Alert archive / Alaska / High Wind Warnings in 2025

High Wind Warning 10, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 10, 2025Aleutians West Census Area, Bethel Census Area, Alaska

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this high wind warning at Oct 10, 2025, 10:46 AM HADT for Aleutians West Census Area, Bethel Census Area, Alaska. It took effect at Oct 11, 2025, 6:00 PM HADT. It was in force for 15 hr. 17 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 10, 2025, 10:46 AM HADT (19:46 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 11, 2025, 6:00 PM HADT
Expired
Oct 12, 2025, 9:00 AM HADT
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

Counties Aleutians West Census Area, AK, Bethel Census Area, AK

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 11, 6:34 PM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 681 Ssw Saint George, AKObservation from ASOS measured wind gust. Storm is ongoing.
Oct 11, 7:05 PM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 821 Ssw Saint George, AKObservation from ASOS measured wind gust. Storm is ongoing.
Oct 11, 7:52 PM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 77Saint George, AKSaint George Marine Exchange observed southwest wind gusts of 67 kt (77 mph). Peak of event.
Oct 11, 9:15 PM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 92Saint George Airport, AKSaint George ASOS recorded a southwesterly peak wind gust of 80 kt (92 mph). Peak of event.
Oct 11, 9:37 PM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 81Saint Paul Airport, AKSaint Paul ASOS. Peak of event.
Oct 11, 9:52 PM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 69Saint Paul, AKSaint Paul Marine Exchange observation. Peak of event.
Oct 12, 12:56 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 70Mekoryuk, AKMekoryuk AWOS. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 1:32 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 67Bethel, AKMesonet site BEXA2. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 1:36 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 67Quinhagak, AKQuinhagak AWOS. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 2:02 AM HADTSTORM SURGEKwigillingok, AK(KWGA2 Tidal Gage) **Highest stage in recent record history** MHHW: 6.28 ft / MLLW: 16.66 ft.
Oct 12, 2:35 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 100Toksook Bay, AK68 mph sustained wind with a peak wind gust of 100 mph.
Oct 12, 2:41 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 78Kipnuk, AKKipnuk AWOS. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 2:56 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 61Akiachak, AKAkiachak AWOS. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 3:00 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 85Toksook Bay, AKToksook Bay AWOS. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 3:05 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 76Bethel, AKBethel ASOS. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 3:52 AM HADTNON-TSTM WND GST 78Bethel, AKMesonet site BEXA2. Event ongoing.
Oct 12, 6:00 AM HADTSTORM SURGEKipnuk, AK(KIPA2 Tide Gage) **Highest stage in recent recorded history** 5.87 ft MHHW / 14.15 ft MLLW.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Cold Bay, (PCDB), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 325 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cold Bay, at 12:00Z on 2025-10-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cold Bay, at 12:00Z on 2025-10-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 217 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

239 
WWAK72 PAFC 101946
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1146 AM AKDT Fri Oct 10 2025

AKZ795-111515-
/O.UPG.PAFC.HW.A.0005.251012T0300Z-251012T1800Z/
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T0300Z-251012T1800Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the cities of Saint George and Saint Paul
1146 AM AKDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 10 AM AKDT 
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts of 75 to 85 mph 
  expected.  Isolated gusts to 95 mph are possible.

* WHERE...Pribilof Islands.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 10 AM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify as the 
  center moves west of the Pribilof Islands Saturday night.  
  Southerly winds will peak across the Pribilofs late Saturday 
  night, then slowly diminish on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must travel.

&&

$$

AKZ755-111515-
/O.UPG.PAFC.HW.A.0005.251012T1200Z-251013T0600Z/
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1000Z-251013T0300Z/
Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island-
Including the cities of Kipnuk, Mekoryuk, Toksook Bay, and
Quinhagak
1146 AM AKDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 35 to 55 mph with gusts of 75 to 90 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Kuskokwim Delta Coast from Kipnuk north and Nunivak Island.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 7 PM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify on 
  Saturday night.  Southwest winds will peak along the Kuskokwim 
  Delta Coast as the center moves near Saint Matthew Island on 
  Sunday, then slowly weaken through Sunday night. Communities from 
  Kipnuk north will likely see the highest wind gusts. Mekoryuk, 
  Toksook Bay and Tununak could see isolated gusts of 90 mph or 
  higher.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must travel.

