Storm Warning 85, NWS Anchorage, AK

052 
FZAK51 PAFC 151151
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160030-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A North Pacific low pushes a front into the north Gulf Coast through
Mon night. The low moves from 120 nm southeast of Kodiak City at 983
mb Mon morning to 100 nm south of Middleton Island at 994 mb Tue 
morning. The low then moves 70 nm south of Homer at 998 mb as it 
dissipates Tue night.

$$

PKZ710-160030-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ711-160030-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ712-160030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ715-160030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ716-160030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ714-160030-
Resurrection Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-160030-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-160030-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ726-160030-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ720-160030-
Port of Valdez-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-160030-
Valdez Narrows-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-160030-
Valdez Arm-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-160030-
Passage Canal-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-160030-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ731-160030-
Barren Islands East-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ733-160030-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ732-160030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt except N 40 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ734-160030-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. N of
Dangerous Cape, N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ736-160030-
Chiniak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ737-160030-
Marmot Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ738-160030-
Shelikof Strait-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ742-160030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ740-160030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ741-160030-
Kachemak Bay-
351 AM AKDT Mon Sep 15 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
424 AM AKDT Sun Sep 14 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
(Days 1 through 3: Today through Tuesday Night)...

An upper level shortwave is propagating over the western Chugach
Mountains, through Anchorage and into the southern Susitna Valley
early this morning. This is bringing renewed shower activity as it
passes through, though the showers should taper off through the
morning with just a few residual showers left by afternoon. There
may even be a bit of a break in the clouds this afternoon or evening
(depending where one is in Southcentral) in the hours between
systems.

The main focus of the weather for Southcentral will now be from
the large low pressure system in the North Pacific that is
entering the Gulf of Alaska today. While the system is expected to
deepen a little more as it approaches the Gulf, the system will
be slow to make northern progression today as surface ridging
remains on both sides of it; one to the west extending northward
into the Bering Sea, and one to the east extending northward
across the eastern Gulf. Models are coming into good agreement
with the timing of this low and have mainly settled on the front
and gusty winds beginning to impact Kodiak Island in earnest on
Sunday evening.

Precipitation-wise, Kodiak is expected to also see the heaviest
rain, with the Gulf Coast not too far behind. There is potential
for a few inches of rain in these areas through through Tuesday
evening. The atmospheric river portion of this system will stay
farther east across Southeast Alaska. Occasional light rain is
expected across the Western Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage, the
Matanuska Valley, as well as southern Copper River Basin due in
part to easterly/southeasterly downslope flow. The southern Kenai
Peninsula, from Ninilchik to Homer, could see enhanced rain at
times Monday and Tuesday due to being in a better position for
lift. The Susitna Valley remains mostly dry with this system with
showers there remaining more confined to the Alaska Range.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

Conditions continue mostly unchanged across Southwest Alaska
through tonight. Main change will be an uptick in northwesterly
winds this afternoon. Otherwise, anticipate another day of dry,
partly cloudy to mostly clear skies.

Relatively benign weather will continue for the central/eastern
Bering Sea and Aleutians with chances for occasional light rain
showers today. A low south of the Chain will bring increased
northerly winds small craft to gale force south of the Alaska
Peninsula as well as through gaps and passes of the Eastern
Aleutians this afternoon.

Further west, a gale force front moves into the western Bering Sea
this evening, bringing high end gale force winds with a wide area
of storm force gusts and widespread precipitation. Though there
remains quite a bit of uncertainty, but there are hints that the
low center may stall briefly on Tuesday north of Amchitka. The
low's front stretches into the Pribilof Islands and Eastern
Aleutians by Tuesday. After the low stalls briefly, the center
shifts south across the Chain late on Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Wednesday through Saturday)...

The Southern Alaska focus on the weather narrative shifts from
the Gulf low that is affecting the region at the beginning of the
week. Attention shifts to a new low pressure system developing
over the central and western Aleutians.This new system is expected
to track towards the Alaskan Peninsula by Thursday and into
Friday, bringing more unsettled weather, particularly strong winds
and heavy precipitation in the Northern Gulf and Prince William
Sound area. Friday and Saturday will see a new system impact the
Southcentral and coastal waters with the possibility of a couple
of additional inches of precipitation to the already soaked
region.

For the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands, Wednesday through the
early part of the weekend will see a new low pressure system move
across the Aleutians. This system will track towards the Alaskan
Peninsula, bringing periods of rain and strong winds across the
region. Model guidance has become better aligned for the system's
track and intensities.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Areas of showers moving over the terminal will clear to
the west over the next few hours. There will be a short window for
areas of low stratus and/or patchy fog to form as rain ends,
especially if skies partially clear and allow the surface to
radiate out and cool near surface air enough to reach saturation.
IFR to MVFR conditions will be possible with any periods of low
stratus/fog, but a return to predominant VFR is likely by around
18z as low cloud cover mixes out with daytime heating. Light north
winds will continue for the duration of the TAF period.

&&