Storm Warning 48, NWS Anchorage, AK

837 
FZAK51 PAFC 271244
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-280145-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 982 mb low 50 nm south of Cordova dissipates by Thu afternoon. 
A North Pacific low pushes a front across the Gulf through Fri 
evening. The low moves 170 nm south of Middleton Island at 994 mb
by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ710-280145-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ711-280145-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ712-280145-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ715-280145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ716-280145-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ714-280145-
Resurrection Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain with snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-280145-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ725-280145-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ726-280145-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ720-280145-
Port of Valdez-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow with
rain.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-280145-
Valdez Narrows-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming SW wind 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-280145-
Valdez Arm-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-280145-
Passage Canal-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-280145-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ731-280145-
Barren Islands East-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ733-280145-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ732-280145-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ734-280145-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ736-280145-
Chiniak Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ737-280145-
Marmot Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ738-280145-
Shelikof Strait-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-280145-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-280145-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ741-280145-
Kachemak Bay-
344 AM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

606 
FZAK51 PAFC 280025
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-281315-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 963 mb North Pacific low moves to 160 nm West of Sitka at 1005 
mb Sat afternoon. Its front wraps over the North Gulf Coast and 
Southeast Alaska through Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ710-281315-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ711-281315-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ712-281315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ715-281315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ716-281315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ714-281315-
Resurrection Bay-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to variable wind less than 10 
kt by midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-281315-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt during the evening. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ725-281315-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ726-281315-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ720-281315-
Port of Valdez-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow with
rain.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-281315-
Valdez Narrows-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-281315-
Valdez Arm-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-281315-
Passage Canal-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-281315-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ731-281315-
Barren Islands East-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ733-281315-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ732-281315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ734-281315-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. N of
Dangerous Cape, E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ736-281315-
Chiniak Bay-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ737-281315-
Marmot Bay-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ738-281315-
Shelikof Strait-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-281315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-281315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding
to 3 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ741-281315-
Kachemak Bay-
325 PM AKST Thu Feb 27 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

828 
FZAK51 PAFC 281230
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-010100-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A stationary front along the north Gulf Coast dissipates Fri 
evening. The associated low moves 190 nm south of Middleton Island
at 995 mb Sat morning and then moves 120 nm south of Yakutat at 
1005 mb as it dissipates Sat afternoon. Another front moves into 
the western Gulf through Sun morning.

$$

PKZ710-010100-
Cape Suckling to Gravel Point out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ711-010100-
Gravel Point to Cape Cleare out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ712-010100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare from 15 to 75 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ715-010100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ716-010100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point from 15 to 75 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ714-010100-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ724-010100-
Northwest Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ725-010100-
Central and Eastern Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ726-010100-
Southwest Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ720-010100-
Port of Valdez-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ721-010100-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ722-010100-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ723-010100-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ730-010100-
West of Barren Islands Including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ731-010100-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ733-010100-
Gore Point to Marmot Island from 15 to 80 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ732-010100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ734-010100-
Marmot Island To Sitkinak from 15 to 85 NM-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ736-010100-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ737-010100-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ738-010100-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ742-010100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ740-010100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft subsiding
to 2 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ741-010100-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKST Fri Feb 28 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
522 AM AKST Wed Feb 26 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
3)...

A pattern shift to more active weather is underway as a strong low
pushes into the southern Gulf this morning. Though the low was
moving fairly quickly north, it will stall out in the Gulf while
slowly filling in. This will confine precipitation mostly to the
Prince William Sound, with some very light snow moving into the
surrounding mountains. A portion of the decaying upper level
energy will move into the Copper Valley later today, allowing for
chances of snow this afternoon and tomorrow. Most of the Cook
Inlet region and Mat-Su Valleys should remain dry barring a
shift in the storm track to the west, of which models have
continued to shift away from. However, a weak trough currently
associated with the ongoing snow over Bristol Bay will lift
through Southcentral tomorrow night, allowing for a chance of flurries
or a light dusting of snow for the western Kenai Peninsula, and
maybe as far north as Anchorage. There is still quite a bit of
uncertainty in the forecasted low track and shape as it nears the
Sound early Thursday morning. The primary impact will be
differences in the marine winds south of the Sound.

