Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 21, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

August 20, 2024Manatee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Aug 20, 2024, 9:24 PM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It took effect at Aug 21, 2024, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 21 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2024, 9:24 PM EDT (01:24 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 21, 2024, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 10, 2024, 9:24 PM EDT
In force
21 days
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Manatee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64 (MKHF1).

Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02299950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

117 
WGUS42 KTBW 210124
FLWTBW

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
924 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Florida...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County.

For the Manatee...including Myakka Head at SR 64, Rye Bridge...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday afternoon by 1230 PM EDT.

&&

FLC081-211630-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0021.240821T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.240821T1200Z.240823T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64.

* WHEN...From Wednesday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream 
  flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 8.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue rising to a crest of 12.5 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.5 feet on 09/05/1973.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Manatee River
Myakka Head at SR 11.0  8.9   Tue 8 pm  11.6  12.5  11.3  9.1   7.3


&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
      2751 8224 2753 8224


$$

TBW
4 follow-up statements
810 
WGUS82 KTBW 211326
FLSTBW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
926 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County.

  Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Hernando and Pasco 
  Counties.

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.

For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 
Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Manatee...including Myakka Head at SR 64, Rye Bridge...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Myakka...including Myakka River State Park...Minor flooding 
is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight by 1230 AM EDT.

&&

FLC081-220430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240824T1400Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.240821T2230Z.240822T1800Z.240824T0800Z.NO/
926 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Low sections of State Road 64 start to 
  flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 9.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 13.1 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    13.1 feet on 10/10/2011.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Manatee River
Myakka Head at SR 11.0  9.4   Wed 8 am  12.7  12.5  10.6  9.2   7.5


&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
      2751 8224 2753 8224


$$

FLC053-101-220430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.240815T0430Z.240818T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 301 Trilby.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman 
  Estates, Riverdale, and River Height Estates.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 AM EDT Wednesday was 12.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
    stage at 12.2 feet.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.2 feet on 09/16/2002.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Withlacoochee
US 301 Trilb 12.0  12.2  Wed 8 am  12.1  12.1  12.1  11.9  11.8


&&

LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210


$$

FLC115-220430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.240805T1752Z.240809T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Myakka River at Myakka River State Park.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at 
  Myakka State Park flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 7.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EDT Wednesday was 7.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
    stage at 7.2 feet.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.3 feet on 01/17/1979.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Myakka River
Myakka River Stat 7.0   7.2   Wed 9 am  7.2   7.2   7.3   7.5   7.6


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

TBW
097 
WGUS82 KTBW 220058
FLSTBW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
858 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando 
  Counties.

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County.

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.

For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 
Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Manatee...including Myakka Head at SR 64, Rye Bridge...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Myakka...including Myakka River State Park...Minor flooding 
is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday afternoon by noon EDT.

&&

FLC053-101-221600-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-240825T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.240815T0430Z.240818T0830Z.240824T1800Z.NO/
858 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 301 Trilby.

* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman 
  Estates, Riverdale, and River Height Estates.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday was 12.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Saturday afternoon and continue falling to 11.9 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.1 feet on 08/22/1965.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Withlacoochee
US 301 Trilb 12.0  12.2  Wed 8 pm  12.1  12.1  11.9  11.8  11.7


&&

LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210


$$

FLC081-221600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240824T1400Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.240821T2135Z.240822T1800Z.240824T0800Z.NO/
858 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Low sections of State Road 64 start to 
  flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM EDT Wednesday was 11.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.1
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    13.1 feet on 10/10/2011.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Manatee River
Myakka Head at SR 11.0  11.7  Wed 8 pm  13.0  11.7  10.0  8.3   6.8


&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
      2751 8224 2753 8224


$$

FLC115-221600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.240805T1752Z.240809T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
858 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Myakka River at Myakka River State Park.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Most of Myakka State Park is closed.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM EDT Wednesday was 7.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 8.3 feet Saturday
    evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.3 feet on 09/30/1997.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Myakka River
Myakka River Stat 7.0   7.3   Wed 8 pm  7.2   7.7   8.3   8.4   8.3


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

TBW
341 
WGUS82 KTBW 221324
FLSTBW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Manatee River At Rye Bridge affecting Manatee County.

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72 affecting DeSoto County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County.

  Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando 
  Counties.

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough 
  County.

