Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2024

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 7, 2024Pawnee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Mar 7, 2024, 7:49 PM CST for Pawnee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 7, 2024, 7:49 PM CST (01:49 UTC)
Expired: Mar 7, 2024, 8:30 PM CST
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 50

County Pawnee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 7, 5:26 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 7, 5:26 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
526 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 257 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for parts of NE OK through 9PM

Rain and thunder that occurred across much of NE OK and
NW AR this morning as pushed off to the northeast. Additional
showers/storms will be moving into SE OK and WC AR later this
afternoon and evening, but dont appear they will pose much of
a severe threat through the evening. Surface destabilization well
under way across NC and NE OK as skies have cleared in those
areas, and will set the stage for isolated to scattered storms
later this afternoon across NC OK and SC KS. Storms will become
linear as they move into NE OK around mid evening and any severe
storms will carry mainly a large hail threat. Instability wanes
significantly across NE OK towards midnight, and at that time
expect any severe potential to become increasingly limited across
the entire area from 06z-12z.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 257 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

Showers and storms will be ongoing tomorrow ahead of the main
trough axis and surface cold front that will move through the area
tomorrow afternoon and evening. Severe potential will remain
limited during the morning and afternoon, but will increase
across SE OK and WC AR just ahead of the cold front where any
daytime heating will be maximized. Upper trough axis will be slow
to clear the area Friday night, so will keep lower PoPs across the
eastern zones between 06z-12z Saturday.

Settled conditions will ensue Saturday and continue well into next
week along with a warming trend during this period. SW upper flow
in response to a deepening trough will bring rain/thunder chances
back to the towards the latter portion of the next work week.

Stayed fairly close to NBM temperatures through the forecast
cycle.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 518 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

Shower and thunderstorm chances are expected to increase across
eastern OK through 06z, with probability of MVFR conditions as
storms move through. Some potential of strong and gusty winds
with storms as they enter NE OK and, while not included explicitly
in the forecast, will need to be watched. Showers and a few storms
will continue to push east overnight with more widespread MVFR
conditions becoming likely after 12z Friday, especially behind a
cold front that will move into NE OK. Potential exists for
additional strong storms across SE OK/WC AR late in the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  60  35  55 /  80  50  30   0
FSM   55  68  41  57 /  80  70  50   0
MLC   54  65  37  56 /  70  70  40   0
BVO   48  57  32  56 /  80  40  20   0
FYV   51  63  34  53 /  80  60  50   0
BYV   54  65  37  52 /  80  60  50   0
MKO   53  61  36  54 /  80  60  30   0
MIO   51  58  33  52 /  90  50  30   0
F10   53  59  36  54 /  80  60  30   0
HHW   56  68  40  56 /  80  70  30   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...14

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 7, 5:41 PM CST, 2 hours 8 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
541 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
541 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Along Oklahoma Kansas border.
	ONSET...Early evening...ending by late evening.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Primarily Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Early evening.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms ongoing across north central Oklahoma through
southeast Kansas may increase in coverage and intensity this evening.
Current trends suggest any severe threat will remain isolated near
the Oklahoma Kansas border through mid to late evening with a limited
risk of damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes. Otherwise, focus
will become an expanding line of thunderstorms spreading across
eastern Oklahoma overnight. A limited potential for severe weather
will remain with these storms with locally damaging winds the primary
concern. The severe weather risk will diminish during the overnight
hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm...High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An isolated severe storm threat may be ongoing Friday morning. A
greater severe weather threat is expected to develop across
southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas Friday afternoon and
early evening as a cold front moves through. Large hail and
locally damaging wind will be the main threats, with a low tornado
threat confined mainly to areas near the Red River.

A freeze is forecast across much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas on Sunday morning.

Warmer and windier conditions return next week, and this will
raise fire weather concerns. Low thunderstorm chances return to
the forecast Tuesday and Wednesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 7, 7:17 PM CST, 32 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
717 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

OKZ056-057-080145-
Craig OK-Nowata OK-
717 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CRAIG AND NORTHERN
NOWATA COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CST...

At 717 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over
South Coffeyville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
South Coffeyville...              Hollow...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for
northeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3686 9522 3690 9573 3700 9572 3700 9521
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 269DEG 37KT 3697 9563

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special weather statement, Mar 7, 7:19 PM CST, 30 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
719 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

OKZ054-059-080145-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-
719 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE AND
NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES THROUGH 745 PM CST...

At 719 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 5 miles southeast of Marland to 5 miles northwest
of Perkins. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Pawnee...                         Fairfax...
Ralston...                        Blackburn...
Skedee...                         Sooner Lake...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for
northeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 9676 3631 9649 3625 9684 3625 9692
      3633 9693 3634 9703 3651 9703 3651 9701
      3652 9701 3653 9698 3653 9696 3655 9692
      3655 9690 3658 9689 3660 9692 3658 9698
      3659 9706
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 247DEG 39KT 3653 9706 3604 9707

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special weather statement, Mar 7, 7:40 PM CST, 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
740 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

OKZ054-080215-
Osage OK-
740 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN OSAGE COUNTY THROUGH
815 PM CST...

At 740 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 3 miles west of Hardy to 8 miles south of Kaw
City. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Shidler...                        Burbank...
Grainola...                       Southern Kaw Lake...
Webb City...                      Apperson...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for
northeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9662 3669 9661 3661 9705 3669 9702
      3668 9694 3675 9689 3674 9683 3677 9682
      3677 9679 3678 9679 3678 9675 3700 9675
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 244DEG 20KT 3695 9686 3664 9689

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special weather statement, Mar 7, 7:47 PM CST, 2 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
747 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

OKZ056-057-080230-
Craig OK-Nowata OK-
747 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CRAIG AND
NORTHEASTERN NOWATA COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CST...

At 747 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 7 miles
southwest of Edna, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Craig
and northeastern Nowata Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for
northeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3690 9510 3693 9553 3700 9550 3700 9510
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 262DEG 19KT 3698 9545

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special weather statement, Mar 7, 7:49 PM CST, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
749 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

OKZ054-059-064-080230-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-Creek OK-
749 PM CST Thu Mar 7 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CENTRAL OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN
CREEK AND PAWNEE COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CST...

At 748 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 5 miles southwest of Burbank to 2 miles west of
Quay. Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Pawnee...                         Cleveland...
Fairfax...                        Jennings...
Ralston...                        Osage...
Burbank...                        Hallett...
Blackburn...                      Terlton...
Maramec...                        Skedee...
Sooner Lake...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CST for
northeastern Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 9703 3651 9701 3653 9698 3655 9690
      3657 9689 3660 9692 3658 9701 3666 9699
      3674 9646 3610 9638 3612 9662 3616 9663
      3616 9682 3624 9682 3625 9692 3633 9693
      3634 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 271DEG 23KT 3664 9680 3617 9676

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 7, 6:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Washington	30 min
Mar 7, 6:22 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Nowata	16 min
Mar 7, 7:17 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata	28 min
Mar 7, 7:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	26 min
Mar 7, 7:40 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Kay	35 min
Mar 7, 7:47 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig	43 min
Mar 7, 8:00 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	45 min
Mar 7, 8:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	57 min
Mar 7, 9:02 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Nowata	43 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2024 Every special weather statement in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.