Wind Advisory 21, NWS Albuquerque, NM

082 
WWUS75 KABQ 010455
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1055 PM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

NMZ208-210>215-223-226>229-233-239-240-011100-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.250401T1200Z-250402T0300Z/
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Central Highlands-South Central
Mountains-Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Guadalupe County-Eastern
Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
1055 PM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM MDT 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 9 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Due to severe and extreme drought across much 
  of New Mexico, widespread areas of blowing dust will develop with 
  the gusty winds. This will increase the risk of low visibility of 
  one half mile or less, creating dangerous travel conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ207-216>222-224-225-230>232-234>238-241-011100-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.250401T1800Z-250402T0300Z/
West Central Highlands-Upper Rio Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-
Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande Valley including the
Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia and Manzano
Mountains including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-South Central
Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt
County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
1055 PM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...From noon to 9 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Due to severe and extreme drought across much 
  of New Mexico, widespread areas of blowing dust will develop with 
  the gusty winds. This will increase the risk of low visibility of 
  one half mile or less, creating dangerous travel conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ202-204>206-209-011100-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0021.250401T1200Z-250402T0300Z/
Chuska Mountains-Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West
Central Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-
1055 PM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Northwest Highlands, Chuska Mountains, San Francisco River 
  Valley, West Central Mountains, and West Central Plateau.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 9 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Travel will be difficult at times, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

16

934 
WWUS75 KABQ 010914
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
314 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

NMZ208-210>215-223-226>229-233-239-240-011800-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.250401T1200Z-250402T0300Z/
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Central Highlands-South Central
Mountains-Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Guadalupe County-Eastern
Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
314 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread areas of blowing dust may reduce 
  the visibility to one-half mile or less, creating dangerous travel 
  conditions and poor air quality.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ207-216>222-224-225-230>232-234>238-241-011800-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.250401T1800Z-250402T0300Z/
West Central Highlands-Upper Rio Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-
Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande Valley including the
Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia and Manzano
Mountains including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-South Central
Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt
County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
314 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT 
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...From noon today to 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread areas of blowing dust will develop 
  with the gusty winds. This will increase the risk of low 
  visibility of one half mile or less, creating dangerous travel 
  conditions and poor air quality.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ201-203-011800-
/O.EXB.KABQ.WI.Y.0021.250401T1600Z-250402T0000Z/
Northwest Plateau-Far Northwest Highlands-
314 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MDT THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Far Northwest Highlands and Northwest Plateau.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 6 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility 
  below one mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ202-204>206-209-011800-
/O.EXT.KABQ.WI.Y.0021.250401T1200Z-250402T0000Z/
Chuska Mountains-Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West
Central Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-
314 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Northwest Highlands, Chuska Mountains, San Francisco River 
  Valley, West Central Mountains, and West Central Plateau.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility 
  below one mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Guyer

938 
WWUS75 KABQ 011649
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1049 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

NMZ208-210>215-223-226>229-233-239-240-020300-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-250402T0300Z/
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Central Highlands-South Central
Mountains-Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Guadalupe County-Eastern
Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
1049 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread areas of blowing dust may reduce 
  the visibility to one-half mile or less, creating dangerous travel 
  conditions and poor air quality.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ207-216>222-224-225-230>232-234>238-241-020300-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.250401T1800Z-250402T0300Z/
West Central Highlands-Upper Rio Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-
Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande Valley including the
Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia and Manzano
Mountains including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-South Central
Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt
County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
1049 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread areas of blowing dust will develop 
  with the gusty winds. This will increase the risk of low 
  visibility of one half mile or less, creating dangerous travel 
  conditions and poor air quality.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ201-203-020000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-250402T0000Z/
Northwest Plateau-Far Northwest Highlands-
1049 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Far Northwest Highlands and Northwest Plateau.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility 
  below one mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ202-204>206-209-020000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-250402T0000Z/
Chuska Mountains-Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West
Central Mountains-San Francisco River Valley-
1049 AM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West to northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Northwest Highlands, Chuska Mountains, San Francisco River 
  Valley, West Central Mountains, and West Central Plateau.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs may be blown down. Travel will be difficult at times, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility 
  below one mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

11

338 
WWUS75 KABQ 012354
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
554 PM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

NMZ201>206-209-020100-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-250402T0000Z/
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-
554 PM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

