High Wind Warning 9, NWS Juneau, AK

510 
WWAK77 PAJK 140456
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
856 PM AKDT Mon Oct 13 2025

AKZ318-141300-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0009.251014T2100Z-251015T0900Z/
Municipality of Skagway-
Including the cities of Skagway and White Pass
856 PM AKDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Municipality of Skagway.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 1 AM AKDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...High winds will blow around unsecured objects and 
  may damage property and cause power outages. Travel will be 
  difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts are expected 
  between 2pm and 9pm Tuesday evening. Strong winds are still 
  possible, but not as likely, earlier in the day on Tuesday as 
  well as after the warning ends. Winds are anticipated to 
  diminish during the early morning hours of Wednesday before the 
  next system moves into the area. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure vessels and loose objects that could
be blown around or damaged by the wind.

Report any damage to the National Weather Service by visiting
weather.gov/Juneau/StormReports

&&

$$

580 
WWAK77 PAJK 141229
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 14 2025

AKZ318-150000-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0009.251014T2100Z-251015T0900Z/
Municipality of Skagway-
Including the cities of Skagway and White Pass
429 AM AKDT Tue Oct 14 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Municipality of Skagway.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 1 AM AKDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...High winds will blow around unsecured objects and 
  may damage property and cause power outages. Travel will be 
  difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts are expected 
  between 2pm and 9pm Tuesday evening. Strong winds are still 
  possible, but not as likely, earlier in the day on Tuesday as 
  well as after the warning ends. Winds are anticipated to 
  diminish during the early morning hours of Wednesday before 
  the next system moves into the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure vessels and loose objects that could
be blown around or damaged by the wind.

Report any damage to the National Weather Service by visiting
weather.gov/Juneau/StormReports

&&

$$

316 
WWAK77 PAJK 142057
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1257 PM AKDT Tue Oct 14 2025

AKZ318-150500-
/O.EXT.PAJK.HW.W.0009.251014T2100Z-251015T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-
Including the cities of Skagway and White Pass
1257 PM AKDT Tue Oct 14 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Municipality of Skagway.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM AKDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...High winds will blow around unsecured objects and 
  may damage property and cause power outages. Travel will be 
  difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest wind gusts are expected 
  between 2pm and 9pm Tuesday evening. Strong winds are still 
  possible, but not as likely, earlier in the day on Tuesday as 
  well as after the warning ends. Winds are anticipated to 
  diminish during the early morning hours of Wednesday before 
  the next system moves into the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure vessels and loose objects that could
be blown around or damaged by the wind.

Report any damage to the National Weather Service by visiting
weather.gov/Juneau/StormReports

&&

$$

845 
WWAK77 PAJK 150407
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
807 PM AKDT Tue Oct 14 2025

AKZ318-150515-
/O.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-251015T0600Z/
Municipality of Skagway-
Including the cities of Skagway and White Pass
807 PM AKDT Tue Oct 14 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Winds have decreased and gusts are only up to 50 mph, They will
diminish slowly through the mid evenings. The warning has been
cancelled. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1109 AM AKDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.UPDATE...Update to include 18Z TAF issuance.
The system moving onshore today remains on track and is bringing
generally light rain and some gusty winds across the northeast
Gulf and northern panhandle. A quick-moving reinforcing system
looks to jump onshore Tuesday, bringing light to moderate rain.
This system looks to be stronger than previously suggested, with
a tighter N/S pressure gradient likely developing across the
central and northern panhandle. A bump in forecasted winds and
wind gusts for Tuesday is likely with the afternoon package.

&&

SHORT TERM...
A broad Rossby wave draped across the Aleutian Arc into the
Bering continues to be the catalyst of weather over the week, with
embedded shortwaves moving along the Aleutian storm track into
the Gulf serving as the dynamics for several gale force lows to
develop. The first one is currently moving along the northern
coast, with coastal buoys and ASCAT satellite derived winds
indicating easterly gale force winds along Cape St. Elias and the
Fairweather grounds, with fresh seas of 10-12ft at 7-9 seconds;
highest winds north and west of Cross Sound. Anticipate winds to
strengthen through the day Monday across the Inner Channels as the
pressure gradient tightens up, more info in the Marine section of
the AFD, with light to moderate rain impacting areas north of
Sumner Strait. Tuesday a secondary gale force low reinforces this
feature, quickly moving ashore into Canada. Watching the potential
for isallobaric flow to bring a brief period of near-gale to gale
force winds to the Inner Channels Tuesday evening. A more
extensive gale force system moves into the Gulf Wednesday…. More
info in the long term.

LONG TERM...
Active weather pattern continues throughout the week as systems
continue to impact the panhandle, the 500 mb ridge beginning to be
pushed eastward as shortwaves push in from the west throughout
the week. Following the rain impacting the NE Gulf Coast Monday
will be a weak low moving up from the south, bringing another
round of brief moderate to heavy rainfall to the NE Gulf Tuesday.
The low will move onshore around Yakutat by Tuesday night,
bringing light to moderate rainfall across the rest of the
panhandle throughout the day before it moves onshore and
dissipates. There is a brief break in the precipitation as this
low moves onshore before the next system moves in, particularly in
the southern panhandle as chances diminish into Wednesday
morning. For this system on Tuesday, the northeast Gulf coast is
expected to see between 1 and 2 inches of rain in 24 hours, and
the northern panhandle will see below 1 inch in 24 hours. Much
lower amounts are expected to the southeast of Sitka as the
precipitation largely moves northward and inland.

