Alert archive / Arizona / Wind Advisories in 2024

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Tucson, AZ

January 5, 20245 counties in Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this wind advisory at Jan 5, 2024, 5:04 PM MST for 5 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Jan 7, 2024, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 5, 2024, 5:04 PM MST (00:04 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 7, 2024, 11:00 AM MST
Expired
Jan 7, 2024, 7:00 PM MST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2024-01-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 00:00Z on 2024-01-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1744 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

784 
WWUS75 KTWC 060004
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
504 PM MST Fri Jan 5 2024

AZZ502-504>506-061200-
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0002.240106T1000Z-240106T1600Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
504 PM MST Fri Jan 5 2024

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Near to sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected 
  with a few isolated locations as low as 28.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation, Tucson Metro Area, South 
  Central Pinal County and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...3 AM to 9 AM MST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill unprotected 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ503-507>509-512-513-061200-
/O.NEW.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
504 PM MST Fri Jan 5 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet, 
  Upper Gila River Valley, Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and 
  Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
6 follow-up statements
226 
WWUS75 KTWC 060948
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
248 AM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

AZZ502-504>506-061600-
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0002.240106T1000Z-240106T1600Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
248 AM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Near to sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected 
  with a few isolated locations as low as 28.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation, Tucson Metro Area, South 
  Central Pinal County and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...3 AM to 9 AM MST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill unprotected 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ503-507>509-512-513-070000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
248 AM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet, 
  Upper Gila River Valley, Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and 
  Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
456 
WWUS75 KTWC 061558
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
858 AM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

AZZ502-504>506-061700-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240106T1600Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
858 AM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM MST THIS MORNING...

The Freeze Warning will be allowed to expire as temperatures warm
above freezing. 

$$

AZZ503-507>509-512-513-070000-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
858 AM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet, 
  Upper Gila River Valley, Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and 
  Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
171 
WWUS75 KTWC 062035
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
135 PM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

AZZ503-507>509-071100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.A.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.A.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Clifton, and Safford
135 PM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
SUNDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...
...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts
  up to 50 mph expected. For the first Hard Freeze Watch, sub-
  freezing temperatures as low as 18 possible. For the second 
  Hard Freeze Watch, sub-freezing temperatures as low as 13 
  possible.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and 
  Upper Gila River Valley.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday. 
  For the first Hard Freeze Watch, from late Sunday night 
  through Monday morning. For the second Hard Freeze Watch, from 
  late Monday night through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-071100-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
135 PM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet, 
  Upper Gila River Valley, Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and 
  Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

AZZ502-504>506-071100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.A.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.A.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
135 PM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...
...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the first Hard Freeze Watch, sub-freezing 
  temperatures as low as 25 possible. For the second Hard Freeze 
  Watch, sub-freezing temperatures as low as 25 possible.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation, Tucson Metro Area, South 
  Central Pinal County and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...For the first Hard Freeze Watch, from late Sunday night 
  through Monday morning. For the second Hard Freeze Watch, from 
  late Monday night through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-071100-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FZ.A.0003.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FZ.A.0004.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
135 PM MST Sat Jan 6 2024

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the first Freeze Watch, sub-freezing temperatures 
  as low as 31 possible. For the second Freeze Watch, sub-
  freezing temperatures as low as 30 possible.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the first Freeze Watch, from late Sunday night 
  through Monday morning. For the second Freeze Watch, from late 
  Monday night through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
383 
WWUS75 KTWC 070907
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
207 AM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

AZZ503-507>509-080200-
/O.UPG.KTWC.HZ.A.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.UPG.KTWC.HZ.A.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Clifton, and Safford
207 AM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST 
THIS EVENING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST MONDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 10
AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, west to southwest winds 20-30 mph
  with gusts 40-45 mph expected. For the first Hard Freeze
  Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 19 and 25 degrees are
  expected. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing 
  temperatures between 12 and 22 degrees are expected. 

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and 
  Upper Gila River Valley.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM
  MST this evening. For the first Hard Freeze Warning, from 1 AM
  to 9 AM MST Monday. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, from
  midnight Monday night to 10 AM MST Tuesday. 

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured outdoor
  objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages
  may result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ502-504>506-080200-
/O.UPG.KTWC.HZ.A.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.UPG.KTWC.HZ.A.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.HZ.W.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
207 AM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST MONDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO
10 AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing
  temperatures between 24 and 28 degrees are expected. For the
  second Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 22
  and 27 degrees are expected.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation, Tucson Metro Area, South 
  Central Pinal County and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM 
  MST Monday. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, from midnight 
  Monday night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-080200-
/O.UPG.KTWC.FZ.A.0003.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FZ.W.0003.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.UPG.KTWC.FZ.A.0004.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FZ.W.0004.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
207 AM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 10 AM
MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures
  between 28 and 32 degrees are expected. For the second Freeze
  Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 28 and 31 degrees are  
  expected.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the first Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM MST 
  Monday. For the second Freeze Warning, from midnight Monday 
  night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-080200-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.240107T1800Z-240108T0200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
207 AM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MST 
THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25-35 mph with gusts 45-50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet, 
  Upper Gila River Valley, Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and 
  Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 7 PM MST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
751 
WWUS75 KTWC 072040
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
140 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

