Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421

June 15, 202436 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 15, 2024, 7:28 PM CDT for 36 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2024, 7:28 PM CDT (00:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2024, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 42 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Andrew County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie46 min
Jun 15, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway55 min
Jun 15, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie, Shelby55 min
Jun 15, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie35 min
Jun 15, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Page, Pottawattamie45 min
Jun 15, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass, Taylor42 min
Jun 15, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway47 min
Jun 15, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDClay, Dickinson, O'Brien, Osceola29 min
Jun 15, 9:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXNodaway4 hr
Jun 15, 9:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDDickinson2 hr
Jun 16, 1:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXSac29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2024-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2168 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2024-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 323 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2168 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
848 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
323 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
532 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.3
Supercell composite
21.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMonona, Woodbury88 min
Jun 15, 9:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 32 more86 min
Jun 16, 1:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Crawford and 15 more88 min
Jun 16, 12:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLouisa, Scott117 min
Jun 16, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClinton, Jackson5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2024Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2024Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.