&&

$$

AKZ756-111515-
/O.NEW.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1200Z-251013T0600Z/
Interior Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Kasigluk, Kwethluk, Akiachak, and Bethel
1146 AM AKDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts of 60 to 75 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Interior Kuskokwim Delta from Bethel west.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify on 
  Saturday night.  Southwest winds will pick up across the Kuskokwim 
  Delta as the center moves near Saint Matthew Island on Sunday, 
  then slowly weaken through Sunday night. Communities north and 
  west of Bethel are most likely to see wind gusts to 75 mph.  The 
  community of Bethel will likely see wind gusts of at least 60 to 
  70 mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must travel.

&&

$$

Shriver
4 follow-up statements
310 
WWAK72 PAFC 111256
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 AM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

AKZ795-120100-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T0300Z-251012T1800Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the cities of Saint George and Saint Paul
456 AM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 
AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts of 75 to 85 mph 
  expected.  Isolated gusts to 95 mph are possible.

* WHERE...Pribilof Islands.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify as the 
  center moves west of the Pribilof Islands tonight.  Southerly 
  winds will peak across the Pribilofs late tonight, then slowly 
  diminish on Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ755-120100-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1000Z-251013T0300Z/
Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island-
Including the cities of Toksook Bay, Quinhagak, Kipnuk, and
Mekoryuk
456 AM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM AKDT 
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 40 to 60 mph with gusts of 75 to 90 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Kuskokwim Delta Coast from Kipnuk north and Nunivak Island.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 7 PM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify 
  tonight.  Southwest winds will peak along the Kuskokwim Delta 
  Coast as the center moves near Saint Matthew Island on Sunday, 
  then slowly weaken through Sunday night. Communities from Kipnuk 
  north will likely see the highest wind gusts. Mekoryuk, Toksook 
  Bay and Tununak could see isolated gusts of 90 mph or higher.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ756-120100-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1200Z-251013T0600Z/
Interior Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Kasigluk, Bethel, Akiachak, and Kwethluk
456 AM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM AKDT 
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 35 to 55 mph with gusts up to 75 mph expected.

* WHERE...Interior Kuskokwim Delta from Bethel west.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify 
  tonight.  Southwest winds will pick up across the Kuskokwim Delta 
  as the center moves near Saint Matthew Island on Sunday, then 
  slowly weaken through Sunday night. Communities north and west of 
  Bethel are most likely to see wind gusts to 75 mph.  The community 
  of Bethel will likely see wind gusts of at least 60 to 70 mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

Hildebranski
249 
WWAK72 PAFC 112319
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
319 PM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

AKZ795-121000-
/O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T0300Z-251012T1000Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the cities of Saint Paul and Saint George
319 PM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM 
AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts of 75 to 
  85 mph expected.

* WHERE...Pribilof Islands.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 2 AM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify as the 
  center moves west of the Pribilof Islands tonight. The strongest 
  winds are expected between 8pm and Midnight this evening. Winds 
  will then slowly diminish overnight through Sunday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ755-121030-
/O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1000Z-251012T1800Z/
Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island-
Including the cities of Quinhagak, Toksook Bay, Mekoryuk, and
Kipnuk
319 PM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts of 75 to 
  90 mph expected.

* WHERE...Kuskokwim Delta Coast from Kipnuk north and Nunivak 
  Island, including the communities of Kipnuk, Chefornak, Nightmute, 
  Toksook Bay, Tununak, Mertarvik, and Mekoryuk.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 10 AM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify tonight. 
  Winds will rapidly increase late this evening, then peak overnight 
  through early Sunday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ756-121030-
/O.EXT.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1200Z-251012T1800Z/
Interior Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Bethel, Kasigluk, Akiachak, and Kwethluk
319 PM AKDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 40 to 55 mph with gusts of 60 to 
  75 mph expected.

