Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2025
Beach Hazards Statement 5, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this beach hazards statement at Jul 23, 2025, 8:02 PM EDT for Currituck County, North Carolina; City of Virginia Beach, Virginia. It took effect at Jul 24, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 23, 2025, 8:02 PM EDT (00:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 24, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Jul 24, 2025, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1052 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
990 WHUS41 KAKQ 240002 CFWAKQ Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Wakefield VA 802 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025 NCZ102-VAZ098-240815- /O.EXP.KAKQ.BH.S.0004.000000T0000Z-250724T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.250724T1200Z-250725T0000Z/ Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach- 802 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...In North Carolina, Eastern Currituck County. In Virginia, Virginia Beach. * WHEN...From 8 AM EDT Thursday through Thursday evening. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 3 to 4 ft and a favorable wind direction will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk of rip currents. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions. && $$
4 follow-up statements
650 WHUS41 KAKQ 240439 CFWAKQ Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1239 AM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025 NCZ102-VAZ098-241245- /O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.250724T1200Z-250725T0000Z/ Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach- 1239 AM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...In North Carolina, Eastern Currituck County. In Virginia, Virginia Beach. * WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves around 3 ft and a favorable wind direction will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk of rip currents. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions. && $$
467 WHUS41 KAKQ 241052 CFWAKQ Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Wakefield VA 652 AM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025 NCZ102-VAZ098-241900- /O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.250724T1200Z-250725T0000Z/ Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach- 652 AM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...In North Carolina, Eastern Currituck County. In Virginia, Virginia Beach. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves around 3 ft and a favorable wind direction will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk of rip currents. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions. && $$
604
WHUS41 KAKQ 241830
CFWAKQ
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
230 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
MDZ021>023-251000-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.S.0008.250725T0300Z-250725T1000Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-
230 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Dorchester, Wicomico and Somerset Counties.
* WHEN...From 11 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
CAMBRIDGE MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/04 PM 2.6 0.6 0.8 1 NONE
25/05 AM 3.2 1.2 0.9 1 NONE
25/05 PM 2.5 0.5 0.6 1 NONE
26/06 AM 2.7 0.7 0.4 1 NONE
26/06 PM 2.1 0.1 0.2 1 NONE
27/06 AM 2.6 0.6 0.4 1 NONE
BISHOPS HEAD MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.2 FT, MODERATE 3.7 FT, MAJOR 4.2 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.1 FT, MODERATE 1.6 FT, MAJOR 2.1 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.7 0.6 0.7 1 NONE
25/02 AM 3.2 1.1 0.7 1-2 MINOR
25/02 PM 2.6 0.5 0.6 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.8 0.7 0.4 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.4 0.3 0.3 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.9 0.8 0.5 1 NONE
CRISFIELD MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.3 FT, MODERATE 1.8 FT, MAJOR 2.8 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
25/01 AM 3.2 1.0 0.9 1 NONE
25/01 PM 2.4 0.2 0.8 1 NONE
26/02 AM 2.9 0.7 0.6 1 NONE
26/02 PM 2.3 0.1 0.6 1 NONE
27/03 AM 2.9 0.7 0.7 1 NONE
&&
$$
VAZ075>078-250900-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.S.0008.250725T0200Z-250725T0900Z/
Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-
230 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Westmoreland, Richmond, Northumberland and Lancaster
Counties.
* WHEN...From 10 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
LEWISETTA VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.3 0.8 0.8 1 NONE
25/02 AM 2.6 1.1 0.9 1 NONE
25/03 PM 2.4 0.9 0.9 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.5 1.0 0.8 1 NONE
26/03 PM 2.1 0.6 0.6 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.5 1.0 0.8 1 NONE
DAHLGREN/COLONIAL BEACH VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 5.1 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/03 PM 2.8 0.9 0.9 1 NONE
25/04 AM 3.0 1.1 0.8 1 NONE
25/04 PM 2.6 0.7 0.7 1 NONE
26/04 AM 2.6 0.7 0.5 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.2 0.3 0.4 1 NONE
27/05 AM 2.7 0.8 0.6 1 NONE
TAPPAHANNOCK VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 0.9 FT, MODERATE 1.4 FT, MAJOR 1.9 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.2 0.1 0.5 1 NONE
25/03 AM 2.7 0.6 0.6 1 NONE
25/03 PM 2.2 0.1 0.4 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.4 0.3 0.3 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.1 0.0 0.2 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.4 0.3 0.4 1 NONE
&&
$$
NCZ102-VAZ098-250000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-250725T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
230 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected.
