Northern Berkshire and Southern 
  Berkshire Counties. In Vermont, Bennington and Western Windham 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The threat of wind chill temperatures less 
  than -10 degrees has ended for this morning. However, wind chill 
  temperatures in the single digits will remain possible through 
  this afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-042-047-058-063-082-181715-
/O.EXP.KALY.CW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-250218T1600Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Northern Warren-Schoharie-Western
Greene-Western Ulster-Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Livingstonville, Breakabeen, Gilboa,
Warrensburg, North Creek, Bolton Landing, Jefferson, Caroga Lake,
Windham, Woodstock, Middleburgh, Hoffmeister, Eagle Bay,
Cobleskill, North Blenheim, Hague, Long Lake, Napanoch, Sundown,
Atwell, West Shokan, Hunter, Wells, Big Moose, Sabattis, North
River, Old Forge, Nobleboro, Tannersville, McKeever, Ellenville,
Northwood, Prattsville, Johnsburg, Kerhonkson, and West Hurley
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

The threat of wind chill temperatures less than -10 degrees has 
ended for this morning. However, wind chill temperatures in the 
single digits will remain possible through this afternoon.

$$

NYZ048>054-VTZ015-182200-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250218T2200Z/
Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western
Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Waterford, Mechanicville, Clifton Park,
Guilford Center, Knox, Berne, Duanesburg, West Brattleboro,
Hoosick Falls, Troy, Schenectady, Berlin, Albany, Westerlo,
Ballston Spa, Mariaville, Rotterdam, Eagle Bridge, Delanson,
Brattleboro, Bellows Falls, Altamont, Preston Hollow,
Stephentown, and Burnt Hills
1103 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...In New York, Eastern Albany, Eastern Rensselaer, Eastern 
  Schenectady, Southern Saratoga, Western Albany, Western 
  Rensselaer, and Western Schenectady Counties. In Vermont, Eastern 
  Windham County.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TH
769 
WWUS71 KALY 181952
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
252 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

NYZ032-033-038-042-082-190400-
/O.NEW.KALY.CW.Y.0004.250219T0500Z-250219T1600Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Warrensburg, Ilion, North Creek, Bolton
Landing, Caroga Lake, Frankfort, Hoffmeister, Eagle Bay, Hague,
Long Lake, Atwell, Wells, Big Moose, Sabattis, Dolgeville, North
River, Herkimer, Nobleboro, Old Forge, McKeever, Mohawk,
Northwood, Little Falls, and Johnsburg
252 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM 
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero expected.

* WHERE...Northern Warren, Hamilton, Northern Fulton, Northern 
  Herkimer, and Southern Herkimer Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 11 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ048>054-VTZ013>015-182200-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250218T2200Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Western Schenectady-Eastern
Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Bennington-Western Windham-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Pittsfield, Hancock, Stamford, South
Egremont, Waterford, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Londonderry,
Florida, Guilford Center, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Knox,
Sandisfield, Berne, Duanesburg, West Brattleboro, Hoosick Falls,
Troy, Dalton, Schenectady, Berlin, Albany, Westerlo, Ballston
Spa, Stratton, North Adams, Bennington, Mariaville, Great
Barrington, Rotterdam, Eagle Bridge, Delanson, Brattleboro,
Bellows Falls, Altamont, Preston Hollow, Stephentown, and Burnt
Hills
252 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of western Massachusetts, east central New York, 
  and southern Vermont.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TH
183 
WWUS71 KALY 182204
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albany NY
504 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

MAZ001-025-NYZ048>054-VTZ013>015-182315-
/O.EXP.KALY.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250218T2200Z/
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Western Schenectady-Eastern
Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-
Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Bennington-Western Windham-
Eastern Windham-
Including the cities of Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Rotterdam,
Brattleboro, Berne, Burnt Hills, Bellows Falls, Bennington,
Dalton, Sandisfield, Waterford, Pittsfield, Westerlo, Hoosick
Falls, Delanson, Knox, Guilford Center, Schenectady, Berlin,
Eagle Bridge, Stamford, West Brattleboro, North Adams,
Londonderry, South Egremont, Pownal, Great Barrington, Hancock,
Altamont, Mariaville, Florida, Albany, Clifton Park, Duanesburg,
Stephentown, Stratton, Woodford State Park, Troy, and Preston
Hollow
504 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