* WHERE...Interior Kuskokwim Delta from Bethel west, including the 
  communities of Bethel, Napakiak, Napaskiak, Oscarville, 
  Atmautluak, and Kasigluk.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 AM AKDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will move north into the Bering Sea and rapidly intensify tonight. 
  Winds will rapidly increase late this evening, then peak overnight 
  through early Sunday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

Baines
112 
WWAK72 PAFC 121012
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
212 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

AKZ795-121115-
/O.EXP.PAFC.HW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-251012T1000Z/
Pribilof Islands-
Including the cities of Saint Paul and Saint George
212 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Southwesterly winds will continue to decrease throughout this 
morning as the remnants of Typhoon Halong move farther north into 
the Bering Sea.

$$

AKZ755-121800-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-251012T1800Z/
Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island-
Including the cities of Mekoryuk, Quinhagak, Toksook Bay, and
Kipnuk
212 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AKDT THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 45 to 65 mph with gusts of 75 to 
  90 mph expected.

* WHERE...Kuskokwim Delta Coast from Kipnuk north and Nunivak 
  Island, including the communities of Kipnuk, Chefornak, Nightmute, 
  Toksook Bay, Tununak, Mertarvik, and Mekoryuk.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM AKDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will continue to move north into the Bering Sea through this 
  morning and have rapidly intensified overnight. Winds are expected 
  to peak through early this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ756-121800-
/O.CON.PAFC.HW.W.0010.251012T1200Z-251012T1800Z/
Interior Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Akiachak, Bethel, Kwethluk, and Kasigluk
212 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AKDT THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...South to southwest winds 40 to 55 mph with gusts of 60 to 
  75 mph expected.

* WHERE...Interior Kuskokwim Delta from Bethel west, including the 
  communities of Bethel, Napakiak, Napaskiak, Oscarville, 
  Atmautluak, and Kasigluk.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM AKDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...High winds may move loose debris, damage property, and 
  cause power outages. Travel will be difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong 
  will continue to move north into the Bering Sea through this 
  morning and have rapidly intensified overnight. Winds are expected 
  to peak through early this morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around 
or damaged by the wind. Prepare for the possibility of widespread 
power outages. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

Hildebranski
286 
WWAK72 PAFC 121759
NPWALU

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
959 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

AKZ755-756-121900-
/O.EXP.PAFC.HW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-251012T1800Z/
Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island-Interior Kuskokwim Delta-
Including the cities of Kwethluk, Mekoryuk, Kipnuk, Akiachak,
Bethel, Toksook Bay, Quinhagak, and Kasigluk
959 AM AKDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM AKDT THIS MORNING...

The remnants of Typhoon Halong will continue moving northward, 
allowing winds to slowly diminish throughout the day. Winds of 40 to 
45 mph with gusts of 50 to 55 mph will continue through late this 
morning, slowly diminishing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 to 35 
mph by this evening. Winds drop below 15 mph late this evening.

$$

JAR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Oct 10, 4:41 AM HADT, 6 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 4:41 AM HADT, 6 hours 5 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
541 AM AKDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Sunday)...

Please see the Southwest Alaska section below for information
regarding Typhoon Halong.

For Southcentral:

Mostly tranquil weather is under way across Southcentral Alaska.
GOES water vapor imagery shows the low that brought some rain and
higher-elevation snow to portions of the area has now pushed into
SE AK. In its wake, mostly clear skies grace much of the area as
evident in VIIRS nighttime microphysics imagery. Some patchy fog
has managed to develop in just a few isolated locations as of 4am.
The gusty gulfward gap winds that defined yesterday continue to
abate.

As we progress into the day, another rather pleasant October day
is forecast for much of Southcentral AK underneath a building
ridge aloft. Subtle shortwave activity amid northwest flow aloft
will just grace the AK Range today, with some light precip
(mostly snow) possible for approximately the Denali Hwy corridor
from Broad to Summit Lake / Isabel Pass. Elsewhere, mostly clear
skies, light winds, and temps near the climatological norms are on
deck.

