Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 461, NWS Tulsa, OK

November 4, 2024Creek County, Okfuskee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 4, 2024, 11:42 AM CST for Creek County, Okfuskee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 4, 2024, 11:42 AM CST (17:42 UTC)
Expired: Nov 4, 2024, 12:30 PM CST
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Creek County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Nov 4, 10:52 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 911 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 83 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 353 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 313 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 6.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 4, 11:28 AM CST, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 4, 11:28 AM CST, 14 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1128 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of today )
Issued at 1031 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

Warm front currently situated along/just north of the I-40 corridor
and was slowly lifting north as of mid morning. Scattered showers/storms
continue mainly north of the warm front this morning. Additional
storms to the west are expected to form into a squall line
along/ahead of a cold front as it moves into E OK this afternoon.
Support will be aided by an upper trough lifting into the plains
this afternoon. All modes of severe will be in play, along with a
continued flood threat across the entire area. Made some minor
adjustments to PoPs through 00z based on latest model guidance and
trends. Also raised temperatures this afternoon across some
locations that are already in the warm sector. Otherwise,
remaining 1st period elements will be left as they are. Current
FFA in effect until 00z and will be left as is.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 345 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

Once the squall line exits the area this evening, the severe
weather and flash flood threat will end. We will begin to dry out
Tuesday and Wednesday with temperatures near the seasonal
averages.

Another strong upper level storm system will move out of the
southwest U.S. late this week and move across the plains by
Saturday. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase as this
system approaches, with Friday into early Saturday seeing the
highest rain chances. Rainfall amounts will be much less with this
system, with most places seeing under an inch. At least a limited
severe weather threat may develop Friday into early Saturday, but
marginal instability may limit the severe threat to some degree.
Temperatures will continue to run near or slightly above the
seasonal averages late this week into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

RA/TSRA to impact all sites for the first 6-9 hours
of the valid period with IFR/MVFR vsbys and MVFR cigs
in thunder. Main convective line to clear the OK sites
between 23z-02z, and the AR sites between 03z-06z. VFR vsbys
expected to prevail for the remainder of the period once
the line of storms clears, along with the periodic MVFR cigs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   52  62  44  69 /  60  10   0   0
FSM   61  69  48  71 / 100  40   0   0
MLC   54  66  44  71 /  90  20   0   0
BVO   48  61  37  68 /  60   0   0   0
FYV   55  67  39  70 / 100  30   0   0
BYV   58  66  44  68 / 100  40   0   0
MKO   54  63  44  69 /  90  20   0   0
MIO   53  62  41  67 /  90  20   0   0
F10   51  62  43  69 /  60  10   0   0
HHW   58  66  46  71 /  90  30  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through late tonight for OKZ069-072-075-076.

     Flood Watch until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ049-053>068-070-
     071-073-074.

AR...Flood Watch through late tonight for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-
     029.

&&

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...23

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 4, 5:33 AM CST, 6 hours 9 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
533 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
533 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas
	ONSET...Mid to Late Morning.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Early this morning, a warm front was located across far southeast
Oklahoma from just north of McAlester to south of Wister. This
boundary will lift north as a warm front this morning, with all
or nearly all of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas in the
warm sector by midday.

The brunt of the shower and thunderstorm activity this morning
will remain north of the retreating frontal boundary. While an
isolated strong or severe storm will be possible this morning, the
greater threat will be locally heavy rainfall potentially leading
to some flooding issues due to saturated grounds from two days of
heavy rainfall.

A surface low will move northeast into central Oklahoma by midday
today, and will then deepen slightly as it lifts northeast into
eastern Kansas this evening. A moist and unstable airmass will be
in place across our forecast area this afternoon, and any discrete
storms that develop in the warm sector will have a high severe
weather potential, including the threat of tornadoes...possibly
strong. A line of storms is expected to form south of the surface
low along a dryline later this morning and this line will enter
the western part of our forecast area by early to mid afternoon.
The line will then sweep rapidly east across the area through
early evening. Damaging winds will be the main severe weather
threat with the squall line, with isolated QLCS type tornadoes
also quite possible. The severe weather threat will end later this
evening once the squall line clears the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Another storm system will affect the area during the latter part
of the week, bringing additional chances for thunderstorms. These
storms may pose a limited threat for severe weather, although
some uncertainties persist in how large that threat will be.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 4, 7:06 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
706 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Rain             2 NE Strickler          35.85N 94.29W
11/04/2024  M4.51 Inch       Washington         AR   Public

            24 Hour Report Ending at 7 AM CST.

&&

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 7:31 AM CST, 4 hours 11 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
731 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

OKZ054-059-041415-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-
731 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES
THROUGH 815 AM CST...

At 731 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 4 miles northeast of Marland to 3 miles north of
Stillwater. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Pawnee...                         Fairfax...
Shidler...                        Jennings...
Ralston...                        Burbank...
Hallett...                        Blackburn...
Maramec...                        Skedee...
Foraker...                        Sooner Lake...
Southern Kaw Lake...              Webb City...
Apperson...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3669 9700 3669 9693 3675 9689 3674 9683
      3677 9682 3678 9675 3684 9675 3696 9655
      3617 9653 3616 9682 3624 9682 3625 9692
      3633 9693 3634 9703 3651 9703 3655 9690
      3658 9689 3660 9692 3659 9705 3666 9706
TIME...MOT...LOC 1331Z 229DEG 40KT 3659 9708 3618 9707

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Local storm report, Nov 4, 7:32 AM CST, 4 hours 10 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
732 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Rain             Porter                  35.87N 95.52W
11/04/2024  M2.91 Inch       Wagoner            OK   Public

            24 Hour Report Ending at 7 AM CST.

&&

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 8:21 AM CST, 3 hours 21 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
821 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

OKZ054-059-064-041500-
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-Creek OK-
821 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL OSAGE...
NORTHWESTERN CREEK AND SOUTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES THROUGH 900 AM
CST...