Wind speeds will continue to weaken over northwest and far west 
central New Mexico, so the Wind Advisory will be allowed to expire 
for the Farmington, Dulce, Cuba, Gallup, and Ramah areas.

$$

NMZ207-216>222-224-225-230>232-234>238-241-020300-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-250402T0300Z/
West Central Highlands-Upper Rio Grande Valley-Espanola Valley-
Santa Fe Metro Area-Middle Rio Grande Valley including the
Albuquerque Metro Area-Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia and Manzano
Mountains including Edgewood-Estancia Valley-South Central
Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt
County-De Baca County-Chaves County Plains-San Agustin Plains and
Adjacent Lowlands-
554 PM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread areas of blowing dust will develop 
  with the gusty winds. This will increase the risk of low 
  visibility of one half mile or less, creating dangerous travel 
  conditions and poor air quality.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

NMZ208-210>215-223-226>229-233-239-240-020300-
/O.CON.KABQ.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-250402T0300Z/
Southwest Mountains-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-Jemez
Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East
Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Central Highlands-South Central
Mountains-Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Guadalupe County-Eastern
Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
554 PM MDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. 

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central, 
  northeast, southeast, and west central New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Dangerous crosswinds will create 
  difficult driving conditions on north-to-south oriented roads, 
  especially for high profile vehicles such as large trucks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread areas of blowing dust may reduce 
  the visibility to one-half mile or less, creating dangerous travel 
  conditions and poor air quality.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1136 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1046 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

- Breezy to windy conditions are forecast each day through at
  least mid-week with Tuesday being the windiest day. There are
  moderate to high probabilities for damaging wind gusts of 65
  mph and widespread areas of reduced visibility in blowing dust
  on Tuesday.

- Mostly dry conditions and low humidity will lead to elevated or
  critical fire weather each day through Wednesday. This will
  increase the risk of rapid fire spread, particularly on Tuesday.

- A storm system looks to move into the southwest United States
  late in the upcoming week, bringing greater chances for rain and
  accumulating mountain snow along with cooler temperatures.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 226 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

Winds are forecast to stay breezy to windy for the next few days
while mostly dry conditions persist. Winds will be strongest on
Tuesday when damaging gusts are forecast, especially along and
east of the central mountain chain. Widespread areas of
significant blowing dust will also develop with isolated dust
prone areas observing near-zero visibility Tuesday afternoon. Each
afternoon through Wednesday, there will also be a risk of rapid
fire spread and growth due to the gusty conditions and low
humidity, particularly on Tuesday. Temperatures will stay within
a few degrees of normal today, but will turn cooler in western New
Mexico on Tuesday. Temperatures will run below normal in all of
northern and central New Mexico Wednesday onward. In addition to
the cooler temperatures, an approaching storm system will bring
increased chances for rain and accumulating mountain snow,
particularly Friday into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 226 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

A potent Pacific trough currently off the coast of the Pacific
Northwest will dig southeastward today, pushing the jet max on its
southern edge into the desert southwest. Increasing winds over the
crest of the Rockies this afternoon will deepen a sfc Low in the lee
of the Rockies, creating widespread breezy to locally windy
conditions in the northern half of the state. Winds should remain
light enough to prevent widespread blowing dust from developing, but
some patchy blowing dust cannot be ruled out in dust-prone areas.

The aformentioned trough will move into The Great Basin Tuesday,
sending the SW/NE oriented jet max over northern NM during the
afternoon hours. Winds in every layer of the atmosphere will be
above the 90th percentile for climatology, which will make Tuesday a
very windy and dusty day across the entire CWA. Winds will increase
over the mountains very early Tuesday morning, with these stronger
winds reaching the lower elevations by the afternoon as mixing
occurs. The High Wind Watch was expanded to include areas further
west and more additions are likely with future forecast packages.
NBM guidance currently shows a somewhat low probability (<50% in
most areas) of gusts greater than 60mph in the lower elevations of
western New Mexico and the HREF is even more bearish with probs less
than 20%. This is likely underdone since the strongest winds of this
event will occur with the passage of a potent Pacific cold front
that will move through that area early Tuesday afternoon.
Furthermore, gusty showers in the wake of the front will aid in
bringing stronger winds aloft down to the surface.

