Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2025
Gale Warning 76, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 19, 2025, 3:01 PM AKST. It was in force for 61 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2025, 3:01 PM AKST (00:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2025, 3:43 AM AKST
- In force
- 61 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
567 FZAK62 PAFC 200001 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 301 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-201600- 301 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 988 mb low at 48N 179W moves to 50N 172W at 986 mb by Mon afternoon. The low turns to the northeast and crosses the Aleutians Tue morning, reaching 56N 163W at 986 mb by Tue afternoon. $$ PKZ411-201600- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 301 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow and rain. .TUE...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft. $$ PKZ412-201600- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 301 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. $$ PKZ413-201600- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 301 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Snow. .MON...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .WED...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft. $$ PKZ414-201600- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 301 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Snow with rain. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .WED...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .THU...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. .FRI...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
306 FZAK62 PAFC 201202 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 302 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-210330- 302 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 988 mb low at 50N 172W Mon morning moves to 48N 163W Tue morning then dissipates. A 991 mb low at 52N 161W Tue morning moves to 57N 159W Wed morning then dissipates. A 983 mb low at 50N 172E Tue evening moves to 57N 178E Wed evening. $$ PKZ411-210330- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 302 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 .TODAY...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Snow. .TUE...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Snow. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. $$ PKZ412-210330- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 302 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. $$ PKZ413-210330- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 302 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. $$ PKZ414-210330- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 302 AM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .WED...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. .THU...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft. $$
542 FZAK62 PAFC 210029 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 329 PM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-211515- 329 PM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 991 mb low at 52N 161W moves to 58N 162W at 987 mb Tue evening, then moves inland over Southwest Alaska Wed morning. Another low moves to 53N 175E at 979 mb Wed morning and then moves to 58N 178E at 981 mb Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ411-211515- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 329 PM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Snow. .TUE...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. .SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. $$ PKZ412-211515- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 329 PM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. $$ PKZ413-211515- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 329 PM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Snow. .TUE...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 to 25 kt becoming S 20 to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. .THU...NW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft. $$ PKZ414-211515- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 329 PM AKST Mon Jan 20 2025 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .WED...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. .THU...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft. .SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. $$
679 FZAK62 PAFC 211311 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 411 AM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-220215- 411 AM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 988 mb low at 54N 160W moves to 57N 162W at 987 mb Tue evening, then moves inland over Southwest Alaska Wed morning. A 983mb low 50N 169E Tue evening moves to 58N 178W Wed evening then dissipates. $$ PKZ411-220215- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 411 AM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. Snow and rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. $$ PKZ412-220215- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 411 AM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 .TODAY...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft. $$ PKZ413-220215- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 411 AM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. .SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft. $$ PKZ414-220215- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 411 AM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. .THU...S wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 15 to 30 ft. .FRI...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. $$
016 FZAK62 PAFC 220008 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 308 PM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-221445- 308 PM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 986 mb low at 58N 162W moves to 59N 160W at 993 mb Tue evening, then moves inland over Southwest Alaska Wed afternoon. A 985 mb low at 50N 170E moves to 60N 180W Thu morning at 979 mb then dissipates. $$ PKZ411-221445- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 308 PM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. $$ PKZ412-221445- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 308 PM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain with snow. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft. $$ PKZ413-221445- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 308 PM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 15 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 11 to 16 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. $$ PKZ414-221445- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 308 PM AKST Tue Jan 21 2025 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 30 to 45 kt diminishing to 20 to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain. .THU...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. .THU NIGHT...S wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 17 to 29 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. $$
617 FZAK62 PAFC 221243 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 343 AM AKST Wed Jan 22 2025 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-230230- 343 AM AKST Wed Jan 22 2025 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A front crosses the Aleutians and reaches the Southwest coast this evening. A 985 mb low at 50N 177W Thu morning moves to 56N 170W Thu evening then 60N 170W Fri morning. $$ PKZ411-230230- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 343 AM AKST Wed Jan 22 2025 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain and snow. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 16 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. $$ PKZ412-230230- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 343 AM AKST Wed Jan 22 2025 .TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft. .SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. $$ PKZ413-230230- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 343 AM AKST Wed Jan 22 2025 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 30 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 11 to 16 ft. Rain and snow. .THU...SE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming S 35 to 45 kt E of 173W in the afternoon. NW wind 30 to 40 kt W of 173W. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. $$ PKZ414-230230- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 343 AM AKST Wed Jan 22 2025 ...STORM WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain. .THU...S wind 30 to 45 kt increasing to 40 to 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain and snow. .THU NIGHT...S wind 40 to 55 kt. Seas 17 to 29 ft. .FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 19, 5:40 AM AKST, 9 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 5:40 AM AKST, 9 hours 21 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 540 AM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025 .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today through Tuesday)... Active weather is currently underway across Southcentral Alaska with the primary weather concerns being 1) Strong Wind through Turnagain Arm, Anchorage Hillside, and Upper Elevations of Eagle River and 2) Heavy snow in Turnagain Pass and Thompson Pass. GOES satellite imagery shows troughing extending from the eastern Bering Sea southward into the Western Gulf of Alaska and into the North Pacific. Strong upper-level support is evident, with a North- South oriented jet streak exceeding 100kts at 250mb centered across the Gulf of Alaska, promoting large-scale lift and surface cyclogenesis along the effective triple point of the frontal system off the coast of Kodiak Island. Moisture transport is robust with this system, with uninterrupted deep southerly flow stretching all the way from the Central Pacific, not too far from Hawaii. In fact, the North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) Mean Integrated Water Vapor Transport (IVT) shows values near/at max percentiles across the Gulf of Alaska, meeting/surpassing what's been observed historically this time of year. In other words, significant poleward atmospheric moisture transport is currently underway, with the Chugach Mountains as the recipient for this impressive atmospheric river. Mosaic radar imagery shows precipitation covering much of the Gulf of Alaska, as well as portions of the Cook Inlet into the Mat-Su Valley. Snow levels appear to be in the 500-1000ft range across the eastern Kenai Peninsula at the moment based on several observations and webcams, with occasional heavier bands of precipitation dragging the snow levels down closer to sea level, particularly evident across Whittier-Portage at times. The Turnagain Pass SNOTEL site which sits just a few hundred feet above the road level has averaged nearly 1 inch an hour overnight, with temperatures hovering near 30 degrees. These snow rates will likely continue through the first part of the morning before tapering down a bit as the atmospheric river shifts east. A Winter Weather Advisory remains in place through this evening, with the bulk of snowfall likely occurring before noon. Similarly, heavy snowfall is expected for Thompson Pass with 2 to 3 feet of snowfall expected. Uncertainty remains for Valdez, where low- level warm air intrusion may result in a rain/freezing rain mix at times. Can't rule out mixed precipitation at times north through the Edgerton Highway. Snow will be the primary type, though any rain on cold and snow-covered surfaces will result in slick conditions. Moving farther north, 5 to 10 inches of snowfall can be expected closer to Paxson and Isabel Pass, as well as from Talkeetna north through Broad Pass. Like snowfall may linger into early Monday as upslope southerly flow through these valleys is expected to result in light upslope snowfall before dry air finally shuts things down. For Anchorage and the Mat Valley, while light precipitation has already been observed, the best chance for accumulating snowfall will be this afternoon into the evening with the passage of the upper-level trough and the associated deformation band on the backside of a eastern Kenai / western Prince William Sound low. The most likely scenario is that of 0.5-1.0" inches of snowfall in a quick period with temperatures hovering near or even above freezing, limiting accumulation. However, quite a few outliers exist in guidance suggesting 2-4 inches isn't out of the realm of possibility. With regards to the wind threat, winds across the areas of concern have been slow to materialize this morning with winds across Portage Valley generally less than 40 mph and across the Anchorage Hillside less than 30 mph. This may partially be attributed to the strong down inlet gradient in place, as well as stable level air as observed in the 12z ANC sounding. Will leave the high wind warning hoisted as we often don't see strong winds materialize until the front or trough feature lifts north. Should winds begin to mix down to the surface, it still remains possible for gusts in excess of 70 mph to reach the Anchorage Hillside this morning. Precipitation and winds abate Sunday night into Monday with upper- level ridging shifting east, giving much of Southcentral AK a reprieve in the active weather on Monday. By Tuesday, yet another frontal system similar to today's will begin to pivot across the western Gulf of Alaska, bringing precipitation first to Kodiak Island and then the eastern Kenai Peninsula. While the details of the general synoptic wave pattern are a bit different than the current system, expect generally similar sensible weather with mild temps, low-level snow/rain, upper-level snow, and probably no snow for Anchorage. -Brown && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Sunday morning to Wednesday morning)... A compact surface low is lifting north across the Kuskokwim Delta, creating areas of light precipitation across Southwest. Light snow will fall at higher elevations, while areas of light rain may be found across the rest of the region. Meanwhile, a North Pacific low is bringing gale force winds and rain to the western and central Aleutians today as its low center tracks just south of the Aleutian Chain, sending its front into the Bering Sea and Southwest mainland. Entrainment of colder mid- level air from the central Bering will increase the potential for snow in the Pribilof Islands, Nunivak Island and Kuskokwim Delta this week. Wind gusts up to 45 mph and light to moderate snow rates may cause periodic visibility reduction below one-half mile. Expect snowfall totals up to 6 inches between Monday morning and Tuesday morning for the Pribilof Islands. This system crosses the AKPen and lifts toward the Kuskokwim Delta Tuesday and Wednesday. The next North Pacific low approaches the Western Aleutians on Wednesday morning. Current model projections indicate high confidence that precipitation could continue through the end of the week for Southwest Alaska, with lower confidence concerning precipitation type and the exact tracks beyond Wednesday. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through Saturday)... The active weather pattern over Alaska will continue as a number of upper level shortwaves rotate across the region through the forecast period. Late in the week, additional energy from a transient North Pacific low will add to the movement. Some lingering areas of rain moving across the southcentral coasts Wednesday will have a brief reprieve Thursday. The next low brings locally heavy rain, or a rain and snow mix spreading across southwest Alaska, the northern AKPEN and Kodiak Island for Friday, with rain and snow moving into the Kenai and south central Alaska for Saturday. Baker && AVIATION... PANC... Northerly to northwesterly winds continue through this morning. However, southeasterly to southerly winds ranging from 30 to 50 kt from 1500 ft to 2500 ft continuing the likelihood of low- level wind shear into Sunday afternoon. Light precipitation causing VFR to IFR conditions this morning and afternoon before 1500 ft to 2500 ft winds shift southerly to southeasterly wind shift and IFR conditions return this evening. &&
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 19, 2:41 PM AKST, 20 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
241 PM AKST Sun Jan 19 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0807 AM Snow 5 E Valdez 61.11N 146.22W
01/19/2025 M6.2 Inch Chugach AK CO-OP Observer
Snowing heavily at time of report. Snow
water equivalent of 0.54 inches.
&&
ASThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 3:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 38 hr | |
| Jan 19, 3:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 19, 3:16 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 7 days | |
| Jan 19, 3:16 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 19, 3:17 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Jan 20, 3:31 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Jan 20, 3:31 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 20, 3:31 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.