Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 429, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 30, 2024Osage County, Pawnee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 30, 2024, 6:29 PM CDT for Osage County, Pawnee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 30, 2024, 6:29 PM CDT (23:29 UTC)
Expired
Oct 30, 2024, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 30, 5:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 292 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2024-10-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 295 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2024-10-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 254 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
295 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
739 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
376 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 30, 1:37 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 1:37 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 30, 4:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
453 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
453 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...
...A FEW TORNADOS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING MAINLY NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA... ...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

TORNADO.
    RISK...Elevated.
    AREA....Northeast Oklahoma
    ONSET....Early Evening

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Early Evening.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Severe thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of
a cold front this afternoon across western and central sections of
Oklahoma. As storms track east-northeast and enter northeast
Oklahoma early this evening, they initially will be capable of
producing large hail, damaging winds, and possible a few tornadoes.
The highest tornado threat will be during the evening, mainly
along and northwest of Interstate 44 in northeast Oklahoma. As the
storms move further into eastern Oklahoma later this evening,
they are expected to congeal into a line. As this occurs,
damaging wind gusts will become the primary hazard, though a
limited embedded tornado threat will persist with storms as they
continue moving eastward through the remainder of eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas during the overnight hours. With most of
the severe weather expected after dark, please have multiple ways
to receive warnings in case one is issued for your area. Storms
may also produce heavy rainfall with half an inch to one and a
half inches of rain forecast across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas.

Additionally, strong south winds gusting 25 to 35 mph will
persist ahead of a cold front, especially northwest of Interstate
44 in northeast Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY through MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind
Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
After quiet weather on Thursday and Friday, the weather pattern
becomes more unsettled Friday night through early next week with
daily shower and thunderstorm chances returning. Widespread
heavy rainfall will be possible during this time, especially this
upcoming weekend. Additionally, at least a marginal threat of
severe weather is expected late this weekend and early next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 30, 6:11 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
611 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

OKZ054-302345-
Osage OK-
611 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY
THROUGH 645 PM CDT...

At 611 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 5 miles
east of Newkirk, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Grainola...                       Foraker...
Webb City...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for northeastern
Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9635 3689 9633 3680 9675 3700 9675
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 249DEG 43KT 3687 9695

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 30, 6:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOsage34 min
Oct 30, 6:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSANowata31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2024Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.