The threat for wind gusts up to 50 mph has ended.

$$

NYZ032-033-038-042-082-191000-
/O.CON.KALY.CW.Y.0004.250219T0500Z-250219T1600Z/
Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren-
Northern Fulton-
Including the cities of Little Falls, Ilion, North River,
Warrensburg, Dolgeville, Long Lake, North Creek, Nobleboro,
Northwood, Frankfort, Wells, Sabattis, Big Moose, Bolton Landing,
McKeever, Mohawk, Hague, Johnsburg, Atwell, Hoffmeister, Eagle
Bay, Old Forge, Caroga Lake, and Herkimer
504 PM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 
11 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 25 below expected.

* WHERE...Northern Warren, Hamilton, Northern Fulton, and Herkimer 
  County.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 11 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

&&

$$

KSL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 18, 12:33 AM EST, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 12:33 AM EST, 2 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
1233 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Windy conditions with very cold temperatures will
continue tonight with lake effect snowfall continuing into tomorrow
and Wednesday morning from the Capital Region and northern Taconics
west to northwest. The winds will gradually decrease Tuesday night
into Wednesday, as a surface high builds in from the west. Max
temperatures will run about 15 to 20 degrees below normal into the
mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Key Messages:

- Gusty westerly winds continue tonight.

- Lake effect snow will continue through tonight with locally
  heavy amounts especially for the west-central Mohawk Valley
  and southwest Adirondacks. Near whiteout conditions at times
  in the heavier lake effect bands.

- Bitter cold temperatures with feels like temperatures of -10
  to -25 F overnight especially for higher elevations. Cold
  Weather Advisories are in place for several locations.

Discussion:

.UPDATE...Allowed all wind headlines to expire at 12 AM. West
winds will still occasionally gust 30-40 mph through the rest of
the night. Will revisit potential for an additional Wind
Advisory for some areas this morning into early evening with the
next forecast update. Lake effect snow continues in the W.
Mohawk Valley and SW. Adirondacks, but radar and webcams
indicate weaker snow intensity for the time being. All Lake
Effect Snow headlines and the Cold Weather Advisory continue as
is.

.PREV DISCUSSION[0951]...Earlier strong winds gusts of 45-55
mph within portions of the Mohawk Valley, Capital Region and
Berkshires. KALB had peak gust to 44 KT at 634 PM EST, KAQW 46
KT at 652 PM EST, and KPSF 41 KT at 717 PM EST. We have
therefore converted previous High Wind Warning to a Wind
Advisory lasting until midnight, with previous Wind Advisory
extended until midnight as well. High Wind Warning remains in
effect until midnight for Berkshire Co, where some gusts up to
60 mph remain possible.

Initial data from KALY sounding suggests deep mixing ongoing to
~790 hPa allowing for gusts of up to 50 mph to persist (even
higher across the Berkshires) over the next few hours.

Winds are beginning to trend downward, and expect gusts to
decrease to under 40 mph around midnight.

Also, Lake Effect snowband has migrated north into central
Herkimer County/southwest Hamilton County extending east into
northern Saratoga County and into southern VT. As a weak
shortwave tracks eastward, the band should start settling back
southward through this evening, so areas across the Mohawk
Valley and extending into northern portions of the Capital
Region should receive additional snow showers later this
evening, with some embedded heavier bursts of snow possible
toward midnight in some of these areas. The band could shift
near or just south of I-90 after midnight.

Additional accumulations overnight of 3-6" are expected across
portions of central/southern Herkimer County, especially close
to the Oneida Co border, with 1-3 inches farther east into
Fulton/Montgomery Cos. Scattered accumulations of an inch or two
could extend east into the Capital/Saratoga region with 2-3
inches also possible across some upslope areas of southern VT.