For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 
Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Manatee...including Myakka Head at SR 64, Rye Bridge...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Myakka...including Myakka River State Park...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the Horse Creek...including Arcadia at SR 72...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this morning by 1030 AM EDT.

&&

FLC057-221430-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0024.240823T1108Z-240822T1324Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 7.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.2
    feet tomorrow morning.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Manatee River
Wimauma at US 301 11.0  7.7   Thu 9 am  9.2   8.9   7.7   6.4   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231


$$

FLC081-221600-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240822T1552Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.240822T0048Z.240822T0330Z.240822T0551Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...No flooding is currently forecast.

* WHERE...Manatee River at Rye Bridge.

* WHEN...Until late this morning.

* IMPACTS...At 11.7 feet, Water reaches the foundation of the first 
  house.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.3
    feet this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.1 feet on 09/07/2004.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Manatee River
Rye Bridge   11.0  10.3  Thu 8 am  8.2   3.9   2.9   2.5   2.5


&&

LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233


$$

FLC081-230430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240824T0000Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.240821T2135Z.240822T0300Z.240823T1800Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream 
  flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 11.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 AM EDT Thursday was 11.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.6
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.6 feet on 08/24/1985.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Manatee River
Myakka Head at SR 11.0  11.2  Thu 8 am  11.3  9.6   7.8   6.6   5.9


&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
      2751 8224 2753 8224


$$

FLC027-230430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.240823T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.240823T0900Z.240824T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Horse Creek near Arcadia at SR 72.

* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 10.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight and continue rising to a crest of 12.4 feet
    Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.4 feet on 07/31/1965.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Horse Creek
Arcadia at SR 7 12.0  10.9  Thu 8 am  12.1  12.4  12.3  12.2  12.0


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201


$$

FLC053-101-230430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-240825T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.240815T0430Z.240818T0830Z.240824T1800Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 301 Trilby.

* WHEN...Until Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman 
  Estates, Riverdale, and River Height Estates.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 AM EDT Thursday was 12.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Saturday afternoon and continue falling to 11.9 feet
    Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.1 feet on 04/10/1930.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Withlacoochee
US 301 Trilb 12.0  12.1  Thu 8 am  12.1  12.0  11.9  11.8  11.6


&&

LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210


$$

FLC115-230430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.240805T1752Z.240809T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Myakka River at Myakka River State Park.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Most of Myakka State Park is closed.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 7.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EDT Thursday was 7.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 8.3 feet early
    Sunday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.3 feet on 09/30/1997.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Myakka River
Myakka River Stat 7.0   7.5   Thu 9 am  7.8   8.2   8.3   8.2   7.9


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

TBW
133 
WGUS82 KTBW 230114
FLSTBW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
914 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Pasco and Hernando 
  Counties.

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72 affecting DeSoto County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County.

For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200 
Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Myakka...including Myakka River State Park...Minor flooding 
is forecast.
For the Horse Creek...including Arcadia at SR 72...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 1015 PM EDT.

&&

FLC081-230215-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240823T0114Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.240821T2135Z.240822T0300Z.240822T1745Z.NO/
914 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.1 feet Sunday
    evening.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Manatee River
Myakka Head at SR 11.0  10.6  Thu 8 pm  8.9   7.6   7.1   6.1   5.4


&&

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
      2751 8224 2753 8224


$$

FLC053-101-231615-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-240824T1200Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.240815T0430Z.240818T0830Z.240824T0600Z.NO/
914 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 301 Trilby.

* WHEN...Until Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman 
  Estates, Riverdale, and River Height Estates.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 12.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM EDT Thursday was 12.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Saturday morning and continue falling to 11.6 feet
    Sunday evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.0 feet on 08/24/1967.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Withlacoochee
US 301 Trilb 12.0  12.0  Thu 8 pm  12.0  11.8  11.6  11.4  11.2


&&

LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210


$$

FLC027-231615-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0023.240823T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.240823T1200Z.240825T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Horse Creek near Arcadia at SR 72.