* WHERE...In North Carolina, Eastern Currituck County. In
Virginia, Virginia Beach.
* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Breaking waves around 3 ft and a favorable wind
direction will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk
of rip currents.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.
&&
$$649
WHUS41 KAKQ 241851
CFWAKQ
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
VAZ521-522-250900-
/O.EXA.KAKQ.CF.S.0008.250725T0200Z-250725T0900Z/
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Western Essex and Eastern Essex Counties.
* WHEN...From 10 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
TAPPAHANNOCK VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 0.9 FT, MODERATE 1.4 FT, MAJOR 1.9 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.2 0.1 0.5 1 NONE
25/03 AM 2.7 0.6 0.6 1 NONE
25/03 PM 2.2 0.1 0.4 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.4 0.3 0.3 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.1 0.0 0.2 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.4 0.3 0.4 1 NONE
&&
$$
MDZ021>023-251000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0008.250725T0300Z-250725T1000Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Dorchester, Wicomico and Somerset Counties.
* WHEN...From 11 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
CAMBRIDGE MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/04 PM 2.6 0.6 0.8 1 NONE
25/05 AM 3.2 1.2 0.9 1 NONE
25/05 PM 2.5 0.5 0.6 1 NONE
26/06 AM 2.7 0.7 0.4 1 NONE
26/06 PM 2.1 0.1 0.2 1 NONE
27/06 AM 2.6 0.6 0.4 1 NONE
BISHOPS HEAD MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.2 FT, MODERATE 3.7 FT, MAJOR 4.2 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.1 FT, MODERATE 1.6 FT, MAJOR 2.1 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.7 0.6 0.7 1 NONE
25/02 AM 3.2 1.1 0.7 1-2 MINOR
25/02 PM 2.6 0.5 0.6 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.8 0.7 0.4 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.4 0.3 0.3 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.9 0.8 0.5 1 NONE
CRISFIELD MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.3 FT, MODERATE 1.8 FT, MAJOR 2.8 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
25/01 AM 3.2 1.0 0.9 1 NONE
25/01 PM 2.4 0.2 0.8 1 NONE
26/02 AM 2.9 0.7 0.6 1 NONE
26/02 PM 2.3 0.1 0.6 1 NONE
27/03 AM 2.9 0.7 0.7 1 NONE
&&
$$
VAZ075>078-250900-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0008.250725T0200Z-250725T0900Z/
Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Westmoreland, Richmond, Northumberland and Lancaster
Counties.
* WHEN...From 10 PM EDT this evening through late tonight.
* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable
locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
LEWISETTA VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.3 0.8 0.8 1 NONE
25/02 AM 2.6 1.1 0.9 1 NONE
25/03 PM 2.4 0.9 0.9 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.5 1.0 0.8 1 NONE
26/03 PM 2.1 0.6 0.6 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.5 1.0 0.8 1 NONE
DAHLGREN/COLONIAL BEACH VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 5.1 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/03 PM 2.8 0.9 0.9 1 NONE
25/04 AM 3.0 1.1 0.8 1 NONE
25/04 PM 2.6 0.7 0.7 1 NONE
26/04 AM 2.6 0.7 0.5 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.2 0.3 0.4 1 NONE
27/05 AM 2.7 0.8 0.6 1 NONE
TAPPAHANNOCK VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 0.9 FT, MODERATE 1.4 FT, MAJOR 1.9 FT
TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE
DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD
FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
24/02 PM 2.2 0.1 0.5 1 NONE
25/03 AM 2.7 0.6 0.6 1 NONE
25/03 PM 2.2 0.1 0.4 1 NONE
26/03 AM 2.4 0.3 0.3 1 NONE
26/04 PM 2.1 0.0 0.2 1 NONE
27/04 AM 2.4 0.3 0.4 1 NONE
&&
$$
NCZ102-VAZ098-250000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-250725T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
251 PM EDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected.
* WHERE...In North Carolina, Eastern Currituck County. In
Virginia, Virginia Beach.
* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Breaking waves around 3 ft and a favorable wind
direction will result in rough surf conditions and a high risk
of rip currents.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.
&&
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Jul 23, 7:33 PM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 7:33 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
733 PM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Seasonable temperatures and humidity will continue trough
tonight. The respite from summertime heat and humidity will end
quickly on Thursday though, with temperatures again on the rise
late this week into the weekend. Rain chances also return by
this weekend into early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 240 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key Messages:
-Dry and seasonable conditions continue through tonight and
tomorrow.
Afternoon weather analysis shows an upper level ridge building over
much of the eastern US and stretching up into eastern Canada. At the
surface, high pressure has begun to shift offshore. Skies
remain partly cloudy with fair weather cumulus clouds developing
across the entire CWA. Temperatures as of 2pm are in the lower
to middle 80s. With the stationary front to our south, dew
points have been lower than previous days allowing today to be a
pleasant summer day. Later this afternoon and into tonight,
cloud cover will continue to decrease as day time heating is
lost. Temperatures will be near or slightly below seasonable
with lows in the middle to upper 60s inland and lower 70s along
the coast. By tomorrow, the upper ridge will be centered over
the area. While at the surface, the high pressure will be off
shore helping to bring back a warm and moist airmass.
Temperatures tomorrow will be slightly higher than the previous
day with highs in the middle to upper 80s and low 90s in some
isolated locations. Dew points will also begin to bounce back
into the upper 60s and lower 70s. This will allow Heat Index
values to be in the lower to middle 90s. Despite the heat slowly
making a return the overall weather conditions will remain dry.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 240 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key Message:
- Temperatures and humidity levels will continue to rise
through the weekend.
- Chances of showers and thunderstorms return for the weekend.
By the start of the weekend the upper ridge will be in place over
the area with multiple shortwaves moving across the ridge axis. At
the surface, high pressure will have settled in across the SE coast
continuing to advect a hot and humid airmass across the area. Friday
temperatures will begin to reach into the lower to middle 90s across
the CWA. Dew points will also increase into the lower 70s inland and
middle 70s along the coast. This will be the first day where Heat
index values will be between 100 and 105. As the forecast stand,
these values are just shy of any heat products. Saturday there
is the possibility of shortwave moving just north of the area.
While at the surface, a weak cold front will be pushing south
and possibly stalling just north of the area. South of the front
temperatures will rise into the middle 90s and heat index
values could potentially be between 105 and 107. Will note that
Saturday looks to be the best day for potential Heat products.
In addition to the heat on Saturday, the chances of showers and
thunderstorms do increase with the the front moving south and
the shortwave moving just north of the area. At this time only
15 to 25% chance of showers and thunderstorms remain in the
forecast.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 240 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key Message:
-Hot and Humid airmass will continue through the end of the weekend
and into next week.
Latest ensemble guidance continue to show a 594dam ridge over
much of the eastern half of the US Sunday before shifting the
ridge axis to the west. While at the surface, high pressure will
continue to be off the SE coast on Sunday, before a new high
pressure forms somewhere across the central US under the ridge
axis. Sunday will remain hot and humid with heat index values
again reaching near Heat Advisory criteria. There will also be
another chance of showers and storms on Sunday as a weak frontal
boundary slowly moves south. By Monday the ridge axis will move
over the central US. This will allow for NW flow aloft to be
over the area. With the low aloft we will need to keep an eye on
upstream convection.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 730 PM EDT Tuesday...
VFR conditions across area terminals are expected to prevail
through the 00z TAF period. Mainly SKC tonight-Thu AM. Winds
become light/variable at RIC/SBY with E-NE winds of 5-10 kt
through the night at ORF/PHF/ECG. Could see patchy ground fog
between 06-12z at RIC/SBY...but confidence in this is low and
only brief flight restrictions are expected at most. Winds
become SE at 5-10 kt on Thu with SCT aftn cumulus (3000-5000 ft
AGL).