Starting Thursday afternoon and continuing into Friday a strong
occluded front will push north into the southern Mainland from a
broad low in the North Pacific. Expect strong winds and rain at
sea level from Kodiak Island north into the Sound by Thursday
afternoon. This pattern will hold through the start of the weekend
as the parent low slowly fills in and drifts into the eastern
Gulf. Due to the strong southeasterly winds, expect downsloping
and dry conditions from near Ninilchik north through Anchorage and
into the Mat-SU. Temperatures will be balmy throughout the
Southcentral, with highs expected to be in the low to mid 40s for
many areas due to warm air moving through the mountain gaps in
addition to our late February sun having more and more effect on
the diurnal temperature swing. However, cold air wrapping behind
the system moving into the region today will provide somewhat of a
cold/cool air dam and buffer along the coast initially, keeping
snow levels to 900 to 1500 feet throughout the storm. Therefore,
there may be times where the mountain passes throughout the Kenai
Peninsula may have accumulating, albeit wet snow on the roadways.

-CJ

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: Today through Friday)...

Currently, a showery pattern persists across the Bering Sea and
continues to produce some rain/snow showers across the western
Aleutians due to a broad, weak, and meandering low pressure
complex centered around 300 miles northwest of Amchitka. This
feature does not look to be going anywhere anytime soon in the
near term.

Elsewhere, a negatively tilted 500 mb trough now situated across
the central Aleutians is forecast to pivot and lift northward and
will begin to stall and stretch out over the AK Pen and Southwest
AK. However, this upper trough is broad and already working in
tandem with a weak surface trough and wave of low pressure
affecting the coastal Southwest. Radar shows that the combined
forcing has produced a band of light to moderate snow west of
King Salmon, moving right along the Bristol Bay coastline. This
axis of moisture is just far enough inland to where areas such as
Dillingham has been reporting light snow for the past 24 hours.
Model guidance suggests this snow band will progress farther north
into the Kuskokwim Delta and just west of Bethel by Wednesday
afternoon. Accumulations of 2-4" are expected to be localized to
Dillingham and points just north and west near Manokotak, Twin
Hills, and the higher terrain of the southern Kuskokwim Mountains
with lighter amounts elsewhere before the band exits early
Thursday, but snowfall should stay below advisory level.

Also by early Thursday or so, a storm-force, occluded North
Pacific low and its associated front/precip band on its northern
flank moves closer to the Aleutian Island chain. The forecast here
becomes tricky as temperature profiles initially look cold enough
Thursday afternoon to begin as snow or a rain/snow mix across
portions of the eastern Aleutians and the Bristol Bay coast.
Shortly thereafter, warm air advection starts early Friday for the
central Aleutians, AK PEN, and the Bristol Bay area that will
most likely change p-type to rain or a wintry mix from south to
north while the western Aleutians remain on the colder/drier side
with a few snow showers. By Friday afternoon, the dry conveyor
belt begins to kick in for the central Aleutians and starts to
shut off moisture behind the low from west to east while
precipitation still lingers across the AKPEN and Southwest that
lasts into the weekend.

-AM/ME

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7 - Saturday through Tuesday)...

The upper level Alaska Weather map is split between a broad
trough covering the Aleutians and Bering and a ridge extending
from Canada across Interior Alaska. Occasional disturbances from
the North Pacific intersect the base of the trough, adding to the
unsettled picture. A number of shortwaves are rotating through the
pattern, supporting areas of active weather on the surface.
Forecast confidence for the larger features rides on the shoulders
of an ECMWF / Canadian blend until late in the period when the
heretofore out of sync GFS joins the group. Greatest uncertainty
is in the smaller details. A well defined negatively tilted trough
will develop across the region into the Gulf of Alaska by the end
of the forecast period.

Warm air ahead of the large scale trough continues to pump over
the Southcentral coasts into the Interior, but leaving the bulk of
the precipitation along coastal zones. A well developed North
Pacific low extends a front along the North Gulf Coast. Locally
heavier rainfall from the Pacific side of the Alaska Peninsula and
Kodiak Island extends along the Eastern Kenai Peninsula into
Prince William Sound through late Sunday. Somewhat lesser amounts
spread towards the Canadian Border. This same low pushes snow or
rain and snow mixed over the Alaska Peninsula into Bristol Bay and
Southwest Alaska through Sunday. As the low loops into the
Eastern and Central Bering, the snow progresses Westward over the
Pribilofs through the rest of the period. Another North Pacific
low brings snow changing to rain across most of the Aleutians and
AKPEN Monday, pushing the snow over the Bering through Tuesday.

- Kutz

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and northerly winds will persist, though a
brief uptick in winds to around 10 kts or so can still be expected
late this morning into the early afternoon. Snow flurries could
reach the surface at the terminal late tonight into Thursday
morning, but significant visibility reductions are not expected.
Ceilings could still lower with periods of flurries or virga,
perhaps below the 5000 ft threshold at times starting late
tonight.

&&