AZZ503-507>509-080445-
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-240108T0200Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Clifton, and Safford
140 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST
MONDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT TO 10 AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, west to southwest winds 20-30 
  mph with gusts 40-45 mph expected. For the first Hard Freeze 
  Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 19 and 25 degrees 
  are expected. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing 
  temperatures between 12 and 22 degrees are expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and 
  Upper Gila River Valley.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 7 PM MST this evening. For 
  the first Hard Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM MST Monday. For
  the second Hard Freeze Warning, from midnight Monday night to 
  10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured outdoor 
  objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power 
  outages may result. Frost and freeze conditions will kill 
  crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage 
  unprotected outdoor plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ502-504>506-080445-
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
140 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST
MONDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT TO 10 AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing 
  temperatures between 24 and 28 degrees are expected. For the 
  second Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 
  22 and 27 degrees are expected.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation, Tucson Metro Area, South 
  Central Pinal County and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM 
  MST Monday. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, from midnight 
  Monday night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-080445-
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0003.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0004.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
140 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST
MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO
10 AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures 
  between 28 and 32 degrees are expected. For the second Freeze 
  Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 28 and 31 degrees 
  are expected.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the first Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM MST 
  Monday. For the second Freeze Warning, from midnight Monday 
  night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-080200-
/O.CON.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-240108T0200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
140 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25-35 mph with gusts 45-50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet, 
  Upper Gila River Valley, Chiricahua Mountains and Dragoon and 
  Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM MST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

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729 
WWUS75 KTWC 080145
NPWTWC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
645 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

AZZ503-507>509-080945-
/O.EXP.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-240108T0200Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley-
Upper San Pedro River Valley-
Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet-Upper Gila River Valley-
Including the cities of Nogales, Sierra Vista, Benson, Willcox, 
Clifton, and Safford
645 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST
MONDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT TO 10 AM MST TUESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing 
  temperatures between 19 and 25 degrees are expected. For the 
  second Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 12
  and 22 degrees are expected.

* WHERE...Upper Santa Cruz River Valley/Altar Valley, Upper San 
  Pedro River Valley, Eastern Cochise County below 5000 feet and 
  Upper Gila River Valley.

* WHEN...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM 
  MST Monday. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, from midnight 
  Monday night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ512-513-080245-
/O.EXP.KTWC.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-240108T0200Z/
Chiricahua Mountains-
Dragoon and Mule and Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains-
Including the cities of Chiricahua NM, Bisbee, and Canelo Hills
645 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

Winds will continue to subside this evening, therefore the wind
advisory will be allowed to expire. 

$$

AZZ502-504>506-080945-
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0001.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.HZ.W.0002.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metro Area-
South Central Pinal County-Southeast Pinal County-
Including the cities of Sells, Tucson, Green Valley, Marana, 
Vail, Picacho Peak State Park, Mammoth, and Oracle
645 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST
MONDAY...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT TO 10 AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing 
  temperatures between 24 and 28 degrees are expected. For the 
  second Hard Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 
  22 and 27 degrees are expected.

* WHERE...Tohono O'odham Nation, Tucson Metro Area, South 
  Central Pinal County and Southeast Pinal County.

* WHEN...For the first Hard Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM 
  MST Monday. For the second Hard Freeze Warning, from midnight 
  Monday night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

AZZ501-080945-
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0003.240108T0800Z-240108T1600Z/
/O.CON.KTWC.FZ.W.0004.240109T0700Z-240109T1700Z/
Western Pima County-
Including the cities of Ajo and Organ Pipe Cactus N.M.
645 PM MST Sun Jan 7 2024

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MST
MONDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO
10 AM MST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Freeze Warning, sub-freezing temperatures 
  between 28 and 32 degrees are expected. For the second Freeze 
  Warning, sub-freezing temperatures between 28 and 31 degrees 
  are expected.

* WHERE...Western Pima County.

* WHEN...For the first Freeze Warning, from 1 AM to 9 AM MST 
  Monday. For the second Freeze Warning, from midnight Monday 
  night to 10 AM MST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 5, 1:16 PM MST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 5, 1:16 PM MST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
116 PM MST Fri Jan 5 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Somewhat colder Saturday morning including freezing
temperatures around the Tucson metro. A strong weather system is
forecast Sunday into early Monday with strong winds, much lower snow
levels, and a widespread hard freeze possible for most of the area
Monday night and Tuesday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Well, last night the clouds ruined a perfectly good
temperature forecast, but we will give it another go tonight with the
potential for cloud cover to impact how quickly it cools off this
evening. Given this system is not as moist and the flow out of the
NW is fairly brisk, will go with the idea of some evening clouds and
clearing thereafter to allow temperatures to drop to near forecast
values. The lighter winds and lower dewpoints will help as well.
Other than that, not much excitement for Saturday.

