Small Craft Advisory 21, NWS Anchorage, AK

520 
FZAK52 PAFC 070007
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-071245-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 mb low near Unalaska splits into two lows by Tue morning. 
The first low moves 85 nm N of Cold Bay at 990 mb by Tue afternoon
before moving inland. The second low moves to 150 nm SW of Saint 
Paul at 986 mb by Tue afternoon and remains stationary. A 970 mb 
low arrives 300 nm S of Shemya by Wed afternoon

$$

PKZ750-071245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ751-071245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ752-071245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ753-071245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ754-071245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ755-071245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ756-071245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ757-071245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ758-071245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ759-071245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ770-071245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ772-071245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ771-071245-
Unalaska Bay-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ773-071245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ774-071245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ775-071245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ776-071245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ777-071245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ778-071245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ780-071245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ781-071245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ782-071245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ783-071245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ784-071245-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ785-071245-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ786-071245-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ787-071245-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ766-071245-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ760-071245-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ761-071245-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ762-071245-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ763-071245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ764-071245-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ765-071245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ767-071245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
307 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 40 kt W of Saint
Matthew Island. Seas 18 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 15 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

182 
FZAK52 PAFC 071235
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-080200-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 985 mb low develops 100 nm W of Saint Paul this afternoon and 
remains nearly stationary through Wed night. A 970 mb low arrives 
350 nm SW of Shemya by Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-080200-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ751-080200-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 30 ft.

$$

PKZ752-080200-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ753-080200-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ754-080200-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ755-080200-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ756-080200-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ757-080200-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ758-080200-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ759-080200-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ770-080200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ772-080200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ771-080200-
Unalaska Bay-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ773-080200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ774-080200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ775-080200-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ776-080200-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ777-080200-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ778-080200-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ780-080200-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ781-080200-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ782-080200-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ783-080200-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ784-080200-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ785-080200-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ786-080200-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ787-080200-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ766-080200-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ760-080200-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ761-080200-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ762-080200-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ763-080200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.WED...E wind 15 kt.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt.
.THU...N wind 15 kt.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ764-080200-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ765-080200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ767-080200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
335 AM AKST Tue Jan 7 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...N 40 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 17 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray N of
Saint Matthew Island.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 35 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 14 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray N of
Saint Matthew Island.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NE 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 12 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray near ice
edge.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
635 AM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Discussion:

The forecast remains pretty much on track this morning with high
wind or winter weather headlines out for much of Southcentral
through Tuesday. The first of several systems this week have
moved through as of this morning. The latest of these quickly
lifted north across the western Gulf towards Kodiak overnight and
has now moved up into the northern Susitna Valley. This system
resulted in some gusty winds for the Cook Inlet, Kenai, and Homer.
Steady precipitation has been falling for most of the coastal
areas along the Gulf. Most of this has been falling as rain for
lower elevations, but for areas where the cold air has been more
difficult to scour out such as Valdez, precipitation has remained
all snow. However, temperatures has inched up to 32 degrees in
Valdez and expect a change-over to a wintry mix then possibly to
all rain at some point today.

We now turn our attention to a very strong system that is currently
lifting northwards out of the North Pacific. Strong lift associated
with this system is already resulting in the next round of moderate
to heavy precipitation to blossom over the northern Gulf. But that
isn't the only thing this system will bring. As this system
approaches, it will bottom out around 960 mb just southeast of
Kodiak Island. The surface low is then progged to move up the Cook
Inlet and elongate, but still remaining quite strong at 967 mb.
Winds will start to to increase over much of Gulf with both the NAM
and GFS developing a swath of hurricane force winds from the SW
entrance of Prince William Sound to the Copper River Delta and
extending further back to the southeast. These winds will funnel
towards the western Sound by this evening. Cordova will see winds
starting to increase this morning with strongest winds of 40 to 55
mph with gusts up to 75 mph are expected during the afternoon and
evening hours before decreasing overnight. As such, a High Wind
Warning has been issued for Southeast Prince William Sound. Strong
winds will then work into Whittier later this afternoon and evening
with gusts up to 65 mph possible.

Strong winds will also work over the Kenai and Chugach Mountains
with very strong winds for higher elevations. Winds will funnel down
into Portage and the Turnagain Arm by this evening with gusts up to
75 mph along the Arm and higher gusts possible for Portage. A High
Wind Warning is also in effect for these areas. Lastly, winds are
expected to increase through the Mat Valley this afternoon as the
pressure gradient tightens. As the low lifts north out of the Inlet,
Mat winds will look to slacken as the Knik winds take over. As such,
a High Wind Warning is also in effect for the Mat Valley.

Lastly, this system will bring a mix of precipitation with it.
Precipitation will increase in coverage by this afternoon with
precipitation working up the inlet. The southern end of the Kenai
Peninsula will see rain working in this morning with temperatures
having warmed into the 40s. Further north temperatures are still in
the 30s and upper 20s resulting in  wintry mix. Precipitation will
continue to work up towards the Anchorage Bowl and Susitna Valley
this afternoon. Precipitation and strong winds will wind down
Tuesday as the system exits the region; however, another system
looks to follow a similar track by midweek though there are still a
lot of details to work out on that system.

