Storm Warning 112, NWS Anchorage, AK

763 
FZAK52 PAFC 122312
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-131230-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 963 mb low centered near Nome moves inland over the Seward 
Peninsula Sunday afternoon. A 985 mb low 50 nm S of Attu gets 
absorbed into a new 957 mb low 160 nm S of Adak Tue morning. 
A 1003 mb low 160 nm S of Sand Point tracks inland over southern 
Alaska by Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-131230-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...S wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ751-131230-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.THU...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ752-131230-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ753-131230-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ754-131230-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ755-131230-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ756-131230-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ757-131230-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ758-131230-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ759-131230-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ770-131230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ772-131230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ771-131230-
Unalaska Bay-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ773-131230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ774-131230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ775-131230-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ776-131230-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ777-131230-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ778-131230-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ780-131230-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ781-131230-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ782-131230-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ783-131230-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ784-131230-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ785-131230-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ786-131230-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ787-131230-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming N after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ766-131230-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ760-131230-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt shifting to N after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ761-131230-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ762-131230-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ763-131230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ764-131230-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ765-131230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ767-131230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
312 PM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt, except S wind 15 kt S of Saint Matthew 
Island. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 15 kt, except NE 20 kt N and W of Saint Matthew Island. 
Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
528 PM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Gulf of Alaska ridge moves eastward as Bering Sea low progresses
onshore. Multiple fronts cross Southcentral bringing increased
cloud cover, strong winds and rain through early next week.

Satellite shows increasing cloud cover across the Prince William
Sound west to the Gulf of Alaska and Kodiak Island this afternoon
as a weak front pushes northward. Scattered rain showers were
reported in these areas today with the greatest at 0.10" at the
Kodiak airport measured as of 4:00 pm. A second wave of moisture
shown on the radar over the Alaska Peninsula continues to push
northeastward over Kodiak Island and into the Kenai Peninsula.
This second wave brings more robust moisture and warmer air
resulting in widespread light rain showers this evening and
overnight for most of Southcentral and Kodiak Island. Rainfall
amounts range from a few hundredths to a few tenths of an inch
from this second wave of moisture. Though temperatures in the
Copper River Basin and at higher elevations in the Chugach
Mountains could lead to a mix of snow and rain at the onset of
this second wave of moisture, a change over to all rain will occur
as snow levels rise overnight. A third wave of moisture pushes
into Southcentral tomorrow afternoon bringing continued cloud
cover, warm air and precipitation to Southcentral Alaska.

Wind speeds increase through the day today across Southcentral
Alaska in conjunction with the multiple waves moving through the
region. Easterly winds this afternoon through the Barren Islands
ranging from 25 to 35 knots can be expected. Small craft
advisories and gale warnings there continue into this evening.
Farther north, easterly winds through northern Prince William
Sound and Turnagain Arm, including the Anchorage Hillside, range
from 35 to 55 knots overnight. The 500 mb NAM and GFS signal an
increased likelihood of these winds moving over west Anchorage as
the southerly to southeasterly wind component increases. These
winds through the Anchorage Bowl persist into tomorrow afternoon.
A barrier jet forms along the Prince William Sound coastline
tomorrow morning and continue into the evening hours creating
small craft to gale strength warnings over the ocean.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3/Tonight through Tuesday)...

Key messages:

 - The forecast remains on track for a powerful storm (remnants of
   Typhoon Halong) to bring dangerous High Winds to the Pribilof
   Islands and Kuskokwim Delta and Storm Surge Flooding to many
   communities along the Kuskokwim Delta coast and lower
   Kuskokwim River.

 - Preparations for these dangerous conditions should be concluded
   as soon as possible. Weather conditions will rapidly
   deteriorate as the storm crosses the central Bering Sea late
   this afternoon and evening.

 - Another powerful storm system will move out of the Pacific on
   Tuesday. All signs indicate that this storm will take a more
   southerly track across the southern and eastern Bering Sea and
   impact all of Southwest Alaska Tuesday through Wednesday. Stay
   tuned as we work to hone in on the most likely track and
   weather impacts.

A look at satellite imagery shows what is now an extra-tropical
storm (which formed from the remnants of Typhoon Halong) tracking
northward across the south-central Bering Sea. It is slowly
strengthening right now, but a strong upper level short-wave
trough and jet streak noted in water vapor are about to catch up
to the surface low and lead to more rapid intensification as we
head through the evening hours. The primary change in the last few
model cycles is to delay onset of intensification, though the
rate of intensification as the low passes west of the Pribilof
Islands late this evening and tracks toward the west coast of
Alaska early Sunday is very similar. Despite the fact the low is
now expected to bottom out around 960 mb tomorrow morning (10 to
20 mb weaker than model solutions from prior days), this has had
little effect on the wind forecast. This shows the power of rapid
pressure falls ahead of the storm and rapid pressure rises behind
the storm. The actual pressure gradient plays a critical role in
the wind strength as well. The other notable trend in model
guidance is a continued eastward shift in low track as it moves up
the west coast of Alaska. This provides increased likelihood of
some of the greatest impacts from winds and storm surge being felt
along the Kuskokwim Delta coast and Nunivak Island.

