Brisk Wind Advisory 252, NWS Fairbanks, AK

446 
FZAK52 PAFG 291146
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ801-300200-
Etolin Strait to Dall Point out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ802-300200-
Dall Point to Kwikpak Pass out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ803-300200-
Kwikpak Pass to Cape Stephens out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Fog.
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Freezing fog. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ804-300200-
Cape Stephens to Moses Point out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ805-300200-
Moses Point to Sledge Island out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ806-300200-
Sledge Island to Wales out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ807-300200-
Wales to Cape Espenberg out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ808-300200-
Cape Espenberg to Motherwood Point out to 10 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ809-300200-
Motherwood Point to Cape Krusenstern out to 10 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ810-300200-
Cape Krusenstern to Cape Thompson out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ816-300200-
South Side of Saint Lawrence Island out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ817-300200-
North Side of Saint Lawrence Island out to 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...N winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ850-300200-
Etolin Strait to Kwemeluk Pass from 15 to 90 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ851-300200-
Southwest of Saint Lawrence Island from 15 to 100 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ852-300200-
Norton Sound greater than 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ853-300200-
Kwemeluk Pass to Kwikpak Pass from 15 to 90 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 15 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ854-300200-
Sledge Island to Wales greater than 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ855-300200-
Kotzebue Sound greater than 10 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

.TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt.  

$$

PKZ856-300200-
Wales to Cape Thompson greater than 15 NM-
346 AM AKDT Tue Apr 29 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt.  

$$

Apr 25

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
328 PM AKDT Mon Apr 28 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A strong shortwave will bring locally heavy rain and
snow showers across the Interior Monday afternoon and overnight into
Tuesday morning. South winds through Alaska Range passes will gust
to 50 mph Tuesday and Wednesday.A few rain showers will persist on
the West Coast mainly south of the Seward Peninsula through
Wednesday. Blowing snow will continue near Point Lay with east winds
restrengthening Tuesday and persisting through the week.

&&

.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...

-An organized shortwave will bring numerous rain and snow showers
across the area this evening through Tuesday. Expect most of these
showers to fall as rain, but some snow is possible at higher
elevations and overnight into Tuesday. Areas of the White Mountains
may see a quick 3 to 4 inches of snow. Total precip amounts between
a tenth and a quarter inch are possible, even in Fairbanks.

-Southerly gap winds through Alaska Range passes will increase again
behind the shortwave on Tuesday, leading to drier conditions across
the Tanana Valley. A Wind Advisory is in effect for Delta Junction
and the Eastern Alaska Range for gusts up to 50 mph from Tuesday
afternoon through Wednesday late morning.

-High temperatures will be in the 50s across the Tanana Valley with
mostly 40s elsewhere.

West Coast and Western Interior...

-A few rain showers will persist from the Seward Peninsula south
through this week with mostly clear skies to the north

-Northerly winds through the Bering Strait and over St. Lawrence
Island will persist at around 25 mph through next weekend with areas
of blowing snow, especially through Tuesday when there will also be
periods of falling snow.

-High temperatures will be mainly in the 30s near the coast and in
the 40s and 50s in the Interior.

North Slope and Brooks Range..

-A mix of clear skies and low stratus will persist across the Arctic
Coast with generally good visibility, except near Point Lay where
blowing snow continues and will likely continue through the week as
winds restrengthen Tuesday. A Winter Weather Advisory has been
extended for Point Lay.

-Lows will be mainly in the single digits with highs in the teens
along the coast and in the 20s in the Brooks Range.

-The Brooks Range will be mainly dry under partly cloudy to mostly
clear skies through Tuesday.

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...A strong shortwave is still on
track to move over the Interior later tonight, though models have
shifted precipitation to the east and show more uncertainty on
timing of precipitation than yesterday. Have adjusted the Special
Weather Statement to reflect that. Downslope flow over the Alaska
Range strengthens Tuesday as a vertically stacked low moves from the
southern Bering Sea to Bristol Bay, with showery conditions across
the West Coast. This will persist through Wednesday as the low
weakens before another low moves from the North Pacific into the
Gulf of Alaska and becomes the dominant feature. This will shift
flow aloft to southeasterly through the end of the week, weakening
winds through the Alaska Range and bringing in more moisture to the
Interior from the east. Significant precipitation is possible Friday
and Saturday from Fairbanks east to the Alcan Border as a low moves
to Prince William Sound. High pressure persists over the Arctic.

For the forecast today, we adjusted the strength and timing of gap
winds through Alaska Range passes, extended the Winter Weather
Advisory for Point Lay, and shifted precipitation with the shortwave
moving over the Interior tonight slightly eastward. We also adjusted
QPF to make to wettest areas the hills east of Fairbanks.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Wetting rains are expected across most snow free
areas of the Interior overnight tonight, then downslope flow kicks
in Tuesday morning with sustained south winds 20 to 30 mph and gusts
to 50 mph through Alaska Range passes. These winds will persist
through Wednesday mid-day, though latest model runs indicate they
could persist into the afternoon hours when RH will be at its
driest. The wetting rain overnight tonight combined with the amount
of moisture embedded within the southerly flow off the Gulf of
Alaska will keep RHs Tuesday afternoon fairly moist even in the area
of downslope winds. By Wednesday, RHs may dip down to near 25% from
Delta Junction across the Tanana Flats, with possible Red Flag
conditions near Delta Junction if south winds persist into the
afternoon. Will stick with a Wind Advisory for now and re-evaluate
Red Flag potential tonight and tomorrow. Flow turns southeast
Thursday and Friday with less wind across the area and more moisture
being advected into the Interior off the Gulf from the east, thus
fire weather concerns abate.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...As a low pressure system in the Gulf
of Alaska moves east along the ALCAN border, a stronger low pressure
system builds in behind it. Models are in good agreement with this
low pressure system making its way into Prince William Sound by
Monday, allowing for the persistence of broad scale troughing across
the state. The current set up looks favorable for moderate rain/snow
showers to occur throughout the Central and Eastern Interior.
Showers are expected to be rain during the day, transitioning into
snow overnight. There is a chance for some showers to make their way
towards the West Coast however, confidence is low regarding the
exact timing and rain/snow amounts for this system right now.
Temperatures are expected to be below normal and precipitation
amounts above normal for both the Interior and West Coast through
the weekend. High pressure will remain along the North Slope with
minimal impacts expected.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ801.
     Wind Advisory for AKZ837-849.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ806.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ807.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ810.
     Gale Warning for PKZ811-857.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ812-817-856-858.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ814.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816-851-854.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ816-851.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ854.
&&

Chriest/Santiago