Brisk Wind Advisory 49, NWS Anchorage, AK

763 
FZAK52 PAFC 111230
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-120100-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong high pressure system in the central Bering Sea shifts into 
the eastern Bering Sea through Sat morning. A front persists in the 
western Bering Sea through Sat morning.


$$

PKZ750-120100-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ751-120100-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ752-120100-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ753-120100-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ754-120100-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ755-120100-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ756-120100-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ757-120100-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ758-120100-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ759-120100-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ770-120100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ772-120100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ771-120100-
Unalaska Bay-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ773-120100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ774-120100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ775-120100-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ776-120100-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ777-120100-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ778-120100-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ780-120100-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ781-120100-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ782-120100-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ783-120100-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ784-120100-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ785-120100-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ786-120100-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ787-120100-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ766-120100-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ760-120100-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ761-120100-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ762-120100-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ763-120100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt.

$$

PKZ764-120100-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ765-120100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ767-120100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
330 AM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NE 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

180 
FZAK52 PAFC 120000
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-121245-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A strong area of high pressure remains over the Bering Sea 
through Sun morning.

$$

PKZ750-121245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt becoming NW 45 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ751-121245-
Sitkinak to Castle Cape from 15 to 100 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ752-121245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 45 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ753-121245-
Castle Cape to Cape Tolstoi from 15 to 100 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ754-121245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ755-121245-
Cape Tolstoi to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 100 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ756-121245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ757-121245-
Port Heiden to Nelson Lagoon from 15 to 60 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ758-121245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...N wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ759-121245-
Nelson Lagoon to Cape Sarichef from 15 to 70 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ770-121245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ772-121245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ771-121245-
Unalaska Bay-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ773-121245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ774-121245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side from 15 to 85 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ775-121245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ776-121245-
Nikolski to Seguam Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ777-121245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacfic Side out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ778-121245-
Nikolski to Seguam Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ780-121245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ781-121245-
Seguam to Adak Bering Side from 15 to 85 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ782-121245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ783-121245-
Seguam to Adak Pacific Side from 15 to 75 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ784-121245-
Adak to Kiska Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ785-121245-
Adak to Kiska Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft 
after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ786-121245-
Kiska to Attu Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft 
after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ787-121245-
Kiska to Attu Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ766-121245-
Pribilof Islands Nearshore Waters-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ760-121245-
Bristol Bay greater than 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ761-121245-
Bristol Bay from Port Heiden to Cape Chichagof out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 25 kt late. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing  spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ762-121245-
Bristol Bay from Cape Chichagof to Cape Pierce out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ763-121245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait out to 15 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 30 kt.
.SUN...N wind 35 kt.
.MON...N wind 40 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt.

$$

PKZ764-121245-
Kuskokwim Delta from 15 to 80 NM-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.

$$

PKZ765-121245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Rain and snow.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 30 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt.

$$

PKZ767-121245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
300 PM AKST Thu Dec 11 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SE 25 kt 
W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SE 25 kt 
W of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
448 AM AKST Wed Dec 10 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Key Messages:

- Gusty winds will continue through the extended forecast. Peak
  timing for this next round is Wed afternoon through Thu morning.
  Winds diminish for a brief period between Thu night through Fri
  morning. Winds increase again Fri night with lower confidence
  with how long those winds will remain elevated.

- Cold temperatures and wind chills are expected to persist until
  at least the end of this week. A cold advisory is currently in
  effect through Fri afternoon for the Copper River Basin and
  through the Thompson Pass area.

- You can reduce your risk of hypothermia or frost bite by
  protecting your skin from exposure and wearing appropriate
  clothing while outdoors. Keep emergency supplies with you in
  your home and while traveling whenever possible. Consider
  wearing your cold weather gear while you are driving longer
  distances through frigid temperatures. Know the signs of
  hypothermia and check on others.

Discussion:

The forecast remains on track with a blocking ridge stubbornly
nestled over the Bering Sea. Northerly flow with a broad upper
trough remains across mainland Alaska and into the Panhandle and
Canada. Shortwave troughs will remain the key player in the timing
and amplification of the winds and cold air across Alaska,
including Southcentral.

Winds calmed down across Southcentral Alaska this past afternoon
including in the Matanuska Valley. Due to the lower winds and
another push of cold air from the north, low temperatures have
cooled into the negatives and single digits across Anchorage, the
Mat-Su Valley, and the Kenai Peninsula. The Copper River Basin
including Glennallen to McCarthy and Thompson Pass saw overnight
temperatures of minus 40F and colder. Due to these very cold
conditions, the Cold Weather Advisory has been extended until 4 PM
Friday and now includes Thompson Pass.