3-month precipitation anomalies are less than 20% for almost the
entirely of New Mexico, which has led to the development of severe
to extreme drought conditions. For this reason, strong winds and
deep mixing (up to 12,000 feet) will create widespread blowing dust
during the afternoon hours Tuesday. Predicting exactly when/where
visibility (and therefore travel conditions) will be worst is
difficult to determine, but areas that were significantly impacted
from the last dust event are a good bet given that the wind
direction will be very similar to that event. A mix of rain/snow
showers will spread across northwestern New Mexico, but these
showers will likely fail to make it past the central mountain chain
given frontolysis that will occur on the east side of the Cont.
Divide. The peaks of the Tusas mountains may be lucky enough to
squeeze out an inch or two, but this will mostly be a dust/wind

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 226 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The speed max aloft will shift southward Tuesday night, and the
Pacific front will continue overtaking NM. Some central to
eastern areas may observe severe gusts through the frontal
passage, but most areas will undergo a significant reduction in
wind speed, especially after midnight. Scant shower activity will
also wind down over west central, northwestern, and north central
zones Tuesday evening with minimal measurable accumulation.

Into Wednesday, the initial Rockies low will race toward the
northern Great Plains while the next upstream shortwave trough
takes aim at NM. This shortwave will move through AZ by late
Wednesday afternoon, remaining limited on moisture and only
pushing a few light showers into northwestern NM through the
evening. There will also be a notable reduction in wind speeds
across the forecast area Wednesday as the speed max buffets the
borderland and Old Mexico. Our southern tier of highland zones
will still be windy, perhaps warranting Wind Advisories, but
speeds will not be nearly as impactful as Tuesday. The eastern
plains will also be quite breezy (sustained at 15-25 mph with
occasional gusts to 35 mph).

Wednesday's shortwave will lift into eastern CO by Thursday with
light shower activity periodically redeveloping over the NM-CO
state line. Breezy conditions will persist over the central
highlands to eastern plains Thursday as the southwesterlies aloft
remain brisk, but the jet core stays displaced farther southeast
of NM. Despite these southwesterlies aloft, heights would be
relatively low due to the next upstream trough, a longer wave
feature that will have its axis over the lower CO river basin by
late Thursday. This will keep temperatures cooler than normal over
NM with a strong backdoor front entering far northeastern zones.

From Friday through Sunday, the longer wave trough will be
overtaking AZ and NM with a low developing and crossing NM into
Saturday. Overall, this will keep the cooler than average
temperatures going while introducing healthy diffluence and
dynamics into NM Friday into Saturday while the backdoor front
will have infiltrated at the surface over most of the forecast
area. This would lead to healthy swaths of wetting rain and
accumulating mountain snow. Ensemble mean total precip still
paints most of eastern NM and the Tusas/Jemez with 0.5" or better
QPF (higher above 1.00" near NM- CO border). This would yield
several inches (roughly 6-15") of snow above 8,500 feet and a few
(3-6") for mid slope areas between 6,500-8,500 ft. The GFS/GEFS
solutions seem to have the tightest initial low circulation late
Friday into Saturday with less competing satellite vortices like
the ECMWF/ENS, so the former is certainly a wetter solution. This
would then be followed by a secondary vort lobe that would also
develop into a low through Sunday, but forecast models have larger
discrepancies on the track and strength of this latter system, as
it will be cut-off from the parent jet.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1046 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF
period, although widespread blowing dust will limit visibility on
Tuesday after 18Z. Gusty southwest winds will prevail this
afternoon and evening. Stronger westerly winds aloft will move
into the region tonight into Tuesday, bringing the potential for
low level wind shear late tonight and strong winds with blowing
dust on Tuesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 226 AM MDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

Today will be another dry and breezy day with critical fire weather
conditions in the West-Central Mountains, Upper Rio Grande Valley,
and Northeast Highlands and elevated to near-critical fire weather
conditions elsewhere. Winds will trend stronger on Tuesday as a jet
max moves directly over northern NM. Wind gusts in excess of 50 mph
are likely across the entire region and a few locations may exceed
65 mph in the typical windy areas such as the Central Highlands.
Humidities will be lowest in south-central and eastern areas where
locally extreme fire weather conditions can be expected. Sub-15%
minimum RH will be commonplace everywhere outside of the northern
mountains on Tuesday afternoon. As a result, brief Red Flag
Conditions may develop in western and north-central areas, but
dropping temps (and increasing humidities) along with some light
showers are expected in those areas so opted to not extend the Red
Flag Warning westward for now.