At 821 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 6 miles east of Glencoe to near Yale to 3 miles
southwest of Cushing. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Cleveland...                      Drumright...
Oilton...                         Jennings...
Hallett...                        Blackburn...
Terlton...                        Maramec...
Silver City...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9651 3607 9639 3595 9662 3616 9662
      3616 9682 3624 9682 3625 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 1421Z 232DEG 32KT 3622 9681 3612 9673 3593 9680

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special weather statement, Nov 4, 11:25 AM CST, 17 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1125 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

OKZ064-041800-
Creek OK-
1125 AM CST Mon Nov 4 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CREEK COUNTY
THROUGH NOON CST...

At 1124 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 3 miles
northeast of Kendrick, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Drumright...                      Oilton...
Shamrock...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 178 and 182.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Tulsa.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for northeastern
Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3613 9662 3616 9659 3616 9658 3594 9634
      3575 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 1724Z 222DEG 37KT 3581 9673

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 3, 6:20 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	McIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Pittsburg	115 min
Nov 3, 6:22 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	113 min
Nov 3, 6:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	51 min
Nov 3, 6:33 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	27 min
Nov 3, 6:35 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	9 min
Nov 3, 7:03 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	42 min
Nov 3, 7:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Pittsburg	38 min
Nov 3, 7:16 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee, Haskell, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 2 more	3 hr
Nov 3, 7:38 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	37 min
Nov 3, 7:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	47 min
Nov 3, 8:10 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	35 min
Nov 3, 8:26 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer	34 min
Nov 3, 8:51 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, Pittsburg	3 hr
Nov 3, 9:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer	26 min
Nov 3, 9:43 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah	3 hr
Nov 3, 10:34 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg	3 hr
Nov 4, 7:31 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	44 min
Nov 4, 8:21 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pawnee	39 min
Nov 4, 8:23 AM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	LeFlore	47 hr
Nov 4, 11:22 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee	38 min
Nov 4, 11:25 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek	35 min
Nov 4, 11:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa	51 min
Nov 4, 11:58 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa	32 min
Nov 4, 12:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	45 min
Nov 4, 12:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	40 min
Nov 4, 12:22 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Osage, Tulsa, Washington	25 min
Nov 4, 12:32 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Nowata, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers and 3 more	3 hr
Nov 4, 12:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Nowata, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	37 min
Nov 4, 12:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington	50 min
Nov 4, 12:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Nowata, Rogers, Washington	33 min
Nov 4, 1:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	45 min
Nov 4, 1:03 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	27 min
Nov 4, 1:22 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Delaware	43 hr
Nov 4, 1:22 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	50 hr
Nov 4, 1:22 PM CST	River Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee	54 hr
Nov 4, 1:28 PM CST	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Sequoyah	24 hr
Nov 4, 1:29 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Craig, Nowata	46 min
Nov 4, 1:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	23 min
Nov 4, 1:37 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	23 min
Nov 4, 1:48 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	27 min
Nov 4, 1:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Mayes, Rogers	41 min
Nov 4, 1:53 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	13 min
Nov 4, 2:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	45 min
Nov 4, 2:01 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee	3 hr
Nov 4, 2:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	31 min
Nov 4, 2:03 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Craig, Ottawa	27 min
Nov 4, 2:17 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah	28 min
Nov 4, 2:19 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	3 hr
Nov 4, 2:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Ottawa	46 min
Nov 4, 2:44 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah	46 min
Nov 4, 2:56 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Wagoner	19 min
Nov 4, 3:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa	45 min
Nov 4, 3:12 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	33 min
Nov 4, 3:17 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	28 min
Nov 4, 3:33 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes and 7 more	3 hr
Nov 4, 3:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	TSA	Adair	32 min
Nov 4, 3:47 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	28 min
Nov 4, 4:06 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Adair, Sequoyah	39 min
Nov 4, 4:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	TSA	Adair	36 min
Nov 4, 4:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	49 min
Nov 4, 4:32 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more	3 hr
Nov 4, 4:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Adair	27 min
Nov 4, 5:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	47 min
Nov 4, 5:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	27 min
Nov 4, 5:50 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah	8 hr
Nov 3, 8:37 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford, Washington	23 min
Nov 3, 8:56 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	49 min
Nov 3, 9:27 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Benton, Madison	48 min
Nov 3, 9:50 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Franklin	55 min
Nov 4, 4:00 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian	3 hr
Nov 4, 8:26 AM CST	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Crawford, Franklin	18 hr
Nov 4, 1:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	26 min
Nov 4, 4:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Benton, Washington	37 min
Nov 4, 4:59 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Benton, Washington	46 min
Nov 4, 5:44 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington	4 hr
Nov 4, 5:57 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll, Crawford, Madison	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2024 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.