- PP

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: Monday through Thursday morning)...

A cold airmass remains over the central and western Bering while
unsettled weather brings precipitation to Southwest Monday and
Tuesday.

This morning, a small occluded low will remain over Unalaska
through the afternoon with continued light rain for the eastern
Aleutians and AKPen. A second low over Cook Inlet weakens as it
encounters the Alaska Range, but retains enough energy to bring
periodic snow across Southwest Alaska through the morning.
Meanwhile a larger North Pacific low races up the western Gulf
through the day before pushing its front over Southwest Monday
afternoon. This system is expected to bring additional widespread
snow showers for most of interior Bristol Bay and the Lower
Kuskokwim Valley, with a focus on an area including Dillingham,
New Stuyahok, and Koliganek, which may see anywhere from 3 to 8
inches of snow and reduced visibility through Tuesday morning.

Warmer surface temperatures will generally reduce snow
accumulation south of King Salmon along the AKPen, however, Togiak
may see up to two inches of snow through late Monday night.

Finally, the cold airmass over the western and northern Bering
will continue to bring gusty northeasterly winds from Saint
Lawrence Island down the western half of the Bering. Gusts of 35
to 50 knots will be possible within this region with seas of 15
to 20 feet. Further east, the threat of freezing spray continues
for the Bering Sea north and west of the Pribilof Islands. Heavy
freezing spray will continue along the ice edge between Nunivak
Island and north to Saint Lawrence Island.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through Sunday)...

A very active weather pattern will continue for much of southern
Alaska through the end of the week and into next weekend. The
longwave pattern features a strong upper level low dominating much
of the Bering Sea-western mainland Alaska and a steep ridge of high
pressure along the Canadian Coast and Eastern Alaska. The high
pressure ridge will weaken and retreat eastward slightly along the
Gulf of Alaska and Southern Alaska allowing a very strong North
Pacific low and its associated fronts to travel northward into the
Gulf and into the Alaskan Peninsula Thursday and into Friday before
being absorbed by the long wave trough of low pressure over the
Baring Sea. This pattern will bring unseasonable warmer temperatures
and mixed precipitation along the coastlines near the surface and
has the real potential for heavy snow accumulations in the higher
elevations.

The upper level low will gradually retreat back into Eastern Siberia
and the Chukchi Sea as the Ridge of high pressure reasserts its
dominance Friday and into Saturday. This will flatten out the
southern portion of the long wave trough allowing several compact
surface lows and their associated fronts to transit along the
Aleutians and coastal southern Alaska.

Confidence in the model guidance is moderate with a slight bias
between the GFS and European solutions through Thursday. The
European and Canadian better handle the synoptic features Friday and
into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Mainly VFR conditions are expected to persist through most
of the TAF period. Strong downslope southeasterly flow through
today will begin to turn more southerly tonight. This will allow
precipitation to fill in over the area with better chances of MVFR
conditions tonight into Tuesday morning. VFR conditions should
return by mid-morning Tuesday as precipitation becomes more
scattered in nature.

Meanwhile, there is a brief period for Turnagain Arm winds to
bend into the terminal this morning before down-inlet flow
strengthens again late morning and northerly winds resume late
morning to early afternoon through tonight. Winds aloft will stay
strong and out of the southeast which will promote low-level
windshear with winds at the surface remaining out of the north. As
flow throughout the atmosphere begins to turn more southerly
starting this afternoon, low-level windshear will diminish. Strong
gusty southeasterly winds return late tonight into early Tuesday
morning as low pressure moves up Cook Inlet and reorients the
pressure gradient to more of an east-west gradient.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
143 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

AKZ103-126-070900-
East Turnagain Arm-Western Prince William Sound-
Including the cities of Girdwood, Portage, Whittier, Seward,
and Moose Pass
143 PM AKST Mon Jan 6 2025

...STRONG WINDS FOR WHITTIER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AREAS
OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS WEEK...

A strong storm in a series of systems that will affect the area
this week will lift north through the Gulf through today. The
front will enter Prince William Sound beginning this afternoon.
Easterly winds will continue pick up through Passage Canal and
into Whittier today. Peak winds are expected this afternoon into
the evening hours today where winds could briefly gust to 75 mph.
Easterly winds begin to diminish through the overnight hours into
Tuesday morning as flow turns more southerly by then.

In addition to strong winds, the series of storms will bring
considerably warmer weather and a chance of precipitation from
today through Tuesday. While temperatures are expected to
gradually rise above freezing through Monday, surface temperatures
may remain below freezing due to the recent cold weather. Rain,
heavy at times, may flow across and/or puddle on various surfaces.
Untreated and snow-covered surfaces and roadways may become
extremely slick. Please exercise caution if traveling over the
next few days.