Despite a significant drop in temps (10-15 degrees) on Wednesday in
eastern NM, very dry conditions will create another round of
critical fire weather conditions. Confidence is highest in the Rio
Grande Valley and Central Highlands, but coverage is too spotty to
warrant a watch for now. Moisture increases late week as
precipitation chances trend higher. Confidence continues to increase
for widespread wetting precipitation Thursday through the weekend.
The potential exits for heavy snowfall in mountain areas on Friday
and Saturday thanks to the combination of a backdoor front and
moisture from the Gulf.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  68  44  54  24 /   0  10  40  20
Dulce...........................  62  32  51  14 /   0  30  50  20
Cuba............................  64  37  55  20 /   0   5  20  20
Gallup..........................  67  36  54  17 /   0   0  20  30
El Morro........................  64  36  53  19 /   0   0  10  30
Grants..........................  68  36  57  18 /   0   0   5  30
Quemado.........................  69  38  57  21 /   0   0   5  20
Magdalena.......................  70  42  63  28 /   0   0   0  10
Datil...........................  68  38  57  23 /   0   0   0  20
Reserve.........................  71  37  62  21 /   0   0   0  10
Glenwood........................  74  41  66  29 /   0   0   0   5
Chama...........................  55  29  43  11 /   0  30  80  20
Los Alamos......................  62  41  55  27 /   0   0  20  20
Pecos...........................  64  39  58  24 /   0   0  10  20
Cerro/Questa....................  59  35  50  19 /   0  10  40  20
Red River.......................  48  30  39  13 /   0  10  40  20
Angel Fire......................  55  32  47  14 /   0  10  30  20
Taos............................  63  36  55  16 /   0  10  20  20
Mora............................  63  37  55  20 /   0   0  10  10
Espanola........................  69  43  63  25 /   0   5  10  20
Santa Fe........................  63  40  58  26 /   0   0  20  20
Santa Fe Airport................  69  41  62  25 /   0   0  10  20
Albuquerque Foothills...........  71  47  66  33 /   0   0  10  20
Albuquerque Heights.............  73  46  68  32 /   0   0   5  20
Albuquerque Valley..............  76  46  71  26 /   0   0   5  10
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  75  46  68  32 /   0   0   5  20
Belen...........................  77  44  73  31 /   0   0   0  10
Bernalillo......................  74  46  69  30 /   0   0   5  20
Bosque Farms....................  76  43  71  28 /   0   0   0  10
Corrales........................  75  46  70  30 /   0   0   5  20
Los Lunas.......................  76  44  71  31 /   0   0   0  10
Placitas........................  69  46  64  31 /   0   0   5  20
Rio Rancho......................  73  46  68  31 /   0   0   5  20
Socorro.........................  79  45  75  35 /   0   0   0   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  66  41  60  27 /   0   0  10  20
Tijeras.........................  68  43  63  28 /   0   0  10  20
Edgewood........................  67  40  64  25 /   0   0   5  10
Moriarty/Estancia...............  69  38  66  22 /   0   0   5  10
Clines Corners..................  64  39  61  24 /   0   0   5  10
Mountainair.....................  68  41  65  26 /   0   0   5   5
Gran Quivira....................  67  42  66  27 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  70  50  70  34 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  66  47  62  31 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  62  39  59  22 /   0   0   0   5
Raton...........................  68  39  62  22 /   0   0   5  10
Springer........................  68  40  64  24 /   0   0   0   5
Las Vegas.......................  66  40  61  23 /   0   0   5  10
Clayton.........................  67  44  71  32 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  68  43  66  28 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  76  48  76  34 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  73  47  73  33 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  75  48  77  34 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  76  47  80  38 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  76  49  82  37 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  76  45  78  35 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  81  49  83  42 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  78  50  74  37 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  76  50  72  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM MDT Tuesday for NMZ104-106-
123>126.

High Wind Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening
for NMZ207-216>222-224-225-227>241.

Red Flag Warning from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM MDT this
evening for NMZ105-121-123.

High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
NMZ202-208-210>215-223-226.

&&

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...11

Please note: The SYNOPSIS section will be terminated on or about Friday, April 4.