Low temps still on track into the single digits below zero
across the SW Adirondacks, with single digits to lower teens
elsewhere. Combined with some wind, wind chills will drop to 20
to 25 below zero across portions of the SW Adirondacks, and 15
to 20 below across some higher terrain areas of the eastern
Catskills and Berkshires. Cold Weather Advisories are in effect
for these areas overnight through Tuesday morning.

The lake effect will continue on a 280-290 degree low-level
trajectory and waver a bit. Another short-wave/sfc trough will
come through and may cause the band to shift slightly southward
again. Lake effect band/bands dip southward into the southern
Herkimer, southern Fulton and Montgomery Counties, where a Lake
Effect Snow Warning remains in effect. This area has been hit
hard today with lots of blowing snow. We could see an additional
3 to 7 inches of snow in the warning areas. The Advisory areas
of Hamilton, northern Herkimer, and northern Fulton Counties
will get 1 to 3 inches or so. The Capital Region, northern
Berkshires, southern Greens, northern Catskills and northern
Taconics an inch or two. Blowing snow continues across most the
winter head lines areas.

We expanded the Cold Weather Advisories for the Berkshires,
Schoharie and northern Fulton Counties with wind chills or feels
like temps of -15 to -20F from 11 pm tonight to 11 am tomorrow.
The Cold Weather Advisories also continues for the southern
Greens, southwest Adirondacks and the eastern Catskills for wind
chills or "feels like temps" of -15 to -25F. It will be frigid
with the blustery conditions. Low temps will be in the single
digits to lower teens with some below zero readings in the
Adirondack Park, southern Greens and high peaks of the
Catskills. Wind chills or "feels like temps" will be -5 to -25F
for the entire area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Key Messages:

- Lake effect snow will continue through Tuesday night with
  locally heavy amounts for the western Mohawk Valley and
  southwest Adirondacks.

- Windy conditions continue but not as windy as Monday, however
  some Wind Advisories may be needed Tue pm.

- Bitter cold temps with increasing confidence of "feels like"
  temperatures below -10 to -25 F again Tuesday night into Wed
  morning especially for higher elevations.

Discussion:

The latest 3-km NAM and HRRR continue a multi-lake connection
for the western Mohawk Valley and northern Catskills perhaps
grazing the southwest Dacks. The low-level trajectory will
continue to be west to northwest around 290 degrees with the
inversion around 6 kft AGL upstream. We continue the Lake Effect
Snow Warnings for the far reaches of southern Herkimer,
southern Fulton and Montgomery Counties. An additional 2 to 6
inches is possible into the night time period bringing totals to
8 to 16 inches. Winter weather advisories continue for the
southwest Dacks. The sfc pressure gradient remains strong and if
we mix to about 2 kft AGL some 35-40 KT gusts will be possible
over the higher terrain and channeled down the Mohawk Valley
into the Capital Region. Expect west-northwest winds 15-25 mph
with some gusts 30-45 mph. We used the 75th percentile of the
NBM. We may need additional Wind Advisories for part of the
forecast area, but with the present head lines the approach of
taking one down and seeing if another one needed is better.

Cold Weather Advisories go until 11 am for most of the higher
terrain. It will be another very cold day with temps 15-20
degrees below normal. Highs will be in the teens to lower 20s in
the lower elevations and single digits to lower teens over the
hills and mtns.

The lake effect snow begins to weaken and lose any downstream
extension away from the western Mohawk Valley and southwest
Dacks. Additional accumulations Tue night into Wed morning
should be light on the order of 1-3 inches. The head lines may
need to be curtailed early as the low-level inversion lowers and
high pressure builds in. Lows will be zero to 10 below north of
the Capital District/Mohawk Valley and zero to 10 above to the
south. Additional Cold Weather Advisories may be needed for
higher terrain locations Tue night/Wed morning with wind chills
or "feels like temps" -10F to -25F.

High pressure builds in with dry and cold conditions Wed-Wed
night. Some partly to mostly sunny conditions are expected.
There will still be some wind with northwest winds 10-15 mph
with gusts 20-25 mph in the Capital Region and over the higher
terrain. Temps will still run well below normal in the teens to
lower/spotty mid 20s. Another cold night is expected Wed night,
but not as cold as previous nights with some high clouds
increasing from the south with a coastal low developing near the
Mid Atlantic corridor. Lows will be 5 below over the northern
zones to single digits to around 10F to the south.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Key Messages:

- Below normal temperatures through Friday, with a trend to more
seasonable temperatures next weekend.