Bottom line, the forecast and expected weather hazards from this
powerful storm are all on track. Minor adjustments have been made
to the exact timing and strength of the winds and High Wind
Warning effective times have been adjusted accordingly.

As far as the storm surge threat along the Kuskokwim Delta coast,
the slight change in storm track and timing has now better
aligned the time of tomorrow morning's high tide with the peak
surge of water from the Bering Sea. The expected water levels are
still in line with what we have been advertising (3 to 6 feet
above the normal highest tide line), but this provides confidence
to lean toward the higher end of guidance. This will surely lead
to significant flooding in coastal villages, especially for Kipnuk
where this could be the highest water levels they have seen in
the past decade. The alignment of high tide and storm surge also
gives confidence that there will be some minor flooding along the
lower Kuskokwim River. Therefore, have upgraded the Flood Watch to
a Flood Advisory from Bethel south to the mouth of the Kuskokwim
River. Communities that often see flood impacts in this scenarios
include Tuntutuliak and Napakiak.

The storm will exit northward up the west coast of Alaska on
Sunday, leading to slowly improving conditions as we head through
the day. A long-wave trough will remain over the region, with
numerous weak features transiting the Bering Sea, Aleutians, and
Southwest AK Sunday through Monday night. Attention will then
shift to the development of another large and strong storm system
over the North Pacific on Tuesday. As always, there is fairly
large model spread and uncertainty in storm track due to
differences in timing of a short-wave digging out of USIA and
interacting with a low crossing the North Pacific. The one
consistent trend in guidance over the past couple days is to move
up the timing of intensification of the low which causes it to
slow down and take a more southerly track along the Aleutians and
southern Bering Sea. Although this does not look like a repeat of
the current storm, there is still potential for significant
weather impacts across the eastern Bering Sea and Southwest
Alaska, so stay tuned to forecast updates over the next few days.

-SEB

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through
Saturday)...

The long term forecast starts with weak ridging over the Gulf of
Alaska which will recede, allowing a strong frontal system to
advance in from the west, delivering heavy coastal rainfall and
gusty winds across the coastal regions of Southcentral AK. Down-
sloping winds may reduce rainfall in the Anchorage and the Mat-Su
Valley. However, strong winds could reach Prince William Sound and
Anchorage Bowl, depending on the front's eventual track across
the region. Models are in fair agreement with this scenario. Zonal
flow will develop as the weekend approaches, decreasing the winds
and reducing rain intensity. Scattered showers may linger in
higher elevations and coastal areas.

In the Bering, a low from the North Pacific arrives Wednesday and
into Thursday, tracking eastward of extratropical cyclone
Halong's path, towards Bristol Bay and the Alaskan Peninsula,
bringing gale-to-storm force winds and heavy precipitation to the
Kuskokwim Delta to the AKPEN. Coastal flooding and erosion is
again possible along this region. As the weekend starts, a more
zonal flow will setup across the state, allowing a brief respite
from active weather before another possible deep low approaches
the Central Aleutians by the end of the weekend. This is quite far
out, so the evolution of this event is still somewhat uncertain.
It will be important to monitor the forecast as updates are
issued.

-DD

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Expect VFR conditions to prevail for most of the TAF
period. Some light rain is possible overnight through Sunday
morning. If any MVFR ceilings develop the most likely timeframe
should be on Sunday morning. Surface winds should remain mostly
northerly until Sunday midday when the Southeasterly Turnagain Arm
wind is expected to move over the airport. There is a chance for
low level wind shear overnight through Sunday morning due to the
northerly surface winds and southeast winds aloft around 2000
feet.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
130 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Saint George            56.60N 169.54W
10/11/2025  M77 MPH          Aleutians West     AK   C-Man Station

            Saint George Marine Exchange observed
            southwest wind gusts of 67 kt (77 mph). Peak
            of event.

1015 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Saint George Airport    56.58N 169.66W
10/11/2025  M92 MPH          Aleutians West     AK   ASOS

            Saint George ASOS recorded a southwesterly
            peak wind gust of 80 kt (92 mph). Peak of
            event.

1037 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Saint Paul Airport      57.16N 170.22W
10/11/2025  M81 MPH          Aleutians West     AK   ASOS

            Saint Paul ASOS. Peak of event.

1052 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Saint Paul              57.12N 170.28W
10/11/2025  M69 MPH          Aleutians West     AK   Public

            Saint Paul Marine Exchange observation. Peak
            of event.

&&

Quesada