Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2024

Tornado Watch 698

November 2, 2024Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 10 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 2, 2024, 2:09 PM MDT for Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 10 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2024, 2:09 PM MDT (20:09 UTC)
Expired
Nov 2, 2024, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 2, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea40 min
Nov 2, 2:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMAFLea37 min
Nov 2, 2:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea46 min
Nov 2, 2:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea36 min
Nov 2, 2:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMAFEddy66 min
Nov 2, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea47 min
Nov 2, 3:34 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFLea11 min
Nov 2, 3:42 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFLea18 min
Nov 2, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea46 min
Nov 2, 3:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy, Lea58 min
Nov 2, 3:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea64 min
Nov 2, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMAFLea59 min
Nov 2, 4:49 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea26 min
Nov 2, 5:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea42 min
Nov 2, 5:26 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFLea3 hr
Nov 2, 5:36 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea24 min
Nov 2, 5:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatMAFLea67 min
Nov 2, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFDawson, Gaines61 min
Nov 2, 7:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews54 min
Nov 2, 7:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2024-11-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 753 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2024-11-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
753 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
197 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 1, 9:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCurry, Eddy, Lea, Roosevelt2 hr
Nov 2, 2:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEddy, Lea95 min
Nov 2, 5:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLea57 min
Nov 2, 7:51 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFloyd, Hale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock, Motley84 min
Nov 2, 12:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Glasscock and 9 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2024Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2024Every tornado watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.