Outlook: Mainly dry/VFR conditions persist through Friday, but
there could be isolated/patchy ground fog and/or low stratus
with localized flight restrictions Friday morning. Rain chances
return to the forecast in the form of isolated to scattered
aftn/evening tstms, beginning Saturday and continuing into
early next week.
&&
.MARINE...
As of 311 PM EDT Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the southern
coastal waters through late this evening due to 4-5 ft seas.
- There is a High risk of rip currents tomorrow across the
southern beaches.
- Generally benign marine conditions are expected tonight into early
next week.
Surface analysis highlights high pressure located just off the
Northeast coast and a stationary front draped just off the Carolina
coast. The gradient between the front/weak surface low along it and
the high to our NE has led to elevated easterly winds, especially in
the NC coastal waters. Winds decrease in speed farther north as the
gradient lessens. This elevated onshore flow has resulted in seas
building to 4 to 5 ft (with occasional 6 ft seas possible) from Cape
Charles Light through Currituck Beach Light, so have extended the
Small Craft Advisory through late this evening as elevated seas will
take a little while to subside. As the high shifts further offshore
and low weakens further tonight, the gradient will relax and winds
will decrease. Winds of around 10 kts or less are forecast Thursday
through early next week, with possibly a few diurnally driven wind
surges to 10-15 kts. Seas will start to subside this evening through
the end of the week as winds become westerly then to the north by
the weekend. Sub-SCA winds and seas are expected thereafter through
the extended forecast period. Seas subside to 2-3 ft Thursday into
early next week. Waves of 1-2 ft continue across most of the
Chesapeake Bay with 2-3 ft waves across the lower Ches Bay lingering
today.
Given the continuation of elevated seas and shore normal flow
tomorrow, have decided to upgrade to High rip current risk across
the S beaches with a Moderate rip current risk across the N beaches
(where seas are about a foot lower). Winds and seas should both be
lower tomorrow, but the period will be 7-8 seconds and with the time
of low time around the early afternoon hours, the rip current risk
still remains. Friday through the weekend, winds will become
offshore and seas will drop considerably, leading to a Low rip
current risk through the weekend.
&&
.CLIMATE...
We are at, or just past, the climatologically warmest week of
the year across the local area. So, while no record highs are
expected to be threatened during the upcoming weekend, we do
have a chance of meeting or exceeding record high minimum
temps. We've included both for reference.
Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures Fri 7/25 - Sun 7/27
Date Richmond Norfolk Salisbury Eliz. City
07/25 105/2010 105/2010 100/2010 97/1949
07/26 100/1940 100/1940 98/2012 97/1995
07/27 101/1940 104/1940 102/1940 100/1940
Daily Record High Minimum Temperatures Fri 7/25 - Sun 7/27
Date Richmond Norfolk Salisbury Eliz. City
07/25 79/2010 79/2016 79/2001 79/2010
07/26 76/1989 80/2016 79/2001 78/2009
07/27 78/2005 80/2020 75/2023 78/2020
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ656-
658.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HET/MAM
NEAR TERM...HET
SHORT TERM...HET/MAM
LONG TERM...HET/MAM
AVIATION...ERI
MARINE...RMM/NB
CLIMATE...AKQHazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 4:45 AM EDT, 15 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 445 AM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025 MDZ021>024-NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093- 095>097-509>525-240845- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Hertford- Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans- Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg- Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond- Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie- Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City- New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry- James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk- Chesapeake-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 445 AM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. After a brief respite, hot temperatures and increasing humidity levels return to the outlook area Friday through early next week. Heat index values in the 103-107 range are possible across the outlook area during this period. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ102-VAZ098-240845- Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach- 445 AM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. After a brief respite, hot temperatures and increasing humidity levels return to the outlook area Friday through early next week. Heat index values in the 103-107 range are possible across the outlook area during this period. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ025-VAZ099-100-240845- Maryland Beaches-Accomack-Northampton- 445 AM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. After a brief respite, hot temperatures and increasing humidity levels return to the outlook area over the upcoming weekend through early next week. Heat index values in the 103-107 range are possible across the outlook area during this period. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2:30 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | Essex, Lancaster, Northumberland, Richmond, Westmoreland | 16 hr |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2025Beach Hazards Statements in Virginia, 2025Every beach hazards statement in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.