Gale Warning 3, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Jan 1, 2025, 1:42 AM AKST (10:42 UTC)

Expired

Jan 1, 2025, 2:15 PM AKST

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

720 
FZAK52 PAFC 011042
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-012315-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 984 mb low 150 nm SE of Dutch Harbor absorbs into a 960 mb low 
370 nm SW of Amchitka Thu morning. A couple of fronts move across
the Aleutians through Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ750-012315-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ751-012315-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ752-012315-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ753-012315-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ754-012315-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ755-012315-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ756-012315-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ757-012315-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ758-012315-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ759-012315-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ770-012315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ772-012315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ771-012315-
Unalaska Bay-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ773-012315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ774-012315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ775-012315-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ776-012315-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ777-012315-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ778-012315-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ780-012315-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ781-012315-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ782-012315-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ783-012315-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ784-012315-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ785-012315-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 18 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ786-012315-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft after
midnight.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ787-012315-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 22 ft after
midnight. Rain and snow.
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ766-012315-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ760-012315-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ761-012315-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ762-012315-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ763-012315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.

$$

PKZ764-012315-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ765-012315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ767-012315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
142 AM AKST Wed Jan 1 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 31, 4:43 PM AKST, 8 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
443 PM AKST Tue Dec 31 2024

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Another calm and clear day for most of Southcentral, with some
notable exceptions. The closed upper level high continues to stall
at the border between the Yukon and Eastern Alaska border. This is
the reason for the colder temperatures, especially in the Copper
River Basin, and the widespread clear skies across Southcentral.
The Copper River Basin continues to be quite foggy with a strong
temperature inversion remaining prevalent. Weak upper level waves
are preventing the rest of the region from becoming foggy by
increasing cloud cover and mixing ever so slightly. One location
that has been gusty has been the Matanuska Valley. Palmer and
Wasilla have been going up and down in temperatures (from the
single digits to twenties) in a short period of time due to gusty
winds coming from the Glenn Highway allowing warmer temperatures
from above to mix down. Other gusty areas are the Valdez gaps and
passes including Thompson Pass. These areas are gusty due to a
temperature and pressure gradient between the Valdez area and the
Copper River Basin.

The more exciting weather is further south in Kodiak Island. The
low that has been advertised for a few days now has made its
closest approach to Kodiak Island and is now moving west towards
the Alaska Peninsula and the Aleutians. This is because the strong
high from before is blocking the low from moving any more to the
north. Kodiak is still experiencing moderate rainfall and gusty
winds of over 50 mph. The Kodiak Airport has received 0.77 in of
rain in the last 24 hours with higher elevations having received
even more. High-end gale force winds are being experienced in the
waters surrounding Kodiak Island including the Kamishak Bay and
Barren Islands regions. Shelikof Strait is experiencing storm
force winds. As the low continues its track to the west, wind
speeds will quickly diminish and will reach a minimum Tuesday
morning. Rain chances will also diminish, albeit more slowly.
Behind the low is a weak inverted trough that will pass through
Kodiak Island by Wednesday afternoon. Rain and wind speeds will
increase again in response, but not nearly to the same level as
before. Once all is said and done by Thursday, the whole region
from the mainland to to Kodiak Island will become quiet on
Thursday as high pressure and a col in the north Gulf influence
the region.

Friday will bring a change in the air mass. An Arctic trough will
drop from the north and force the high eastward. This trough will
drive temperatures down across Southcentral. This will create a
steep temperature gradient especially in-between Valdez and the
Copper River Basin. There is uncertainty exactly where the trough
will go, but if it passes by the Valdez region, very gusty winds
will happen in Thompson Pass, the Valdez gap regions, and even
Valdez itself due to steep pressure gradients. The rest of
Southcentral including Anchorage could see the coldest air since
November. Again, this will all depend on the track of the Arctic
trough, but a colder weekend is highly likely. This will be a dry
air mass so little to no precipitation is expected. Though a weak
upper level wave will slowly move up the Gulf, so some rain in
Kodiak Island may be possible by the end of the period with
moisture potentially making into the Gulf coast afterwards.

-JAR

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3: This afternoon through Fri afternoon)...