The next system moving into the Gulf Wednesday morning will bring a
gale force front across the northeastern Gulf, bringing 35 to 40 kt
winds along the northern coast from Cape Fairweather to Kayak
Island. The GFS and Canadian ensembles are leaning towards higher
wind speeds associated with this system, however the EC ensemble is
favoring keeping it only having probabilities for gale force winds
along Fairweather and near Kayak Island, so the wind speeds have
been increased but are at most a high end gale at this time. These
winds in the Gulf will diminish Wednesday night into Thursday
morning as the low lingers offshore to the northwest near Kenai
Peninsula. As the front moves in from east to west, it will begin to
impact the NE Gulf Coast area in the morning before moving across
the rest of the panhandle throughout the day. The system will
continue to bring precipitation throughout the day Thursday before
the low diminishes into Friday. The front moving through Wednesday
will bring 2 to 3 inches of rain in 24 hours to the NE Gulf coast
and Yakutat area between midday Wednesday through midday Thursday,
with the heaviest rates expected Wednesday night with 0.6 to 0.8
inches in 6 hours possible. NBM probabilities show around a 40%
chance of above 0.75 inches in 6 hours for this time frame, and a 30
to 40% chance of seeing above 3 inches in 24 hours. For the rest of
the panhandle, between 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected between
Wednesday night and Thursday night, with potential higher amounts at
higher elevations. The timing of the front is much more in agreement
between models today, it is a matter of the strength and amount of
precipitation that is still quite spread.

Looking a little farther out, there is a chance of again a weak
outflow event at the end of next week Saturday. With a low pressure
system moving to the south of the panhandle, and building high
pressure to around 1020 mb, weak northerly winds can develop.
Similar to this weekend, outflow winds do not look strong at this
moment.

AVIATION...
System moving onshore today is bringing light rain and generally
MVFR flight conditions. VIS and CIGs will likely be IFR at times
for Yakutat and occasionally at Sitka due to steadier rain with
onshore flow. Even as rain lightens up, MVFR flight conditions
will likely continue through the night into tomorrow, as CIGs will
likely remain lower. Another quick moving system is expected to
move onshore tomorrow, bringing more rain and continued MVFR
flight conditions.

With the system moving through today, seeing some elevated winds
(12-18g20-28kt) and modest LLWS across the northern TAF sites.
Winds will generally be less than 10kts across the south through
the period. Winds will increase further across the north through
the day Tuesday as the second system moves onshore, generally
becoming 15-25kts with gusts to 35kt. Winds could increase higher,
up to around 40G50+kts, for PAGY by late Tuesday afternoon.
Strong LLWS is also expected to develop for PAYA by late Tuesday
morning, and for the northern panhandle airports by Tuesday
afternoon.

MARINE...
Outside (Gulf/Coastal waters):
Certainly, an active weak for the Gulf of Alaska, with several
gale force lows driving elevated wind/seas… Wednesday into Friday
looks to be the strongest conditions.

Current SITREP Monday morning along our coast is easterly gale
force winds from Cape St. Elias to the Fairweather grounds, with
82 and 83 reporting SE seas of 10-12ft at 7-8 seconds with
underlying southwest swell. These winds will remain prominent
through Monday morning, decreasing to fresh breezes by Monday
evening. As winds decrease, fresh seas from the southeast become
southwest swell of 9-11 ft near 10-12 seconds. Tuesday a quick
moving gale force low will push into the coast, with winds
increasing back to gale force. A dynamic fetch associated with
this system will increase waves back to 13-15ft from the
southwest, highest seas focused from Cross Sound to Yakutat.

A more concerning system develops Wednesday, with widespread
southeasterly gales developing along the majority of our coast
into Thursday and fresh short period seas increasing to near
17-20ft. Behind this system is an excellent dynamic fetch of
southwest winds, bringing 20-30ft seas into the central Gulf of
Alaska. One item of note is the potential for significant swell to
develop along the coast, meaning waves of 17-20ft focused at
14-18 seconds from the southwest.

Inside (Inner Channels):
Simply put, several gale force lows will make landfall over the
week, bringing multiple rounds of southeasterly near-gale to gale
force winds. Monday, anticipate the majority of inner channels
north of Sumner to be feeling southerly fresh to strong breezes,
with easterly winds being pulled out of Icy Strait. Tuesday
morning winds subside briefly before fast moving low jumps ashore
in the evening, bringing near-gale to gale force winds to major
north-south channels. Strong breezes to near-gales are forecasted
for Chatham, Stephens, and Lynn, with gale force winds likely for
northern Lynn Canal. This should only be a threat late Tuesday
afternoon into the evening before winds begin to decrease
Wednesday morning.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ644-651-652-671.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-022-053-642-643-662>664-672.

&&

SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM...Contino
AVIATION...DS
MARINE...AP

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