- Coastal system for Thursday looks to remain south of region, with
just some snow showers/flurries possible associated with
passing upper level disturbance.

Discussion:

Confidence continues to increase that any steady snowfall associated
with coastal system remains south/east of region, as storm track
looks to remain farther off the coast. 13Z/NBM 24-hour probs for >3"
of snowfall are less than 10% across NW CT, with probs >1" generally
10-20% across mid Hudson Valley/NW CT, with a secondary area of 20-
30% across the eastern Catskills and Capital Region in association
with snow showers from the passing upper level trough late Thursday
into Thursday night.

Some scattered lake effect snow showers could affect the southern
Adirondacks Friday-Saturday, otherwise mainly dry until Monday, when
another coastal low could bring some snow or rain to portions of the
region.

Below normal temperatures continue through Friday, with daytime
highs mainly in the teens/20s and overnight lows in the single
digits/teens, except below zero across portions of the upper Hudson
Valley/southern Adirondacks. Gradual warming for Saturday through
Monday, with highs reaching the 20s/30s Saturday/Sunday, and mainly
30s Monday. Overnight lows in the single digits/teens Sunday
morning, and teens/20s by Monday morning.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06z Wednesday...VFR conditions will dominate this TAF
period for KGFL/KPOU, as surface high pressure begins to build
in from the south. KALB/KPSF will continue to see a threat of
snow and blowing snow from lake effect snow bands and upslope
flow, though they will not impact the sites for the entire
duration of the TAF. Confidence on exact timing of snow is low
at each site, but have added PROB30 groups to each site during
times where confidence on seeing snow is higher per latest
deterministic CAMs. Based on upstream observations across
central NY, any terminal that sees lake effect/upslope snow will
have potential to see brief periods of MVFR/IFR conditions.

Breezy west to northwest winds will enjoy a little reprieve
tonight, but will remain gusty around 20-30 kts at times. Gusts
will increase once again by mid-morning Tuesday, with most sites
seeing values around 25-40 kts.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Thursday Night to Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for NYZ032-
     033-042-047-058-063-082.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ032-
     038>040.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ033-
     082.
MA...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for MAZ001-
     025.
VT...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for VTZ013-
     014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Wasula
NEAR TERM...KL/JPV/Wasula
SHORT TERM...Wasula
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...Speck
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 12:35 AM EST, 2 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albany NY
1235 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

CTZ001-013-NYZ041-043-048>054-059>061-064>066-083-084-VTZ015-191200-
Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Saratoga-
Northern Washington-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-
Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-
Eastern Rensselaer-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-
Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Southeast Warren-
Southern Washington-Eastern Windham-
1235 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut,
east central New York and southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ001-025-NYZ042-047-058-063-VTZ013-014-191200-
Northern Berkshire-Southern Berkshire-Northern Warren-Schoharie-
Western Greene-Western Ulster-Bennington-Western Windham-
1235 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Massachusetts, east
central New York and southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Cold Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Cold Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NYZ033-082-191200-
Hamilton-Northern Fulton-
1235 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Cold Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Cold Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report winter precipitation
amounts to the National Weather Service in Albany New York.

NYZ032-191200-
Northern Herkimer-
1235 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.
   Cold Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.
   Cold Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report winter precipitation
amounts to the National Weather Service in Albany New York.

NYZ038>040-191200-
Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton-Montgomery-
1235 AM EST Tue Feb 18 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report winter precipitation
amounts to the National Weather Service in Albany New York.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 17, 10:39 PM EST, 4 hours 40 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Albany NY
1039 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     Snow             Jefferson               42.49N 74.60W
02/17/2025  M2.0 Inch        Schoharie          NY   Broadcast Media

            WeatherNet6.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 17, 8:22 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementALYWashington53 min
Feb 18, 2:52 PM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Warren15 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2025Wind Advisories in Vermont, 2025Wind Advisories in Massachusetts, 2025Every wind advisory in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.