By tonight, attention turns towards a front pushing into the
western Gulf of Alaska that will first bring precip to Kodiak
Island and then into the Kenai Peninsula by Saturday morning.
There's some uncertainty with how far north precip will make it on
Saturday before the disturbance shifts southeast on the
downstream side of the ridge axis. The bulk of the rain with this
first wave is expected to remain south of Turnagain Arm.

Another front and much stronger system will then move into
Southcentral by late Saturday amid deep southwest flow. A
strengthening pressure gradient will yield strong inland gap
winds through Turnagain Arm and elsewhere. Higher elevations
across the Chugach are likely to see winds well over 50 mph,
including the upper Anchorage Hillside. There's some uncertainty
with how much wind will make it into town. A strong down-inlet
pressure gradient will keep wind out of Anchorage initially,
before winds bend back northward sometime on Sunday.

Just about all of the area will receive between a quarter inch
and inch of precipitation, save for the central Copper River Basin
and northeast towards Mentasta Pass. Snow levels will quickly
rise everywhere with this weekend system thanks to strong warm air
advection. Some places across the higher elevations such as
Hatcher Pass and Thompson Pass to the southern slopes of the AK
range may see some brief snow before changing over to rain.

-Brown

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: Today through Sunday night)...

Key messages:

 - A Storm force front will reach the Southwest coast as a
   weakening gale force front Friday evening. The threat for
   coastal flooding along the Kuskokwim Delta Coast for this first
   storm remains low.

 - The extratropical remnants of Typhoon Halong will cross the
   Aleutians into the Bering Sea Saturday evening into Sunday,
   becoming a powerful Hurricane force low as it heads towards
   Saint Matthew Island on Sunday.

 - High Wind Watches have been issued for the Pribilof Islands
   and the Kuskokwim Delta Coast for late Saturday into Sunday.
   Peak wind gusts ranging from 60 to 80 mph are possible.

 - A Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for the Kuskokwim Delta
   Coast and Nunivak Island for late Saturday night through Sunday
   evening. Water levels are expected to peak with the high tide
   cycle on Sunday morning.

Discussion:

A high end Gale to Storm force front approaching the Pribilof
Islands this morning will continue to bring gusty southerly winds
and rain to the Pribilofs, Eastern Aleutians, and AKPen throughout
the day today as it progresses eastward. Ahead of the front, an
upper level ridge centered over Southwest Alaska has brought calm
conditions and mainly clear skies overnight into this morning,
allowing for patchy fog to develop and temperatures to drop into
the low to mid 30s across the Southwest mainland.

The aforementioned storm force front advancing across the Bering
Sea and Aleutians will continue to weaken to gale force as it does
so, with the exception of a small pocket of Storm force winds
moving near Saint Matthew. Gale force winds will become more
southwesterly behind the frontal passage across the western Bering
and Aleutians near the parent low drifting up past Kamchatka
through Friday night. Meanwhile, the front will begin to weaken
more rapidly as it approaches the Southwest Coast late on Friday
night and as steady rainfall along the boundary heads into
interior Southwest. The potential for coastal flooding and erosion
continues to look very minor with the arrival of this next front.

From there, all eyes shift to the remnants of tropical Typhoon
Halong that is slated to begin to impact the region by Saturday
afternoon as it lifts north across the Aleutians into the Bering.
Halong will reach the Aleutian Chain in a more weakened state on
Saturday morning as it curves north around the slowly filling
Kamchatka low to the west. However, there is increasing model
agreement that the low will interact favorably with an upper level
jet streak and shortwave trough lifting into the Bering around
the same time. Halong's remnant center will re- intensify rapidly
as it heads nearly due north from Saturday into Saturday night,
becoming a Hurricane force low as it reaches peak intensity early
Sunday as it passes over or very close to Saint Matthew Island.
Seas will build quickly near the swath of Hurricane force winds,
with waves of 25 to 35 feet or higher possible, particularly on
Sunday morning across waters between the Pribilof Islands and
Saint Matthew. Wind gusts of up to 80 mph will be possible across
the Pribilof Islands as the center passes to the northwest, most
likely during the early Sunday morning period as the core of
Hurricane force winds passes just to the north.