* WHEN...From Friday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, The access road to Hidden Acres is 
  impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue rising to 12.6 feet early
    Sunday afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.6 feet on 09/18/2000.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Horse Creek
Arcadia at SR 7 12.0  11.7  Thu 8 pm  12.2  12.4  12.6  12.4  12.1


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201


$$

FLC115-231615-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.240805T1752Z.240809T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Myakka River at Myakka River State Park.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, The main road at Myakka State Park floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 7.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 PM EDT Thursday was 7.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 8.2 feet Saturday
    evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.2 feet on 10/02/1949.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Myakka River
Myakka River Stat 7.0   7.6   Thu 9 pm  7.8   8.2   8.2   8.0   7.9


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

TBW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 20, 7:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 7:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
743 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 741 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

Most convection has dissipated this evening but a few showers and
storms remain for coastal Manatee county. A Flood Advisory for the
barrier islands has been issued as heavy rain continues to fall
across the area. This activity is expected to diminish over the next
hour or two, with only off shore activity expected during the
overnight hours. A stationary boundary lingers across northern
Florida, leading to a tale of two forecasts tonight. Drier air will
be present north of I-4 leading to overnight temperatures falling
into the lower 70s. South of I-4, substantially more moisture is in
place with PWATs over 2 inches in some places. Overnight lows will
not be able to fall as much and will remain in the middle to upper
70s, near 80 along the coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 741 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

VFR conditions for all sites this evening, though VCTS lingers for
SRQ. This activity will continue a little longer but looks to clear
up by 01Z. Very light flow expected during the overnight hours, with
SW winds increasing after 12Z on Wednesday. Offshore convection
overnight/early morning will move inland by 13/14Z with southwest
flow leading to VCTS for coastal sites through the morning hours.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

A frontal boundary will continue to settle southward across the
area this evening, with scattered to numerous storms shifting
gradually out of the area ahead of the boundary. SW flow will
continue through Wednesday, keeping the higher rain chances and
timing more in the morning and early afternoon. The boundary
shifts north Thursday as ridging builds back into the area at the
surface. This will bring easterly flow back across the area with
later afternoon and evening storm timing. This will remain in
place then through the weekend and into early next week. Highs
will continue generally in the lower to mid 90s each afternoon and
lows in the 70s. Heat indices each afternoon around 105 as well.
Only exception for this is Thursday into Friday where higher rain
chances are in place and more clouds will help limit heating.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  79  92  78  88 /  20  50  30  70
FMY  78  91  77  91 /  40  60  30  70
GIF  76  93  75  91 /  20  60  30  70
SRQ  79  91  76  89 /  30  60  40  70
BKV  72  94  72  88 /  10  40  30  70
SPG  81  90  80  88 /  30  50  30  70

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

UPDATE/AVIATION...ADavis
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 20, 3:56 PM EDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
356 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

FLZ052-056-251-255-202045-
Inland Manatee FL-Polk FL-Hardee FL-Inland Hillsborough FL-
356 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN HARDEE...
NORTHEASTERN MANATEE...SOUTHWESTERN POLK AND SOUTHEASTERN
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...

At 355 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Jan Phyl Village to 8 miles southwest of
Bartow to 7 miles southeast of Sun City Center. Movement was east
at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind of 40 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Bartow, Lake Wales, Fort Meade, Crooked Lake Park, Eagle Lake,
Hillcrest Heights, Highland Park, Bradley Junction, Homeland,
Alturas, Lake Wales Municipal Airport, Fort Lonesome, Babson Park,
Bartow Municipal Airport, Wahneta, Waverly, Duette, Fort Green,
Highland City, and Cypress Gardens.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2798 8140 2782 8152 2751 8208 2757 8240
      2781 8202 2799 8185
TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 268DEG 19KT 2798 8181 2782 8195 2764 8227

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TBW
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 4:39 PM EDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
439 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

FLZ052-056-255-202115-
Inland Manatee FL-Polk FL-Hardee FL-
439 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN HARDEE...EAST
CENTRAL MANATEE AND SOUTHWESTERN POLK COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

At 439 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 11 miles south of Bartow to 11 miles north of
Myakka City. Movement was east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wauchula, Ona, Fort Meade, Frostproof, Bowling Green, Zolfo Springs,
Myakka Head, and Fort Green.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2774 8145 2738 8193 2749 8219 2779 8191
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 279DEG 11KT 2774 8190 2752 8215

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TBW
Local storm report, Aug 20, 4:58 PM EDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
458 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 ESE Dundee            28.01N 81.60W
08/20/2024  M44 MPH          Polk               FL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station AR666 Dundee.

&&
Local storm report, Aug 20, 8:26 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
826 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     Waterspout       5 W Holiday             28.19N 82.82W
08/20/2024                   GMZ850             FL   Public

            Waterspout was sited at 8:07 PM and
            dissipated at 8:12 PM.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 21, 10:01 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWLee3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.