Two lows and their fronts will bring active weather across the
region as we head into the new year. For much of Southwest Alaska,
expect breezy conditions, with the weather trending drier and
colder towards the end of the work week. For Alaska Peninsula and
the Aleutian Islands/Bering Sea, expect wetter conditions (mostly
rain) and winds to gale force as a front sweeps through on
Thursday and Friday. Here are a couple hazards we'll be
monitoring:

* Strong easterly winds, with gusts of 50-60 mph possible, for
  Unalaska from Thursday afternoon through Friday as the front
  moves through

* Wind chills as low as -20 to -30 for Kuskokwim River
  communities, from Thursday night into Friday

* Heavy to extreme freezing spray off the ice edge near Nunivak
  Island, from Thursday night into Friday

Diving into the details... a low slides westward along the Pacific
side of the Alaska Peninsula and Eastern Aleutians through
Wednesday night. Strong winds have been the most notable weather
associated with this storm. Winds have been quite gusty across
much of Southwest Alaska, with many areas seeing east to
northeasterly gusts of 25-35 mph. The strongest gusts since
midnight have been at King Salmon and Pilot Point, where favorable
gaps in the terrain have allowed for gusts to 47 mph. Winds will
gradually diminish from tonight through tomorrow morning as the
low weakens, but expect generally breezy conditions to persist
for all but Kuskokwim Valley through the end of the week.

In addition, a band of precipitation associated with this low is
currently bringing light snow and rain to the Kuskokwim Delta
coast, with virga over the Bristol Bay coast. As the band rotates
westward through tonight, precipitation will shift towards Nunivak
and Pribilof Islands. For Alaska Peninsula and the Eastern
Aleutians, expect persistent showers through tomorrow evening as
the low lingers in the vicinity, with another round of showers on
Thursday as a shortwave enters from the Gulf.

Beginning late Wednesday afternoon, a broad, occluding low will
push its gale force front across the Western and Central
Bering/Aleutians. Models are in decent agreement with the front,
but there is some uncertainty with this feature. First, if compact
lows develop along the front, they may produce localized areas of
winds up to storm force. For now, it's difficult to pinpoint
whether (and where) these compact lows may develop. Secondly,
there is some question of how far east the front may progress.
This will depend on how strong the ridge of high pressure is over
Mainland Alaska. While Southwest Alaska looks unlikely to see any
precipitation associated with this front, how far east the front
moves will ultimately affect the surface pressure gradient in
Southwest Alaska, which will then affect wind chills and freezing
spray severity off the ice edge. Stay tuned as we continue to
refine the forecast.

-Chen

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...

A broad upper level low stretches from Eastern Asia across the
Bering into Western Alaska through the forecast period. This low
area will be meandering around the Bering through next week. Most
of the Arctic regions remain under an equally broad upper level
ridge, while another ridge over Southeast Alaska and Western
Canada sets up over most of Interior Alaska. Temperatures as low
as 40 below are expected across the upper and Central Copper River
Valley Saturday and Sunday. The Gulf of Alaska section of the
ridge helps sustain deep onshore flow from the Alaska Peninsula
and Kodiak Island across the Southcentral coastal zones through
the weekend.

Transitory North Pacific lows and fronts will bring some moderate
rains from the Eastern Aleutians to the Canadian border through
Tuesday. Areas away from the coast will remain cold enough to add
some additional snow. A strong North Pacific low Monday will
spread heavy rain and gusty winds across the Gulf with winds
approaching gale force near Kodiak Island. Affected rain areas
include from the Eastern Aleutians, AKPEN/Bristol Bay and
Southwest Alaska to Kodiak Island and Prince William Sound over to
the Canadian border through Tuesday. This low will sweep Westward
over the Shumagin Islands for Tuesday. In the West, a moderately
strong surface low and its elongated front press along the Western
and Central Aleutians spread locally heavy rains and gusty winds
through the period. The pressure gradient across the Bering
combined with outflow winds from Western Alaska will be sufficient
for widespread gale force winds over the Central and Western
Bering through Monday morning, diminishing Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Expect
northerly wind from Knik Arm to continue through the period.
Mid-level clouds may increase for a brief period Wednesday
morning.

&&

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2025Every gale warning in 2025

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.