Sunday, the upper trough is still on track and fairly deep as it
approaches the area. Blended guidance is coming into better
agreement and narrowing the temporal range of the precipitation with
the focus on later Sunday afternoon into the first half of the night
for much of the area. The initial impact from this system will be
fairly strong winds, especially in the area east of I-19 and south of
I-10 where wind advisory criteria looks like it will be met across
parts of this area. Given the wind direction and level of the top of
the mixed layer (inversion just above mountain peak) this is a good
setup for strong winds in the lee of the Huachuca mountains affecting
parts of the Sierra Vista area. Gusts well into the 50s is not out of
the question Sunday afternoon that area. Given the potential, we
decided to go with a wind advisory in the aforementioned larger area
for late Sunday morning into Sunday evening.

Then the precipitation arrives Sunday afternoon from NW to SE with a
band of moderate to briefly heavy precipitation in the vicinity of
the passing cold front. Snow levels will be low with this storm,
starting out in the 4,500-5,000 range then dropping to 2,500-3,000 ft
or so by midnight. As is typically the case with these systems, when
the snow level gets low enough to affect the valleys the
precipitation is winding down. That said, it still looks like there
will be enough overlap later Sunday night for the potential of a
period of mixed precip or flurries in the metro with snow showers
over the northern and eastern foothills and a light coating higher
areas east of about Vail. The higher valleys like Sonoita east to the
NM border may get a decent coating out of all this.

The QPF (amount of liquid precipitation forecast) is pretty much
unchanged from the previous forecast and running a bit more than the
last storm. For the mountains this looks like 3-4 inches atop Mt
Lemmon and up to 9 inches over the higher terrain of the White
Mountains. Not enough for winter storm warnings and just dipping into
the advisory level for the White Mountains. At this time will not
raise any headlines for the snow given the limited impact.

Then, the concern/attention turns to the cold air mass settling over
the region behind the storm. Not only will it be cold but it will be
dry as well with dewpoints easily dropping into the teens along with
clear skies. That all adds up to rather cold nights. Just how cold
it gets Monday morning will significantly depend on how quickly it
clears out behind the storm which lowers confidence in the
temperature forecast for that morning. Much of the region will be
below freezing including the Tucson area, however if it clears out as
it appears to at this time we may well dip into hard freeze
territory in the metro area Monday morning. Tuesday morning is
expected to be even colder with some very cold temperatures across
southern Arizona including likely hard freeze conditions across a
large part of the lower deserts including much of Tucson. Updated
probabilities are highlighted below.

Then a bit milder Wednesday and dry. Ensemble guidance really locks
in on the idea of a trough of some depth/width settling across the
western U.S. There is a lot of variability in the details of
individual systems moving through this large scale trough both in
timing and strength so not much confidence in details. The idea of a
colder and wetter than normal period from Thursday through next
weekend is a good bet at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 07/00Z.
BKN-SCT clouds 16K-25K ft MSL, gradually clearing from west to east
after 06/03Z. Wly SFC winds 6-12 kts this afternoon then bcmg
variable less than 10 kts thru end of pd. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A system will pass to the north for just a few
flurries possible over the White Mountains tonight into early
Saturday. A stronger system is expected later Sunday through Monday
with strong gusty winds, cold temperatures, and more precipitation.
This system should have lower snow levels with accumulating snows
above 4-5000 ft and the possibility of a dusting as low as 3000 ft.
Very cold early next week. Potential for another storm of some
fashion late next week.

&&

For Tucson: Prob 32 or less    Prob 28 or less
Saturday         63%                 6%
Sunday           17%                 0%
Monday           83%                66%
Tuesday         100%                85%
Wednesday        77%                26%
Thursday         22%                 3%

For Willcox: Prob 20 or less    Prob 15 or less  Prob 10 or less
Saturday          85%                24%               0%
Sunday            88%                15%               1%
Monday            85%                61%              29%
Tuesday           95%                90%              61%
Wednesday         86%                47%               3%
Thursday          61%                16%               0%

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM MST Saturday for Azz501-504>506.

Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM MST Sunday for Azz501-507>509-
512-513.

&&

Public...Cerniglia
Aviation...Cerniglia
Fire Weather....Cerniglia

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 2:55 AM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal42 hr
Jan 6, 1:35 PM MSTFreeze WatchTWCPima13 hr
Jan 6, 1:35 PM MSTFreeze WatchTWCPima13 hr
Jan 6, 1:35 PM MSTHard Freeze WatchTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz13 hr
Jan 6, 1:35 PM MSTHard Freeze WatchTWCCochise, Graham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz13 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Arizona, 2024Every wind advisory in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.