Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2024

Mesoscale Discussion 628

May 4, 202445 counties in Arkansas; 14 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 4, 2024, 10:49 AM CDT for 45 counties in Arkansas; 14 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2024, 10:49 AM CDT (15:49 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2024, 12:45 PM CDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 76 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2024-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 905 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2024-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 159 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
905 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
730 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 3:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 43 more97 min
May 4, 1:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt and 2 more118 min
May 3, 7:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Comanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 5 more2 hr
May 3, 8:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Harper, Texas2 hr
May 3, 9:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Dewey, Ellis, Roger Mills, Woods, Woodward2 hr
May 3, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Dewey, Ellis and 10 more6 hr
May 3, 11:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Kingfisher, Major and 1 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2024Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2024Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2024Every mesoscale discussion in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.