A weaker upper trough is moving into Southcentral this morning.
Expect wind speeds to increase later today through gap areas
including Valdez and around Kodiak Island. Since midnight, winds
have markedly increased through Seward and Whittier/Passage Canal.
The Matanuska Valley will also see increased winds, but these
will not nearly be as strong as the previous event. Gusts of 40 to
50 mph will be possible though. Anchorage and the Kenai Peninsula
will likely be breezy with gusts to 25 mph possible. These
effects will last through Thursday morning. Temperatures will
remain very cold as the Arctic air mass remains in place.

For Friday night, another stronger upper trough descends into
Southcentral. There are slight differences with the spatial
extent of this trough that would influence the resulting impacts.
With reasonably high confidence however, the wind speeds will once
again crank up throughout Southcentral. The Matanuska Valley
could see gusty winds with this trough. The Valdez gaps including
Valdez itself is another area that could see gusty winds. This
trough could potentially bring stronger and more prolonged winds
than what we are expected to experience later tonight into
tomorrow morning. Cloud cover will likely increase with this
event, so temperatures across the area could be relatively warmer,
especially in the Copper River Basin. However, another push of
cold air is expected Saturday and our weather regime is appearing
to stick around a bit longer.

Rux/JAR

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1
through 3/This morning through Friday)...

A blocking ridge remains firmly entrenched over the Bering Sea,
maintaining dry and cold conditions over Southwest Alaska and the
eastern Bering Sea. Clear skies continue across much of Southwest
Alaska this morning, except for a low stratus deck and snow
flurries quickly moving south across the coastal areas of the
Kuskokwim Delta through early this morning as a shortwave digs
south across the region. Breezy northerly winds along the
Kuskokwim Delta coast have picked up early this morning and are
expected to continue through this morning as colder, drier air
works in from the north behind the passing shortwave. The Bering
ridge will continue to amplify throughout the day today, forcing
this trough and a reinforcing shot of Arctic air southward across
Southwest AK and the Alaska Peninsula. This will lead to a period
of strong and gusty northerly winds, especially through bays and
passes along the Alaska peninsula this morning through Thursday
morning. The strongest of these northerly winds are expected to
peak this afternoon and evening. The ridge will then quickly build
eastward toward Southwest AK this evening into Thursday, leading
to diminishing winds and falling temperatures.

Meanwhile, storm systems tracking to the west of the upper level
ridge will bring southerly winds and periods of rain to the far
western Aleutian Islands, including Shemya. One storm will flatten
the ridge as it tracks into the Arctic on Thursday. While most of
this will head eastward across northern AK, a trailing cold front
and weak short-wave will move into Southwest AK Thursday night
through Friday, likely bringing areas of light snow. There might
be just enough warm air moving off the Bering to produce rain or
freezing rain for portions of the Kuskokwim Delta coast, but
confidence in this is low. In any case, precipitation should be
brief and light. Cold air advection will bring another round of
winds Friday and into the weekend for portions of Southwest AK and
the Alaska Peninsula.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through
Tuesday)...

This weekend, an expansive area of high pressure, stronger than
1040 mb at the surface, will be centered over the northern Bering
Sea and extend across Western/Interior Alaska and much of the rest
of the Bering Sea. This high pressure will aid in pushing Arctic
Air south across the state, causing a trough to dig across the
southern mainland into the Gulf of Alaska. This will bring similar
conditions to last weekend, with potential for another round of
high winds out of gaps and mountain passes, along with continued
cold temperatures and wind chills. A developing complex surface
low in the Gulf of Alaska could retrograde just enough early next
week to bring some light snow to the north Gulf coast and parts of
the Copper River Basin, but forecast confidence is low at this
time. Otherwise, the entire forecast area is expected to remain
dry, and this could continue to be the case for the next several
weeks as this general pattern of cold, dry weather looks to stick
around.

Quesada

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light northerly winds will persist.
Northerly winds will increase to 10 to 15 kt this afternoon
through mid-day tomorrow before decreasing tomorrow night.

&&