Later on Sunday, Halong will continue to move quickly north,
reaching Saint Lawrence Island sometime during the afternoon.
Strong and gusty southwest winds will shift into the Southwest
coast, particularly across parts of the Kuskokwim Delta. Inland
areas of the Kuskokwim Delta will likely see winds gusting as high
as 50 to 60 mph, while areas along the coast north of Kipnuk and
across Nunivak Island could see gusts as strong as 75 mph from
Sunday morning into Sunday evening. The strong onshore winds will
likely cause areas of coastal flooding and erosion along the
Kuskokwim Delta Coast, with current indication suggesting water
levels will peak at very similar or potentially greater values to
what most communities observed during the recent storm system
earlier this week. Thus, a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for
the Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island from late Saturday
night through Sunday evening. While overall forecast confidence
for this system continues to improve, there is still some
uncertainty for the exact timing of strong winds, high waves and
potential coastal flooding. Stay tuned for updates as we continue
to monitor this significant fall storm system.

-JH/AS

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through
Thursday)...

The long term forecast in Southcentral begins with lingering
rainfall from a front that pushes into the region on Sunday. Most
rainfall will be seen in the Prince William Sound region and the
Copper River Basin. Anchorage and the Mat-Su Valley could also see
some lingering rainfall until Monday evening. Tuesday sees a ridge
move into the Gulf, decreasing rain chances and wind speeds. By
Tuesday night/early morning Wednesday, troughing and a front will
arrive in the Gulf, once again increasing rain chances and wind
speeds. Gusty gap winds will be possible with this front,
especially around the Barrier Islands and south of Kodiak Island.
Later, the core of winds may move into Prince William Sound. This
could drive up winds speeds in Anchorage as well, but exact wind
direction will play a role, so it remains to be seen which
scenario plays out. By Wednesday evening, the front will move east
and wind speeds will decrease. Rain chances will remain elevated
for the coastal regions of Southcentral while inland areas will
have less chances for rain. Quasi-zonal flow on Thursday will
allow for lower winds speeds and low rain chances.

Once again, the main action happens in Southwest Alaska. The tail
end of the powerful low associated with the remnants of Typhoon
Halong will still be affecting Nunivak Island with gale force
southerly winds until the afternoon. By Monday morning, a weak
ridge will build into the Bering, giving them a short break in
strong winds and heavy rain before the next system arrives
shortly. The next low pushes into the Western Aleutians by Monday
afternoon and brings gale to storm force winds. Much uncertainty
remains on the exact track, strength, and size of this low, but
the current thinking is that this low will be on the larger side
and will storm force winds impacting the Aleutian Islands and the
Pribilof Islands. It also has the potential to drive gusty
southerly winds into the Kuskokwim Delta coast and increase water
levels. It is too early to say if coastal flooding will be an
issue for communities along the Kuskokwim Delta Coast, so continue
to monitor the forecast for updates. Heavy rainfall is also
likely with this low and will move into the Southwest Mainland by
Tuesday. The low will push onshore by Wednesday and will continue
to bring gusty winds and rains to the mainland. Quasi-zonal flow
sets up on Thursday, allowing winds to calm down and rain chances
to slowly drop off. More lows may arrive afterwards as the pattern
seems to remain the same throughout next week.

-JAR

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds
are expected to be light and southerly from 12-18z and shift to
light and northerly to north-northeasterly after 0z.

-AM

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 9, 6:51 PM HADTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC8 hr
Oct 10, 2:32 AM HADTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Oct 10, 2:38 AM HADTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 10, 2:38 AM HADTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Oct 10, 2:39 AM HADTGale WarningAFC25 hr
Oct 10, 3:51 AM HADTCoastal Flood WatchAFCBethel Census Area7 hr
Oct 10, 7:30 AM HADTFlood WatchAFCBethel Census Area28 hr
Oct 10, 11:08 AM HADTCoastal Flood WarningAFCBethel Census Area58 hr
Oct 10, 2:58 PM HADTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 10, 2:58 PM HADTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Alaska, 2025Every high wind warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.